There is a worldview animation of Beaufort, apr-jul10 here (large files)
uni-hamburg amsr2-uhh, atlantic side, jun1-jul11. click to run (6.8MB)
Bremen uses a 6.25km grid, the Hamburg grid is 3.125km. For me, the Hamburg presentation works much better with overlays.
Oh my word!!! I am used to Atlantic waters ploughing their way through the Barents Sea ice halfway between Novaya Zemlya and FJL. Then hooking north and scouring the ice out of the channel just east of FJL and west of the Kara Shelf only to stop just north of FJL where it drops into the Nansen and goes under the Arctic Surface Water and becomes separated from the ice. But the last few days melt across the Atlantic Front from Svalbard to Severnaya Zemlya looks to be more than insolation can do alone. That looks like Atlantic water attacking the entire front right up to the Nansen ( or even past ) to me!
I think this is what I was trying to point out on July 9, message # 2477, but probably less coherently than you have ... the image posted then is below.
Some thoughts, not based on experience: Current weather has the Arctic ice cap rotating clockwise towards this bathymetric line (where the Arctic seafloor suddenly plunges downwards, and warm, saline Atlantic waters disappear into the depths).
If this has been established as the July/August ice's Atlantic boundary (as it often is), then that means the ice cap will continue to rotate towards this line and the ice will get melted out by the warm Atlantic waters beyond this point.
It might
look as if nothing is happening here under these conditions, but in fact a lot of ice will be lost. This ice melting might
seem to be occurring in some other Arctic seas, but the ice will be just being rotated to the toasty Atlantic front and vanishing there. (Admittedly, compaction might be taking the ice edge in this area towards the pole right now, rather than melting).
First image is for July 8 position, second for July 12. Red line approximately marks the 200m submarine contour