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Messages - Sigmetnow

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Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars Part Deux
« on: October 11, 2019, 09:06:09 PM »
Spectrum News NY1 (@NY1) 10/10/19, 6:30 AM
A traffic warning sign on Vanderbilt Ave. in #Brooklyn has been flashing anti-car messages over the past month. A company contracted by @MTA who operates it says the lock is changed and the sign is reprogrammed every day but it keeps getting hacked.
Image below.  Video clip of the sign in action at the link.

Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: October 09, 2019, 03:19:07 AM »
'There Is Not a Climate Crisis': Trump Administration Spouts Brazen Bullshit to Justify Arctic Drilling
...attorneys with the Sierra Club stumbled upon this tidbit:

“The BLM does not agree that the proposed development is inconsistent with maintaining a livable planet (i.e., there is not a climate crisis). The planet was much warmer within the past 1,000 years, prior to the Little Ice Age, based on extensive archaeological evidence (such as farming in Greenland and vineyards in England). This warmth did not make the planet unlivable; rather, it was a time when societies prospered.”

This text was included five times in this section of the final environmental impact statement in response to public comments legal group Trustees for Alaska submitted. All the All group’s comments revolved around the role drilling in the Alaskan refuge could have in making climate change worse.

This is the first time that the Sierra Club and its partners have identified the use of such blatant climate-denying language in an official federal environmental analysis. Government officials, including Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Andrew Wheeler and even President Donald Trump, have said such things before, but an environmental impact statement is more than words. It’s the legal support for a project. ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: October 09, 2019, 03:11:39 AM »
Matthew (@TorbsTalks) 10/6/19, 8:17 AM
It has been brought to my attention that @FatboySlim has mixed @GretaThunberg’s speech into “right here, right now” and it’s incredible
95-second concert-audience video at the link.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: October 07, 2019, 04:05:35 AM »
Or is MJO an overrated threat?
Mark Sudduth (@hurricanetrack) 10/6/19, 1:52 PM
Just don't see how we get out of October without significant development in the Caribbean or vicinity with this kind of look to the MJO. Global models hinting at something popping up in about a week. We shall see...

Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: October 05, 2019, 08:54:48 PM »
Saying that battery storage can’t replace coal plants because batteries can’t run for “days, weeks or months” is an overly simplistic view of battery storage that conveniently ignores battery benefits that coal or gas plants cannot provide:  instant grid balancing and ancillary services.

“In the first four months of operations of the Hornsdale Power Reserve (the official name of the Tesla big battery, owned and operated by Neoen), the frequency ancillary services prices went down by 90 per cent, so that’s 9-0 per cent.

“And the 100MW battery has achieved over 55 per cent of the FCAS revenues in South Australia. So it’s 2 per cent of the capacity in South Australia achieving 55 per cent of the revenues in South Australia.

Battery storage with its unparalleled technological capabilities keeps the grid balanced using fewer fossil fuel or nuclear plants, expanding the utility of the renewable sources that replace them.

Pennsylvania will join a coalition of nine other Northeast U.S. states that cap the amount of pollution power plants can emit.
Gov. Tom Wolf (D) signed an executive order Thursday that commits the state to the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), which requires power plants to buy credits for the carbon pollution they emit.

"Climate change is the most critical environmental threat confronting the world, and power generation is one of the biggest contributors to greenhouse gas emissions," Wolf said in a release. "Given the urgency of the climate crisis facing Pennsylvania and the entire planet, the commonwealth must continue to take concrete, economically sound and immediate steps to reduce emissions."

Utilities are the second-largest source of carbon pollution in the country. The funds raised through the cap and trade program are then invested in efforts to reduce energy consumption, like energy efficiency programs, or efforts to boost clean electricity.

Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New York, Rhode Island and Vermont are the other members of RGGI.

RGGI's goals, primarily to reduce carbon pollution, could be a big undertaking for a state that is still reliant on fossil fuels.  Pennsylvania gets more than half of its electricity from natural gas and coal, both of which emit carbon when burned.

The state's economy also remains reliant on the fossil fuel sector. Pennsylvania is one of the biggest producers and consumers of natural gas and is also the nation's fourth largest producer of coal.

Growth in RGGI comes as many of the same states are considering a similar program to limit carbon pollution from transportation.

Consequences / Re: Heatwaves
« on: October 02, 2019, 10:15:30 PM »
No-one throwing snowballs in Congress today ?

No, but things are getting quite chilling for Republicans there:

The State Department's inspector general has arrived on Capitol Hill after requesting an urgent briefing with senior congressional staff.

Consequences / Re: Heatwaves
« on: October 02, 2019, 10:07:54 PM »
Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) 10/2/19, 3:33 PM
Dulles, with a high so far of 95, joins DC and Baltimore (which both hit 98 [36.7°C]) in setting all-time October highs.

Andrew Freedman (@afreedma) 10/2/19, 1:30 PM
With the all-time monthly October record falling shortly after 1 pm in D.C., broader look reveals more than 130 million are roasting in mid-July heat on October 2 across much of the U.S.

WaPo article:

Consequences / Re: Heatwaves
« on: October 02, 2019, 08:35:22 PM »
Washington, D.C.

Capital Weather Gang on Twitter:
"BREAKING: Washington hits 97, passing previous hottest October temperature of 96. This is DC's hottest October day in recorded history.
More at the link. (But not the image below. ;))

Consequences / Re: Heatwaves
« on: October 02, 2019, 05:56:03 PM »
Dozens of U.S. Cities Had Their Hottest Septembers on Record
Image below.

The southeast U.S. remains under a high pressure heat dome, with record heat and next to no rain:
NWS Columbia on Twitter: "The end of September was one of the warmest weeks on record at Augusta GA with 5 daily records set over a six day period. Columbia Metro set 2 records as well including a couple of highest low temperatures as well (not shown). The heat will continue this week. #scwx #gawx”
Data Graphic at the link.

Drought Map below from:

Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: October 02, 2019, 02:51:36 AM »
Miami, Florida.  Not rain; this is street flooding during a king tide.
Brian Entin (@BrianEntin) 10/1/19, 1:17 PM
Really disturbing drive to pick up lunch. Miami streets not even near the ocean are submerged with ocean water bubbling up from drains. Never seen a king tide like this one.
Image below, 7-second video clip at the link.

May not seem like much now, but bringing a consumer’s environmental concerns top-of-mind, even if in a small way, is a good place to start.  Enough people choosing better alternatives makes it easier for companies to follow suit.

Shoppers will opt for slower shipping or in-store pickup during the holiday season to fight climate change
Many consumers will take climate change into account when making their holiday purchases this year, opting for slower shipping options or in-store pickup, which have less environmental impact than expedited shipping, according to data from Accenture’s annual holiday shopping survey.

Accenture ACN, -1.14%   and Coleman Parkes Research surveyed 1,500 U.S. consumers online, finding that half of shoppers will choose slower ground transportation and have items shipped all at once rather than in separate packages for a lighter carbon footprint.

Shoppers are also taking a retailer’s stance on social issues into account when choosing where to make their purchases. ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: October 01, 2019, 07:01:20 PM »
Plans to generate hydrogen via hydrolysis using renewable energy.
Note that hydrogen is difficult to store and transport, so that is often accomplished in the form of ammonia, NH3.
Also: the article describes projects that propose to generate hydrogen from coal (“It’s clean!”), but that isn’t fooling anyone.

Tipping Point: Renewable Hydrogen In The Heart Of Coal Country
As with the Moura project, the proposal involves deploying renewable energy to generate hydrogen from water, with the aim of replacing natural gas as a feedstock.

Australia Eyeballs A Renewable Hydrogen Future

Australia is a global coal-exporting giant but apparently it sees the writing on the wall. Through ARENA, the country has prioritized renewable hydrogen for industrial operations, with the aim of “future proofing our energy system and economy and helping to further unlock the vast renewable resources Australia has on offer.”

ARENA points out that ammonia production currently accounts for fully half of all global hydrogen consumption. Since natural gas is the primary source of hydrogen today, that leaves a huge, gaping opportunity for renewable energy to step in and replace natural gas.

In other words, Australia could become a major exporter of renewable hydrogen. ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Trains, Trams, Subways and Buses
« on: September 30, 2019, 09:52:04 PM »
Feel free to add more information if you wish.  I took the original post to be conversational in nature, not a definitive answer. :)

Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: September 30, 2019, 09:47:38 PM »

Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: September 30, 2019, 05:33:40 PM »
Why Electric-Powered Mobility Is Finally Finding Traction
The value proposition of EVs can’t be properly examined by just looking at the private car, which is something smart city planners are expecting will wane in popularity. Public transit, which sees a usage rate of over 56% in New York City, is a major component of any city electrification strategy, as are the multitude of delivery vehicles (vans and medium-to-large trucks that stop short of long-haul tractor trailers) that form the supply backbone of any city. The electrification of these elements within an aspiring smart city would go a long way towards reshaping our urban cores.

Jouret also raised other resistance points such as questions surrounding communal charging stations and the need for the local grids to accommodate high power demands in short bursts. The former requires a non-technical solution, something in the vein of incentives driven by policy and carefully crafted business models. The latter is a topic being carefully studied by EV fleet owners, such as the fleets of delivery vehicles mentioned earlier. A typical scenario for a delivery fleet would require the EVs charged and ready for use early in the morning. The vehicles would need to be plugged in at the end of the day, which would arguably tax any local grid. Enter the microgrid, a way to spread the load across the charging period. The depot where the vehicles are parked would have its own microgrid, supported by solar panels and older batteries that were removed from fleet vehicles. “[T]hey would use [the power from the stationary batteries] for when the vans show up in the early evening for the first part of the charging cycle, then switch over to the local grid say at 11:00pm when most of the consumer demand for electricity begins to ebb. So what that depot is doing is managing its own energy generation, energy storage and energy demand in a dynamic manner in order to optimize the cost of its own electricity and to minimize volatility peaks.”

European Countries Listed By BEV Car Market Share In H1 2019
Data below.
Denmark BEV share up x5, the biggest HoH of any European country.  Sweden up 500%.

Behind sales, a profit struggle at BMW, Mercedes
For the first half, BMW's closely watched automotive earnings before interest and taxes margin collapsed to 2.8 percent, while the Mercedes car division had a 1.4 percent operating return on sales. The results are well below the automakers' targeted 8 to 10 percent margin.

Why are roads and tracks the width they are today?  Because history.

The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: September 30, 2019, 05:08:39 PM »
SpaceX Has Starry-Eyed Ambitions for Its Starship
Elon Musk has laid out an ambitious future for his spaceship project, the effort to deliver people to the moon and Mars.

Jon Erlichman (@JonErlichman) 9/29/19, 7:00 PM
11 years ago, SpaceX completed its first successful launch.
- valuation then: $410 million
- valuation now: $52 billion*
(*Morgan Stanley estimate)
At the link: 41-second video of that Falcon 1 launch and staging.

Austin Barnard (@austinbarnard45) 9/29/19, 12:13 PM
StarShip looks absolutely gorgeous this morning.
Photo below.
< I just realized last night what it's sitting on!
Those are the pilings they drilled and poured in the last couple weeks with the tall crane.
That's how it's secured, by sitting on top of 6 concrete pillars 80 feet or whatever in the ground.
So no legs yet, just mounts.

< What’s the hole for?
runni’n news (@rlikness) 9/29/19, 12:28 PM 
So that Elon can look inside
Photo below. ;)

Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: September 30, 2019, 02:12:43 AM »
Schwarzenegger arranged for Thunberg to have a Tesla Model 3 at her disposal as she made her way from the United States to a climate rally in Montreal, ensuring that she could get around in as environmentally friendly a way as possible.

Arnold Schwarzenegger Sent Greta Thunberg an Electric Car

Consequences / Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« on: September 29, 2019, 01:48:34 AM »
A possibly historic snow storm in the West plus a heat wave in the East — what's going on? -
Historic snow and a heat wave? That’s what a downright loopy jet stream pattern is bringing to large parts of the United States.

Parts of the Northern Rockies are bracing for what the National Weather Service in Missoula, MT is describing as an “historic winter storm this weekend,” with up to five feet [1.5 meters] of snow forecast. ...

Although this part of the United States is no stranger to early autumn snow, it’s not usually measured in feet.

Meanwhile, parts of the U.S. East Coast are continuing to experience temperatures well above normal for this time of year — and conditions are forecast to heat up even more, potentially to record-high levels next week.

With a stubborn “heat dome” parked overhead, the Southeast has already been enduring one of its hottest Septembers on record. And the strength of the dome is forecast to intensify next week to a point that occurs just one day every 10 to 30 years during this time of year, according to an analysis by meteorologist Rob Elvington of WAAY TV in Huntsville, AL. ...

Edit: more, from 3 months ago:
A Winding Jetstream Brings Weather Chaos Around the Globe – Climate Denial Crock of the Week

The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: September 28, 2019, 11:11:10 PM »

Terry ::)

It’s almost as though you don’t understand the lengthy NASA, FAA, FCC et al. certification process, let alone the logistics of scheduling additional vehicles and crew versus the supplies and docking ports available on the ISS.

I'm not even expected to understand. :) Mr. Musk on the other hand is, and should be expected to have some knowledge of the process. :(


So show me someone else who has done it faster — in fact, any commercial company that has done it at all!  That’s right, you cannot. No one has. 

When you are doing things that have never been done before, it’s impossible to know what problems will arise.

Refer to the meme above with all of SpaceX’s firsts.  To doubt they will accomplish manned space flight in short order is ridiculous.

Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: September 27, 2019, 03:04:04 AM »
(Sarcasm alert.)  Autoworker strike update.

Automotive News:  UAW-GM unresolved issues are at ‘main table,’ union official says

ValueAnalyst (@ValueAnalyst1) 9/26/19, 4:57 AM
This is a super complex issue. I’m very, very curious to see how it’ll all pan out.

My guess: it ends in ~10 more days, just as @GM’s inventories decline to normal.


Jaguar Land Rover to shut down UK factories for a week in November | Jaguar Land Rover
Jaguar Land Rover will halt production at British factories for a week in November, joining BMW and Toyota in staging a shutdown to mitigate potential disruption from a no-deal Brexit.

Speaking a day after Michael Gove said the automotive industry was readyfor no deal, the JLR chief executive, Ralf Speth, said the company had no choice but to stop production lines at four facilities.

“We cannot think about it, we just have to do it,” he said during an event at JLR’s engineering and development site in Gaydon, Warwickshire, to mark the opening of an advanced product creation centre.

“I need 20 million parts a day and that means I have to make commitments to my suppliers. I have to have every and each part available and I have to have it just in time,” he said.

JLR is among several carmakers that have repeatedly voiced grave concerns about the impact a no-deal Brexit would have on their industry. In particular, they have warned of disruption to the “just-in-time” flow of car parts underpinning an industry that employs more than 800,000 people in the UK. JLR employs more than 40,000 people in Britain. ...

Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: September 27, 2019, 01:46:50 AM »
Houston, Texas

In an interview on The Weather Channel, Dominic Boyer recommended a "managed retreat" out of the 100-year flood plain in Harris County, Texas.  The area has experienced four 500-year floods in the past four years.

Multiple flood events erode neighborhood spirit, study finds

Policy and solutions / Re: Becoming Vegan.
« on: September 26, 2019, 10:01:50 PM »
I think this prediction may be wrong. We’ll see. The times, they are a-changing.

McDonald's Is Testing a Plant-Based Burger. It's Going to Fail.
McDonald's isn't for the health-conscious

McDonald's would love for its test of what it's calling the "the P.L.T." (for plant, lettuce, and tomato) to succeed. The chain will test the new sandwich for 12 weeks in 28 restaurants in southwestern Ontario, starting Sept. 30, according to a press release. That's a small test in a pretty obscure market. The company is doing that because it has decades of experience where consumers ignore healthier options on its menu. And while it wants this to work, it knows it probably won’t.

People who visit fast-food chains generally want a full-on fast food experience. They're not looking for healthy options, because they already view the meal as an indulgence or an earned cheat. That's why various efforts to offer more healthy products have generally not been successful. ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: September 26, 2019, 09:05:12 PM »
 ;D Spot on! ;D

"Children acting like adults can make adults act like children..."
Mark Humphries (@markhumphries) 9/26/19, 7:10 AM
For adults angry at a child.
“Because when it comes to climate change, we all know she’s the real problem.”
2 minute video at the link.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 26, 2019, 02:59:17 AM »
… Models agree that Karen’s forward motion will stall as the steering currents collapse. The latest NHC forecast depicts Karen making a small clockwise loop before embarking on a west-southwest track Saturday and Sunday as the upper high builds near and to the north of Karen, blocking recurvature. On such a course, Karen would approach the Bahamas about a week from now and could theoretically continue onward into Cuba or Florida later next week.

On Jerry’s current track, the center is likely to pass less than 70 miles to the northwest of Bermuda on Wednesday evening. Since tropical storm-force winds are predicted to extend out about 70 miles to the northeast of Jerry’s center at that time, Bermuda could see tropical storm-force winds, in addition to about 1” of rain. The 11 am EDT Wednesday wind probability forecast from NHC gave Bermuda a 67% chance of experiencing tropical storm-force winds.

Tropical Storm Lorenzo became the Atlantic’s fifth hurricane of the year at 5 am EDT Wednesday. Hurricane Lorenzo gives the Atlantic 12 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 2 intense hurricanes, and an ACE index of 87 so far in 2019. An average season typically has 9 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 2 intense hurricanes, and an ACE index of 76 by September 25.

Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: September 26, 2019, 02:29:29 AM »
Norway gas station replaces fuel pumps with electric car fast chargers
A gas company operating in Norway recently made history when it decided to replace all of its gas pumps at one of its stations with electric vehicle fast chargers. The update comes as Norway continues its aggressive push towards EV adoption, which is currently being augmented by the arrival of popular electric cars like the Tesla Model 3.

The company behind the unique initiative is Circle K, one of the nation’s petrol providers. Circle K has an expansive network of about 16,000 gas stations across the globe, and the company has noted that most of its business still comes from powering fossil fuel-powered cars. Yet, Circle K Vice President Sverre Rosén stated in a press release that electric car fast charging has been seeing an uptick in demand in Norway, particularly as the country pushes for the widespread adoption of clean transportation technologies.

“We have never done this before. There are fierce battles over the square meters at gas stations, and the gas pumps still deliver the core products and drive most of the traffic to our stations. But now there is a development in Norway. Fast charging is in high demand and there is a growing customer segment. It is nice to be a pioneer for the whole world in this way,” he said in its press release. ...

Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: September 25, 2019, 09:31:51 PM »
Mont Blanc glacier in danger of collapse, experts warn
Italian mayor orders roads closed and homes evacuated over fears ice will break away
Italian authorities have closed off roads and evacuated homes after experts warned that a portion of a Mont Blanc glacier is at risk of collapse.

Stefano Miserocchi, the mayor of the town of Courmayeur, said “public safety is a priority” after experts from the Fondazione Montagna Sicura (Safe Mountains Foundation) in the Aosta Valley said up to 250,000 cubic metres of ice was in danger of sliding off the Planpincieux glacier on the Grandes Jorasses peak.

“This phenomenon once again testifies that the mountain is in a phase of strong change due to climatic factors, therefore it is particularly vulnerable,” Miserocchi said in a statement. ...

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 23, 2019, 04:59:45 PM »
The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) 9/23/19, 8:11 AM
Tropical Depression Thirteen has formed near the African coast and will likely grow into Hurricane #Lorenzo as it moves through the Atlantic this week:

Policy and solutions / Re: Extinction Rebellion
« on: September 23, 2019, 03:23:00 PM »
U.S.: Washington, DC this Monday morning

'Traffic across DC is gridlocked' as police begin arresting climate activists
(CNN)Climate change activists are shutting down the morning commute in the nation's capital, blocking key intersections across Washington, D.C., to bring attention to their cause.

"Traffic across DC is gridlocked," tweeted reporter Sam Sweeney of CNN affiliate WJLA.
He also tweeted, "DC police arresting student climate activists throughout DC."

The #ShutdownDC action is part of the global climate strikes young activists have been leading since Friday, to try to spur government action on the climate crisis.

Protesters blocked 16th Street Northwest at K Street Northwest. They connected themselves to a boat in the middle of the intersection and were being removed by police a couple of blocks from the White House.

A climate change activist group, Extinction Rebellion Washington DC, posted a video on Twitter. ...

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 22, 2019, 09:41:15 PM »
EyeOnTheTropics (@OnTropics) 9/22/19, 2:41 PM
New #Euro run for #TropicalStormKaren continues showing a left turn sometime Friday. #12z run backs off #Karen's intensity and has it farther North than the 00z run, which is more in line with the GFS. Still VERY EARLY, but seems a stronger storm=stronger ridge=farther South

Mark Sudduth (@hurricanetrack) 9/22/19, 2:38 PM
That’s never a good sign.
As I said, going to be a long week ahead. Already tough going today for Tobago as RAIN once again causes significant problems. Will need to watch #Karen closely.
Image below.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 22, 2019, 06:02:48 PM »
National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) 9/22/19, 5:13 AM
NEW: Tropical Storm #Karen has formed in the Windward Islands this morning, and a variety of watches and warnings are in effect. A Tropical Storm Watch could be issued later today for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Full advisory:
Image below.  Tropical storm winds map at the link.

Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: September 21, 2019, 04:47:48 PM »
Conor O'Neill (@conoraon) 9/20/19, 10:58 AM
The scale of what @GretaThunberg is achieving is genuinely incredible. This is her, sat alone outside the Swedish Parliament, Aug 2018 - the first school strike. Today she's spearheading a #ClimateStrike of millions of people, across 7 continents & 150+ countries. At 16. Legend!

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 21, 2019, 01:03:43 AM »
Imelda.  Houston, Texas.

2 dead as flooding disaster brings Houston area to standstill

Images below from The Weather Channel.

Germany agrees on 'art of the possible' climate action plan without blowing budget
Clinching a compromise was seen as essential to hold together the awkward ‘grand coalition’ of the conservatives and left-leaning democrats.

Both camps put a positive spin on the package, which includes a new domestic carbon pricing scheme, bigger incentives for buying electric cars, higher road tolls for trucks from 2023, surcharges on domestic flights and plans to pump money into rail operator Deutsche Bahn.

“Politics is what is possible,” Merkel told a news conference after 19-hour marathon talks.

“It was intense, but it was constructive and at times it was a pleasure to wrestle over the right path,” she said of the negotiations, presenting a united front with SPD Finance Minister Olaf Scholz. ...

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 20, 2019, 03:11:27 AM »
Houston, Texas.
Buffalo Bayou flooding.
- The Weather Channel

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 11:45:34 PM »
White Oak Bayou, on a normal day, and today.
To the far right, behind the line of trees under the ramp in the second image, is actually a highway.


Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 11:07:27 PM »
The Weather Channel:
“Some areas in Southeast Texas have picked up 40 inches of rain in 3 days.”

40 inches = 1 meter!

Hurrican Harvey in 2017 dumped over 50 inches of rain.  At the time, that broke the record for the greatest amount of rain recorded from a single tropical storm or hurricane in the continental United States. It’s more than 4 feet of rain.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 08:59:02 PM »
Taylor Trogdon (@TTrogdon) 9/19/19, 1:57 PM
White Oak Bayou near Houston has risen an astounding 20 feet in just one hour. That is a remarkable response to the rainfall rates experienced around metro Houston over the last few hours.
Image below.

Houston Bush Airport (@iah) 9/19/19, 1:38 PM
Roads approaching the airport are flooded, if you have to pick someone up from the airport right now, delay your drive. The airport is open, we have power and restaurants are open, so your passenger will be ok.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 08:32:04 PM »
Videos from local Texas TV station.  People have abandoned their cars on flooded streets; others saying they’ve been stuck there for four hours.  Water 3 feet deep (1 m) or more in places.

I-10 blocked in Chambers, Jefferson counties |
Chambers County Emergency Management said that water is in businesses and homes, reminding people that if they do evacuate and go to a shelter, remember to bring their pets, have them on a leash and bring food.

Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: September 19, 2019, 07:30:05 PM »
Greta Thunberg is not alone
As she tours Washington, Thunberg proves she isn’t a lone voice but a messenger for a growing movement.
Across the Atlantic, the diminutive but powerful teenager has used her skills of shaming adults to secure commitments from leaders in Britain, Germany, and the EU to accelerate efforts to decarbonize their countries. As part of her efforts to do the same in the US, she and other youth activists from groups including Zero Hour and the Global Alliance of Territorial Communities met with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) on Wednesday and presented a set of demands, including a call to support a Green New Deal. Youth climate activists also met with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY).

“[Pelosi] was really very, very supportive of what we were asking her to do,” Zero Hour activist Anaiah Thomas. “Sometimes you feel like when you’re talking to politicians you feel like they don’t hear you, but the Speaker listened to us, she gave us time to respond.”

A Pelosi spokesman told Vox the speaker’s meeting with activists was lengthy and ran over the allotted time, as she wanted to hear from each of the 25 or so activists there.
While Thunberg met with former President Barack Obama, she did not meet with President Donald Trump, who is a climate denier, or other Republican leaders. Instead, Thunberg and others protested outside the White House. ...

Wonder if Fox News covered the protest.  That’s probably the only way Trump would happen to see it.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 07:10:34 PM »
The thing is that this types of hurricane will happen more frequently, because of warmer waters an changing atmospheric patterns. This person, Mr. Cornish, who I assume to be a professional in charge of safe guarding the lives of their people is painfully unaware of it. Sadly, we are seeing these types of events more frequently and the rate and severity will keep increasing while the world warms and Earth systems change

Instead, Mr Cornish said massive hurricane shelters should be built in communities on all inhabited islands. Some designated shelters, like the Central Abaco Primary School, initially housed hundreds of residents before the storm but became so severely compromised that people scrambled to leave in the midst of Dorian’s passage.

Not a bad idea. For the population and size of Bahamas a "super refuge" sounds like a good idea. A properly built and well stocked building can preserve life and property. It should be built on a high place with an extremely good foundation, reinforced walls and windows and roof.

Ideally such facility should serve a purpose during the time is not used a shelter.

Also like all real security measures, the people need to be properly trained on the procedures for before, during and after the event.

A sturdy hurricane shelter is a good idea.  But as you say, destructive storms are occurring more frequently.  How often can the local populace afford to rebuild their own homes, and lives, before they become climate refugees?

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 03:14:38 AM »
Hurricane Ike hit in 2008.
Mark Sudduth (@hurricanetrack) 9/18/19, 6:30 PM
Some serious elevation going on with the new construction in the wake of hurricane Ike along the bolivar peninsula in Texas.
Image below. 13-second video clip at the link.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 02:49:01 AM »
There were 6 named storms in Atlantic and Pacific on Wednesday morning
Image below.

The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) 9/18/19, 4:40 PM
#Imelda has brought more than 20 inches of rain to some areas in the Gulf Coast of Texas. We are LIVE and bringing you the latest.
3:30 pm CT Radar image at the link.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 19, 2019, 01:03:28 AM »
TS Imelda
Matt Lanza (@mattlanza) 9/18/19, 6:04 PM
Tornado Warning east of Houston. This storm is almost certainly producing one west of Mont Belvieu, heading that way. Folks in MB and N or NE of Baytown should be in shelter.
- We could see a few more of these types of brief tornado producing cells over the next few hours. Probably isolated and nothing too crazy, but don't be shocked to see a few more additional warnings.

Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: September 18, 2019, 07:58:02 PM »
”water will flow down the Missouri River to jump by 4 million acre-feet (1.22 million meters)”

Those conversions are wrong. I'm not sure what they are supposed to be, since one unit is a volume and the other isn't, but it looks like someone has ignored the acre in the conversion.

well, the conversion from feet to meters is correct.  They would have to be "acre-meters" which isn't really a thing.

But apparently “meter-acres” is a thing....

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 18, 2019, 07:46:16 PM »
Stu Ostro (@StuOstro) 9/18/19, 11:49 AM
#Jerry #trippy infrared satellite temperature pattern as the sun rises on it is vivid but also meteorologically interesting, as it accentuates the intricacy of the deep convection and waves propagating out from the core of the intensifying storm.
Image below; gif at the link.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 18, 2019, 04:16:24 AM »
Mark Sudduth (@hurricanetrack) 9/17/19, 7:19 PM
That is one heck of an MJO forecast by the ECMWF. It lasts well in to October. Sure hope people are ready and pay attention.

< For us layman, does that pattern typically mean a lot of cyclone activity in the E. Pacific or Atlantic, or both?
<< Typically Phase 1 or 2 supports the Atlantic. Phase 8 is more East Pacific. Phase 1 I think is especially favorable for the Gulf/Caribbean region (which is usually favored by October anyway). That strong of an MJO in late Sep/early Oct would be quite something.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 17, 2019, 11:05:22 PM »
From the Weather Channel:

Now Tropical Storm Imelda, history:
Mon 9/16:  Area to watch:  Invest 98L
Tues 9/17 11am CT:  upgrade to moderate chance (50%) of depression or storm
   12pm CT: NHC declares Tropical Depression Eleven
   12:45 pm CT:  NHC upgrades Eleven to Tropical Storm Imelda
   1:30pm CT:  Imelda makes landfall on Texas coast.
   4pm CT: winds 40mph, pressure 1006mb, moving N at 7mph.  Location: 30 mi west of Galveston, Texas.
The slow forward motion is expected to continue over the next 3-4 days, increasing the flood risk.  Rainfall rates of 1-3 inches per hour are possible.

Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: September 17, 2019, 10:23:46 PM »
Republicans historically have championed states’ rights over the federal government.  But there are some big fossil fuel donors talking here. (Also Obama legacy, and Democratic California, to injure whenever possible.)

EPA set to revoke California's authority to set vehicle standards
Washington (CNN)The Environmental Protection Agency is preparing to revoke California's authority to set vehicle emission standards and could make the announcement as early as Wednesday, a source familiar with the plans tells CNN.

The source said the Trump administration will find the EPA previously acted unlawfully by granting the state a waiver from the Clean Air Act and allowing it to develop stricter standards than those of the federal government. About a dozen states have adopted California's standards.

California has historically been allowed to have stricter emission standards due to the state's unique geography and history of intense air pollution, highlighted by the thick smog that once blanketed Southern California. Revoking the Golden State's ability to set its own standards could stymie the downward trend in California's air pollution.

The state and Trump administration have clashed repeatedly including over environmental policy. Industry watchers feared that the Trump administration's plan to freeze federal emission standards, a rollback of tightened standards created by the Obama administration, could have led to two auto markets in the US, one subject to more restrictive California regulations and another linked to significantly less stringent federal standards.
Talks between the Trump administration and the California Air Resources Board broke down earlier this year, and the White House announced it would move forward with replacing the Obama-era federal standards.

Faced with that, California regulators negotiated a voluntary standard with four major automakers. Those negotiations are now the subject of a Justice Department antitrust investigation.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 17, 2019, 08:36:06 PM »
Stu Ostro (@StuOstro) 9/17/19, 12:11 PM
A serious threat from excessive rainfall -- regardless of whether #98L becomes a TD or TS. Low-level spin & moisture has consolidated (satellite) and will move slowly the next couple days (forecast sequence) w/training/regenerating bands & clusters of torrential downpours. #txwx
Image below; gif at the link.

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