good afternoon,
Among the many forces at play in the Arctic, the gravitational flattening of the CAB and its recurving twice/day imparts oodles of energy, (scientists measure it in zillions of joules) every day, sun or no sun, wind or no. Tides impart a significant amount of heat to and have a significant effect on, the system, even though reduced, at the pole proper. To ignore this is folly.
It is not also obvious to those whose sunglasses block more than the glare.
I might add that by simple geometry, one can illustrate how a higher tide allows more volume to pass through the Fram. Though true that generally tide has a to and fro character, that is not currently true in the Fram and into the Greenland Sea. The wind has blown strongly for the last 45 frigging (excuse my english) days in a southeastern direction!!!
The transport has been incredible, and yes, learned friends, high tide, twice a day, every damn day is indeed a real factor, and whether one is blinded or not to reality, waves of ice in a tide-exacerbated flow of an extreme amount, may have mortally wounded the CAB.
That this event has not appeared very robustly in extent and volume stats is interesting. There is a simple explanation for why observation doesn't agree with measurements. The older ice floes are separating and a thin layer of new ice forms. The air is still cold now, but it only freezes a thin layer in all of the newly created areas still categorized as ice. Created extent evens out the extent stats with mostly newly formed, thin ice, replacing older, thicker floes in droves.
I have no direct reason to explain the stable volume figures other than the time frames disguise it or lack of data. I just don't know why such a large melt doesn't show up better. Maybe it didn't happen and I'm the boy crying wolf, but I see the blood of the CAB in this area, and I don't think it's an illusion.
But, I would estimate that possibly 10 % of the CAB has been converted from the solid to the liquid via export through the Fram into the Greenland Sea and into the Barents Sea during this 45-day event.
Hopefully, weather patterns will change soon. If they don't, and accelerated export continues through the summer (unlikely), the pole may be in open water at some point this year.
The pettiness of ignorance may be cured by the recognition that an important event is going on now and the learning that the more one learns, the more one becomes sure they don't know near as much as they think they do.
Tides are important, imho.
The tide and wind having a coordinated seiche effect on an enclosed basin (CAB) could also qualify as a heat generator as well. Once again, measured in zillions of joules lol
peace
td