it seems that I was wrong about continued cab loss, we have had a continuous slow down instead, this must be because of thicker ice because top melt is continuing apace with an unusual continual pulse of warmth along the greenland to laptev cab, already present several days ago, with melt not stopping even at the north pole within 10 days apart from an ess island as well as the laptev edge, although the latter only in the unreliable part of the forecast. Furthermore the euro model seems to start to indicate a high pressure in the beaufort, where insolation is higher due to its lower latitude, this combined with the surface temperature forecast showing some waa towards the thicker parts of the beaufort, means that along with bottom melt, which will be increased after more insolation given the latitude, the ice will keep being attacked from the top. Given the known melt ratios of the beaufort, it is probable most of it will melt out before refreeze, although it might take some time (highest bottom melt in the end of August)(
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2008GL034007). This is even more apparent given the destruction made by the cyclone, as can be seen in the subsequent bremen maps, and should be fully revealed within a week as high pressure takes hold in that region.
The previously mentioned cooling, appearing in the front that was most active (ess, laptev) seems shallow, limited to the ice margins, which means that any plateau or continuous slow down in area or extent would only mask the thickness loss, which should already become clear with the piomas update due very soon. This masking effect should also stop soon in the caa, where thickness, according to hycom, is deadly low.
Winter is coming, but not before Rome burns.
https://sites.google.com/site/arcticseaicegraphs/forecasts?overridemobile=true