FishOutOfWater, I was waiting for the CO2 signal to change in the TAO array. I assume it will change shortly because surface water temperatures have already increased. Is the continuation of the trades affecting upwelling ?
Here is the part of the article I thought relevant
“ The El Niño-CO2 signature should have a significant tropical Pacific Ocean component as well, with opposite sign to the terrestrial response (10, 13, 33). During strong El Niño events, there is a large-scale weakening of the easterly trade winds and suppression of eastern equatorial Pacific upwelling (indicated by a deeper thermocline) that reduces the supply of cold, carbon-rich waters to the surface (Fig. 1). This reduces the usual strong outgassing of CO2 from this region (52–67), typically on the order of ~0.4–0.6 PgC yr−1 to the atmosphere, by ~40–60% during an El Niño event (9–12, 33, 36, 60, 73). If net fluxes were to remain constant elsewhere, these substantial net air-sea CO2 anomalies should lead to a reduction in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, at least during the early stages of El Niño.”
