@ Jai, Thanks for both papers, excellent material - and sobering implications for the future.
@ Chris, the tables of the "cliff" are compelling and impressive, we get focused on extent, but the area data is telling the melt story. I hope you'll plot these again at month end.
@ Ktonine, thanks for the refresher on the temp, water, salinity information. I did not describe the entire OSU forecast for the next 5 days, a number of areas have lower than -2 C temps. To support that less than -2 C temps have recently been recorded on a number of buoys under the low pressure, or at land stations in parts of the the Russian Arctic under the influence of the low. Changes in bottom warming will likely offset the refreeze effects, but the low may slow melt out...for a few days.
The latest OSU run has the low moving over the CAA and the beginnngs of the high moving in.
We will see... how the rest of the month melts.