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Last year, folks purchased new shirts and blouses for their Zoom meetings.  Now they’re buying skirts, jeans and sneakers.

The post-pandemic spending spree begins: 6 things Americans are buying
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/18/the-post-pandemic-spending-spree-begins-6-things-americans-are-buying.html
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Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2021 melting season
« Last post by Tor Bejnar on Today at 04:08:15 PM »
The name Jennifer Francis should jump to everybody's mind when reading the above, e.g.:
   Jennifer A. Francis, Natasa Skific, Stephen J. Vavrus.
   North American weather regimes are becoming more persistent: Is Arctic amplification a factor?
   Geophysical Research Letters, 2018; DOI: 10.1029/2018GL080252
or read the Science Daily version.
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Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« Last post by Shared Humanity on Today at 03:59:28 PM »
Bhramar Mukherjee, et.al., Estimating the Infection Fatality Rate from SARS-CoV-2 in India, The Lancet , (2021)
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3798552

Abstract: ... We compare the serosurvey-based ad hoc estimates with the model-based estimates. Both estimates qualitatively show that there is a large degree of “covert infections” in India, with model-based estimated underreporting factor for infections as 11.11 (95% CI 10.71-11.47) and for deaths as 3.56 (95% CI 3.48- 3.64).  This implies approximately 91% of infections and 72% of deaths related to COVID-19 remain unreported in India. ...

-----------------------------------------

If true, than India has had close to 3/4 million fatalities.
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Arctic sea ice / Re: 2021 Sea ice area and extent data
« Last post by gerontocrat on Today at 03:48:42 PM »
And at the moment it is mostly the High Arctic seas that are the laggards as regards melting.
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Arctic sea ice / Re: Freeform season chatter and light commentary
« Last post by dnem on Today at 03:45:39 PM »
The "late April convergence" of the annual NSIDC Central Arctic sea ice area curves is quite compelling!
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The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« Last post by Jim Hunt on Today at 03:11:37 PM »
Those sending abusive pm's should have their entitlement to abuse removed

Bad form to quote "private" messages in public b.c.  ;)

Quote
Fuck off, clique hobbit, shit-for-brains.
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Arctic sea ice / Re: 2021 Sea ice area and extent data
« Last post by gerontocrat on Today at 02:57:02 PM »
NSIDC Central Arctic sea ice area always semms to end up at a maximum in the last few days of April, no matter what happened before or happens after.
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Arctic sea ice / Re: 2021 Sea ice area and extent data
« Last post by gerontocrat on Today at 02:55:22 PM »
NSIDC Total AREA as at 19-Apr-2021 (5 day trailing average) 12,069,572 KM2         
         
Total Area         
 12,069,572    km2      
-296,748    km2   <   2010's average.
 77,389    km2   >   2020
-77,064    km2   <   2017
         
Total Change    3    k   gain
Peripheral Seas   -8    k   loss
Central Seas___    11    k   gain
         
Peripheral Seas         
Okhotsk______   -8    k   loss
Bering _______   -6    k   loss
Hudson Bay___    1    k   gain
Baffin  Bay____    5    k   gain
St Lawrence___    2    k   gain
Greenland____   -6    k   loss
Barents ______    5    k   gain
         
Central Arctic  Ocean Seas         
Chukchi______   -10    k   loss
Beaufort_____   -1    k   loss
CAA_________    0    k   gain
East Siberian__   -5    k   loss
Central Arctic_    9    k   gain
Laptev_______    5    k   gain
Kara_________    12    k   gain
         
Sea ice area gain on this day 3 k, 52 k less than the last 10 years average loss of 49 k         
         
- Area is at position #4 in the satellite record.         
- Area is 297 k less than the 2010's average         
- Area is 77 k less than 2017         
- Area is 84 k more than 2016         
- Area is 77 k more than 2020          
- Area is 863 k less than 2012         
___________________________________________         
NSIDC Total EXTENT as at 19-Apr-2021 (5 day trailing average) 13,713,804 KM2         
         
NSIDC Sea ice EXTENT loss on this day 8 k, 34 k less than the 2010's average loss of 42k         
         
- EXTENT is at position #8 in the satellite record.         
- EXTENT is 156 k less than the 2010's average         
- EXTENT is 123 k more than 2017         
- EXTENT is 117 k more than 2016         
- EXTENT is 172 k more than 2020          
- EXTENT is 823 k less than 2012
________________________________________
NSIDC Sea ice daily extent dropped by a century break on this day.
Normal 5-day area and extent losses to be resumed soon?      
   
___________________________________________         
Note: Click an image for full-size         
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Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« Last post by vox_mundi on Today at 02:37:04 PM »
Covid in Uttar Pradesh: Coronavirus overwhelms India's most populous state
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-56799303.amp

India is reeling under a severe second wave of Covid-19 and many states are struggling to cope with the rising numbers. Uttar Pradesh, India's most populous state, is among the worst affected in the country and its people are suffering even as authorities insist the situation is under control.

Delhi had Sunday recorded its biggest daily jump in COVID-19 tally with 25,462 fresh cases, while the positivity rate shot up to 29.74 % -- meaning almost every third sample being tested in the city is turning out to be positive.

Kanwal Jeet Singh's 58-year-old father Niranjan Pal Singh died on Friday in an ambulance while being ferried from one hospital to another. They had been turned away by four hospitals for a lack of beds.

... Among the sick are the state's Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, several of his cabinet colleagues, dozens of government officials and hundreds of doctors, nurses and other health workers.

Videos shared by a local journalist in Kanpur show a sick man lying on the ground in the parking lot of the government-run Lala Lajpat Rai hospital. A little distance away, an elderly man sits on a bench. They are both positive for Covid, but the hospital has no beds to accommodate them.

Outside the government-run Kanshiram hospital, a young woman wept as she said that two hospitals had refused to admit her sick mother.

"They're saying they have run out of beds. If you don't have a bed, put her on the floor, but at least give her some treatment. There are lots of patients like her. I've seen several people like me being turned away.

"The chief minister says there are adequate beds, please show me where they are. Please treat my mother," she said, sobbing inconsolably.

The situation in the capital, Lucknow, is equally dire.

Sushil Kumar Srivastava was photographed sitting in his car, strapped to an oxygen cylinder while his desperate family drove him from one hospital to another. By the time they found a bed for him, it was too late.

... Stories of deaths and families devastated by Covid-19 abound as infections continue to gallop - on Sunday, the state recorded 30,596 new cases, it's highest-ever single-day tally.

Even that, activists and opposition politicians say, does not give a true picture of the infection's spread. They accuse the state of keeping its case and death count low by not testing enough and not including data from private laboratories.

And there seems merit in their claim. Many people I spoke to said either they had failed to get tested or their positive results had not been uploaded on the state government site. From Lucknow, 62-year-old Ajay Singh sent me his wife's positive test report which finds no mention in the state records.

And neither Mr Singh who died in Kanpur, nor Mrs Kapoor's mother who perished in Varanasi, were included in the state's tally of pandemic casualties - their death certificates did not mention coronavirus as the cause of death.

Indian media has also questioned the government data - with reports of a mismatch between the official number of deaths and the bodies at crematoriums in Lucknow and Varanasi.

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/uttar-pradesh-coronavirus-covid-deaths-in-lucknow-underreported-cremations-vs-government-data-2413690

https://thewire.in/health/varanasi-cremation-burial-grounds-show-about-50-of-covid-19-deaths-arent-officially-recorded

Anshuman Rai, director of Heritage Hospitals - a private group that runs medical collages and hospitals in the state - describes the situation as "extraordinary".

"The reason why services are cracking is because too many health workers, including doctors, nurses, ward boys and lab technicians are falling sick.

"At a time when we should be working 200%, we are not even able to do 100% because the health sector is totally manpower dependent."

... And with the virus spreading rapidly, things are unlikely to get better anytime soon.

---------------------------------------

... speaking of 'spreading the virus' ...

49 Test positive for Covid-19 On New Delhi Flight to Hong Kong
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/world/2021/04/20/49-test-positive-for-covid-19-on-new-delhi-flight-to-hk/

HONG KONG: At least 49 passengers on a flight from New Delhi to Hong Kong have tested positive for coronavirus, authorities said, as the financial hub introduced an emergency ban on all flights from India as it battles a new wave of cases.

All of the passengers who tested positive flew into Hong Kong on a flight run by Indian operator Vistara on April 4.

The positive tests are significant as Hong Kong is regularly recording fewer daily cases than the total detected on the flight since it brought a fourth wave under control in January.

Several cases have also been detected on flights arriving in Hong Kong from Mumbai, authorities said.

----------------------------------------

Indian Railways Adds More Special Trains From Delhi, Mumbai Amid Migrant Crisis
https://www.india.com/news/india/indian-railways-adds-more-special-trains-from-delhi-mumbai-amid-migrant-crisis-check-new-routes-4598882/

New Delhi: Amid the rapidly rising coronavirus pandemic and migrant crisis, the Central Railways (CR) has started summer special trains on a few routes from Mumbai and Delhi amid a lockdown-like situation. Videos have surfaced over the past week showing thousands of migrant workers rushing to railway stations and bus depots to return to their hometowns fearing a situation reminiscent of last year.

In view of the same, the Indian Railways is running trains from Delhi and Mumbai to Bihar and Uttar Pradesh “for the convenience of the passengers”.
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Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« Last post by Shared Humanity on Today at 02:30:45 PM »
In the United States, daily new cases, critical patient counts and daily deaths have all pretty much flatlined, no real trend up or down.

Daily new cases - 70K
Critical Patients - 10K
Daily Deaths - 720

I guess this is the new normal.

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