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Messages - Alexander555

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1
Consequences / Re: Drought 2020
« on: April 02, 2020, 09:24:07 PM »
Not just drought, dam construction also add to the problem. But mainly drought. https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Commodities/Rice-prices-hit-6-year-high-as-Thailand-and-Vietnam-face-drought?

2
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 02, 2020, 07:06:57 PM »
We are not going to let these globalist assholes destroy this entire planet. And we are not going to be silent for this fucking fascist globalist scum.

My son will be marrying a wonderful Vietnamese woman this fall. I have an adopted black son. My current wife is Moroccan, was born in Senegal and is a black Muslim...also happens to be a banker.

You, on the other hand, are doomed to slide into irrelevance. Your virulent racism will not be treated kindly in history books. Deal with it.

(edit: How many guns do you own?)

So you think i'm not going to be treated kindly in the future .But do you think you are going to be treated kindly ? I understand that all these things you call racism are an issue for you. But i think there are going to be a lot more people on this planet soon, that will have different issues. Because your issues are mainly the result of your luxery way of live of transporting people to every corner of the planet. The one world people. But that's not going to be the issue for most people on this planet. Their issues will be about poverty,health, safety....... And people like you are easy to smell from far away. So if you want some advice about guns, than i'm willing to help you. Because you are going to need them a lot more than me.

3
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 02, 2020, 06:17:39 PM »
We are not going to let these globalist assholes destroy this entire planet. And we are not going to be silent for this fucking fascist globalist scum.

My son will be marrying a wonderful Vietnamese woman this fall. I have an adopted black son. My current wife is Moroccan, was born in Senegal and is a black Muslim...also happens to be a banker.

You, on the other hand, are doomed to slide into irrelevance. Your virulent racism will not be treated kindly in history books. Deal with it.

(edit: How many guns do you own?)

And you cry about climate change, you are the problem in every possible way. Because of you there will be no history books. So please, stop abusing your name. Shared humanity, what a joke.

4
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 02, 2020, 05:06:40 PM »
We are not going to let these globalist assholes destroy this entire planet. And we are not going to be silent for this fucking fascist globalist scum.

5
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 02, 2020, 04:55:25 PM »
harpy, my best friends daughter is Chinese, and she is being constantly harassed by racist asshole.

You, sir or madam, are endangering her safety and maybe even her life by continuing to spread this racist shit.

I ask you again to please cease and desist at once.

And, please please don't try to be cute. Just because the deep and virulent hatred between the Taiwanese and the mainland Chinese happens to be not driven by racism, that doesn't excuse similarly obnoxious, disgusting and dangerous behavior by others.

;;;;;

Meanwhile, from dnem's linked NYT article: "In areas where public officials have resisted or delayed stay-at-home orders, people changed their habits far less..."

This basically mean Republican governors and mayors. Trump and these Repub authorities seem set on culling their own herd, for some reason...

Your best friends daughter is with a chinese, and that's why harpy is an asshole ? You are an asshole.

7
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 01, 2020, 06:16:13 PM »
In Tokyo they still prefere full metro's. That's probably not the smartest thing to do right now. That will become another human and economic disaster. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-japan/japan-on-the-brink-as-it-struggles-to-hold-back-coronavirus-idUSKBN21I3LX

8
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 31, 2020, 07:38:58 PM »
He blumenkraft, 2019 was a bad year for german industrial production. And probably it's going to be destroyed by your commie brothers. Because they have to move up the chain. To create extra added value, to keep all the commies happy. And now your service sector is getting hit by the corronavirus. Bey bey strong man of Europe. And still defending these chinese.

9
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 28, 2020, 10:25:09 PM »
How big is the part of people that have permanent lung damage after being infected ?

10
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 28, 2020, 08:50:39 PM »
Once you beat the first wave and have a cheap, rapid test, the virus is in effect beaten.

Ain't it so?

Yes, after it is produced by the 100s of millions, distributed to 100s of thousands of locations, testers are trained and organized and you convince a recalcitrant, ill-informed, independent-mnded populace to conform.  Not gonna happen overnight.

Not overnight, but by summer: possibble.
They say:
"The company is deploying 150,000 laboratory tests immediately. Tests already have been sent to hospital and academic medical center labs in 18 states including Illinois, California, New York, Massachusetts and Washington. Abbott is scaling up production at its U.S. manufacturing location to reach capacity for one million tests per week by end of March."

This will easily reach 10-20 million tests produced per month by summer. This will also be licensed with lightning speed to Europe as well. This is THE solution (after the first wave has passed)

I think they should have send them to the states with low numbers of infected people first. There they can make a difference, contact tracing....... Than at least they can be saved from troubles. The states you mention, in reality they already have tens of thousands infected people. So they will all have to go in lockdown to stop it. Ofcourse they will need tests to, but they will be less efficient. And they should send them to africa, now the numbers are hopefully still low. Maybe they can still stop it with contact tracing.

11
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 27, 2020, 07:41:24 PM »
Quarantine in India. That will work.

12
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 27, 2020, 01:01:28 AM »
Be very careful with trump fanatics. They think themselves immune to the disease or think of it as the flu. They will not protect themselves. They may be highly contagious.

It's New York that's burning, and soon California. They can better call it the globalist virus. Or the anti-Brexit virus. Because it's the same people that wanted to keep the airports open. Or the China-lovers virus. We are not all stupid Archimid. Just look to Europe, 300 000 people infected. Endemic it will become, and it's going to destroy their economy.

13
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 26, 2020, 10:36:59 PM »
South Africa : 402
Egypt :  327
Algeria : 201
Morocco : 134
Burkina Faso : 99
Tunisia : 85
Senegal : 67
Cameroon : 56
Nigeria : 36
DR Congo : 30

3 days ago, it's not going in the right direction.

South Africa : 927
Egypt : 495
Algeria : 367
Morocco : 275
Tunisia : 200
Burkina Faso : 152
Ghana : 132
Senegal : 105
Cote D'Ivoire :96
Cameroon : 75

14
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 25, 2020, 08:48:59 PM »
A little worrisome. A hospital in Brussels scans all patients that come in. And 10 % of the patients that don't come for the coronavirus are infected. On the scan they can see if there is something with the lungs. https://www.hln.be/nieuws/binnenland/uz-brussel-test-systematisch-alle-patienten-10-procent-heeft-corona-zonder-er-zelf-iets-van-te-merken~a2676f87/

15
Consequences / Re: Global recession
« on: March 25, 2020, 08:13:06 PM »
Maybe climate change will force us back to a gold standard one day. Than the times of unlimited money printing will be over.

16
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 24, 2020, 03:38:36 PM »

17
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 23, 2020, 01:16:29 PM »
South Africa : 402
Egypt :  327
Algeria : 201
Morocco : 134
Burkina Faso : 99
Tunisia : 85
Senegal : 67
Cameroon : 56
Nigeria : 36
DR Congo : 30

18
Consequences / Re: Global recession
« on: March 22, 2020, 10:51:30 PM »
And or food supply depends for a pretty big part on countries with a not so very good health system. If the coronavirus reaches the countryside in these places. The same time you already have places in Africa that are hit by drought or still fighting the results of typhoons. There are giant swarms of locust in some areas in Africa and the Middle-East. We do have the advantage that most supplies are big for already many years. That's what kept the price for stuff like corn, rice, wheat......low. But still i think there is a pretty big risk. How much supply may become disrupted before the panic starts. Places like India, Brasil.....

19
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 20, 2020, 10:49:42 PM »
I like my hamsters on a bed of frence fries, and i need 3 a day to feel good. And that for 3 months.

20
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 20, 2020, 12:56:30 PM »
Every day we have 2 airplanes that arrive from Madrid. Not a single person gets screened.

21
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 17, 2020, 08:28:37 PM »
Over here more than a million people have astma, for a population of 11 million people. They are all high risk.

22
Consequences / Re: Global recession
« on: March 17, 2020, 08:15:06 PM »
Almost every country is going to face a massive budget deficit. And countries like the US already have a trillion deficit in good times.

24
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 14, 2020, 08:42:47 PM »
I don't think Africa is going to agree with you in a couple months. How many flights have been going from Europe, US, Canada.... to Afrika ? These open borders spread it across the entire planet.

26
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 10, 2020, 08:17:36 PM »
Bernard wrote: "Indeed. And name me a single country where things are better today."

Almost all European countries I think. In our hospitals in the Netherlands there are no beds with patients in the corridors.
Was your question serious?

So do you think you had peak infections in the netherlands ?

27
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 10, 2020, 07:26:10 PM »

I named this a "side effect" because consequences go far beyond the direct lethality and demographic impact of the virus, which was the main point of my post.

In the UK the 'side effect of a right wing regime for 10 years is 17,000 less beds and 48,000 nurses short with 'corridors' routinely used for treatment even when not facing a pandemic!!!!

It has nothing to do with a right wing government. It's because you guys are globalist consumers that want to have everything as cheap as possible. And for that you send all your money to the rest of the planet. And if your government would not print money day and night. You would not even have a health care sector. You would be as poor as the poorest state in India.

28
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 09, 2020, 07:35:53 PM »
Only one thing really matters during a pandemic.

29
Consequences / Re: Global recession
« on: March 08, 2020, 10:29:14 AM »
It's an inherent weakness, until 2018 there was no african swine fever in Asia. And now it's in almost every country in Asia. The frequency of outbreaks will be much higher in the future on every continent.

30
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 05, 2020, 10:03:41 PM »
At some point they told it came from a snake, and that made several people laugh. Not that i know why. That feeds the idea that something is'nt right.

You ain't right...in the haid.

 Go hate Trump a little bit more Shared humanity. The only reason why half of your country is not freezing to dead in winter is because of fossil feuls. And that you use a little bit less coal, is because you frack the shit out of your land. Because your wind turbines and solar panels, that's not even enough to keep up with growth. Wake up fool.

31
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 05, 2020, 08:21:15 PM »
The article tells that the government admids that it escaped ? Than what is that Iranian government telling, probably the country is imploding.

32
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 05, 2020, 07:56:50 PM »
China is 9,6 million square km in size. In these 9,6 million square km there is one lab, at a few hundred meters of the foodmarket.  Does this makes me a conspiracy theorist ? Or is it suspicious. https://nypost.com/2020/02/22/dont-buy-chinas-story-the-coronavirus-may-have-leaked-from-a-lab/

33
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 03, 2020, 07:36:19 PM »
I think Europe will become one big Wuhan, with Belgium as the epicenter

34
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 03, 2020, 07:15:02 PM »
Health system in northern Italy stretched to the limit. 10 % of medical staff already infected. https://the-japan-news.com/news/article/0006393527

36
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: February 29, 2020, 04:40:36 PM »
I also note the 6th death out of the Diamond Princess was announced yesterday. That almost brings the death rate to 1%, in a cluster where all infections have been uncovered including the mild ones, and all patients were given early and intensive healthcare by an advanced country in uncrowded hospitals. I expect the death toll to rise further, just my gut feeling. The only caveat of these statistics is the age distribution of the passengers...

I have been arguing for at least 2 weeks that the Diamond Princess is the single best data source to allow us to get a handle on the mortality of this disease. I still feel this is the case. Once diagnosed, these patients have received the best care available. The CFR from this controlled experiment group should be considered the lower bound for this disease. We are already at 0.8%. This is not good news. If it is 2% or higher, this pandemic could kill well over 30 million if 20% of the population contracts the disease.

Does anyone know how many Diamond Princess patients are still serious cases? Would give us some insight into how many more deaths we might expect.

Something we should not forget, is that the mortality rate will be higher if things get out of control. The people on the ship all get medical care. The people in Wuhan that had to go home, they don't get medical care. The global mortality rate stands at 3,3 % right now. Something like 85 000 people infected, and just below 3000 fatalities.

37
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: February 29, 2020, 01:11:49 PM »
People in Iran burn a hospital down because of corona patients from other cities. https://www.hln.be/nieuws/buitenland/ziekenhuis-in-iran-in-brand-gestoken-uit-vrees-voor-coronavirus~a54525c4/

38
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: February 25, 2020, 08:59:52 PM »
A 2th case in Africa, in Algeria. And 2 new cases in France. One came from Italy. The other one a young Chinese woman that arrived in Paris a few weeks ago.

https://www.france24.com/en/20200225-france-confirms-two-new-cases-of-coronavirus-one-returning-from-italy?fbclid=IwAR1kMM9AYgVM4OSI74jn-vzMshn-CS8gRZIKHXwy3eKeFkP_gWzbST5_kUo

39
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 24, 2020, 02:33:10 PM »
...
It would be really helpful I think if we can find more reliable information and data to tell us something about the community infection rate, and any aspects of that population...

I think the world has passed the peak of quantitative data accuracy and reliability.  In most of China, the entire population can be considered in one of three groups:  those currently infected, those recovered, and those soon to be infected. 

Who actually needs any tests to be done in this situation?  If a previously well person gets a fever and cough, they're extremely likely to have the coronavirus.  Might be influenza, but most antiviral medications against one seem plausibly effective against the other.  Clinically,one would presume coronavirus, one shouldn't believe a negative test in this situation.  The test is not terribly important to the medical care given.

The test is expensive, slow, and has a high false-negative rate.  Running the test is not of benefit to the patient, it only brings stigma and draconian police-state actions against one's family. 

Testing only brings stigma and economic chaos to the the community where the cases are enumerated.  And the whole province.  And whole nations.  All without any benefit of effective containment to be made possible by testing--containment isn't possible.

Aggressive quarantine and isolation almost certainly has slowed the spread  of the epidemic over the past month.  The entire world should have used this time to coordinate the mass production and distribution of anti-viral medication, so it would be readily available to give early in infection course.  We're *all* going to need that, probably pretty soon.

How does it comes that these tests are so bad ? But if you don't test, than where will it end ? These tests are basically to only thing they have to stop it.

40
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 23, 2020, 09:00:57 PM »
It's carnival in Brasil right now, 3,5 million overseas visitors.

https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20200222_09/

41
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 23, 2020, 08:05:08 PM »
All the members of the family in the apartment died in Wuhan. https://variety.com/2020/film/asia/virus-kills-chinese-film-director-family-wuhan-1203505614/

That supports the fatalities near the streets a little bit. I saw this the first time in the news over here. The regular news on television.

43
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 20, 2020, 10:46:36 AM »
Mission summary: WHO Field Visit to Wuhan, China 20-21 January 2020

Link >> https://www.who.int/china/news/detail/22-01-2020-field-visit-wuhan-china-jan-2020

Vox, perhaps your sources are shit and this is the reason i don't read your posts anymore.

That was before the lock down. Last week they were not allowed anymore. People die in their houses with their relatives, with no medical help. That is something you probably don't want to show the world. But maybe the world should know it, than they know there is something more at stake besides supply chains. First they die in your arms , and than you have to put them outside with the garbage.

44
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 19, 2020, 11:25:27 AM »
And what would the economic impact be for places like the EU and the US ? The last ships from China arrive in european harbours this week. After this week there will be no ships for minimum one month, in most cases longer. Let's say that each ship is 20 000 containers with consumer goods. And 20 000 containers not coming in , is also 20 000 containers not going out. Train cargo is halted, and a big part of air cargo. I think we are going to see some empty shops.

45
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 15, 2020, 10:31:10 PM »
The whistle-blowing doktor was 41, and he's gone.

46
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 14, 2020, 02:39:04 PM »
Sam, I agree that China has done something that no other nation on Earth, with the possible exception of NK, could have done. It is what the Chinese government is saying that I am wondering about. They won’t allow the CDC in. They keep WHO on a tight leash. They have a history of misinformation in their propaganda. In addition to the practical problems you stated on the statistics there is, IMHO, a question about the CCP’s credibility.

It was only to late. At the time they placed Wuhan in lock down. The virus was aleady spreading in Singapore. The doctor was right.

47
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 11, 2020, 07:57:46 PM »
I made a little calculation. Nothing important, just pure maths. The airport in Kolkata (India) recieves 10000 people from China every week. That's  like 60000 people since China warned the WHO. There are 40000+ people infected in China. Or 1 infected person for every 30000+ people. So that gives it a big chance that during this 6 weeks in Kolkata 2 infected people from China entered the country. And you have 30 international airports in India. That's like 60 infected people. Lets say that they infect 3 other people in 5 days. Than where should i put the day to start calculating ? Not on 31 dec. Lets say in the middle, the average. On 21 jan you have 60 infected people in India. Five days later they infected 180 people. On the 31th they infected 540 people. On the 5th feb they infected 1620 people. On the 10th they infected 4860 people. By next Saturday that will be 14580 infected people. There are like 20 000 hospitals in India. So that number want be a problem. When would it become a problem, lets say 50 extra beds per hospital. For that they need 1 million infected people. At the 20th feb the number of infected people will be like 45 000 people. On the 25th feb 135 000. By the first of March 400 000 infected people. And on the 6th of March 1,2 million. That's when we should start to read that the healthcare system is running on the edge.

48
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 10, 2020, 06:57:47 PM »
In extreme cases the incubation time is 24 days. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202002/10/WS5e41162aa310128217276612.html

49
Arctic sea ice / Re: "Stupid" Questions :o
« on: February 09, 2020, 06:23:04 PM »
If the Corona virus can survive for 9 days. And you order something on-line. And lets say that somebody sniezes on your stuff just before they ship it. It will be anywhere in half a day. Would it be able to survive the conditions in a airplaine ?

50
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 09, 2020, 07:53:37 AM »
Thanks to all for the updates, and especially to Sam for the math.


I read the wiki for SARS. In Toronto a single person was responsible for an infection that sickened over 250 people. That scary epidemic that is dwarfed by what we're now facing.


At another site I read that the coronavirus is viable for 9 days on a door knob or hand rail, much longer than SARS (or the common cold). This and the possibility of infecting others for 14 days while no symptoms are apparent will make this damn near impossible to contain.


I'm hugely appreciative of the massive Chinese efforts, but all they can buy us is a small head start.


Stay Healthy
Terry

These 9 days , is that a certainty ? Or is it more like a wild guess.

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