Berkeley Earth global mean through April 2020. The 1860-1910 mean is -0.36°C. The end point of the 20-year trend in 2020 is 0.90°C. That’s a total of 1.26°C warming(of course a little more with some AGW prior to 1860).
Current trend is 0.21°C per decade. That conservatively puts us at +1.5°C in less than 12 years. IPCC and supporting impacts use 20 year means. So single years or months is incorrect to say “we’ve already past 1.5°C.”
CO2.Earth have it around 1.26 C in 2015, add another 0.10 C, 5 years later and we could be around 1.36 C or more today! The Lockdowns lowering the Aerosol masking effect, we might be approaching 1.5 C this year. Europe land temperatures are over 2 C where we grow the food. The next El Nino could blow the doors off.
The 1.5 C 2015 Paris agreement is looking more George Orwell each year.
But actually, he thought as he re-adjusted the Ministry of Plenty's figures, it was not even forgery. It was merely the substitution of one piece of nonsense for another. Most of the material that you were dealing with had no connexion with anything in the real world, not even the kind of connexion that is contained in a direct lie. Statistics were just as much a fantasy in their original version as in their rectified version. A great deal of the time you were expected to make them up out of your head. For example, the Ministry of Plenty's forecast had estimated the output of boots for the quarter at one-hundred-and-forty-five million pairs. The actual output was given as sixty-two millions. Winston, however, in rewriting the forecast, marked the figure down to fifty-seven millions, so as to allow for the usual claim that the quota had been overfulfilled. In any case, sixty-two millions was no nearer the truth than fifty-seven millions, or than one-hundred-and-forty-five millions. Very likely no boots had been produced at all. Likelier still, nobody knew how many had been produced, much less cared. All one knew was that every quarter astronomical numbers of boots were produced on paper, while perhaps half the population of Oceania went barefoot. And so it was with every class of recorded fact, great or small. Everything faded away into a shadow-world in which, finally, even the date of the year had become uncertain.