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Author Topic: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change  (Read 1203960 times)

kassy

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3250 on: January 31, 2021, 11:58:40 AM »
Netherlands: first temperate frost night (under -5) in 740 days days with -5,1C.
Old record 662 days (april 1st 2013 to january 22nd 2015).

Vlissingen had it´s first below zero temps in 729 days with -1,1C. This is a record length in the modern meteorological records which began in 1901.

https://www.nu.nl/binnenland/6113490/koudste-nacht-van-deze-winter-brengt-eerste-matige-vorst-in-twee-jaar.html
Þetta minnismerki er til vitnis um að við vitum hvað er að gerast og hvað þarf að gera. Aðeins þú veist hvort við gerðum eitthvað.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3251 on: February 02, 2021, 04:14:27 AM »
Quote
Brian Brettschneider (@Climatologist49)2/1/21, 8:51 PM
For Alaska and the Lower 48, the CPC 6-10 Day forecast has 92% of the area painted in shades of blue for Below Normal temperatures. Looking at all 6-10 Day Outlooks issued over the last decade, this is the bluest map of all of them. Previous record was 86.8% on Feb 11, 2013.
https://twitter.com/climatologist49/status/1356419923346513920
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gerontocrat

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3252 on: February 02, 2021, 06:47:40 PM »
Which Senators will be throwing snowballs in the Senate?

NE Canada is the place to go.
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Shared Humanity

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3253 on: February 05, 2021, 12:27:09 AM »
If the Accuweather 15 day forecast holds, Chicago is in for some very cold weather.

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3254 on: February 06, 2021, 08:36:52 PM »
Twin cities, also ...



... a toasty -19°C during the day and -27°C at night.
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dnem

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3255 on: February 07, 2021, 09:43:32 PM »
Since about two weeks after the early January SSW events, the local long range forecasts here in Maryland have been showing extreme cold in the 10 days out range but it never verifies. It has certainly turned more wintery, but the coldest predicted temps have thus for ameliorated as the forecasts get closer.

be cause

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3256 on: February 08, 2021, 02:01:43 AM »
several 'light icings' forecast in the N. Sea fishing areas , with a rare ' light to moderate icing ' forecast for the Thames area . Brrrr ..  b.c.
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kassy

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3257 on: February 08, 2021, 01:49:31 PM »
Since about two weeks after the early January SSW events, the local long range forecasts here in Maryland have been showing extreme cold in the 10 days out range but it never verifies. It has certainly turned more wintery, but the coldest predicted temps have thus for ameliorated as the forecasts get closer.

I see more or less the same on the dutch 10 day outlook. It might have something to do with missing meteorology data due to Covid? Usually it performed better.
Þetta minnismerki er til vitnis um að við vitum hvað er að gerast og hvað þarf að gera. Aðeins þú veist hvort við gerðum eitthvað.

Sebastian Jones

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3258 on: February 08, 2021, 05:47:58 PM »
The entire north and west of Canada is under a cold weather event warning.
This is a part of the world that often gets quite cold, but this event is bigger and colder than most.
The forecast in my part of NW Yukon is down to minus 50C tonight, the first time we will have cracked -50 since 2013.

« Last Edit: February 09, 2021, 02:23:30 AM by Sebastian Jones »

gerontocrat

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3259 on: February 08, 2021, 08:01:42 PM »
The Environment Canada Feb monthly forecast for Canada said - cold - but this cold?

Mind you - max temperatures above zero in Hudson Strait.
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Alexander555

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3260 on: February 11, 2021, 09:14:47 AM »
That's plenty of snow for next week.

HapHazard

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3261 on: February 11, 2021, 11:03:41 AM »
Currently -27 here, according to the thermometer on the deck. 2AM. Not a big deal, honestly, as we tend to get at least 1 cold snap like this per winter. It's been the warmest winter I've experienced here in the last 15 years otherwise. Not as much snow as usual, either. Weird.

Forecast from the closest weather station (it's not very close, but as good as it gets here in rural BC) - Mon through Fri is more like a normal average. It'll warm up pretty quick in another week or three.

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gerontocrat

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3262 on: February 11, 2021, 02:17:57 PM »
GFS 10 day (take with a bag of salt) N America forecast suggests,
- The Lower 48 get a good deal of snow,
- Canada (aprt from the coastal regions) pretty dry,
- The really really high negative temp anomalies move south into the central lower 48 as far south as northern Mexico.
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Alexander555

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vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3264 on: February 15, 2021, 01:24:15 PM »
Rotating Outages Underway in Texas After Energy Emergency Alert Level 3 Issued
https://www.ksat.com/news/local/2021/02/15/rotating-outages-underway-in-texas-after-energy-emergency-alert-level-3-issued-ercot-says/?outputType=amp

The Electric Reliability Council of Texas has said that rotating outages are likely to last at least through the morning.

ERCOT said the blackouts may be initiated until the end of the winter weather emergency, which resulted in snow overnight in San Antonio.

ERCOT officials said about 10,500 MW of generation for customers — enough power to serve approximately two million homes — was lost at the highest point.

That was caused by tripped generating units, which became unavailable.

Now, about 30,000 MW of generation was forced off the system amid the outages.

The rotating outages began at 1:25 a.m.



It was 12°F (-11°C) on Sunday evening, the wind chill made it feel like -15°F (-26°C). This system is dangerous on all levels.

Temperatures in the city of Dallas will reach a high of 14°F (-10°C) on Monday when it should be more like 59°F (15°C) at this time of year.

Amarillo will see a high temperature of just 2°F (-17°C), breaking the city's previous record of 12°F (-11°C) that was set in 1895, a forecaster from the service's Weather Prediction Centre, Marc Chenard, told Reuters news agency.

Similarly, Lubbock will only reach a high of 9°F (-13°C). These temperatures are "40 to 50 degrees [Fahrenheit] below average", Mr Chenard said.

https://www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-us-canada-56058372

The rolling blackouts could repeat, all the way through Tuesday morning according to ERCOT officials.

The CEO of Texas' Electric Reliability Council of Texas, better known as ERCOT, announced Sunday that the supply of natural gas to power plants was limited, and half of the system's wind turbines had frozen, keeping at least 12k megawatts offline. ERCOT has a grid condition alert system that is now in 'conservation alert' status as consumption spikes across the state.

Rolling blackouts are expected across the entire state. Experts say they are necessary to avoid turning off power to places like hospitals, police stations, fire stations, water and wastewater treatment facilities.

https://abc13.com/amp/texas-power-grid-outages-rolling-blackouts-brownouts/10340431/
« Last Edit: February 15, 2021, 01:47:39 PM by vox_mundi »
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vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3265 on: February 15, 2021, 02:01:47 PM »
'Snow Apocalypse' Blankets Frozen Moscow
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-weather-moscow-snowfall/snow-apocalypse-blankets-frozen-moscow-idUSKBN2AD0DC

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Heavy snowfalls have buried Moscow in massive snow piles, disrupting transport, delaying flights and making it tough to get around for pedestrians braving strong winds and temperatures of -15°C (5°F).

The snowfall started late on Thursday and was expected to end on Sunday. Russia’s emergency service advised people to stay away from trees, warning of winds gusts of 18 m/s (40 mph).

... By early Saturday, snow depth in the city reached 56 centimetres (22 inches), Fobos said. This was close to exceeding a record high of 60 cm for accumulated snow on a Feb. 13, it said.
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

be cause

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3266 on: February 15, 2021, 03:37:55 PM »
Athens and Istanbul are blanketed in snow this morning , while our Saturday snow was gone on Sunday .. b.c.
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El Cid

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3267 on: February 15, 2021, 04:05:00 PM »
'Snow Apocalypse' Blankets Frozen Moscow
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-weather-moscow-snowfall/snow-apocalypse-blankets-frozen-moscow-idUSKBN2AD0DC

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Heavy snowfalls have buried Moscow in massive snow piles, disrupting transport, delaying flights and making it tough to get around for pedestrians braving strong winds and temperatures of -15°C (5°F).

Snow in Russia? -15 C in Moscow? They must be terrified :)

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3268 on: February 15, 2021, 04:16:26 PM »
All the better to chill a bottle of vodka ...
За здоровье! (Ha zdaróvye)
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

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vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3269 on: February 15, 2021, 08:59:28 PM »
2.7 Million People In Texas Are Without Power During Winter Storm
https://www.axios.com/texas-winter-storm-power-outage-ad3591e1-745c-4c15-85ee-3b7a46a723ad.html

Over 2.7 million people across Texas are currently without power as the majority of the state faces single-digit temperatures and sub-zero wind chill, according to the national utility tracker poweroutage.us.

https://poweroutage.us/area/state/texas

https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1361306917881196545?s=20



Here’s something you don’t see everyday... check out the scenes from Seawall Blvd in Galveston this morning. Sea level 29.3013° N of the equator.

https://twitter.com/GalvestonIsland/status/1361318223283650562
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3270 on: February 16, 2021, 02:33:09 AM »
Texas’ Power Grid Crumples Under the Cold
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/02/texas-power-grid-crumples-under-the-cold/

According to a statement released today by ERCOT, the grid entered a state of emergency shortly after 1am on Monday, meaning it could no longer guarantee enough power generation to meet customer demands. This is because roughly 30 gigawatts of generation capacity has been forced offline.

While some early reports indicated that frozen wind turbines were causing significant shortfalls, 30GW is roughly equal to the entire state's wind capacity if every turbine is producing all the power it's rated for. Since wind generally tends to produce less during winter, there's no way that the grid operators would have planned for getting 30GW from wind generation; in fact, a chart at ERCOT indicates that wind is producing significantly more than forecast.


Power supplied by wind (green) is coming in ahead of forecasts.

Wind turbines can apparently operate in Antarctica, so it's not clear what Texas' problem is.

So while having Texas' full wind-generating capacity online would help, the problems with meeting demand appear to lie elsewhere. An ERCOT director told Bloomberg that problems were widespread across generating sources, including coal, natural gas, and even nuclear plants. In the past, severe cold has caused US supplies of natural gas to be constrained [frozen pipelines], as use in residential heating competes with its use in generating electricity. But that doesn't explain the shortfalls in coal and nuclear, and the ERCOT executive wasn't willing to speculate.

With generation failing to meet demand, ERCOT was left with no other option other than to cut off customers' access to power. "About 10,500 MW of customer load was shed at the highest point," as the company put it. In a graph posted on ERCOT's homepage, you can watch a sudden plunge in demand occurring at the time the emergency started, indicating that many customers likely saw their electricity cut off at this point. And at two points in the day since, demand experienced an additional plunge when it threatened to exceed supply, indicating further cuts.



Note that the projected demand for later in the day is far, far higher than the expected supply, indicating that Texas is in for a very difficult evening.

By around noon local time, similar problems had struck the Southwest Power Pool, which serves parts of 14 states to the north of Texas. A statement released on Twitter said that the organization had started relying on reserve energy at 10am local time and ran out of that shortly afterward. (The company's website appears to be down, though whether that's due to power issues or many people checking its status isn't clear.) "This is an unprecedented event and marks the first time Southwest Power Pool has ever had to call for controlled interruptions of service," said the company's CEO.

--------------------------------------------------------

People in Houston, the fourth most populous city in the United States, may be in the dark into Tuesday, according to Mayor Sylvester Turner.

As of Monday afternoon, there were 1.2 million CenterPoint customers without power, including in the city of Houston and the Houston region, Turner said, a number that he said could increase as the weather gets colder in the evening.

"I just want to be very upfront with the people of the city: If you are without power right now, it is very conceivable that you could be without power throughout the rest of today and possibly even going into tomorrow," Turner said.

https://mobile.twitter.com/oncor/status/1361331626257641483
« Last Edit: February 16, 2021, 02:43:11 AM by vox_mundi »
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3271 on: February 16, 2021, 09:02:28 AM »
City of Abilene: No Water Due to Power Loss, Service Return Unknown
https://amp.reporternews.com/amp/6759664002
https://ktxs.com/amp/news/local/city-of-abilene-2-3-hours-of-water-left-eliminate-all-non-essential-use-immediately

ABILENE, Texas (pop. 170,000) — Just before 6 p.m., the City of Abilene issued a statement that water customers had 2-3 hours of treated water capacity remaining at current consumption levels.

In short order, water customers saw faucets go dry, preventing even dripping to fight pipe freeze.


The city of Abilene provides water either directly or indirectly to city and wholesale water distributors supplying the cities of Merkel, Tye, Clyde, Baird, Tuscola, Hawley, Buffalo Gap and the rural areas surrounding Abilene.

The water shortage was created after all water treatment plants used by the city lost power." ... "This is a grid-generating issue," he said, one that is affecting Texans statewide. 

The City said it has contacted State emergency management and is working on providing water trucks for drinking purposes in the event water service cannot be restored.

Hanna says AEP has no timetable for when power might be restored. ... “This could be 24 hours, it could be four days,”

... Downtown was completely dark around City Hall, with not even street lights working.

https://www.bigcountryhomepage.com/news/city-of-abilene-could-take-some-time-to-restore-water-even-after-power-comes-back/amp/

------------------------------------------

United Supermarkets shoppers made a rush on bottled water after the city of Abilene announced it would run out of water Monday evening. The loss of water is due to the loss of power at all three treatment facilities. When power resumes, residents will have to boil water to drink or cook with.
Ronald W. Erdrich/Reporter-News
City Manager Robert Hanna said a timeline had not been shared from AEP as to when power would be fully restored.

------------------------------------------

Low water pressure in Houston area likely caused by frozen pipes, dripping faucets

Multiple cities across the state are experiencing water shortages.

-----------------------------------------------

KYLE, Texas (pop. 48,393) — Amid statewide power outages, the City of Kyle is now asking its residents to suspend water use until further notice.

Officials said the call is due to a loss of power at the Guadalupe-Blanco River Authority. The City of Kyle said the city is close to running out of water supply.

https://mobile.twitter.com/CityofKyleTX/status/1361407394530656264

-----------------------------------------

CenterPoint Energy is reporting massive power outages in the Houston area due to the severe winter storm that has engulfed Texas.

As of 10 p.m. ET, more than 4.4 million customers are without power in Texas.

... There is no estimate as to when the power will come back on. Officials said it could be out for a couple of days.

Officials also said that with more cold air moving into the region, the power supply could again be impacted and could lead to even more people losing power. 

------------------------------------------------------

« Last Edit: February 16, 2021, 10:49:04 AM by vox_mundi »
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3272 on: February 16, 2021, 09:56:33 AM »
Biggest Oil Refineries in U.S. Are Going Dark Amid the Cold
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-15/biggest-u-s-oil-refinery-shutting-down-because-of-cold-weather

The largest refineries in North America were shutting down Monday because of arctic conditions that have cut electricity, water and fuel supplies across Texas. More than 3 million barrels of daily oil-processing capacity has been idled in the wake of the record-setting cold, according to consultant Energy Aspects Ltd.

The shutdowns portend tightening supplies and higher prices for everything from gasoline to propane in coming days and weeks in cities across the country that rely on the U.S. Gulf Coast for fuels. The impact on fuel supplied by pipeline will likely spread far beyond Texas if the outages last more than a few days, considering that the oil industry had already cut back production during the pandemic. The Gulf Coast supplies more than three-fifths of the East Coast’s fuel.

- Saudi Aramco’s Motiva Enterprises LLC is halting operations at its Port Arthur, Texas, refinery, the nation’s largest, according to an email from the company.

- Marathon Petroleum Corp.’s Galveston Bay plant south of Houston was shut in response to the chill, Reuters reported.

- Exxon Mobil Corp. shut its massive Baytown refinery near Houston, as well as some units at its refinery in the town of Beaumont about 70 miles (112 kilometers) to the east, spokeswoman Sarah Nordin said. In addition to the cold, the Beaumont closure was also driven by a shortage of natural gas.

- Total SE ratcheted down crude processing to minimal levels and shut a key refining unit at its Port Arthur, Texas, plant, a person familiar with operations said. The refinery probably will shut completely within hours as temperatures drop, the person said.

Oil pipelines, electricity generators and wind farms have been paralyzed by the extreme weather conditions in the nation’s top crude-producing state. Refinery capacity is shrinking at a faster pace than oil production is declining due to the arctic weather, according to Energy Aspects.

“Disruptions to refining operations could be prolonged if the cold damages any equipment or if the power outages affecting Texas are not resolved quickly,” the consultant said in a note to clients.
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

BeeKnees

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3273 on: February 16, 2021, 10:59:29 AM »
27GW of Gas offline and 3GW of Wind yet renewables are being blamed, shocking misrepresentation of the facts

https://reneweconomy.com.au/massive-texas-gas-failure-during-climate-extremes-gets-blamed-on-wind-power/

 “As of ~10 AM Eastern time [Monday the 15th], the system has ~30 GW of capacity offline, ~26 GW of thermal — mostly natural gas which cant get fuel deliveries which are being priorities for heating loads — and ~4 GW of wind due to icing”, said Jesse Jenkins, a Professor at Princeton and a prominent energy expert. “That is a HUGE amount of gas capacity offline, about 30% of total ERCOT capacity and ~half of the natural gas fleet…devastating for reliability”. This was in addition to gas pipes freezing due to the extreme temperatures.

That information was later confirmed by market data from ERCOT, posted by another energy expert, Joshua Rhodes. “Over 30 GW of generation still down in ERCOT! ~27 GW thermal, or about 35% of all thermal capacity”
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vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3274 on: February 16, 2021, 11:36:32 AM »
Blackouts Hit 13 States Beyond Texas in Deepening Power Crisis
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-15/u-s-southwest-grid-operator-orders-rolling-blackouts-amid-cold

Southwest Power Pool, which controls a power grid spanning 14 states from North Dakota to Oklahoma, has declared an energy emergency and is ordering utilities to start rolling blackouts amid an extreme cold blast that has already taken down parts of Texas’s grid.

The power system operator said in a statement that this is the first time it has ever had to order rolling outages and that it had exhausted all other options for protecting the grid. “It’s a last resort,” the agency said. “It’s a step we’re consciously taking to prevent circumstances from getting worse, which could result in uncontrolled outages of even greater magnitude.”

... Andrew Baker, Evergy Spokesperson, said, “We tried to make sure we were looking at circuits that didn’t have hospitals or emergency vaccines and we also looked at places where we could get power back on as quickly as possible.
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3275 on: February 16, 2021, 12:50:51 PM »
The power supply outages in Texas affected millions of people across the border in northern Mexico, where the Associated Press reported almost 5 million customers were left in the dark.

Mexico's Federal Electricity Commission said the blackouts were tied to frozen natural gas pipelines from Texas that supply private power plants in northern Mexico.

Residents in Juárez and some other areas in the state of Chihuahua were affected, according to KVIA News in Ciudad Juarez.

https://www.npr.org/2021/02/16/968230163/millions-without-power-in-texas-northern-mexico-as-blackouts-and-bitter-cold-con
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Alexander555

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3276 on: February 16, 2021, 06:25:41 PM »
6 degree C hotter as normal. Record cold in Texas, and record hot in the atlantic . https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/gulf-stream-amoc-ocean-anomaly-united-states-europe-fa/

Niall Dollard

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3277 on: February 17, 2021, 01:38:52 AM »

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3278 on: February 17, 2021, 07:10:23 PM »
Houston Faces Dire Water Issues as Power Outages, Cold Push Texans To Their Limits
https://weather.com/news/news/2021-02-17-texas-water-power-outages-snow-ice-weather-south

Houston (pop. 2.3 million) residents woke up Wednesday morning with little or no water pressure, on top of a third day of widespread power outages that have left millions without heat amid frigid temperatures and back-to-back winter storms.

Harris County Office of Emergency Management said the water issues are due to the ongoing power outages.

"Nearly (all) parts of the county are experiencing low water pressure - or have none at all," the agency tweeted. "Water utilities are struggling to operate in light of the state power issues. This will not improve until more power is restored."

In many areas, including the city of Houston, those with water are being advised to boil it before drinking. Those without power – 360,000 homes and business in Harrison County alone – are being told to use bottled water.

Harris County Judge Lina Hidalgo, who oversees emergency management, called the combined water and power outages "a nightmare." Hidalgo said all residents should assume they are under a boil water notice.

Officials asked that water be conserved for essential use only.

"Conserving water will allow us to save water for firefighting operations and other life-safety items," the Office of Emergency Management tweeted.

In some cases, it was so cold overnight that water from burst pipes or running faucets froze inside homes. One residents said he used melted snow to flush toilets.

Water outages also affected hundreds of thousands of residents Tuesday in several other areas, including Abilene and Fort Worth (pop. 875,000).



------------------------------------------------

No, Frozen Wind Turbines Aren't the Main Culprit for Texas' Power Outages
https://www.texastribune.org/2021/02/16/texas-wind-turbines-frozen/amp/

“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

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gerontocrat

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3279 on: February 17, 2021, 09:41:08 PM »
The USA is in weather Purgatory - not Hell, because Hell is damnation without relief.

After more horror to Friday, temperatures will rise from the weekend on (one hopes)
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3280 on: February 18, 2021, 09:07:03 AM »
Nearly 12 Million Texans Now Face Water Disruptions. The State is Asking Residents to Stop Dripping Taps.
https://www.kwtx.com/2021/02/18/nearly-12-million-texans-now-face-water-disruptions-the-state-is-asking-residents-to-stop-dripping-taps/

AUSTIN, Texas (Texas Tribune) - First Texans lost their power. Now, they’re losing their potable water.

After enduring multiple days of freezing temperatures and Texans dripping faucets to prevent frozen pipes from bursting, cities across the state warned residents on Wednesday that water levels are dangerously low and may be unsafe to drink.

Approximately 590 public water systems in 141 Texas counties have reported disruptions in service, affecting 11.8 million people as of late Wednesday afternoon, according to a Texas Commission on Environmental Quality spokesperson.

“Water pressure is very low. Please do not run water to keep pipes from bursting,” Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner tweeted Wednesday morning. “Turn off water if pipes have burst. Please contact us if you don’t know how to turn off water. Be conservative on water usage today. It is needed for hospitals and fires.”

At a Wednesday press conference, TCEQ executive Director Toby Baker said water quality issues were related to the lack of electricity, frozen and broken water lines, and people dripping faucets so much that it was causing water lower pressure. Baker also said it will take testing to demonstrate that the water is safe before boil notices can be lifted. There are only 135 labs in the state that do that sampling, he said, which means the boil notices could linger.

“It’s not clear when water supplies will be replenished, but energy constraints often have impact on the water system because the water system requires energy for treatment and pumping,” said Michael Webber, an energy resources professor at the University of Texas at Austin.

... “No grocery stores are open in our area so there’s no chance for restock even if you are one of the very few with a car that can make it the miles it would take to get water,” Riley, a 27-year-old writer, told The Texas Tribune.

One Fort Worth resident reported a small “pencil-width” stream of water at their house. A Houston-area woman who lives near the Medical Center got water back for about an hour yesterday after, but said it was brown and undrinkable. A resident in San Antonio said their water froze even after running their taps.

... For now, it’s unclear when cities will be able to lift their water boil notices. While some parts of Austin have issued notices as a precautionary measure, other cities, like San Angelo, have gone days without safe drinking water after city officials found industrial chemicals contaminated the water system.

.... During the storm ERCOT said, 40% of the state's generators - four out of every 10 - were knocked offline. Those generators account for 46,000 megawatts of power, enough electricity to power roughly 9.2 million homes.
« Last Edit: February 18, 2021, 09:19:08 AM by vox_mundi »
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Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3281 on: February 18, 2021, 05:19:44 PM »
Hospitals in Texas Are Being Evacuated Due to Lack of Hot Water and Heat
https://earther.gizmodo.com/hospitals-in-texas-are-being-evacuated-due-to-lack-of-h-1846294492

The massive energy crisis that’s been overwhelming Texas ever since the state was hit with a record cold snap is now threatening some of its most vulnerable residents, and at least two hospitals in the Austin metro area were being evacuated on Wednesday night due to a lack of hot water and heat.

Matt Largey, an editor at Austin’s NPR station KUT, tweeted out a statement from St. David’s South Austin Medical Center on Wednesday that confirmed that the hospital was in the process of evacuating some of its “just under 300 patients” from the facility after it “lost water pressure today from the City of Austin.”

https://twitter.com/mattlargey/status/1362200151822016512

“Water feeds the facility’s boiler, so as a result, it is also losing heat,” the statement reads. The release notes that hospital workers were in the process of working with city officials to transport patients most in need to other hospitals in the area with available capacity, and were also working to get water trucks and portable toilets on the scene for the workers and patients who would remain.

Minutes later, Largey reported that Dell Children’s Medical Center, a pediatric hospital located in Austin, was also without power. In an accompanying statement from the hospital sent from a source, officials confirmed that “extreme weather conditions” had resulted in the facility experiencing “interruptions in service,” and noted that the toilets there did not currently have “flushing capabilities.”

---------------------------------------------

https://mobile.twitter.com/DavidShuster/status/1362272883775582209

Ted Cruz, the Republican senator from Texas, who appears to have been photographed lining up for a flight to the sunny Mexican tourist resort of Cancun as millions of his constituents endure deadly power outages and freezing temperatures.

Cruz was reportedly spotted waiting for, then later boarding, a flight to Cancun on Wednesday night. Cancun and the surrounding area is a popular destination for many American vacationers.

----------------------------------------------

32 Pictures That Show Just How Freezing Cold It Is In Texas Right Now
https://www.buzzfeed.com/mjs538/pictures-of-texas-cold

https://mobile.twitter.com/anasalhajji/status/1361190706010816514

https://twitter.com/mole_cola/status/1362068074124427269

« Last Edit: February 18, 2021, 06:31:03 PM by vox_mundi »
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

blu_ice

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3282 on: February 18, 2021, 05:34:01 PM »
I’m afraid pumps and pipes and valves in those solid frozen pools will need some fixing when the temperature rises.

El Cid

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3283 on: February 18, 2021, 06:53:34 PM »
Now the situation in Texas is definitely not the same as -15 C and 50 cm of snow in Moscow. Texans are not really equipped to handle the situation.Whereas in Russia...

I studied in Moscow many years ago. Snow fell on Oct 1. When I asked about heating, they told me that the heating season starts on Oct 15 and I should bugger off, it's only two weeks until they start heating, so what is the problem??? We slept in wintercoats and 3 socks :)

blu_ice

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3284 on: February 18, 2021, 10:06:56 PM »
Tbh it must be awful being stuck in -15C temps in poorly insulated houses without power and water. It’s a life threatening situation.

A widespread blackout in mid-winter would be a national emergency up here in Finland and we are used to such conditions.

be cause

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3285 on: February 18, 2021, 10:23:18 PM »
indeed blu_ice , I am more than a little concerned that something not dissimilar to New Orleans is taking place . If 10's or 100's of thousands of frozen pipes are burst , the nightmare has only begun . b.c.
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vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3286 on: February 19, 2021, 12:58:51 AM »
Cruz On Vacation In Mexico as Storm Slams Texas
https://apnews.com/article/ted-cruz-mexico-vacation-amid-storm-b0cdc326db95bf25d93de9e877e05862

... In the meantime, the electricity shortage has broadened to encompass food, water and health crises. Since last Thursday, 16 Texans have died from weather-related circumstances. Some 13.5 million people are facing water disruptions, including millions under boil-water notices -- but how can you boil water without heating it?

Del Rio, in southwest Texas along the border with Mexico, put out an urgent message late Wednesday to residents asking them not to flush their toilets or release any wastewater into the sewer system.

The outages have also led to food shortages as Texans scramble for needed supplies and scrounge for a hot meal.

"Grocery stores are already unable to get shipments of dairy products. Store shelves are already empty," Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller said. "We're looking at a food supply chain problem like we've never seen before, even with Covid-19."

... Infant formula, like clean water and heat - nonexistent

« Last Edit: February 19, 2021, 04:07:04 AM by vox_mundi »
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vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3287 on: February 20, 2021, 06:16:16 PM »
More Than 14 Million Told to Boil Water After Power Failure
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/02/20/biden-declares-major-disaster-in-texas-as-state-struggles-with-fallout-from-power-outages.html

... Millions of Texans have struggled with power outages and more than half the state is experiencing disrupted water service with boil-water notices in effect. More than 14 million people in Texas were told to boil their water as of Friday because parts of the state's water supply might be contaminated.

... Alison Silverstein, an independent energy consultant and former strategic advisor for the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, projected that 20 million or more Texans could be forced to boil water.

... Texas refiners had paused roughly a fifth of the country's oil production during the outages and freezing temperatures.

--------------------------------------------

Frozen Fire Hydrants Hamper Firefighters
https://www.kens5.com/article/news/local/fire-crews-work-to-put-out-massive-apartment-fire-in-north-san-antonio/273-e1bd04c2-78c7-4897-821d-4ae0d5654a5b

Firefighters in San Antonio battled a massive blaze at an apartment complex without the help of hydrants Thursday night. Crews had to bring water to the scene, where fire hydrants were frozen shut.

CBS affiliate KENS-TV showed footage of a fire truck dumping water into a makeshift pool in a parking lot. A different truck would pump water from the pool into hoses.

"There's a hydrant right in front of the building, it's frozen stiff and none of the hydrants out here work, and they're all frozen," Bexar-Bulverde Volunteer Fire Department Chief Jerry Bialick told WOAI-TV.

Bialick told the station firefighters would use thousands of gallons of water in a matter of minutes.

-------------------------------------------

Fire Breaks Out in Texas Hotel as Sprinkler System Fails Due to Frozen Pipes
https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/fire-breaks-texas-hotel-sprinkler-systems-fail-due/story?id=76014008

A massive fire broke out in a hotel in Killeen, Texas, after the building's sprinkler systems failed to work due to frozen pipes.

On Friday night, the Killeen Fire Department arrived at the Hilton Garden Inn hotel in Killeen to find "fire coming from the roof above the fourth floor of the four-story hotel," according to a statement from the fire department.

Seven agencies responded to the fire and were able to control it just after midnight.

"Firefighting efforts were hindered due to automatic sprinkler system being out of service because of frozen pipes," the fire department said.

The hotel was reportedly at full capacity at the time of the fire, and all 102 of its rooms were in use.

Earlier in the day, the City of Killeen tweeted that it was experiencing water conservation conditions like much of the state due to this week's storms. "We are in Stage 5 water conservation due to extremely limited water supply," the city tweeted.
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3288 on: February 20, 2021, 07:38:23 PM »
Quote
NWS Weather Prediction Center (@NWSWPC) 2/20/21, 1:10 PM
... here are two additional maps that show how many consecutive hours any given location (across the Lower 48) observed temperatures at or below 0F and 20F from February 11-17th.

NWS Weather Prediction Center:
To give even more perspective on just how prolonged this arctic outbreak was, here are the 7-day average temperatures (at or below 32F) from February 11-17.
https://twitter.com/nwswpc/status/1363189303292010498

20°F = -7°C
0°F = -18°C
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P-maker

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3289 on: February 21, 2021, 04:35:03 PM »
Excuse me,

Does this third diagram above show me that it was not even freezing in the southern half of Texas during that week?

Shared Humanity

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3290 on: February 21, 2021, 05:08:37 PM »
Excuse me,

Does this third diagram above show me that it was not even freezing in the southern half of Texas during that week?

Mean temperatures for the week.

zufall

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3291 on: February 23, 2021, 07:05:35 AM »
Scott Duncan on Twitter:

Holy smokes! Beijing, China just hit +25.6°C today.

This is a full +5.8° hotter than the record from 1996 and about +20°C warmer than normal for this time of year!

North and South Korea also recorded their hottest February day ever.

https://twitter.com/ScottDuncanWX/status/1363550820214669314?s=20

EDIT: Correction by Duncan: "Pyongyang recorded its hottest February day ever but this is not the hottest day nationally for North Korea."

Aluminium

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3292 on: February 23, 2021, 01:57:51 PM »
Meanwhile, temperature fell below -50°C in Europe.


kassy

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3293 on: February 23, 2021, 02:51:36 PM »
Isn´t that in the Ural mountains?

Meanwhile in the Netherlands today it is once again 15,1 degrees C in The Bilt. This classifies as a soft day and it is the fourth in a row which is a new record for the winter season and also a first since 1901 when the modern meteorological records start. The range will be 5 tomorrow and thursday will probably fall short.

Previous 3 day records:
1998 from 13 to 15 feb
2019 from 25 to 27 feb

https://www.nu.nl/binnenland/6118070/nooit-eerder-werden-in-de-winter-zoveel-zachte-dagen-achter-elkaar-gemeten.html

Þetta minnismerki er til vitnis um að við vitum hvað er að gerast og hvað þarf að gera. Aðeins þú veist hvort við gerðum eitthvað.

Aluminium

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3294 on: February 23, 2021, 03:11:56 PM »
Isn´t that in the Ural mountains?
It's close but still Europe and only 75 meters above sea level. More data. About location.

kassy

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3295 on: February 23, 2021, 03:29:33 PM »
At least i was close.  :)

Ust-Shchuger has a subarctic climate (Dfc) with mild to warm summers and severely cold winters. It holds the European low temperature record of −58.1 °C (−72.6 °F), recorded on December 31, 1978

Interesting place...i still have the impression they profit from location if you go for purely Euro records.

FWIW:
WMO Region II (Asia): Lowest Temperature
Record Value   -67.8°C (-90°F)
Date of Record   (a) 5/2/1892, 7/2/1892
(b) 6/2/1933
Geospatial Location   (a) Verkhoyansk, Russia [67°33'N, 133°23'E, elevation 107 m (350 ft)]
(b) Oimaykon, Russia [63°28'N, 142°23'E, elevation 800m (2625 ft)]

https://wmo.asu.edu/content/asia-lowest-temperature
Þetta minnismerki er til vitnis um að við vitum hvað er að gerast og hvað þarf að gera. Aðeins þú veist hvort við gerðum eitthvað.

GrauerMausling

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3296 on: February 24, 2021, 09:41:06 AM »
In Germany we have a new record - highest temperature increase within 7 days. At one location we had an increase from a low of -23.8 °C to a high of + 18,1 °C = 41.9 °C. The previous biggest increase was 41 °C in 1880.

vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3297 on: March 03, 2021, 03:29:46 PM »
Expect More Extreme Short-Duration Thunderstorms Caused by Global Warming
https://phys.org/news/2021-03-extreme-short-duration-thunderstorms-global.html

New research by Newcastle University has shown that warming temperatures in some regions of the UK are the main drivers of increases in extreme short-duration rainfall intensities, which tend to occur in summer and cause dangerous flash flooding. These intensities are increasing at significantly higher rates than for winter storms.

... The scientists found that rainfall extremes intensify with warming, generally at a rate consistent with increasing atmospheric moisture, which is what would be expected. However, the study has shown that temperature increases in some regions affect short-duration heavy rainfall extremes more than the increase in atmospheric moisture alone, with local feedbacks in convective cloud systems providing part of the answer to this puzzle.

... It is unclear whether storm size will increase or decrease with warming. However, the researchers warn that increases in rainfall intensity and the footprint of a storm can compound to substantially increase the total rainfall during an event.

In recent years, short but significantly heavy rainfall events have caused much disruption across the UK. Recent examples include severe flooding and landslides in August 2020 and damage to the Toddbrook Reservoir, in the Peak District, in August 2019.

Hayley J. Fowler et al. Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment (2021)
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-020-00128-6
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3298 on: March 03, 2021, 07:59:54 PM »
U.S.
Damages from Feb. winter storms could be as high as $155 billion
Quote
Sweeping power outages, hundreds of thousands of insurance claims and millions of impacted residents across the nation are adding up to make the punishing coast-to-coast winter weather in February more costly than the historic 2020 hurricane season — and likely the costliest month of weather impacts in recent history.

AccuWeather on Wednesday upgraded its early estimate of the total damage and economic loss resulting from the brutal cross-country winter weather last month, saying it now expects the damage caused by the deadly February storms — and the cold that followed — to be about $155 billion, with $130 billion in damage and economic losses in Texas alone. That’s up from the $50 billion to $60 billion range AccuWeather estimated previously.

“In February, we saw one of the most intensely cold and stormy patterns of winter weather not seen in decades with extreme record low temperatures and ice spread out across a very large area in multiple states,” said AccuWeather Founder and CEO Dr. Joel N. Myers. “Texas bore the brunt of the impact with significant damage due to citrus crop losses, power outages, water disruption, burst pipes in many of homes and businesses in addition to the loss of life.”

...
In AccuWeather’s damage estimate, the consideration of elements such as food spoilage, lost wages, damaged infrastructure and business and school closures were also factored into the total loss estimate, on top of the insured losses and financial impacts to the economy.

Myers, who has been studying the economic impact of severe weather for over 50 years, said that February’s onslaught of winter storms was “one of the stormiest patterns seen in decades” and added that the damage was exacerbated by record cold that plunged all the way to the Gulf Coast. ...
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/damages-from-feb-snowstorms-could-be-as-high-as-155b/909620/amp
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vox_mundi

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #3299 on: March 06, 2021, 03:56:59 PM »
Texas Power Grid Failure During Winter Storm Uri Mostly Due to Limited Gas Availability for Gas-Fired Power Plants
http://www.ercot.com/content/wcm/lists/226271/Texas_Legislature_Hearings_2-25-2021.pdf



Monday, February 15
Up to an additional ∼24,000 MW net generation unavailable due to extreme weather; loss of generation was 52,277 MW (approximately 48.6%) at the highest point.
20,000 MW peak load shed.
Limited gas availability for gas-fired power plants.
Multiple DC-Tie constraints due to neighboring area emergencies.



Texas power grid capacity outage by fuel type during Winter Storm Uri, 14 February 2021-20 February 2021. Most of the capacity loss was caused by limited gas availability for gas-fired power plants. Graphic: ERCOT

-----------------------------------------

Financial Fallout from the Texas Deep Freeze
https://www.axios.com/texas-electricity-power-storm-d3348da8-e619-4ea7-bde5-26b3ff6f732b.html

Why it matters: In total, electricity companies are billions of dollars short on the post-storm payments they now owe to the state's grid operator. There's no clear path for how they will pay — something being watched closely across the country as extreme weather events become more common.

One example of the massive money effect: Wholesale power prices rose from roughly $50 per megawatt hour to $9,000. As the costs for electric companies rose, resident bills also soared.

What's happening: Electricity providers can't pay the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), which operates the state's power grid, for the power they used.

So ERCOT is now short on what it has to pay power generators.Think of the ERCOT like a clearinghouse. It collects money from electricity providers. It then pays the companies that produce power.

The domino-effect fallout from the massive price spike is still taking shape. Just this week ...

Brazos Electric Power — the state's oldest and largest power company — couldn't pay $1.8 billion of its ERCOT bill and filed for bankruptcy, the first to come as a direct result of the crisis.

Entrust Energy became the second electricity provider to be barred from Texas' power market by ERCOT. It can't pay its bill, either.

Another — Energy Monger — is preparing for the same fate and started offloading customers this week, per Bloomberg.

The unpaid bills to ERCOT, in total: over $2.2 billion.

Between the lines: Regulators said today they aren't going to retroactively reprice electricity costs — even though a watchdog said they overcharged companies by as much as $16 billion, the Texas Tribune reported.

... The worst-case scenario: Residents on the hook for decades.

... the checks in the mail
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― anonymous

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late