Hi Jens, welcome to the forum.
People have been writing that due to lack of aerosols now there was supposed to be constant sunlight in Arctic.
For a cloud to form you need nuclei in the air on which the gas can transform into a liquid. Can be polls, can be stuff produced when things burn.
So the question was if the fact that we burn less stuff would lead to a measurable effect.
Now, suppose it has an effect, we can't see that in the data quite yet. Scientists have to analyze it after the fact. That takes time.
But now it turns out it's cloudy there?
Weather happens all the time.
People here on the forum have been hyped up that there is going to be massive melt in Arctic, but nothing was happening in late May. (of course, a long way still to go this season)
IDK, man. I wouldn't say nothing happened. Looking at the numbers, depending on what measure you are looking at, we are hovering around record low and 4the in the rank. That's something IMHO.
In general, we are talking about a very sluggish system here, don't expect things to happen just like that.
I just hope people would clarify what is the actual situation in Arctic. Is it sunny or cloudy then? Is the shutdown of economy and lack of aerosols actually having an effect or not?
I bet there will be a lot of research and comparing on the topic and i think we'll know someday. Just stay tuned.
In mid-May people were writing that impressive weather
There actually was an impressive high.
People also write about "preconditioning/meltponding" of ice, and it is supposed to be highly favourable for a good melt season this year.
I think this still holds true. We'll see.
How much time would it take to actually materialize in an actual melt?
It is indeed melting. But the real question is, is it melting more or less fast. But again, we'll see at the end of the melt season.