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Messages - Dr Freeze

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Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 25, 2019, 01:30:34 AM »
The dipole has arrived. But it does not come with a lot of heat.

The SST's are very warm around the edges, but in no rush to invade the CAB.

2019 leads in some categories, but area losses are skipping, suggesting lost momentum.

The wind remains impressive, but mostly cold and pointed away from Fram. Some compaction, some dispersion, some export. Nothing record breaking.

The ice is in crap condition, but it won't disappear w/o good reason. Especially from the CAB.
I'm rooting for a record and anything else that might occur in the short term that will jolt the world ioward the necessary urgent response to AGW.

Second place doesn't make headlines. That where it looks like we're headed.

What are you smoking? The impending heights and 850 temps are all-time highs as projected by EURO. I also think that the tempering of area losses is due to cloud interference but this is more conjecture on my part. We shall see.
Now this is one interesting question for sure, bbr - what is he smoking? Well, based on such a peaceful part of his post - "Some compaction, some dispersion, some export. Nothing record breaking" - i dare suspect it's labrador joint. It makes one really peaceful, see? :D

Arctic sea ice / Re: Latest PIOMAS update (July 2019)
« on: July 23, 2019, 01:07:42 PM »
Wipneus, gerontocrat, oren: great stats and graphs, thanks!
To me the stand-out stat is the rate at which ice is melting out this year (and by eye-balling it, looks like a consistent upwards trend).
CAB has lost about 3.8 (1000 km3) in the last 61 days, vs. 3.5 in 2012, 2.5 in 2007, 1.7 in 2001!
As ice volume change is, in my mind, the best proxy for heat flux, it would mean that summer heat import into the high arctic has almost doubled in the last 20 years?! But I'll leave the analysis to the clever people  ;)

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