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Poll

On what date do you think the Arctic Sea Ice Forum will reach 1 Million page views?

June 20th
1 (4.2%)
June 21st
0 (0%)
June 22nd
0 (0%)
June 23rd
0 (0%)
June 24th
0 (0%)
June 25th
0 (0%)
June 26th
2 (8.3%)
June 27th
3 (12.5%)
June 28th
2 (8.3%)
June 29th
4 (16.7%)
June 30th
2 (8.3%)
July 1st
4 (16.7%)
July 2nd
0 (0%)
July 3rd
2 (8.3%)
July 4th
1 (4.2%)
July 5th
0 (0%)
July 6th
0 (0%)
July 7th
3 (12.5%)

Total Members Voted: 23

Voting closed: July 08, 2013, 07:02:37 PM

Author Topic: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views  (Read 18506 times)

OldLeatherneck

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NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« on: June 08, 2013, 07:02:37 PM »
Due to the fantastic success of this forum in it's first 5 months, it's been exciting to see the participation grow.  Neven is to be complimented and thanked for creating this venue for sharing science, ideas, suggestions and at times our most dire fears.

I thought it was time for a poll that is purely fun for a change.

The winners of the poll should be entitled to receive a coffee mug or a T-shirt, but we don't have any of those, either for sale or give-away!!
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anonymous

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2013, 07:16:40 PM »
Well, given 230.000 views*month⁻¹, I'd say in a month from now. But looking at the stats I wonder when/if a male/female ratio of 1:1 is achievable.  ::)

Neven

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2013, 01:21:09 AM »
Your poll is already having an effect, OLN.  ;) Yesterday the forum had the most page views for one day so far. It was the second time it went over 10K.

I think the average will increase in weeks to come, and so I voted for June 28th.
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OldLeatherneck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2013, 12:56:21 AM »
Your poll is already having an effect, OLN.  ;) Yesterday the forum had the most page views for one day so far. It was the second time it went over 10K.

I think the average will increase in weeks to come, and so I voted for June 28th.

Neven,

I appreciate that you tried to give my poll the credit for the recent increases in readership.  We all know that the popularity of this site is due to the credibility of the vast majority of the commenters as well as the comprehensive "library" of valuable information regarding all things cryospheric.

BTW, neither you or I will win this poll unless you turn of that arctic blender that is currently mushing up the ice in the CAB.  (You need about 12K views/day)

I was going to suggest that the 1 Millionth viewer receive a special gift, however, it might be one of the clowns from WUWT who certainly lurk here from time to time.  Unfortunately, they are not looking for facts, just ammunition to further the  cause of denialism!!
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Neven

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #4 on: June 18, 2013, 08:51:13 AM »
I share your frustration, OLN, but it's best we ignore fake skeptics as much as possible, as they feed on our frustration. If they lurk here, it's because of their perverse attraction to anything that challenges their beliefs. And Arctic sea ice is a challenge that gets bigger and bigger.

Daily page views record was marginally broken again yesterday. I'm expecting things to heat up when the Cliff starts in earnest.
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Neven

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2013, 10:14:53 AM »
Yesterday there were 12K pageviews. My June 28th prediction is a bit sharp, but the 1M should be reached around the end of the month.
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Tor Bejnar

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2013, 05:22:24 PM »
Gosh, 200 more views than votes!
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OldLeatherneck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #7 on: June 20, 2013, 11:08:10 PM »
We're now at 900K+ page views.  Neven might eke out a win on the 28th.  However, either the 29th or 30th will certainly hit the 1,000,000 mark.  Pretty impressive in less than 5 months.

My original vote of the 26th must be blamed on bad math skills.  My back of the envelope calculations were done with an old crayon, on a crumpled paper sack and I may have been sipping my second Leinenkugel.

There would have been more votes if there had been prizes (Ha-Ha).  Also, I just started it to have some fun.  When we vote in the other polls we are debating how fast the ice will melt and what the global impacts will be and what, if anything we can do about it.

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Espen

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2013, 10:49:36 PM »
Yes it is almost Gangnam Style ::)
Have a ice day!

Juan C. García

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #9 on: June 25, 2013, 12:38:42 AM »
I didn´t see this voting poll until now, so I will vote for June 30, knowing that yesterday (June 24) the Forum had a new record of 13683 page views in a single day! Congratulations for the success!
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

BornFromTheVoid

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #10 on: June 25, 2013, 08:53:57 PM »
I didn´t see this voting poll until now, so I will vote for June 30, knowing that yesterday (June 24) the Forum had a new record of 13683 page views in a single day! Congratulations for the success!

I'd say a decent chance of that daily views record being broken again today, already well over 11k.
Might take a while to beat the daily posts record though, 150 back on Feb 21st! Was that the official opening or something?
I recently joined the twitter thing, where I post more analysis, pics and animations: @Icy_Samuel

Juan C. García

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #11 on: June 26, 2013, 09:05:49 PM »
On Neven’s Arctic Sea Ice blog, he formally invited everybody to this Forum on February 20, 2013 at 17:38.
http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2013/02/arctic-sea-ice-forum.html
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

OldLeatherneck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #12 on: June 26, 2013, 09:17:36 PM »
On Neven’s Arctic Sea Ice blog, he formally invited everybody to this Forum on February 20, 2013 at 17:38.
http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2013/02/arctic-sea-ice-forum.html

And I'm proud to say that I joined one Day 1.  I think the members of the Freshman class deserve Beer Mugs......or at least enough brew to fill a few mugs!!
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Lynn Shwadchuck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #13 on: June 26, 2013, 09:41:46 PM »
Shoot, I should have read all these updates before I did my math based on what I thought was a scaled-up-from-the-average daily number.

OLN, with today's laser cutting I bet you could get one beer mug sandblasted with an ASI graphic.http://www.flickr.com/photos/sharbotlakeartstudio/9146648302/#

Can't upload an image here, but I have an eps file that trinkets and trash imprint folks could use.
« Last Edit: June 26, 2013, 10:16:57 PM by Lynn Shwadchuck »
Still living in the bush in eastern Ontario. Gave up on growing annual veggies. Too much drought.

OldLeatherneck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #14 on: June 26, 2013, 10:05:58 PM »

OLN, with today's laser cutting I bet you could get one beer mug sandblasted with an ASI graphic.

That would be a collectors item, for sure.

After the completion of this melt season, I think we (Forum & Blog members) should start marketing ASI memorabilia, wit proceeds going to support the blog and other worthwhile causes......like helping dispossessed Inuits across the arctic.
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Lynn Shwadchuck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #15 on: June 26, 2013, 10:18:45 PM »
Now, that's a plan! I could do one with the September 2013 minimum!
Still living in the bush in eastern Ontario. Gave up on growing annual veggies. Too much drought.

Neven

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #16 on: June 26, 2013, 11:43:23 PM »
It is well known that the faithful receive an Arctic umbrella after a certain time (the Arctic umbrella is a long-running joke on the ASIB).  :D

June 28th is still possible, but the ASIF needs you guys to click a lot of pages tomorrow and the Day After Tomorrow.  ;D
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ccgwebmaster

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #17 on: June 26, 2013, 11:55:06 PM »
It is well known that the faithful receive an Arctic umbrella after a certain time (the Arctic umbrella is a long-running joke on the ASIB).  :D

June 28th is still possible, but the ASIF needs you guys to click a lot of pages tomorrow and the Day After Tomorrow.  ;D

But writing a little piece of code to skew the results by automation would be cheating... right?

OldLeatherneck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #18 on: June 27, 2013, 12:00:20 AM »
It is well known that the faithful receive an Arctic umbrella after a certain time (the Arctic umbrella is a long-running joke on the ASIB).  :D

June 28th is still possible, but the ASIF needs you guys to click a lot of pages tomorrow and the Day After Tomorrow.  ;D

But writing a little piece of code to skew the results by automation would be cheating... right?

I'm getting callouses on my index finger.

I've read topics I'm not interested in.

I've also read topics I'm not smart enough to understand!
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Tor Bejnar

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #19 on: June 27, 2013, 04:05:49 AM »
OLN,
I'm laughing out loud.  I've done almost the same thing yesterday and today, although not for the purpose of getting the forum to 1M.  I haven't noticed where to see how many page views there has been, so I wouldn't know if I wanted to speed up or slow down the rate...
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BornFromTheVoid

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #20 on: June 27, 2013, 01:02:12 PM »

OLN, with today's laser cutting I bet you could get one beer mug sandblasted with an ASI graphic.

That would be a collectors item, for sure.

After the completion of this melt season, I think we (Forum & Blog members) should start marketing ASI memorabilia, wit proceeds going to support the blog and other worthwhile causes......like helping dispossessed Inuits across the arctic.

I first read that as depressed Inuits! Though I suppose the dispossessed ones would likely be depressed too...
I recently joined the twitter thing, where I post more analysis, pics and animations: @Icy_Samuel

Tor Bejnar

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #21 on: June 27, 2013, 08:20:05 PM »
I now know.  Cool stats, although not in my favor.  I'm rooting for Neven, now.
400+ more views than votes, here; have I looked that many times?!

Arctic ice is healthy for children and other living things.
Arctic ice is healthy for children and other living things.

OldLeatherneck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #22 on: June 27, 2013, 10:50:48 PM »
I think Neven can safely make reservations on Saturday evening (29th) to take his wife to a celebratory dinner, marking 1M page views on the ASIF.  On the off chance that his prediction of the 28th does happen (will need 15K+ views) it will be well past midnight in Austria.

Far be it from any of us to tell his wife that he came in second place in the poll.  Since the major media outlets won't be carrying this award ceremony live, his wife might never know.  Also, I'm equally certain this event will not be BREAKING NEWS on the WUWT website.

Anyway, congratulations to Neven  are in order for establishing this wonderful forum!!
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crandles

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #23 on: June 29, 2013, 02:14:45 AM »
voted for 29th now ;)

OldLeatherneck

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2013, 03:12:34 AM »
voted for 29th now ;)

Crandles,

Were it not for how much I respect your knowledge of everything happening in the arctic regions, I would have accused you of cheating on this poll.

The only reason I kept the voting open in the past 24 hours was to see how many clowns would come out and vote when the outcome was obvious.
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Juan C. García

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #25 on: June 29, 2013, 03:40:46 AM »
Congrats, Neven. Today is the day! Great sucess!
« Last Edit: June 29, 2013, 04:55:15 AM by Juan C. García »
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

ccgwebmaster

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #26 on: June 29, 2013, 05:07:07 AM »
The only reason I kept the voting open in the past 24 hours was to see how many clowns would come out and vote when the outcome was obvious.

I voted too. Figured if voting was still open so late on, it was a license to be a clown...

BornFromTheVoid

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #27 on: July 10, 2013, 04:10:25 PM »
New daily views record yesterday and a new users online record today.

The forum... it grows!
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ivica

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #28 on: July 10, 2013, 06:32:50 PM »
Yep, jump of Users Online from sixty-something to 83 is ... big.

ivica

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #29 on: August 01, 2013, 10:17:27 PM »
"Most Online Today: 694. Most Online Ever: 694 (Today at 06:46:13 PM)"
Last record was 101 (2013-07-22).
What happened today, around 6:46 PM ?

Testing: Does mention of "Echelon, Prism...Xkeycore" have something with it.

A 15 min later: Quoted text seems not to be relevant to increase of #Onlines.
« Last Edit: August 01, 2013, 10:47:40 PM by ivica »

Neven

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #30 on: August 01, 2013, 10:30:00 PM »
That can't be right. Dungeon Master will look at it, as soon as he returns to his dungeon.  :)
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ccgwebmaster

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #31 on: August 02, 2013, 12:13:47 AM »
That can't be right. Dungeon Master will look at it, as soon as he returns to his dungeon.  :)

It might be - if the forum was linked to in a news article or similar on a high traffic site or something? Checking the source of the traffic (if you're monitoring) might illuminate matters.

Sometimes the site gives errors, just now:

"Connection Problems
Sorry, SMF was unable to connect to the database. This may be caused by the server being busy. Please try again later. "

First time I saw that one I think - users reported online at the time not high (~30?), other times it's a php error that tends to go away if the page is refreshed.

Neven

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Re: NEW POLL: When Will the Forum Reach 1,000,000 Page Views
« Reply #32 on: August 02, 2013, 12:25:46 AM »
It might be - if the forum was linked to in a news article or similar on a high traffic site or something? Checking the source of the traffic (if you're monitoring) might illuminate matters.

If it was due to a link on a high-traffic site the total page views would have jumped up as well. I don't know if I can monitor traffic like Dungeon Master does.

This happens sometimes on TypePad as well, and then gets corrected automatically a couple of hours later. We'll see what happens.
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