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Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #600 on: June 16, 2023, 06:08:58 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 15th, 2023:
       10,503,615 km2, a drop of -63,549 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #601 on: June 16, 2023, 11:09:41 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  10,503,615 KM2 as at 15-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 64k, 1 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 65k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 3,620 k, which is 302 k, 7.7% less than the 10 year average of 3,922 k.

- Extent is 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  184 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  361 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  474 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  316 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  510 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  370 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  219 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 39.8% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 91 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.58 million km2, 1.40 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #602 on: June 16, 2023, 01:07:21 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,912,627 KM2 as at 15-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 79k, 32 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 111k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,021 k, which is 146 k, 3.5% less than the 10 year average of 4,167 k.

- Area is at position #9 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  19 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  92 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  415 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  647 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  90 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 42.0% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 87 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.15 million km2, 0.90 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 10th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #603 on: June 17, 2023, 06:27:06 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 16th, 2023:
       10,425,821 km2, a drop of -77,794 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #604 on: June 17, 2023, 11:32:17 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  10,425,821 KM2 as at 16-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 78k, 12 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 66k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 3,698 k, which is 290 k, 7.3% less than the 10 year average of 3,987 k.

- Extent is 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  207 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  351 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  471 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  277 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  495 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  364 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  209 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 40.5% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 90 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.57 million km2, 1.39 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #605 on: June 17, 2023, 12:58:12 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,876,601 KM2 as at 16-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 36k, 81 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 117k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,057 k, which is 227 k, 5.3% less than the 10 year average of 4,284 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  35 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  225 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  443 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  762 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  174 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 43.1% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 86 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.23 million km2, 0.98 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 11th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #606 on: June 18, 2023, 06:25:15 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 17th, 2023:
       10,391,752 km2, a drop of -34,069 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #607 on: June 18, 2023, 08:58:43 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  10,391,752 KM2 as at 17-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 34k, 27 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 61k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 3,732 k, which is 317 k, 7.8% less than the 10 year average of 4,049 k.

- Extent is 12th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  293 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  365 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  501 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  286 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  521 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  362 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  231 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 41.1% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 89 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.60 million km2, 1.42 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #608 on: June 18, 2023, 02:35:19 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,833,946 KM2 as at 17-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 43k, 70 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 113k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,099 k, which is 297 k, 6.8% less than the 10 year average of 4,397 k.

- Area is at position #14 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  74 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  375 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  488 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  828 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  237 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 44.3% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 85 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.30 million km2, 1.05 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #609 on: June 19, 2023, 05:52:55 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 18th, 2023:
       10,344,924 km2, a drop of -46,828 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #610 on: June 19, 2023, 07:40:30 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  10,344,924 KM2 as at 18-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 47k, 3 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 50k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 3,779 k, which is 320 k, 7.8% less than the 10 year average of 4,099 k.

- Extent is 13th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  306 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  346 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  503 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  308 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  548 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  370 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  241 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 41.6% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 88 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.60 million km2, 1.42 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #611 on: June 19, 2023, 03:31:07 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,780,475 KM2 as at 18-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 53k, 62 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 115k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,153 k, which is 359 k, 7.9% less than the 10 year average of 4,512 k.

- Area is at position #14 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  102 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  507 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  533 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  860 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  289 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 45.4% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 84 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.36 million km2, 1.11 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #612 on: June 19, 2023, 03:34:24 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):

High Arctic Sea ice area 18th lowest in the satellite record.
Peripheral Seas sea ice area 4th lowest in the satellite record.
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #613 on: June 19, 2023, 03:39:09 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):
Hudson Bay melt remains impressive,
Greenland Sea ice area melting faster,
Central Arctic making a strong sea ice area gain from 2nd lowest to 25th lowest in just 3 days.
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

The Walrus

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #614 on: June 19, 2023, 04:34:48 PM »
I suspect that area fluctuation is just the inherent difficulty in deciphering melt ponds, which area measurements tend to treat as open water.  This is a region where extent measurements show better reproducibility. 

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #615 on: June 20, 2023, 06:15:49 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 19th, 2023:
       10,298,395 km2, a drop of -46,529 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #616 on: June 20, 2023, 10:41:52 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  10,298,395 KM2 as at 19-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 47k, 10 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 57k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 3,825 k, which is 331 k, 8.0% less than the 10 year average of 4,156 k.

- Extent is 14th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  310 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  372 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  495 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  326 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  567 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  396 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  257 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 42.2% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 87 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.61 million km2, 1.43 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #617 on: June 20, 2023, 06:45:58 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,708,022 KM2 as at 19-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 72k, 37 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 109k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,225 k, which is 396 k, 8.6% less than the 10 year average of 4,621 k.

- Area is at position #15 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  94 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  596 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  556 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  835 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  317 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 46.5% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 83 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.40 million km2, 1.15 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #618 on: June 21, 2023, 05:48:05 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 20th, 2023:
       10,213,040 km2, a drop of -85,355 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #619 on: June 21, 2023, 11:09:22 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  10,213,040 KM2 as at 20-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 85k, 23 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 62k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 3,911 k, which is 307 k, 7.3% less than the 10 year average of 4,218 k.

- Extent is 13th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  279 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  354 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  461 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  301 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  576 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  407 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  239 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 42.8% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 86 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.59 million km2, 1.41 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #620 on: June 21, 2023, 05:25:26 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,605,647 KM2 as at 20-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 102k, 1 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 103k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,328 k, which is 396 k, 8.4% less than the 10 year average of 4,724 k.

- Area is at position #15 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  57 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  651 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  561 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  801 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  305 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 47.6% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 82 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.40 million km2, 1.15 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #621 on: June 22, 2023, 06:05:19 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 21st, 2023:
       10,100,295 km2, a century break drop of -112,745 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #622 on: June 22, 2023, 09:24:42 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  10,100,295 KM2 as at 21-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 113k, 35 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 78k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,023 k, which is 272 k, 6.3% less than the 10 year average of 4,295 k.

- Extent is 13th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  267 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  328 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  400 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  286 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  529 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  340 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  198 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 43.6% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 85 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.55 million km2, 1.37 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #623 on: June 22, 2023, 09:29:53 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,475,170 KM2 as at 21-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 130k, 36 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 94k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,458 k, which is 359 k, 7.5% less than the 10 year average of 4,818 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  21 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  621 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  541 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  726 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  261 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 48.5% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 81 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.36 million km2, 1.11 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #624 on: June 23, 2023, 05:48:11 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 22nd, 2023:
       I am having problem accessing the ADS-NIPR_VISHOP page.  :(
       Hope they will be back soon.

Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

Eco-Author

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #625 on: June 23, 2023, 08:31:23 PM »
It's up... Says 10.1 - Is that a drop of over 200?? 
Self-sufficiency and Durability to disasters are the absolute keys to nearly any disaster you can think of such as War, economic collapse, pandemics, Global warming, quakes, volcanoes, Hurricanes... all of which put solar farms etc. and power grids at risk!

be cause

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #626 on: June 23, 2023, 09:01:50 PM »
it was 10.1 yesterday (extent) , Does that mean no change ?

  p.s. No change in end date .. 21.06 . Hence no change in figures .
We live in a Quantum universe . Do you live like you do ?

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #627 on: June 23, 2023, 09:42:18 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,358,208 KM2 as at 22-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 117k, 27 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 90k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,575 k, which is 333 k, 6.8% less than the 10 year average of 4,908 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  12 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  551 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  539 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  699 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  237 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 49.4% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 80 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.33 million km2, 1.08 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #628 on: June 24, 2023, 05:44:51 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 22nd, 2023:
       10,019,342 km2, a drop of -80,953 km2.

June 23rd, 2023:
       9,991,137 km2, a drop of -28,205 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #629 on: June 24, 2023, 08:25:06 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  9,991,137 KM2 as at 23-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 28k, 47 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 75k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,132 k, which is 321 k, 7.2% less than the 10 year average of 4,453 k.

- Extent is 14th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  353 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  388 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  454 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  333 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  566 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  381 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  238 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 45.2% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 83 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.60 million km2, 1.42 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #630 on: June 25, 2023, 06:51:30 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 24th, 2023:
       9,928,198 km2, a drop of -62,939 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #631 on: June 25, 2023, 07:35:07 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  9,928,198 KM2 as at 24-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 63k, 14 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 77k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,195 k, which is 335 k, 7.4% less than the 10 year average of 4,530 k.

- Extent is 14th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  389 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  383 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  491 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  330 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  596 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  367 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  251 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 46.0% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 82 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.61 million km2, 1.44 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 13th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #632 on: June 25, 2023, 07:13:30 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,141,840 KM2 as at 24-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 100k, 17 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 83k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,792 k, which is 286 k, 5.6% less than the 10 year average of 5,077 k.

- Area is at position #12 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  40 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  447 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  517 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  663 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  198 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 51.1% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 78 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.29 million km2, 1.04 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
____________________________________________________________
On average just over half the annual melt done by now. Methinks we are nearing "it's now or never" time.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #633 on: June 26, 2023, 05:57:12 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 25th, 2023:
       9,795,066 km2, a century break drop of -133,132 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #634 on: June 26, 2023, 06:02:30 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  9,795,066 KM2 as at 25-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 133k, 61 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 72k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,328 k, which is 274 k, 5.9% less than the 10 year average of 4,602 k.

- Extent is 13th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  324 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  327 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  447 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  291 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  544 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  301 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  191 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 46.7% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 81 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.55 million km2, 1.38 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 12th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #635 on: June 26, 2023, 07:37:57 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  8,062,393 KM2 as at 25-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 79k, 12 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 91k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,871 k, which is 297 k, 5.7% less than the 10 year average of 5,168 k.

- Area is at position #12 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  95 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  436 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  544 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  680 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  217 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 52.0% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 77 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.30 million km2, 1.05 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #636 on: June 27, 2023, 05:43:07 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 26th, 2023:
       9,666,609 km2, a century break drop of -128,457 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #637 on: June 27, 2023, 08:14:04 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  9,666,609 KM2 as at 26-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 128k, 54 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 74k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,457 k, which is 219 k, 4.7% less than the 10 year average of 4,676 k.

- Extent is 13th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  252 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  346 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  375 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  225 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  463 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  278 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  142 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 47.5% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 80 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.50 million km2, 1.32 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 10th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #638 on: June 27, 2023, 08:02:22 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  7,960,510 KM2 as at 26-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 102k, 7 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 95k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 4,973 k, which is 290 k, 5.5% less than the 10 year average of 5,263 k.

- Area is at position #12 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  142 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  437 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  531 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  695 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  216 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 53.0% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 76 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.29 million km2, 1.04 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

etienne

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #639 on: June 28, 2023, 06:17:47 AM »
June 27th
9533026 km2
a drop of 133583 km2

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #640 on: June 28, 2023, 06:29:33 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 27th, 2023:
       9,533,026 km2, a century break drop of -133,583 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #641 on: June 28, 2023, 08:17:54 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  9,533,026 KM2 as at 27-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 134k, 52 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 82k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,591 k, which is 168 k, 3.5% less than the 10 year average of 4,758 k.

- Extent is 11th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  178 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  292 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  289 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  208 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  378 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  197 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  99 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 48.3% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 79 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.45 million km2, 1.27 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 8th lowest in the satellite record
__________________________________
3 days of very high extent losses really makes a difference
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #642 on: June 28, 2023, 04:04:14 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  7,866,649 KM2 as at 27-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 94k, 13 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 107k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 5,067 k, which is 303 k, 5.6% less than the 10 year average of 5,370 k.

- Area is at position #12 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  222 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  462 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  509 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  700 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  232 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 54.1% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 75 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.30 million km2, 1.06 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #643 on: June 29, 2023, 06:02:39 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 28th, 2023:
       9,445,201 km2, a drop of -87,825 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #644 on: June 29, 2023, 07:48:05 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  9,445,201 KM2 as at 28-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 88k, 6 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 94k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,678 k, which is 174 k, 3.6% less than the 10 year average of 4,852 k.

- Extent is 11th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  126 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  286 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  265 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  255 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  361 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  162 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  115 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 49.3% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 78 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.45 million km2, 1.28 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 8th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
« Last Edit: June 29, 2023, 04:43:38 PM by gerontocrat »
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
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gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #645 on: June 29, 2023, 04:45:10 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  7,781,631 KM2 as at 28-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 85k, 20 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 105k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 5,152 k, which is 323 k, 5.9% less than the 10 year average of 5,475 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  303 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  468 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  507 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  727 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  259 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 55.1% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 74 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.32 million km2, 1.08 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #646 on: June 29, 2023, 07:01:38 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):

The contrast between melt in the Peripheral Seas and the High Arctic continues.

High Arctic sea ice area is 16th lowest in the satellite record.
Peripheral Seas sea ice area is 4th lowest in the satellite record.

High Arctic sea ice concentration is 20th lowest in the satellite record at 83.8%.
Peripheral Seas sea ice concentration is 3rd lowest in the satellite record at 49.1%.

It is as if the atmospheric and ocean heat (and sunshine(?) in the Arctic periphery is being blocked from entering the main Arctic Ocean.

"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #647 on: June 30, 2023, 05:59:09 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

June 29th, 2023:
       9,341,320 km2, a century break drop of -103,881 km2.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #648 on: June 30, 2023, 09:59:12 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  9,341,320 KM2 as at 29-Jun-2023

- Extent loss on this day 104k, 7 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 97k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 4,782 k, which is 166 k, 3.4% less than the 10 year average of 4,949 k.

- Extent is 11th lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Extent is  96 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  247 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  291 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  247 k MORE than  2019,
- Extent is  308 k MORE than 2016
- Extent is  177 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  104 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 50.3% of extent losses from maximum to minimum done, and on average 77 days to minimum

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2023 of 4.45 million km2, 1.27 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 3.18 million km2, and 8th lowest in the satellite record
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on images to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2023 Sea ice area and extent data
« Reply #649 on: June 30, 2023, 06:55:21 PM »
NSIDC  ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  7,690,415 KM2 as at 29-Jun-2023

- Area loss on this day 91k, 10 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 101k,
- Area loss from maximum on this date is 5,243 k, which is 333 k, 6.0% less than the 10 year average of 5,576 k.

- Area is at position #12 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  355 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  464 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  499 k MORE than 2016
- Area is  755 k MORE than 2012
- Area is  275 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 56.1% of Area losses  from maximum to minimum done, and 73 days to minimum

Projections.

Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2023 of 3.33 million km2, 1.09 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low maximum of 2.25 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)