This.
This is what I was getting at with the comparison post (of ice quality) I was getting at a few days ago.
I think the purple areas are a good preview of what our end of season extent will look like.
Extent will make a run at 2012, but not make it.
Area may quite likely drop below 2012, 16 & 19.
(Edit: I expect volume to drop in the tank, becoming lowest on record).
Yep i am thinking along them lines too.
Area is likely to be 1st, very tight race, the next 3 weeks are going to be very interesting.
I think we still have a chance of a record low Extent, judging from these comparisons from 2012.
It would need to be a record amount of Melt to pass the 2012 extent though, a GAC could be the difference between 1st and 2nd.
2012, Sea Ice Concentration. August the 4th and August 9th.
Comparison on August 6th 2020.