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gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #50 on: January 15, 2024, 03:49:55 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,141,664 KM2 as at 14-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 8k, which is 34 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 42k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,473 k, which is 849 k, 9.9% more than the 10 year average of 8,624 k.

- Area is at position #16 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  48 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  666 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  196 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  1,041 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  755 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  364 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 87.3% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 55 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.39 million km2, 0.76 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #51 on: January 16, 2024, 06:36:04 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 15th, 2024:
       13,351,931 km2, an increase of 34,365 km2.
       2024 is 19th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #52 on: January 16, 2024, 10:52:37 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,351,931 KM2 as at 15-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 34k which is 30 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 64k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,216 k, which is 674 k, 7.9% more than the 10 year average of 8,542 k.

- Extent is 19st lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  553 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  186 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  349 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  337 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  723 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  931 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  144 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,124 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  399 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 87.1% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 49 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.61 million km2, 0.74 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 16th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #53 on: January 16, 2024, 05:34:43 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,128,633 KM2 as at 15-Jan-2024

- Area loss on this day 13k, which is 51 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 38k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,460 k, which is 798 k, 9.2% more than the 10 year average of 8,662 k.

- Area is at position #15 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  98 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  590 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  126 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  1,032 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  795 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  312 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 87.7% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 54 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.34 million km2, 0.71 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #54 on: January 16, 2024, 05:38:21 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):

Attached are graphs & tables of the High Arctic & Peripheral seas.
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #55 on: January 17, 2024, 06:12:39 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 16th, 2024:
       13,366,226 km2, an increase of 14,295 km2.
       2024 is 19th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #56 on: January 17, 2024, 09:31:37 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,366,226 KM2 as at 16-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 14k which is 48 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 62k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,230 k, which is 627 k, 7.3% more than the 10 year average of 8,603 k.

- Extent is 19st lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  486 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  151 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  281 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  303 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  702 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  869 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  243 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,152 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  371 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 87.8% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 48 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.57 million km2, 0.69 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 16th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #57 on: January 17, 2024, 05:59:13 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,101,079 KM2 as at 16-Jan-2024

- Area loss on this day 28k, which is 65 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 37k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,432 k, which is 733 k, 8.4% more than the 10 year average of 8,699 k.

- Area is at position #14 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  144 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  495 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  56 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  1,000 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  847 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  251 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 88.1% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 53 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.27 million km2, 0.64 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #58 on: January 18, 2024, 05:49:31 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 17th, 2024:
       13,382,734 km2, an increase of 16,508 km2.
       2024 is 19th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #59 on: January 18, 2024, 02:23:37 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,382,734 KM2 as at 17-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 17k which is 29 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 46k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,247 k, which is 598 k, 6.9% more than the 10 year average of 8,649 k.

- Extent is 19st lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  439 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  125 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  231 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  263 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  708 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  779 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  295 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,178 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  364 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 88.2% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 47 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.54 million km2, 0.66 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 16th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #60 on: January 18, 2024, 05:10:48 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,089,156 KM2 as at 17-Jan-2024

- Area loss on this day 12k, which is 54 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 42k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,420 k, which is 679 k, 7.8% more than the 10 year average of 8,741 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  166 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  420 k MORE than 2021,
- Area is  16 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  957 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  883 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  204 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 88.5% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 52 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.22 million km2, 0.59 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #61 on: January 19, 2024, 05:23:57 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 18th, 2024:
       13,367,219 km2, a drop of -15,515 km2.
       2024 is 19th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #62 on: January 19, 2024, 12:46:20 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,367,219 KM2 as at 18-Jan-2024

- Extent loss on this day 16k which is 48 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 32k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,231 k, which is 550 k, 6.3% more than the 10 year average of 8,681 k.

- Extent is 19st lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  399 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  80 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  192 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  193 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  666 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  721 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  272 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,238 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  327 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 88.5% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 46 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.49 million km2, 0.61 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 15th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #63 on: January 19, 2024, 06:44:37 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,108,242 KM2 as at 18-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 19k, which is 22 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 41k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,440 k, which is 658 k, 7.5% more than the 10 year average of 8,782 k.

- Area is at position #11 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  203 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  182 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  6 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  956 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  895 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  193 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 88.9% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 51 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.20 million km2, 0.57 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 13th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #64 on: January 20, 2024, 04:54:17 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 19th, 2024:
       13,344,617 km2, a drop of -22,602 km2.
       2024 is now 17th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #65 on: January 20, 2024, 10:12:40 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,344,617 KM2 as at 19-Jan-2024

- Extent loss on this day 23k which is 60 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 37k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,209 k, which is 490 k, 5.6% more than the 10 year average of 8,718 k.

- Extent is 17th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  370 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  39 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  215 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  84 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  619 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  576 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  220 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,310 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  262 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 88.9% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 45 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.43 million km2, 0.55 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 13th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #66 on: January 20, 2024, 06:14:19 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,131,227 KM2 as at 19-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 23k, which is 15 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 38k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,463 k, which is 643 k, 7.3% more than the 10 year average of 8,820 k.

- Area is at position #10 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  192 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  184 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  5 k LESS than 2020,
- Area is  951 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  898 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  187 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 89.3% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 50 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.18 million km2, 0.55 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 13th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #67 on: January 21, 2024, 10:36:00 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,420,157 KM2 as at 20-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 76k which is 50 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 26k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,284 k, which is 540 k, 6.2% more than the 10 year average of 8,745 k.

- Extent is 19th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  427 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  91 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  299 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  128 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  720 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  551 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  243 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,275 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  307 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 89.2% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 44 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.48 million km2, 0.60 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 15th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #68 on: January 21, 2024, 02:20:57 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,173,990 KM2 as at 20-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 43k, which is 4 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 39k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,505 k, which is 647 k, 7.3% more than the 10 year average of 8,858 k.

- Area is at position #11 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  194 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  156 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  4 k LESS than 2020,
- Area is  952 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  880 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  200 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 89.7% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 49 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.19 million km2, 0.56 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 13th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #69 on: January 22, 2024, 05:06:41 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 21st, 2024:
       13,522,414 km2, a century break increase of 102,257 km2.
       2024 is now 17th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #70 on: January 22, 2024, 01:34:00 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,522,414 KM2 as at 21-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 102k which is 60 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 42k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,386 k, which is 599 k, 6.8% more than the 10 year average of 8,787 k.

- Extent is 19th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  500 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  106 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  365 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  190 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  841 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  548 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  250 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,222 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  372 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 89.6% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 43 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.54 million km2, 0.66 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 16th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #71 on: January 22, 2024, 03:27:29 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,234,119 KM2 as at 21-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 60k, which is 20 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 40k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,565 k, which is 667 k, 7.5% more than the 10 year average of 8,898 k.

- Area is at position #11 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  238 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  133 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  1 k LESS than 2020,
- Area is  954 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  850 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  230 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 90.1% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 48 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.21 million km2, 0.58 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 13th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #72 on: January 23, 2024, 05:06:10 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 22nd, 2024:
       ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA) has not updated the data.

Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #73 on: January 23, 2024, 11:47:18 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,579,190 KM2 as at 22-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 57k which is 9 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 48k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,443 k, which is 608 k, 6.9% more than the 10 year average of 8,835 k.

- Extent is 18th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  539 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  30 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  367 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  197 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  893 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  576 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  219 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,211 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  391 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 90.1% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 42 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.55 million km2, 0.67 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 16th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #74 on: January 23, 2024, 12:51:14 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,304,035 KM2 as at 22-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 70k, which is 30 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 40k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,635 k, which is 697 k, 7.8% more than the 10 year average of 8,938 k.

- Area is at position #14 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),  of which 1 year(s) is before the year 2000 (1996)

- Area is  308 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  104 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  2 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  931 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  824 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  268 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 90.5% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 47 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.24 million km2, 0.61 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #75 on: January 24, 2024, 12:23:29 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,617,026 KM2 as at 23-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 38k which is 11 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 49k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,481 k, which is 596 k, 6.7% more than the 10 year average of 8,885 k.

- Extent is 18th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  558 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  37 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  337 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  145 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  895 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  536 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  213 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,218 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  390 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 90.6% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 41 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.54 million km2, 0.66 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 16th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #76 on: January 24, 2024, 03:27:33 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,368,750 KM2 as at 23-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 65k, which is 25 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 40k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,700 k, which is 722 k, 8.0% more than the 10 year average of 8,978 k.

- Area is at position #14 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),  of which 1 year(s) is before the year 2000 (1996)

- Area is  368 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  49 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  2 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  877 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  797 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  301 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 90.9% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 46 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.26 million km2, 0.63 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #77 on: January 25, 2024, 05:04:23 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 24th, 2024:
       13,636,070 km2, an increase of 19,044 km2.
       2024 is now 17th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #78 on: January 25, 2024, 01:47:07 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,636,070 KM2 as at 24-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 19k which is 9 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 28k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,500 k, which is 587 k, 6.6% more than the 10 year average of 8,913 k.

- Extent is 17th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  556 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  126 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  327 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  144 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  835 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  464 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  216 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,229 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  361 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 90.9% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 40 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.53 million km2, 0.65 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 16th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #79 on: January 25, 2024, 02:06:21 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,432,259 KM2 as at 24-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 63k, which is 26 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 37k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,764 k, which is 748 k, 8.3% more than the 10 year average of 9,015 k.

- Area is at position #18 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),  of which 1 year(s) is before the year 2000 (1996)

- Area is  446 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  12 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  15 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  830 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  779 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  339 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 91.3% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 45 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.29 million km2, 0.66 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #80 on: January 26, 2024, 11:30:31 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,611,311 KM2 as at 25-Jan-2024

- Extent loss on this day 25k which is 46 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 21k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,475 k, which is 541 k, 6.1% more than the 10 year average of 8,934 k.

- Extent is 17th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  505 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  139 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  289 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  84 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  797 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  395 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  192 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,281 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  297 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 91.1% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 39 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.48 million km2, 0.60 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 15th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #81 on: January 26, 2024, 01:28:32 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,486,152 KM2 as at 25-Jan-2024

- Area gain on this day 54k, which is 25 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 29k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,817 k, which is 773 k, 8.5% more than the 10 year average of 9,044 k.

- Area is at position #18 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),  of which 1 year(s) is before the year 2000 (1996)

- Area is  530 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  89 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  34 k MORE than 2020,
- Area is  793 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  763 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  364 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 91.6% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 44 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.31 million km2, 0.68 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #82 on: January 27, 2024, 05:49:54 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 26th, 2024:
       13,565,013 km2, a drop of -46,298 km2.
       2024 is now 16th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #83 on: January 27, 2024, 10:59:39 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,565,013 KM2 as at 26-Jan-2024

- Extent loss on this day 46k which is 52 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 6k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,429 k, which is 489 k, 5.5% more than the 10 year average of 8,940 k.

- Extent is 16th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  443 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  67 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  228 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  2 k MORE than 2020,
- Extent is  752 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  426 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  129 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,362 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  237 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 91.2% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 38 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.43 million km2, 0.55 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 13th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #84 on: January 28, 2024, 05:19:55 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 27th, 2024:
       13,543,913 km2, a drop of -21,100 km2.
       2024 is now 15th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #85 on: January 28, 2024, 10:01:32 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,543,913 KM2 as at 27-Jan-2024

- Extent loss on this day 21k which is 28 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 7k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,408 k, which is 461 k, 5.1% more than the 10 year average of 8,947 k.

- Extent is 15th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  413 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  22 k MORE than 2022,
- Extent is  164 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  26 k LESS than 2020,
- Extent is  747 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  466 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  89 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,427 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  208 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 91.3% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 37 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.40 million km2, 0.52 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 13th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #86 on: January 28, 2024, 01:48:51 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,487,773 KM2 as at 27-Jan-2024

- Area loss on this day 10k, which is 28 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 18k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,819 k, which is 735 k, 8.1% more than the 10 year average of 9,084 k.

- Area is at position #15 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),  of which 1 year(s) is before the year 2000 (1996)

- Area is  525 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  147 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  0 k LESS than 2020,
- Area is  734 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  821 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  318 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 92.0% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 42 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.28 million km2, 0.65 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #87 on: January 28, 2024, 01:57:16 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):

Summary graphs & tables of sea ice area in the High Arctic & the Peripheral Seas atached.

The Atlantic Front has been very active this month, with high sea ice gains in the Greenland & Barents Seas now followed by steep declines. This is also affecting sea ice in the Central Arctic. See graphs in next post

In a weeks time we should be able to see from PIOMAS / Steven the ice export from the Fram into the Greenland sea & a good idea of ice export into the Barents.
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #88 on: January 28, 2024, 01:59:58 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):

Graphs of the seas on the Atlantic Front attached.

Also of the St Lawrence. Maybe we will see another nail in the coffin of winter sea ice there.

ps: LibreOffice giving me problems on displaying graph images again.
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
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Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #89 on: January 29, 2024, 05:02:35 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 28th, 2024:
       13,540,136 km2, a drop of -3,777 km2.
       2024 is now 14th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #90 on: January 29, 2024, 01:02:50 PM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,540,136 KM2 as at 28-Jan-2024

- Extent loss on this day 4k which is 28 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 24k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,404 k, which is 433 k, 4.8% more than the 10 year average of 8,972 k.

- Extent is 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  391 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  63 k LESS than 2022,
- Extent is  132 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  53 k LESS than 2020,
- Extent is  702 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  436 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  89 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,479 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  192 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 91.5% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 36 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.37 million km2, 0.49 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 11th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #91 on: January 29, 2024, 02:17:20 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,473,352 KM2 as at 28-Jan-2024

- Area loss on this day 14k, which is 26 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 12k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,805 k, which is 709 k, 7.8% more than the 10 year average of 9,096 k.

- Area is at position #14 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  488 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  148 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  37 k LESS than 2020,
- Area is  732 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  854 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  282 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 92.1% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 41 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.25 million km2, 0.62 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #92 on: January 30, 2024, 05:28:41 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 29th, 2024:
       13,519,317 km2, a drop of -20,819 km2.
       2024 is now 12th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #93 on: January 30, 2024, 09:59:06 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,519,317 KM2 as at 29-Jan-2024

- Extent loss on this day 21k which is 51 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 30k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,383 k, which is 382 k, 4.2% more than the 10 year average of 9,002 k.

- Extent is 12th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  389 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  178 k LESS than 2022,
- Extent is  91 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  106 k LESS than 2020,
- Extent is  624 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  396 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  73 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,531 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  144 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 91.8% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 35 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.32 million km2, 0.44 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 11th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #94 on: January 30, 2024, 02:49:24 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,457,201 KM2 as at 29-Jan-2024

- Area loss on this day 16k, which is 35 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 19k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,788 k, which is 674 k, 7.4% more than the 10 year average of 9,115 k.

- Area is at position #13 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  434 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  110 k MORE than 2022,
- Area is  97 k LESS than 2020,
- Area is  732 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  894 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  242 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 92.3% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 40 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.22 million km2, 0.58 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 14th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Juan C. García

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #95 on: January 31, 2024, 05:15:00 AM »
[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

January 30th, 2024:
       13,558,754 km2, an increase of 39,437 km2.
       2024 is 12th lowest on record.

For comments, see the first post in this thread.
Source: https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #96 on: January 31, 2024, 09:48:14 AM »
JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT:  13,558,754 KM2 as at 30-Jan-2024

- Extent gain on this day 39k which is 7 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 46k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 9,423 k, which is 376 k, 4.2% more than the 10 year average of 9,047 k.

- Extent is 12th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.

- Extent is  457 k MORE than 2023,
- Extent is  200 k LESS than 2022,
- Extent is  81 k MORE than 2021,
- Extent is  128 k LESS than 2020,
- Extent is  593 k MORE than  2018,
- Extent is  378 k MORE than 2017
- Extent is  106 k MORE than 2012
- Extent is  1,519 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Extent is  143 k MORE than the 2010's Average.

On average 92.3% of extent gains from minimum to maximum done, and 34 days to maximum.

Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)

Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 14.32 million km2, 0.44 million km2 above the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 11th lowest in the satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #97 on: January 31, 2024, 07:20:51 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,418,041 KM2 as at 30-Jan-2024

- Area loss on this day 40k, which is 72 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 32k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 9,749 k, which is 603 k, 6.6% more than the 10 year average of 9,147 k.

- Area is at position #11 in the satellite record (#1=lowest),

- Area is  350 k MORE than 2023,
- Area is  8 k LESS than 2022,
- Area is  196 k LESS than 2020,
- Area is  684 k MORE than 2017
- Area is  955 k LESS than the 1980’s Average
- Area is  174 k MORE than the 2010's Average
_____________________________________________
On average 92.6% of Area gains from minimum to maximum done, and 39 days to maximum

Projections. (Table NSIDC-Arctic-Area-1)

Average remaining Area gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2024 of 13.14 million km2, 0.51 million km2 above the March 2016 record low maximum of 12.63 million km2, and 12th lowest in the 45 year satellite record.
_______________________________________________________________
N.B. Click on image to enlarge
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #98 on: January 31, 2024, 07:22:32 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):

Summary graphs & tables attached
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

gerontocrat

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Re: 2024 Arctic Sea ice area & extent data
« Reply #99 on: January 31, 2024, 07:26:11 PM »
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):

Sea ice area loss mostly about southerly winds into the Atlantic Front.
Looks likely that in a few days wind direction will reverse, ice export then resuming.
"I wasn't expecting that quite so soon" kiwichick16
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)