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Sigmetnow

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2750 on: October 04, 2018, 02:55:03 PM »
IEA chief says big producers are failing to keep oil prices in check
Quote
The head of the International Energy Agency is calling on oil producing countries to ramp up output further, saying raises in recent months had failed to rein in crude prices.
...
Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, has risen to a four-year high of $86 a barrel this week — up almost $9 since the beginning of September.  This comes even as Khalid Al Falih, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, said oil output has reached 10.7m barrels a day — equal to its highest level on record. Russia too has pledged further increases to its output, which has already reached a post-Soviet record of close to 11.4m b/d.

Oil prices have been rising as US sanctions against Iran’s energy sector already curb imports from the Opec nation, even before the restrictions formally take effect in November.  Energy traders and analysts have raised questions about the ability of big producers to compensate for losses not just from Iran but Venezuela too, where production is spiralling lower.

US president Donald Trump has blasted Opec countries on Twitter, demanding they raise production to keep prices in check. The US like other big consumer countries is worried about the impact on domestic fuel prices.

While oil producer countries might benefit from higher prices today as their governments earn more from energy exports, Mr Birol said these levels will ultimately hurt consumer nations.  “Higher energy prices might seem to be good news for exporters today but tomorrow it will hurt their economies as well because of lower demand growth,” said Mr Birol.

Big buyers of foreign oil, including emerging economies in Asia, were already under currency pressure, meaning it is more expensive to import crude.  Mr Birol said his hope was that global producers such as Saudi Arabia, Russia and others inside and outside the Opec cartel would be able to adequately raise production.

But Mr Birol acknowledged that “the energy market today is very different to several years ago”. The last time Saudi Arabia was at 10.7m b/d was in November 2016 when prices were below $60 a barrel.  This suggests he believes any impact from higher production could be limited. ...
https://www.ft.com/content/08e36182-c7c9-11e8-ba8f-ee390057b8c9
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Buddy

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2751 on: October 04, 2018, 04:36:39 PM »
Quote
While oil producer countries might benefit from higher prices today as their governments earn more from energy exports, Mr Birol said these levels will ultimately hurt consumer nations.  “Higher energy prices might seem to be good news for exporters today but tomorrow it will hurt their economies as well because of lower demand growth,” said Mr Birol.

Already happening.  Asia has been on a steeper slowdown over the past couple of years ..... and the US economy PEAKED last fall (about a year ago).  US continues on a mild slowdown .... but things like TARIFFS and HIGH OIL PRICES will increase the rate of the slowdown.

A tariff is basically a TAX PAID BY CONSUMERS ..... and higher oil prices WORK JUST LIKE A TAX ON ALL CONSUMERS.  So the economy will take a hit.... it is BAKED INTO THE CAKE WE WILL EAT TOMMORROW (coming months).

China isn't going to do anything to lower tariffs on the US until AFTER the US election.  And if Donnie thinks China is just going to "roll over" ..... I have a downhill ski resort next to Mar a Lago I will sell him.   ;)

A couple of other "interesting things" I am watching:  (1) Shanghai market is closed all week for a holiday this week and won't reopen until this coming Monday.  There is a significant chance that Shanghai (Chinese) markets take a "hit" with the ongoing tariff battles with the US. Early this year I said one of the things to watch was a likely "downturn" in the US and China that may bottom out by mid October.  Well..... that "timing" was NOT a good call (because we certainly haven't bottomed)... but I expect the US market to head south as well as the Chinese market in coming months.

(2)  Coal looks like it is putting in an "intermediate high" (which is actually a INTERMEDIATE COUNTER TREND RALLY UP within a LONG TERM TREND DOWN.

That is "normal" for commodities .... especially oil and coal .... to weaken as economies weaken.

Still looking to win my bet with my friend regarding Exxon/Mobil stock call of $60 before $90...

 





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Buddy

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2752 on: October 04, 2018, 06:46:01 PM »
This could be filed in the "Gee ... no kidding?" file.  Investment banks are NOT exactly the most "prophetic" companies on the planet (there is a reason for that .... but I won't go into that here).

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/jpmorgan-now-forecasting-trade-war-140253587.html

JPMorgan initiated a new base case for the trade war — tariffs on all trade flowing between China and the USA.

Quote
"A full-blown trade war becomes our new base case scenario for 2019," a note from analysts including Pedro Martins Junior and Rajiv Batra said.
This, alongside domestic factors, could push Chinese stocks lower.

The Trump administration is likely to proceed with tariffs on all China's imports into the US by some point next year, according to an analysis by JPMorgan published this week. If the prediction comes true, it could spell trouble for Chinese stock markets.

"We now assume US-China trade war enters Phase III in 2019, resulting in tariffs on all +$500bn of imports from China," the note, by analysts including Pedro Martins Junior and Rajiv Batra, said.

So far, the Trump administration has placed tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, affecting more than 5,000 products. The president has made clear he is willing to "Go to 500" — a colloquial term for placing tariffs on all goods imported to the US from China.
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etienne

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2753 on: October 04, 2018, 07:23:05 PM »
Well, high prices are probably a sign of peak oil. At the current price, I'm pretty sure that producing countries produce as much as they can. High prices mean :
- new cars have smaller motors or are EV, and they will stay on the road for 10 years
- people will prefer an heat pump to an oil heating, and it stays for 20 years
- some business go bankrupt because of the high oil prices, and they don't come back
- companies get used to video conferences instead of air flight (can you imagine that Nestle already had factories in the US and in Australia before WWII ? I wonder how they could manage that without internet, without fax, without air travel...)
- people insulate their houses, and insulation will stay for 20 years
and so on.

There was a comment that the 1974 oil crisis delayed the peak oil because it was a start for energy efficiency and countries diversified their energy sources.

Tar sand and shale oil is another delay stuff, but it require so much energy, water... that it can't grow as fast as conventional oil will sometimes go down. Maybe you heard of the Seneca Cliff, it's the idea that it takes much more time to build something than to look it go down. Typical example are Kodak, Panam... Peak oil could work the same way. The sad thing with tar sand and shale oil is that there is enough oil to support climate change, but coal also does the job.

Many people believe in peak demand, not me because of Jevons paradox. Oil is such a dense energy source that it will be used until the last drop. The only way to fight Jevons paradox is to have prices growing faster than efficiency.

There was a comment that production and consumption grow very close to one another. This is very normal because storage is complicated. Overproduction reduces prices which increases consumption, underproduction increases prices which reduces consumption. If you make a graph to compare prices and production, you really see that extra production comes to late to enjoy high prices.

etienne

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2754 on: October 04, 2018, 07:25:56 PM »
Extra comment, shale oil and tar sand react faster when prices go up and down.

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2755 on: October 05, 2018, 09:52:20 PM »

Sigmetnow

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2756 on: October 06, 2018, 05:07:12 PM »
Tesla big battery claims its first major fossil fuel victim
October 5
Quote
Elon Musk’s crusade to rid the world of fossil fuels and lead the transition to clean energy took a small but significant step forward this week, when the Australian Energy Market Operator decided to put an end to a market that has been rorted outrageously by fossil fuel generators in recent years.

It’s a highly technical change in the complex world of managing Australia’s largest machine – the electricity grid. But it is significant, because it highlights just how quickly new technologies such as batteries are changing the way grids are being managed, and making them smarter, faster, cleaner, and cheaper.

Decades-old assumptions about how the grid should be managed, using old technologies, are now being challenged. And some of the market rorts built up over time by the energy incumbents are slowly being swept away (hopefully not to be replaced by new ruses invented by new players).

AEMO advised energy market players this week that it was bringing to an end the three-year-old requirement for 35MW of local regulation frequency and ancillary services to be provided in South Australia when there was risk of the state’s grid separating from the rest of the national grid.

This contingency was introduced in late 2015, and was designed to ensure, says Christian Schaefer, AEMO’s head of system capability, that the state’s grid – with a high percentage of renewables – could operate safely and securely by itself. Such isolation events were expected to be frequent given the planned upgrades and maintenance of the main link to Victoria.

Until the Tesla big battery was put into service last December, that market had been rorted outrageously by the previous sole providers of FCAS – several major gas generators – who ensured the price of FCAS in that state rose nearly 100-fold to the market cap of $14,000/MWh when AEMO made the precautionary call for local back up.

That would send the cost of FCAS for such events up to $6 million a day. It happened almost every time the constraint was imposed and total costs from several dozen such events totalled $109 million in 2016 and 2017, with the costs passed on to wind farms and other big energy consumers.

That was until the Tesla big battery arrived and smashed the gas cartel, because it meant that the gas generators could no longer control the price of that service.


The total cost in 2018 is projected by AEMO to be just $3.6 million. That also reflects a big decline in the number of occasions that the constraint was imposed, but also because the presence of the battery means prices can’t be gamed when it is imposed.

Now it seems that AEMO is satisfied that the presence of the Tesla big battery, along with its new system strength rules to ensure a minimum amount of gas generation at any one time, means that it no longer needs to impose the market constraint. In effect, the Tesla big battery spoiled the party, and now the party is over. ...
https://reneweconomy.com.au/tesla-big-battery-claims-its-first-major-fossil-fuel-victim-30614/

Cross-post in Battery thread.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2757 on: October 09, 2018, 09:21:30 PM »
Why batteries will lead to the death of oil.

“This Tesla effect is a major trend and has really changed consumers’ perception of things that are battery driven and their capabilities.”

The ‘Tesla Effect’ is starting to extend from legacy carmakers to the oil industry
Quote
“Essentially, the big issue is the so-called “Tesla Effect,” the general “End of the Oil Age” theme that is a problem for these (oil) stocks. As the oil price goes up, especially to the levels we’re at now and potentially beyond, it’s almost as if the Tesla Effect could be exacerbated by the potential for higher oil prices to accelerate the end of the Oil Age. The Tesla Effect is the overall concept that (while) the 20th century was driven by oil, the 21st century will be driven by electricity. There’s a 30-year transition, and were somewhere probably 10 years into that transition. Ultimately, (the) terminal value of oil has been severely affected by the potential for us to change behavior,” the analyst said. ...
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-effect-legacy-carmakers-oil-industry/
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TerryM

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2758 on: October 10, 2018, 02:13:15 AM »
Oilprice says that the plastics industry is ramping up and oil as a feedstock for the chemical industry will be increasing even as oil for transportation is tapering down.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Next-Pillar-Of-Oil-Demand-Growth.html

Don't sell those shares of Exxon just yet.
Terry

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2759 on: October 10, 2018, 06:39:21 AM »
Plastics and other petro derived material production is a very small fraction of transportation use.

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2760 on: October 10, 2018, 08:08:23 AM »
Road transport use of oil is less than 50% within the EU.
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GoSouthYoungins

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2761 on: October 10, 2018, 06:01:36 PM »
Plastics and other petro derived material production is a very small fraction of transportation use.

sidd

a swing and a miss. try again
big time oops

etienne

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2762 on: October 10, 2018, 07:54:09 PM »
Road transport use of oil is less than 50% within the EU.
This graph brings more questions than answers. What part is for trucks and what is for cars ? Where are diesel railroads ? Is considered air traffic only EU internal flights ? I always heard that air transport is so bad for climate change, here, it doesn't look that way.

If you look closely, you get 30% that is not transport, and about half of it is for non energy use. How much of it is for plastic ? What is non energy use (lubricant oil for the motor, is it in transportation? than you have paints, medications, solvent)?

Sleepy

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2763 on: October 10, 2018, 08:54:04 PM »
Omnia mirari, etiam tritissima.

Sleepy

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2764 on: October 11, 2018, 09:48:55 AM »
Extended life for Snorre
http://www.npd.no/en/news/News/2018/Extended-life-for-Snorre/
Quote
Equinor has received consent to continue use of the Snorre A and Snorre B facilities through 2040.
...
The original oil reserves were 307 million standard cubic metres of oil (1929 million barrels). The remaining oil reserves are estimated at 94 million cubic metres (590 million barrels).
...
SEP comprises installation of six well templates with 24 wells that will be tied back to the Snorre A platform. The plan includes an option for further expansion with additional well templates. SEP will increase recovery from the Snorre field by about 32 million standard cubic metres of oil (200 million barrels), thus raising the field’s recovery rate from 46 per cent to 51 per cent. When production started on Snorre, the expected field life was up to 2011-2014. With the contribution from SEP, calculations show that the field can have profitable production all the way through 2040.

Edit; might as well add this as well.
http://www.npd.no/en/news/News/2018/New-deep-sea-mineral-deposits/
Quote
The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate just concluded a successful three-week data acquisition expedition on the Mohn’s ridge in the western part of the Norwegian Sea.

The Mohn’s ridge is a seafloor spreading ridge, separating two oceanic plates, and the objective of the expedition was to investigate the possible existence of mineral resource deposits in this area. The NPD has identified a large area of sulphide minerals, that was previously unknown. The deposits could include important industrial metals such as copper, zinc, cobalt, nickel, vanadium, wolfram and silver.

The NPD has been assigned the task of proving and mapping deep sea minerals after the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy was given administrative responsibility for mineral deposits on the Norwegian continental shelf.

During this year’s expedition, the NPD surveyed an area of 90 km x 35 km centrally located over the spreading ridge, where water depths vary between 1200 and 3500 metres. The expedition was conducted with the Seabed Worker vessel, which is owned by Swire Seabed AS.
« Last Edit: October 11, 2018, 09:56:18 AM by Sleepy »
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2765 on: October 12, 2018, 02:11:02 AM »
From the Onion (satire):

ExxonMobil CEO Depressed After Realizing Earth Could End Before They Finish Extracting All The Oil
https://www.theonion.com/exxonmobil-ceo-depressed-after-realizing-earth-could-en-1829656820
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Sleepy

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2766 on: October 12, 2018, 09:36:38 AM »
Happy employees.
https://russiabusinesstoday.com/economy/five-russian-companies-enter-u-s-dominated-forbes-list-of-best-500-employers/
Quote
Five Russian companies have made it on Forbes’s list of 500 world’s best employers, the rating published on Wednesday shows, RIA news agency reported.

According to the list, the Moscow Exchange, which occupies the 117th place in the rating, is Russia’s best employer. Oil and gas company Surgutneftegas is in 167th place, while the state-run conglomerate United Aircraft Corporation holds the 278th spot.

Russia’s flagship air carrier Aeroflot is at the 341st position in the rating, and Lukoil energy corporation occupies the 450th place.
...
The latest edition of another prominent Forbes list, the Fortune 500, also includes five Russian companies: oil giants Gazprom, Lukoil, Rosneft, along with state-run banks Sberbank and VTB.

The companies are fighting.
https://newsbase.com/topstories/lukoil-rosneft-row-over-arctic-oil-supplies
Quote
Russia’s Rosneft and Lukoil have locked horns over the cost of delivering oil from an Arctic joint project to market.
Omnia mirari, etiam tritissima.

Buddy

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2767 on: October 12, 2018, 06:43:48 PM »
As most people know, the Saudi's "shelved" their IPO a couple months ago.  Maybe I'm not the best PR man in the world ..... BUT ..... assassinating journalists doesn't seem like it is the best thing to do if they EVER want to bring Saudi Aramco to a US exchange.   ;)

Those folks are going to end up leaving a LOT of "money on the table" before this whole IPO ever gets sorted out. That is what greed does to people.  When things are flying high as a kite ..... people don't want to sell (when they should).  And when things are in the shitter and they should be BUYING, they SELL.  In this case ..... there is a LONG ways to go before people should be buying ..... but we'll get "there" eventually.  We always do.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-aramco-ipo-exclusive/exclusive-aramco-listing-plan-halted-oil-giant-disbands-advisors-sources-idUSKCN1L71TZ
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2768 on: October 13, 2018, 04:16:48 AM »
Findings on the massive residential gas explosions near Boston on Sept 13:

”...the NTSB released preliminary findings showing that Columbia Gas failed to relocate an underground pressure sensor from an abandoned pipe during construction work in Lawrence, triggering a gush of gas into the local network that erupted into explosions and fires that rocked the Merrimack Valley.”

Quote
A teenager was killed, more than 20 other people were injured, and thousands of homes and businesses were left without gas heat or hot water.

Markey said Friday that the company took three hours to shut down critical components after the initial blasts, adding that “there is in fact a lack of preparedness that was quite obvious.”
...
The company is also racing to replace 45 miles of pipeline that were damaged by the over-pressurization. Retired Navy Seabee commander Joseph Albanese, tapped by the company to lead the response effort, has said crews are ahead of a self-imposed Nov. 19 deadline to replace the pipeline.

Columbia Gas has said it will reimburse residents and businesses for all expenses and incurred losses. More than 3,000 people have been placed in temporary housing, such as hotels, apartments, and trailers.
https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2018/10/12/sen-markey-rips-columbia-gas-for-response-merrimack-valley-fires-explosions/ttBtdbtKxOp6NzteCkyfKO/amp.html
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sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2769 on: October 15, 2018, 05:45:11 AM »
House of Saud edges closer to precipice:

The Heir Apparent has made very powerful enemies, and they seem to be gaining the King's ear.

To begin with, the King is not happy about his heir keeping his own mother isolated from the King.

Then,  after being apprised of the parlous state of Saud finances after decades of looting, the King nixed Aramco IPO. And closer to the bone, the King likes not the tilt toward Israel and betrayal of Palestinians by his heir.

And now the King must apologize and make nice and pay off Erdogan and Turkey after the heir chopped up a well connected Saud in the Saud embassy in Istanbul.  His patience wears thin.

The King is eighty two and debilitated. The heir feels the sands shifting under his feet, sees his enemies wax in might. Will he go for it ? Depose his father ? Or will his enemies act first ?

I suspect the former, the heir will jump first, and he may succeed. But I think he will fail, and the House of Saud will replace him with some other corrupt prince. 

Stay tuned, for next week's episode of ...

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/u-s-officials-saudi-crown-prince-has-hidden-his-mother-n847391

https://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Saudi-King-Salman-Looking-to-Remove-Son-Mohammad-as-Crown-Prince-Report-20180910-0011.html

sidd
« Last Edit: October 15, 2018, 05:52:39 AM by sidd »

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2770 on: October 15, 2018, 06:10:48 AM »
Mmm. King won't like this either, exaggerated estimate no doubt, but just another mess:

“It would lead to Saudi Arabia’s failure to commit to producing 7.5 million barrels. If the price of oil reaching $80 angered President Trump, no one should rule out the price jumping to $100, or $200, or even double that figure,”

https://in.reuters.com/article/saudi-politics-dissident/saudi-threatens-to-retaliate-against-any-sanctions-over-khashoggi-disappearance-idINKCN1MO0F3

Might be time for freedom and democracy to come to the sands of Araby. Of which more in another thread.

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2204.msg177059.html#msg177059

sidd



sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2771 on: October 15, 2018, 08:07:13 AM »
“where they blame rogue elements of the Saudi state and throw one big significant name under the bus.”

“throw someone under the bus.”

I wonder if it could be the heir. But then it would have to be a big bus.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/saudi-arabia-rejectsthreats-after-trump-vows-severe-punishment-on-khashoggi-disappearance/2018/10/14/d8c6a2be-ce55-11e8-ad0a-0e01efba3cc1_story.html


Shared Humanity

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2772 on: October 15, 2018, 08:22:40 PM »

Might be time for freedom and democracy to come to the sands of Araby. Of which more in another thread.



Ahh yes. We (the U.S.) hasn't exported Democracy to any foreign nation recently. And it's going so well in Iraq so why are we holding back?

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2773 on: October 17, 2018, 05:48:45 AM »
Looks like the heir apparent survives, someone else is gonna get thrown under the bus. Every one of those fifteen identified Saud are looking for the exit right now. I imagine if they find one it will lead directly to Chop-chop square or an unmarked grave in the desert.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-45883174

Also what is this thing with fifteen? There were fifteen Saud on the 9-11 gig too.

For those with strong stomachs:
---

It took seven minutes for Jamal Khashoggi to die, a Turkish source who has listened in full to an audio recording of the Saudi journalist's last moments

...

The screaming stopped when Khashoggi - who was last seen entering the Saudi consulate on 2 October - was injected with an as yet unknown substance.

...

Tubaigy began to cut Khashoggi’s body up on a table in the study while he was still alive

...

Tubaigy put on earphones and listened to music. He advised other members of the squad to do the same.

...

“When I do this job, I listen to music. You should do [that] too,” Tubaigy was recorded as saying ...
---

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/exclusive-khashoggi-829291552

Wouldn't surprise me if Tubaigy is an organ legger.

sidd



sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2774 on: October 17, 2018, 06:43:06 AM »
Billin' us for killin' us: other end of the Dakota pipeline

" ...  Louisiana department of natural resources has refused to enforce a judge’s order to review its approval  ..."

“Some people actually believe there is a way to win within these systems. I do not,”

" ...  the law declares pipelines “critical infrastructure” and threatens felony charges for anyone trespassing on a pipeline site."

" ... I am fearful that the Cajun people that rely on the Atchafalaya basin for their way of life are going to resort to drastic measures."

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/oct/16/dakota-access-pipeline-bayou-bridge-protest-activism

sidd

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2775 on: October 17, 2018, 08:06:46 AM »
Maj. Gen. Ahmed al-Assiri is either in custody or running for the border. Or dead.

"One possible scapegoat, according to several sources, may be Maj. Gen. Ahmed al-Assiri, the deputy chief of Saudi intelligence. "

And this boy's worth watching:

"MBS’s key counselor is said to have been Saud al-Qahtani, the crown prince’s media adviser but also increasingly his consigliere ..."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/mbss-rampaging-anger-will-not-silence-questions-about-jamal-khashoggi/2018/10/16/5a0bf43a-d182-11e8-b2d2-f397227b43f0_story.html

Saud totters.

sidd


gerontocrat

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2776 on: October 17, 2018, 12:41:56 PM »
The Saudi Royal Family is very large. One lot have some unfortunate accidents and the next lot take over. Job done.

Meanwhile, the USA and UK look for any way to avoid having to take real action against Saudi Arabia. We need the oil, they got the oil, they buy our arms. If we stop supplying the arms, Russia and China and France will step in without hesitation.

Ho hum, twas ever thus.

ps: And of course with Venezuela almost past the point of no return and Trump's determination to kill Iran's economy by stopping them exporting crude, Saudi's bargaining position gets stronger by the day.
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

GoSouthYoungins

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2777 on: October 17, 2018, 01:26:45 PM »
100% pull out of Irack and Aphganiland. Invasion of Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. There is no war like a new war! Also, why not take over the biggest oil fields in the world? And there is a decent pretense for both: free Saudi women from oppression by young tyrant, and feed starving people oppressed by fat socialist tyrant.

Maybe I should be on team Trump. I could really help with 2020. While I'm on a role...reduce troop #s stationed in South Korea and claim to have de-escalated the decades old feud. Use troops in the new American Oil Colonies.  Let's throw in some treason...Russia has Putin for life and China has Xi for life, so for America to compete we need Trump for life....

China to Iran we will call EastAsia. Russia to Portugal we will call EurAsia. The Americas and Africa we will call Oceania. And we can have our wars in the Middle East between Turkey, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. This seems right to me. And I'm sure it will solve global warming.
big time oops

Sigmetnow

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2778 on: October 18, 2018, 08:21:42 PM »
Offshore drilling has long been an unpopular topic in Florida, a vulnerable, low-lying state threatened by sea level rise, along with increasingly dangerous and frequent hurricanes. Climate science indicates that those events are exacerbated by climate change, which in turn is linked to fossil fuels.

That direct link, however, hasn’t prompted political opposition so much as the 2010 BP Deepwater Horizon oil spill has — the tragedy is still fresh on the minds of many Gulf Coast residents grappling with the ramifications.


Florida’s proposal to ban offshore drilling is back on the ballot
https://thinkprogress.org/florida-offshore-drilling-ban-court-ca446831b0b4/
People who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it.

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2779 on: October 20, 2018, 05:16:58 AM »
Crown thug Mohammed Bone Saw survives:

Saud statement:

"discussions ... did not go as required and developed in a negative way led to a fight and a quarrel ...  the brawl aggravated to lead to his death and their attempt to conceal and cover what happened."

They just so happened to have a bone saw and autopsy expert at hand.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/19/middleeast/saudi-arabia-khashoggi-statement/index.html

Eighteen in custody: Quahtani, Assiri fired. Qathani running scared:  "On Friday night, a tweet that Qahtani, the dismissed adviser, wrote last year began making the rounds again on social media: “Do you think I rebuke (others) on my own accord without direction? I am an employee and a loyal executer to the orders of my master, the king, and my master, his highness the crown prince,” he wrote at the time."

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/jamal-khashoggi-killed-consulate-saudi-arabia-confirms-1213104619

Meanwhile crown thug rehabilitated:

"King Salman, his father, appointed him to lead a committee that will restructure the kingdom’s intelligence services after Khashoggi’s slaying. "

Qahtani will shortly be silenced. Looks like Assiri already has.

"On Twitter, where Qahtani had launched vitriolic attacks against those he saw as the kingdom’s enemies, he thanked the Saudi government for the “great opportunity they gave me to serve my country all those years”

“I will remain a loyal servant to my country for all times,” he wrote.

Assiri had no immediate comment. "

https://www.apnews.com/933ba58ee362452f9135f4fa743fb2e8

Chop Chop square might be busy ...

sidd

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2780 on: October 20, 2018, 08:07:42 AM »
Some more get thrown under the bus:

"In addition to Qahtani and Assiri, the Saudi news agency named several other military officers who had been fired. They included Maj. Gen. Mohammed bin Saleh al-Rumaih, assistant head of the General Intelligence Directorate; Maj. Gen. Abdullah bin Khalifa al-Shaya, head of General Intelligence for Human Resources; and Gen. Rashad bin Hamed al-Mohammad, director of the General Directorate of Security and Protection."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/world/wp/2018/10/19/saudi-government-acknowledges-journalist-jamal-khashaoggi-died-while-in-that-countrys-consulate-in-istanbul/

Wonder how many are still alive.

sidd

gerontocrat

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2781 on: October 20, 2018, 11:35:58 AM »
Some more get thrown under the bus:

Wonder how many are still alive.

sidd

Shock, horror, amazement...

Donald Trump says he finds Saudi explanation of Khashoggi death 'credible'
The US president welcomes admission as ‘important first step’ amid widespread scepticism in Washington

Quote
Donald Trump has said he found Saudi Arabia’s explanation about the death of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi credible and termed it an “important first step.”
The US president added that if the US takes action, he does not want it to impact arms sales to the kingdom, where authorities announced late on Friday that Khashoggi was killed in a fight at its Istanbul consulate. Turkish officials pointed to a state-sanctioned hit.

“I do, I do,” Trump said when asked if he found the Saudis’ explanation credible, adding: “It’s early, we haven’t finished our review or investigation, but ... I think it’s a very important first step.”

“I would prefer, if there is going to be some form of sanction or what we may determine to do, if anything ... that we don’t use as retribution canceling $110bn worth of work, which means 600,000 jobs,” he said during a visit to Arizona, referring to a major arms deal with the kingdom.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/oct/20/donald-trump-says-he-finds-saudi-explanation-of-khashoggi-death-credible
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

Alexander555

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2782 on: October 20, 2018, 12:16:50 PM »
It's a strange storry. Why would they send 15 people to kill somebody ? They knew there are camera's at the embassy. So the embassy would have been the last place. That would have been a one person job, somewhere on the way to the airport where there are no cameras. They knew each other. He 's a critic from the regime .So probably they got into a fight, and they kicked his ass a little to hard. And than they had a problem, they are a bunch of amateurs.

Buddy

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2783 on: October 22, 2018, 04:45:23 PM »
MBS has “screwed the pooch” and got caught doing so.  He also has now been caught multiple times lying about it.  And our dear friend Traitor Don has been caught conspiring to help him cover up the mess.

Now ....  the Saudis are in a bit of a sticky wicket.  They bluffed saying they might use the oil markets against the West ..... and have had to walk that back.  Now ... with MBS’s assasination of the Washington Post journalist, all of the sudden most of the western countries are coming down hard on the Saudi’s ..... so the LAST THING that they can do now is to use oil against the West.  In fact ... they need to make sure there is no shortfall in supply while they try and dig themselves out of the rather sizeable hole that MBS has put them in.

Where does that leave the price of oil?  Likely headed south.  The Permian Basin is still increasing its production although they are approaching full capacity in their pipelines.  A pipeline that was supposed to be used for natural gas is now being used for oil.  As well ... more pipelines in the Permian will continue to come online through 2019 and into 2020.

Meanwhile .... while increases in the Permian slow down until the additional pipelines are finished, the fields in Wyoming and North Dakota are picking up the slack.  In other words ... all the ingredients for oversupply are now being put into place .... and within 2 - 3 years the oil market will be set for its next big move down as demand slows down.

I am still looking for WTIC to get into the mid $50’s in the short term over the next weeks/months.  The $65 dollar level on a closing weekly basis appears to be the “line in the sand” that most technical people will be watching for.  A break below that opens the door for the mid $50’s range.

FOX (RT) News....."The Trump Channel.....where truth and journalism are dead."

mitch

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2784 on: October 22, 2018, 06:35:10 PM »
The major issue is that Trump has bought (or been flattered/bribed) into the idea that Iran is the great Satan in the Saudi-Iran conflict.  So, that means that the US has to stick to Saudi Arabia no matter how stupid and vicious they behave. 

It will be interesting to see how long other countries will continue to sanction Iranian oil. 

etienne

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2785 on: October 22, 2018, 08:57:53 PM »
It's not the countries that sanction Iranian oil, but the companies in order to keep an access to the US market.

GoSouthYoungins

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2786 on: October 22, 2018, 09:07:04 PM »
It really is an impressively terrible assassination. So many too many ppl involved and no plausible deniability secured.

Lock guy in room. Shoot guy in head with suppressed pistol. Dissolve guy in chemicals. Pour guy down drain. Have operative disguised as guy leave the embassy in his clothes and with his items. Go into a basement, and incinerate all of guy's stuff. Done.

The saudis could learn a lot from the israelis.
big time oops

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2787 on: October 22, 2018, 10:52:10 PM »
Oil spill hidden for years, larger than deepwater horizon:

"The Taylor Energy spill is largely unknown outside Louisiana because of the company’s effort to keep it secret in the hopes of protecting its reputation and proprietary information about its operations, according to a lawsuit that eventually forced the company to reveal its cleanup plan. The spill was hidden for six years ..."

"Taylor Energy had argued that the leak was two gallons per day; the Coast Guard finally said it was 84 gallons or more ..."

" ... the government determined that the actual level of oil leaking into the Gulf was between one and 55 barrels per day. Now, the new estimate dwarfs that: up to 700 barrels per day."

"Taylor Energy had been sold to a joint venture of South Korean companies in 2008, the same year it started the $666 million trust. A third of the money had been spent on cleanup, and only a third of the leaking wells had been fixed. But Pecue wanted to recover $450 million, arguing the spill could not be contained.

“I can affirmatively say that we do believe this was an act of God under the legal definition,” Pecue said. "



https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/a-14-year-long-oil-spill-in-the-gulf-of-mexico-verges-on-becoming-one-of-the-worst-in-us-history/2018/10/20/f9a66fd0-9045-11e8-bcd5-9d911c784c38_story.html

https://leanweb.org/legal/veil-of-secrecy-finally-lifted-on-taylor-energys-decade-long-oil-leak/

sidd

sidd

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Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« Reply #2788 on: Today at 10:21:19 AM »
Quahtani being set up for the fall guy, plus Assiri, plus Tuwajiri:

" ... Qahtani was MbS’s “bad cop” late last year when 200 people, including Saudi princes, ministers and business tycoons, were detained and put under house arrest ..."

" ...  the crown prince’s short-lived kidnapping of Lebanese prime minister Saad al-Hariri in 2017. Hariri, too, was verbally humiliated and beaten, according to eight Saudi, Arab and Western diplomatic sources. The man leading that interrogation: Saud al-Qahtani. "

" ... Qahtani was beamed into a room of the Saudi consulate via Skype.

He began to hurl insults at Khashoggi over the phone. According to the Arab and Turkish sources, Khashoggi answered Qahtani’s insults with his own."

“Bring me the head of the dog”

"Tuwaijri is under house arrest and could not be reached for comment. "

" ... Saudi official close to the investigation said that Qahtani decided on his own to organize Khashoggi’s kidnapping and that he asked Asiri to get a team together ..."

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-khashoggi-adviser-insight/how-the-man-behind-khashoggi-murder-ran-the-killing-via-skype-idUSKCN1MW2HA

Wonder if any of them or the hit squad set up a dead man's switch as insurance. Judging by the overall level of competence, probably not. But there is a small chance that one of them will have arranged an evidence dump.

If I were arranging killings for a prince, i would for sure have evidence dump triggered by me failing to check in.

sidd