Support the Arctic Sea Ice Forum and Blog

Author Topic: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data  (Read 350027 times)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #600 on: August 01, 2022, 06:25:56 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

July 31st, 2022:
      6,663,392 km2, a drop of -74,768 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #601 on: August 01, 2022, 12:29:50 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,663,392 KM2 as at 31-Jul-2022

- Extent loss on this day 75k, 19 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 56k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 7,731 k, which is 157 k, 2.0% less than the 10 year average of 7,888 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  365 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  907 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  708 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  225 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  567 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  218 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 78.8% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 45 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.54 million km2, 1.36 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 11th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #602 on: August 01, 2022, 05:51:48 PM »
NSIDC Total AREA as at 31-Jul-2022 (5 day trailing average) 4,994,957 KM2         
         
Total Area         
 4,994,957    km2      
 449,174    km2   >   2010's average.
 210,024    km2   >   2021
 1,135,514    km2   >   2020
         
Total Change   -90    k   loss
Peripheral Seas   -11    k   loss
Central Seas___   -79    k   loss
         
Peripheral Regions         
Okhotsk______    0    k   gain
Bering _______   -1    k   loss
Hudson Bay___   -1    k   loss
Baffin  Bay____   -7    k   loss
St Lawrence___    0    k   gain
Greenland____   -2    k   loss
Barents ______   -1    k   loss
         
Central Arctic  Ocean Regions         
Chukchi______   -5    k   loss
Beaufort_____   -1    k   loss
CAA_________    0    k   gain
East Siberian__   -31    k   loss
Central Arctic__   -29    k   loss
Laptev_______   -12    k   loss
Kara_________   -0    k   loss
         
Sea ice area loss on this day 90 k, 21 k more than the last 10 years average loss of 69 k         
         
- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record.         
- Area is 449 k more than the 2010's average         
- Area is 723 k more than 2016         
- Area is 1,136 k more than 2020         
- Area is 210 k more than 2021          
- Area is 910 k more than 2012         
___________________________________________         
NSIDC Total EXTENT as at 31-Jul-2022 (5 day trailing average) 7,042,226 KM2         
         
NSIDC Sea ice EXTENT loss on this day 58 k, 19 k less than the 2010's average loss of 77k         
         
- EXTENT is at position #12 in the satellite record.         
- EXTENT is 208 k more than the 2010's average         
- EXTENT is 244 k more than 2016         
- EXTENT is 945 k more than 2020         
- EXTENT is 404 k more than 2021          
- EXTENT is 11 k less than 2012         
         
click on images to enlarge         
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #603 on: August 01, 2022, 07:19:23 PM »
NSIDC (5-day trailing average) ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  7,042,226 KM2 as at 31-Jul-2022

- Extent loss on this day 58k, 23 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 81k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 7,627 k, which is 267 k, 3% less than the 10 year average of 7,895 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the satellite record

- Extent is  404 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  945 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  746 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  175 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  538 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  208 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 77.3% of extent losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 46 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2021 of 4.72 million km2, 1.33 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.39 million km2.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #604 on: August 01, 2022, 09:30:48 PM »
From JAXA Sea Ice Extent Data - a bit more

Another month gone by - on average now only about 45 days left to minimum with ever-reducing daily sea ice loss.

The July '22 monthly average is 7.93 million km2, 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record. This is 0.62 million km2 above the long-term linear trend, 0.54 million km2 above July '21 which was 3rd lowest in the satellite record.

The 365 day trailing average continues to rise, as it has since April '21. This is simply because 2021 extent was higher than 2020, and 2022 daily extent is mostly higher than 2021.

click images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #605 on: August 02, 2022, 06:03:09 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 1st, 2022:
      6,585,562 km2, a drop of -77,830 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #606 on: August 02, 2022, 11:16:53 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,585,562 KM2 as at 01-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 78k, 17 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 61k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 7,808 k, which is 141 k, 1.8% less than the 10 year average of 7,949 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  335 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  868 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  680 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  264 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  503 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  204 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 79.4% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 44 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.52 million km2, 1.35 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 11th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #607 on: August 02, 2022, 04:12:37 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  4,925,679 KM2 as at 01-Aug-2022

- Area loss on this day 69k, 3 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 72k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 8,148 k, which is 499 k, 6% less than the 10 year average of 8,648 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record

- Area is  210 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  1,130 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  767 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  955 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  454 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 85.9% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 41 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2022 of 3.50 million km2, 1.25 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Stephan

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 2669
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 759
  • Likes Given: 459
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #608 on: August 02, 2022, 09:22:41 PM »
The July 2022 bilan of Arctic Sea Ice Area "relative area wise". July is the strongest melting month. So let's find out in which sea the highest portion melted.
The laggards are
BEAU   - 9%
CAB     - 9%
relatively slow melting in
ESS    -30%
CAA    -33%
CHUK  -35%
medium melt rate in
GRØ    -43%
higher melt rate in
LAP     -59%
The leaders are
BAF     -78%
KAR     -79%
HUD    -88%

Okhotsk, St Lawrence, Bering and Barents not evaluated, they have melted completely.
It is too late just to be concerned about Climate Change

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #609 on: August 03, 2022, 05:53:55 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 2nd, 2022:
      6,514,020 km2, a drop of -71,542 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #610 on: August 03, 2022, 10:24:38 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,514,020 KM2 as at 02-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 72k, 3 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 69k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 7,880 k, which is 138 k, 1.7% less than the 10 year average of 8,018 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  299 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  844 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  661 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  313 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  480 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  203 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 80.1% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 43 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.52 million km2, 1.34 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 11th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #611 on: August 04, 2022, 05:45:26 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 3rd, 2022:
      6,433,267 km2, a drop of -80,753 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #612 on: August 04, 2022, 10:43:09 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,433,267 KM2 as at 03-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 81k, 4 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 85k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 7,961 k, which is 143 k, 1.8% less than the 10 year average of 8,103 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  289 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  820 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  648 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  349 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  523 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  208 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 81.0% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 42 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.53 million km2, 1.35 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 11th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #613 on: August 05, 2022, 06:00:41 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 4th, 2022:
      6,364,926 km2, a drop of -68,341 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #614 on: August 05, 2022, 11:20:28 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,364,926 KM2 as at 04-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 68k, 13 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 81k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,029 k, which is 156 k, 1.9% less than the 10 year average of 8,185 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  350 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  811 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  645 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  328 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  576 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  214 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 81.8% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 41 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.54 million km2, 1.36 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 11th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #615 on: August 06, 2022, 05:45:58 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 5th, 2022:
      6,312,730 km2, a drop of -52,196 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #616 on: August 06, 2022, 09:50:38 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,312,730 KM2 as at 05-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 52k, 24 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 76k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,081 k, which is 179 k, 2.2% less than the 10 year average of 8,261 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  411 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  811 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  700 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  351 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  664 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  234 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 82.5% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 40 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.56 million km2, 1.39 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 11th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #617 on: August 06, 2022, 05:35:52 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  4,620,578 KM2 as at 05-Aug-2022

- Area loss on this day 83k, 21 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 62k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 8,453 k, which is 468 k, 5% less than the 10 year average of 8,922 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record

- Area is  200 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  1,004 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  694 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  1,012 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  419 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 88.6% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 37 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2022 of 3.47 million km2, 1.22 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
In the last 10 days or so daily sea ice area losses at or greater than the 10 year average.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #618 on: August 07, 2022, 06:57:00 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 6th, 2022:
      6,264,198 km2, a drop of -48,532 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #619 on: August 07, 2022, 10:13:32 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,264,198 KM2 as at 06-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 49k, 22 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,130 k, which is 202 k, 2.4% less than the 10 year average of 8,331 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  406 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  775 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  753 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  395 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  770 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  265 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 83.2% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 39 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.59 million km2, 1.41 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 11th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #620 on: August 08, 2022, 05:57:05 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 7th, 2022:
      6,224,330 km2, a drop of -39,868 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #621 on: August 08, 2022, 08:36:52 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,224,330 KM2 as at 07-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 40k, 31 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,170 k, which is 233 k, 2.8% less than the 10 year average of 8,403 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  347 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  765 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  808 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  440 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  849 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  304 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 83.9% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 38 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.62 million km2, 1.44 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #622 on: August 08, 2022, 03:32:49 PM »
NSIDC Total AREA as at 07-Aug-2022 (5 day trailing average) 4,440,987 KM2         
         
Total Area         
 4,440,987    km2      
 349,213    km2   >   2010's average.
 177,163    km2   >   2021
 893,820    km2   >   2020
         
Total Change   -75    k   loss
Peripheral Seas   -4    k   loss
Central Seas___   -71    k   loss
         
Peripheral Regions         
Okhotsk______   -0    k   loss
Bering _______    0    k   gain
Hudson Bay___   -2    k   loss
Baffin  Bay____   -2    k   loss
St Lawrence___    -    k   loss
Greenland____   -0    k   loss
Barents ______   -0    k   loss
         
Central Arctic  Ocean Regions         
Chukchi______   -11    k   loss
Beaufort_____   -23    k   loss
CAA_________   -7    k   loss
East Siberian__   -7    k   loss
Central Arctic__   -14    k   loss
Laptev_______   -4    k   loss
Kara_________   -6    k   loss
         
Sea ice area loss on this day 75 k, 21 k more than the last 10 years average loss of 54 k         
         
- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record.         
- Area is 349 k more than the 2010's average         
- Area is 646 k more than 2016         
- Area is 894 k more than 2020         
- Area is 177 k more than 2021          
- Area is 1,011 k more than 2012         
___________________________________________         
NSIDC Total EXTENT as at 07-Aug-2022 (5 day trailing average) 6,577,961 KM2         
         
NSIDC Sea ice EXTENT loss on this day 44 k, 38 k less than the 2010's average loss of 82k         
         
- EXTENT is at position #12 in the satellite record.         
- EXTENT is 347 k more than the 2010's average         
- EXTENT is 471 k more than 2016         
- EXTENT is 806 k more than 2020         
- EXTENT is 425 k more than 2021          
- EXTENT is 29 k less than 2012         
         
click on images to enlarge         
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #623 on: August 08, 2022, 05:00:44 PM »
& here is an analysis of NSIDC DAILY data in JAXA layout

NSIDC DAILY ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,519,000 KM2 as at 07-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 8k, 73 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 81k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,414 k, which is 423 k, 5% less than the 10 year average of 8,837 k.

- Extent is at position #14 in the satellite record

- Extent is  810 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  1,127 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  553 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  1,052 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  464 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 84.5% of extent losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 39 days to minimum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Extent-1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2021 of 4.76 million km2, 1.42 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.34 million km2.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #624 on: August 09, 2022, 06:15:17 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 8th, 2022:
      6,186,406 km2, a drop of -37,924 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #625 on: August 09, 2022, 10:47:35 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,186,406 KM2 as at 08-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 38k, 47 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 85k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,208 k, which is 280 k, 3.3% less than the 10 year average of 8,488 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  343 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  796 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  852 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  481 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  994 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  354 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 84.8% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 37 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.66 million km2, 1.49 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #626 on: August 09, 2022, 02:45:15 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  4,383,315 KM2 as at 08-Aug-2022

- Area loss on this day 58k, 4 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 54k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 8,691 k, which is 404 k, 4% less than the 10 year average of 9,095 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record

- Area is  203 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  867 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  647 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  1,047 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  344 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 90.3% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 34 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2022 of 3.41 million km2, 1.16 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #627 on: August 10, 2022, 06:11:10 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 9th, 2022:
      6,114,271 km2, a drop of -72,135 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #628 on: August 10, 2022, 07:39:05 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,114,271 KM2 as at 09-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 72k, 11 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 83k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,280 k, which is 291 k, 3.4% less than the 10 year average of 8,570 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  333 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  817 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  875 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  458 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  1,078 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  364 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 85.6% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 36 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.67 million km2, 1.50 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #629 on: August 10, 2022, 02:36:18 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  4,337,608 KM2 as at 09-Aug-2022

- Area loss on this day 46k, 4 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 50k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 8,736 k, which is 408 k, 4% less than the 10 year average of 9,144 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record

- Area is  234 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  838 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  665 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  1,094 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  350 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 90.8% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 33 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2022 of 3.41 million km2, 1.16 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #630 on: August 11, 2022, 05:58:15 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 10th, 2022:
      6,043,005 km2, a drop of -71,266 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #631 on: August 11, 2022, 10:10:33 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  6,043,005 KM2 as at 10-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 71k, 0 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,351 k, which is 291 k, 3.4% less than the 10 year average of 8,642 k.

- Extent is at position #11 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  286 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  782 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  936 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  462 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  1,099 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  374 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 86.3% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 35 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.67 million km2, 1.50 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Brigantine

  • Frazil ice
  • Posts: 345
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 104
  • Likes Given: 345
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #632 on: August 12, 2022, 02:49:10 AM »
Made for Poll-watching. Where are your 2 bins?
« Last Edit: August 12, 2022, 03:16:27 AM by Brigantine »

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #633 on: August 12, 2022, 06:06:15 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 11th, 2022:
      5,994,990 km2, a drop of -48,015 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #634 on: August 12, 2022, 09:17:56 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  5,994,990 KM2 as at 11-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 48k, 19 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 67k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,399 k, which is 309 k, 3.6% less than the 10 year average of 8,708 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  276 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  764 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  995 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  501 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  1,107 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  398 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 87.0% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 34 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.69 million km2, 1.52 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #635 on: August 12, 2022, 08:20:10 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  4,277,066 KM2 as at 11-Aug-2022

- Area loss on this day 32k, 6 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 38k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 8,797 k, which is 434 k, 5% less than the 10 year average of 9,231 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record

- Area is  282 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  817 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  645 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  1,151 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  379 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 91.7% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 31 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2022 of 3.44 million km2, 1.19 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Stephan

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 2669
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 759
  • Likes Given: 459
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #636 on: August 12, 2022, 10:00:39 PM »
I added the monthly extent value for July 2022 into my long-term plot where I calculate the extent anomalies from 1979 up to now.
The average (1979-2022) July extent is now 9.08 M km². July 2022 had an average extent of 8.25 M km², which is 0.83 M km² less than that long-term average.
This month's value was again above the long-term linear trend line (very unusual for a July!). The difference of the actual month from that trend line is +0.40 M km² (calculated from the linear trend line this July should have been at 7.85 M km²).
The slope of the long-term linear trend line has not changed (-0.0536).

See attached graph. Click to enlarge it.
It is too late just to be concerned about Climate Change

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #637 on: August 13, 2022, 05:56:25 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 12th, 2022:
      5,929,649 km2, a drop of -65,341 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #638 on: August 13, 2022, 01:05:56 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  5,929,649 KM2 as at 12-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 65k, 7 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 72k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,464 k, which is 317 k, 3.6% less than the 10 year average of 8,781 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  307 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  745 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  1,016 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  509 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  1,136 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  407 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 87.7% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 33 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.70 million km2, 1.52 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #639 on: August 14, 2022, 06:04:38 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 13th, 2022:
      5,841,763 km2, a drop of -87,886 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

Brigantine

  • Frazil ice
  • Posts: 345
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 104
  • Likes Given: 345
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #640 on: August 14, 2022, 06:35:19 AM »
How the present values compare with past minima: About to crack the bottom 20

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #641 on: August 14, 2022, 11:20:40 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  5,841,763 KM2 as at 13-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 88k, 21 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 67k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,552 k, which is 295 k, 3.3% less than the 10 year average of 8,848 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  282 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  721 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  1,022 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  458 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  1,127 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  393 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 88.4% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 32 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.68 million km2, 1.50 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #642 on: August 14, 2022, 02:27:43 PM »
NSIDC Total AREA as at 13-Aug-2022 (5 day trailing average) 4,181,661 KM2         
         
Total Area         
 4,181,661    km2      
 353,126    km2   >   2010's average.
 260,252    km2   >   2021
 838,909    km2   >   2020
         
Total Change   -52    k   loss
Peripheral Seas   -2    k   loss
Central Seas___   -50    k   loss
         
Peripheral Regions         
Okhotsk______   -1    k   loss
Bering _______   -0    k   loss
Hudson Bay___   -0    k   loss
Baffin  Bay____   -2    k   loss
St Lawrence___    -    k   loss
Greenland____    2    k   gain
Barents ______    0    k   gain
         
Central Arctic  Ocean Regions         
Chukchi______   -5    k   loss
Beaufort_____   -15    k   loss
CAA_________   -18    k   loss
East Siberian__   -9    k   loss
Central Arctic__   -2    k   loss
Laptev_______   -4    k   loss
Kara_________    1    k   gain
         
Sea ice area loss on this day 52 k, 13 k more than the last 10 years average loss of 39 k         
         
- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record.         
- Area is 353 k more than the 2010's average         
- Area is 574 k more than 2016         
- Area is 839 k more than 2020         
- Area is 260 k more than 2021          
- Area is 1,093 k more than 2012         
___________________________________________         
NSIDC Total EXTENT as at 13-Aug-2022 (5 day trailing average) 6,293,479 KM2         
         
NSIDC Sea ice EXTENT loss on this day 76 k, 5 k more than the 2010's average loss of 71k         
         
- EXTENT is at position #14 in the satellite record.         
- EXTENT is 523 k more than the 2010's average         
- EXTENT is 717 k more than 2016         
- EXTENT is 792 k more than 2020         
- EXTENT is 366 k more than 2021          
- EXTENT is 34 k more than 2012         
         
click on images to enlarge         
« Last Edit: August 14, 2022, 02:49:17 PM by gerontocrat »
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #643 on: August 14, 2022, 02:51:54 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  4,181,661 KM2 as at 13-Aug-2022

- Area loss on this day 52k, 13 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 39k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 8,892 k, which is 414 k, 4% less than the 10 year average of 9,306 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record

- Area is  260 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  839 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  574 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  1,093 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  356 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 92.4% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 29 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2022 of 3.42 million km2, 1.17 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #644 on: August 15, 2022, 05:52:12 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 14th, 2022:
      5,793,550 km2, a drop of -48,213 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #645 on: August 15, 2022, 11:29:59 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  5,793,550 KM2 as at 14-Aug-2022

- Extent loss on this day 48k, 7 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 55k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,600 k, which is 302 k, 3.4% less than the 10 year average of 8,903 k.

- Extent is at position #12 in the 44 year satellite record

- Extent is  265 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  754 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  1,025 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  459 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  1,143 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  403 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 88.9% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 31 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2022 of 4.69 million km2, 1.51 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #646 on: August 15, 2022, 06:07:41 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  4,124,714 KM2 as at 14-Aug-2022

- Area loss on this day 57k, 19 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 38k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 8,949 k, which is 395 k, 4% less than the 10 year average of 9,344 k.

- Area is at position #11 in the satellite record

- Area is  217 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  855 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  543 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  1,054 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  332 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 92.8% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 28 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2022 of 3.40 million km2, 1.15 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

  • Young ice
  • Posts: 3359
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 1279
  • Likes Given: 1127
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #647 on: August 16, 2022, 03:33:45 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

August 15th, 2022:

I'm very tired today, so I'm going to bed early. I appreciate if someone else makes the post.

Thank you.
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

Brigantine

  • Frazil ice
  • Posts: 345
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 104
  • Likes Given: 345
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #648 on: August 16, 2022, 06:54:37 AM »
5,764,463
a small decrease of 29,087
« Last Edit: August 16, 2022, 07:07:15 AM by Brigantine »

gerontocrat

  • Multi-year ice
  • Posts: 20656
    • View Profile
  • Liked: 5308
  • Likes Given: 69
Re: 2022 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #649 on: August 16, 2022, 01:03:14 PM »
JAXA sea ice extent - a bit more

The plume of sea ice extent projections still show a fair range - with the vaerge pretty much on 4.75 million km2.

The graph of this melting season's daily sea ice change shows fairly clearly the lack of any major melting events.

The 365 day trailing average sea ice extent shows a continuous increase this year - simply because 2022 extent is consistently above that of 20211. If daily sea ice change continues at the 10 year average it will continue to increase
« Last Edit: August 16, 2022, 01:17:15 PM by gerontocrat »
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)