The SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook has been been a popular topic on the forum and the blog in previous years, but I don't see anything about it this year, so I'm starting a thread. The first request for predictions was posted about a week ago. See
http://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlookThe Sea Ice Outlook is based on the September monthly average extent as computed by the NSIDC. Previous years' extents (in millions of sq. km) are below.
| Year | Extent |
| 2004 | 6.05 |
| 2005 | 5.57 |
| 2006 | 5.92 |
| 2007 | 4.30 |
| 2008 | 4.73 |
| 2009 | 5.39 |
| 2010 | 4.93 |
| 2011 | 4.63 |
| 2012 | 3.63 |
| 2013 | 5.35 |
Any predictions, discussion, thoughts? I will post my predictions later.
