Phoenix, you are being intentionally obtuse.
When FOW calls someone out, you know things are bad! He is the nicest guy on the planet. 😂😂😂
FOoW also knows Arctic climate better than most of us would dream of.
He's pointing out very explicitly you (Phoenix) are drilling down further into a dry hole, and gently telling you that you really don't understand the atmospheric dynamics of heat exchange which are currently taking place.
I've tried to do a bit of the same, but you do not appear to be listening.
To be succinct, again, the heat exchange to ice from atmosphere this time of year by way of direct thermal transfer is measured in 10s of watts per square meter, whereas insolation is providing 350-400. A drop of a degree or so at 2 meters or the surface is not material. The "250kilo gorilla" is still pounding away at the ice.
To use a somewhat different metaphor, talking about air temperature dropping and reducing heat transfer is like getting excited about someone no longer throwing gravel at you.
Meanwhile someone else is *still* shooting at you with a high calibre handgun. The reduction in gravel is not going to make a lot of difference in how badly you'll be shot up.