Doom, you have the right of it.
seattlerocks, who should advocate for solutions to problems more than those who are most knowledgeable about the subject? No attacks (sorry, I was tired), but the main reason your argument fails is that
there is no time!There is no time to sit in one's cluttered academic office and ruminate on the perfection of one's climate model, the model that failed to predict the date of the typhoon bearing down on the city where I live, even though the model did predict that the warmer atmosphere would hold more water, and certain areas of Japan are going to get more than a meter of rain, on top of the 1100 mm they received from the previous typhoon last week, whose record-breaking downpours were not predicted by the model, but are consistent with the greater quantity of water in the atmosphere now available to tropical storms. That's two hundred-year weather events in ten days. Gee, why didn't my model predict that these two storms would arise in the first week of August? Better go back and tinker with it.
I see you posted while I was composing this.
Consider the following, Michael Mann and his team, in 2018, run some extremely advanced simulations that project that global temperatures are likely to fall below pre-industrial levels. Because solar radiation falls below certain threshold and these simulations are precise enough to capture several negative feedbacks that kick in, which will lead to the beginning of an Ice Age.
Really. Sure, several negative feedbacks, like ten super volcanic explosions or twenty 40-megaton thermonuclear explosions, perhaps? The latter I can actually imagine, especially if we continue on this path. Once more,
there is no time.That is not a realistic hypothesis. We don't need hypotheticals, we need action.
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