It's unfolding as foreseen. In the first stages, weather has forced a big reduction on extent loss. To remember the 2012 GAC; it hit from the Sakha Republic, Siberia, right into the slush and goodbye waves in the ESS. From that direction, there wasn't the noticeable slow down in extent reduction. Within two days, under the clouds, GAC spreaded everything out over 2Mkm2 ocean, pushing the ice content under 15% in the grid-count. It was called 'flash melt' then.
The present Beaufort-chaser storm creates a different pattern. The 10-day ECMWF shows it teaming up with a Eurasian side anticyclone, thus setting up what could be called a reversed dipole.
In that situation, measured extent-loss will remain reduced for that period. That doesn't mean the pack-ice will be safe. While a lot of debris will seem to regain sea in the Chukchi, the ESS and Laptev, area will nose-dive and I have no doubt volume does the same.
In the coming 10 days, volume might loose up to 1500 km3. PIOMAS will report up to 15 July. So in about 10 days their graph will reflect the strong July melt. It will take the line at pair with 12, 17 and 19; about 6500 km3. After that, the coming 10 days will bring a decisive reel down for volume, taking it to a new dramatic low come september.