[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.
June 17th, 2022:
10,098,954 km2, a century break drop of -119,665 km2.
It has been a "not abrupt" but steady decline that has been above average. In the end, the difference with the lowest is only 228K km2. Not much! I am not claiming that 2022 is going to be the lowest in the near future, but is gone the huge gap we had against the leader.
I attach a dusty old graph updated to show daily sea ice change during the melting season for the years 2012, 2020, 2021, 2022 and the 10 year average (JAXA extent data). I have used the 7 day trailing average to more clearly show trends during the year. Even so, the graph still displays short-term large ups and downs in daily change during the season.
2022- the graph shows that unil the end of May, daily sea ice losses were mostly below average, For June so far daily sea ice losses are well above average.
2021 - Apart from a few short periods of above average sea ice loss, daily sea ice losses were around or below the average for the entire melting season.
2020 - There were 4 distinct periods of well above average sea ice losses - in late March, mid-May,
most of July (the big one), and mid to late August. By far the biggest was in July, which ended with a dramatic return to well below average sea ice losses by the beginning of August
2012 - There were 3 significant periods of above average sea ice loss - from the last week in April to the first week in May, dramatically above daily sea ice loss in mid-June, and a period of mostly well above average sea ice losses from late July to end August, with peak losses in early August.
Those 3 events were enough to cause the record low minimum -still a record by far.
Just think what sort of mimimum above average daily sea ice losses for the whole melting season could produce.