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Messages - Sigmetnow

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1
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 24, 2020, 02:43:20 AM »
Volvo emissions cheat found
Quote
Gerard Fianen (@gerardfianen) 1/23/20, 6:29 AM
Next one caught for fraud. The @volvocars XC60.
Even with NOx reduction switched on (between 9 and 22 C) the car emits 736 mg/km (note that is 4.1x the max. allowed !).
At temperatures below 6 Celsius a switch-off device becomes active and the car emits 2,148 mg [3x as much] NOx per km (!) twitter.com/advandermeer/s…

- "The uncovered reduction in exhaust emissions in this vehicle during tests via a temperature sensor installed in the exterior mirror has now been confirmed by Volvo".

It is clear @volvocars make people suffer from Asthma and die earlier from COPD.
...
(Via @advandermeer )

Dieselgate erreicht Volvo: Abgasmessungen der Deutsche Umwelthilfe zeigen illegale Abschaltung der Abgasreinigung bei einem Euro 5 Diesel-Volvo XC60 – Deutsche Umwelthilfe e.V.
https://www.duh.de/presse/pressemitteilungen/pressemitteilung/dieselgate-erreicht-volvo-abgasmessungen-der-deutsche-umwelthilfe-zeigen-illegale-abschaltung-der-a/
https://twitter.com/gerardfianen/status/1220307471039967232

2
Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: January 22, 2020, 09:21:24 PM »
U.S.
Quote
FEMA Region 8 (@femaregion8) 1/22/20, 1:51 PM
FEMA and the North Dakota State Water Commission will be hosting a series of meetings to inform the public about the potential for 2020 spring flood threats, and steps people can take to prepare themselves and protect their property.

http://www.swc.nd.gov/info_edu/news_and_media/pdfs/2020_01_10_spring_flood_awareness_meetings.pdf

- The three meetings will include presentations from @fema and the @NWS as well as the @USACEHQ at the Jamestown meeting. Information will be provided on dam operations, current flood forecasts, flood preparedness and mitigation tips, and flood insurance.
https://twitter.com/femaregion8/status/1220056439454150656

3
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: January 22, 2020, 08:42:09 PM »
Not knowing much about capacitors (yeah, less than even that), I had this idea the moment after I heard that Tesla bought Maxwell - that one could load up a (future 1,000 km range) EV's capacitors really fast (like in 5 minutes - "megacharge"!), then get the car back on the road, and have the capacitors then, at near-optimum rates, charge up the battery.

Same!

It just seems so... logical!  But maybe increasingly fast battery charging brings it close to the time required to safely charge such a capacitor. I look forward to learning why it doesn’t work.  Maybe in Tesla’s upcoming battery and drive train investor day?  ;)

4
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: January 22, 2020, 07:20:49 PM »
^^
That sure was a teaser!  Your report, Sig, is about as long as the original!

It seems one quote or a tweet is sufficient to generate an article these days. ;D

5
Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: January 22, 2020, 07:17:13 PM »
Greta Thunberg guarantees you won’t forget this number
Quote
"I know you don’t want to report about this. I know you don’t want to talk about this. But I assure you I will continue to repeat these numbers until you do."

Thunberg's central number is 1.5 Celsius. She's even repeated it in front of a rapt crowd of international diplomats at the U.N. Now in 2020, Thunberg hasn't let up. And according to experts in communication, it's a smart way to convince people of the need to slash society's still-rising carbon emissions.

"I think her messaging is dead-on," said Jennifer Marlon, a research scientist at the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication.

Why repeating 1.5 C is smart

The 1.5 Celsius figure comes from the over 600-page "Global Warming at 1.5 C" U.N. report, which brims with statistics and analysis most people haven't read, and probably won't ever read. But "1.5 C" summarizes why the report, authored by 91 scientists citing over 6,000 studies, matters.

Repeating the figure, even if it's somewhat wonky and contains a decimal, makes the number familiar and meaningful to people, similar to a succinct slogan (ex: "Just Do It").

"She's taking climate change, which is often very mathematical and statistical, and messaging it with a slogan," said Mike Allen, a professor in the Department of Communication at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee. "It reduces a complex issue."

"When something is repeated, it's more likely to be picked up," agreed Jeffrey Jarman, an expert on rhetoric from Wichita State University. "Having these kernels of knowledge out there gives people something to hold on to.

"1.5 degrees [C] is an easy number," he added.

"Repeating is powerful."

Though, Thunberg's message isn't just about repetition. She's combining the number with talking points conveying the ethical need to avoid damaging levels of planetary warming — something people her age are bound to inherit. ...
https://mashable.com/article/greta-thunberg-climate-change-message.amp

6
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 22, 2020, 04:17:34 AM »
A recent study says new software updates fix the German diesel emissions problem.  But independent testing tells a much different story.

Diesel scandal New measurements put Mercedes under pressure
 January 21, 2020
Quote
Are the Daimler diesel engines really clean after the software updates?  New measurements make this questionable.
 
 The Stuttgart-based automaker calls diesel cars to the workshop for a software update.  However, measurements now show that some cars then emit even large amounts of the toxic nitrogen oxide.

 Was that the diesel scandal?  The Kraftfahrt-Bundesamt (KBA) suggests this conclusion in a study dated January 10: "Software updates lead to a significant improvement in emissions behavior," it says.  A positive effect can be demonstrated, especially at low temperatures.  "The requirements from the National Diesel Forum of August 2017 have been significantly exceeded," said the Flensburg authorities with euphoria.
 
However, new measurements by independent researchers show that the reality looks very different.  Emissions Analytics, a British testing institute, checked at the manufacturer Mercedes what effect the official software updates have.  The result: some of the diesel cars tested even emit larger amounts of the toxic nitrogen oxide than before the update.  The measurements were accompanied by a camera team from the ZDF magazine Frontal 21, the results are available to the SZ.

 On the test bench, diesel with the Euro 5 pollutant standard is relatively clean, but the emissions in road traffic deteriorate rapidly.  Therefore, only precisely documented, uniform road tests can clarify whether the problem has been solved.  Portable emission measuring devices are the fridge-sized parts that are needed for this.

 The Federal Motor Transport Authority is satisfied with the manufacturers
 Most recently, an older Mercedes C-Class with thick exhaust pipes could be seen again and again at the Daimler headquarters in Stuttgart-Untertürkheim.  However, the emissions specialists from Emissions Analytics were at the wheel.  In December and January, the Euro 5 diesel took its measurement laps at an outside temperature of 12 degrees Celsius.  What the English found out during the ten-kilometer test drives will not please Daimler boss Ola Källenius.  And it is in stark contrast to the recently published KBA report on software updates.  Källenius tries to paint the company green.  At the start of the year, he had philosophized in front of 2000 spectators about the harmony between man and nature.  His speech at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas was followed by the presentation of a "zero impact car".

 In the brand's workshops, the shutdown devices that have been uncovered are eliminated by means of a software update.  The new engine control system is also intended to reduce nitrogen oxide emissions (NOx) in road traffic.  However, the latest measurements in Stuttgart cannot confirm this, on the contrary: According to an official software update from Mercedes, the nine-year-old diesel emits 11 percent more of these irritant gases - even though the test conditions before and after were practically identical.  Even if you calculate a measurement inaccuracy of seven percent, the result with 792 milligrams of NOx is four times the Euro 5 limit of 180 mg / km.  Although this limit applies to the test cycle in the laboratory, the striking deviations in real operation are a major cause of the bad air in many cities.  Mercedes did not want to comment on the test report when asked by ZDF.

 Mercedes is not an isolated case, in total the software of 6.3 million diesel vehicles in Germany had to be revised.  "It turned out that many manufacturers adapt the effectiveness of their emissions control system to driving and environmental conditions, such as ambient temperatures," says the 140-page KBA report.

 After the software updates, the authority issues a positive certificate to the manufacturers.  Instead of the agreed NOx reduction of 25-30 percent, nitrogen oxide emissions were reduced by an average of around 41 percent after forced recall.  Through voluntary service measures, the car manufacturers would have achieved an average improvement of 59 percent in road tests.

 The new measurements by the British examiners put this into doubt.  And other experts are at least skeptical.  "To be on the safe side, we checked ourselves," says catalyst specialist Martin Pley, who offers hardware retrofits for diesel: "In Daimler vehicles, we see a NOx improvement of just seven percent due to the software update."  Axel Friedrich from the German Environmental Aid (DUH) can only confirm a nitrogen oxide reduction of 12.5 percent across all brands.  The KBA publication also shows significant shortcomings: the measurements in real operation, for example, lack the associated CO₂ values.

 The Federal Motor Transport Authority does not issue the measurement reports - in contrast to other test authorities abroad.  The Dutch research organization TNO, for example, measured a VW Polo TDI of emission level Euro 5 in road traffic for two years.  The more than 20-page study commissioned by the Dutch Ministry of Infrastructure proves that the average nitrogen oxide emissions did not change before and after the software update.

Google translate, from:
Dieselskandal Neue Messwerte setzen Mercedes unter Druck
https://www.sueddeutsche.de/auto/mercedes-diesel-softwareupdate-1.4765550!amp?__twitter_impression=true

7
Highest Atmospheric Pressure in More than 300 Years of London Recordkeeping
Quote
According to UK climatology expert Stephen Burt (Department of Meteorology, University of Reading), the mean sea level barometric pressure at Heathrow Airport reached 1049.6 mb (30.99”) at midnight GMT Sunday night (7 p.m. EST).

Not only is this a record for Heathrow, beating 1047.3 mb from February 7, 1964, but it’s also the highest barometric pressure recorded in London in more than 300 years of recordkeeping, Burt said in a summary. ...
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Highest-Atmospheric-Pressure-More-300-Years-London-Recordkeeping

8
Oil and gas sector ‘losing its social licence to operate’, UK boss warns
Quote
Tim Eggar, chairman of the UK’s Oil and Gas Authority (OGA), sent shockwaves through the industry on Wednesday (15 January) when he said growing public awareness about climate change was putting the sector’s very survival at stake.

Shifting public attitudes towards climate change is “the biggest challenge” facing the oil and gas industry, Eggar said in a speech to industry leaders this week.

“Clearly, climate change is happening right now. That debate is over,” he told industry delegates in Aberdeen, according to a transcript of his speech published on the OGA’s website.

The oil and gas industry must “act much, much faster and go farther in reducing the carbon footprint” he said, adding: “This requires ambitious thinking, capital investment and bold leadership. Action not just talk or more analysis.”

Failing to do so would have dire consequences for the oil and gas sector, Eggar warned, saying the industry’s very survival is at stake.

“The licence to operate for the industry has changed fundamentally and – unlike the oil price – forever,” he said. “If the industry wants to survive and contribute to the energy transition it has to adapt,” he stressed. ...
https://www.euractiv.com/section/energy/news/oil-and-gas-sector-losing-its-social-licence-to-operate-uk-boss-warns/

9
Consequences / Re: Climate change, the ocean, agriculture, and FOOD
« on: January 20, 2020, 05:47:27 PM »
Sigmetnow, these 'warehouse farms' are interesting but I wonder how they will pollinate their plants.
To me it seems not possible to sustainably isolate the growing of crops from the ecosystem (outside). Some things have to give and deteriorate I expect.

Today, they are growing fresh leafy vegetables in a warehouse in New Jersey, U.S..
No doubt the practice will expand to other crops as technology advances, because of the increased production compared to field crops, the sharp reduction of water needed, no pesticides, and LED “sunlight” individualized for each plant’s needs (which can be powered by solar panels).

This Farm of the Future Uses No Soil and 95% Less Water


The High-Tech Vertical Farme

10
Quote
Sam (@SamTalksTesla) 1/20/20, 5:05 AM
This is my town today, just meters from my home. Heartbreaking. Yesterday this was a beautiful cosmopolitan Spanish seafront. This is not normal. People constantly question my choices to not eat animal products and to drive an electric car. Here’s your answer.
https://twitter.com/samtalkstesla/status/1219199137016578049
- The sea is at least 40 meters closer than normal. People are walking around dumbstruck.
Image below; video at the link.

Also below: Surface winds right now.

11
Consequences / Re: Places becoming more livable
« on: January 19, 2020, 09:46:57 PM »
... the immediate solution is to reduce childbirth to one per woman...

A more effective control of population would be to reduce to one child per man.
Why would that be any different?

A woman can give birth no more often than about every 9 months, whereas a man can impregnate multiple women in that time.

Too many “population control” discussions involve ‘control’ or ‘restrictions’ of women, but what is missing is the matching concept of controlling men....

12
Consequences / Re: Places becoming more livable
« on: January 18, 2020, 06:07:41 PM »
... the immediate solution is to reduce childbirth to one per woman...

A more effective control of population would be to reduce to one child per man.

13
Consequences / Re: Climate change, the ocean, agriculture, and FOOD
« on: January 18, 2020, 02:40:28 AM »
Sig, “Eat the locusts” seem obvious but I think harvesting and preserving them needs some educational material. Any ideas?
 ...

I would start with methods used by companies like these which make cricket flour:

Bitty Foods
High protein cricket flour
https://www.bittyfoods.com/

The Cricket Flour
https://www.thecricketflour.com/

14
Sigmetnow:
I’ve gone from concerned to alarmed in that time frame.

Me, too.  Although I was already close to Alarmed in 2014.

15
Consequences / Re: Climate change, the ocean, agriculture, and FOOD
« on: January 17, 2020, 08:56:28 PM »
UN Warns Hunger Crisis in Southern Africa 'On Scale We've Not Seen Before'

Locusts Swarm Into Kenya as UN Warns of 'Extreme Danger' to Food Supply

Locust plagues occur intermittently in the Horn of Africa, but this invasion is the worst in 25 years, according to the FAO. Originating at the India-Pakistan border, the insects migrated into Somalia and Ethiopia and destroyed nearly 71,000 hectares of farmland in the two countries.

Clearly, one answer is: learn to cook and eat locusts.
I am not joking.

16
U.S.

For the first time, the Alarmed are the single largest group of 'Global Warming's Six Americas' at 31%. Over the past 5 years, they have tripled in size and are now 3x the number of Dismissive in the US (who have decreased).
https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/for-the-first-time-the-alarmed-are-now-the-largest-of-global-warmings-six-americas/

17
Consequences / Re: Effects of Climate Change on the biosphere
« on: January 16, 2020, 10:30:05 PM »
UN Proposes Protecting 30% of Earth to Slow Extinctions and Climate Change
Quote
The draft update to a global biodiversity treaty aims to solve two global challenges at once by protecting critical wildlife habitat and carbon sinks.

A new United Nations proposal calls for national parks, marine sanctuaries and other protected areas to cover nearly one-third or more of the planet by 2030 as part of an effort to stop a sixth mass extinction and slow global warming.

The UN Convention on Biological Diversity released the proposed targets on Monday in a first draft of what is expected to become an update to the global treaty on biodiversity later this year. It aims to halt species extinctions and also limit climate change by protecting critical wildlife habitat and conserving forests, grasslands and other carbon sinks.

Ecologists hailed the plan as a good starting point, while simultaneously urging that more needs to be done. ...
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/14012020/biodiversity-treaty-climate-change-marine-sanctuary-conservation-protected-areas-wildlife-habitat-forests

18
Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: January 15, 2020, 04:19:48 PM »
ESPN Australia & NZ on Twitter: "Awful scenes in Melbourne. Dalila Jakupovic has abandoned her #AusOpen qualifying match after suffering a coughing fit while playing in thick smoke caused by the #AustralianFires.”
https://twitter.com/ESPNAusNZ/status/1216943379507867649
Video at the link.

19
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 15, 2020, 04:07:52 PM »
Another important lesson from the video is how the cars handle the “battery empty” event.  Some stop with essentially no warning.  Others give dire electronic-crash warnings shortly before dying.  But the Tesla (as has been noted here many times) drives for miles past “zero,” eventually reducing performance, advising you just how dire a situation you are in, then at last quietly shutting down before anything is damaged.

20
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 14, 2020, 01:50:47 PM »
Every large project has a number of things like that to deal with.

Don't I know it.  But if you are intent on being the Knight in shining armour, having a solution up front which assures the local water supply is right up there.  Water, in the west, is considered a basic right but reality is that in many places it is a scarce resource. Particularly drinking water.

I am guessing that Tesla is making a huge announcement about solid state batteries at their next summit.

New Maxwell dry electrode battery.  Much less water required.  ;)

21
January 12

NWS New York NY: "As of 1:30pm, new record highs have been set at Central Park (68°), Newark (69°), JFK (68°), Islip (68°), and Bridgeport (69°), breaking records previously set in 2017 and 2018. Islip and Bridgeport broke their records by 10° and 14°, respectively!"
https://mobile.twitter.com/nwsnewyorkny/status/1216434600420884482

68°F is 20°C

22
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: January 14, 2020, 12:10:33 AM »
Victoria Police: "The delivery of hay continues. Victoria Police have been able to get trucks filled with donated hay supplies into the fire-affected areas of Tambo Crossing, Cann River and Newmerella.”
https://mobile.twitter.com/victoriapolice/status/1216218410134069250
Photos at the link.

Nine News Sydney: "Thousands of kilograms of carrots and sweet potato are being delivered to endangered Brush-tailed Rock-wallabies in fire affected areas as the NSW Government steps in to help. #9News”
https://mobile.twitter.com/9newssyd/status/1216221892358496256
Brief video at the link.

1987, Sydney Morning Herald
https://twitter.com/macaulaybalkan/status/1216333701027528705
Image below.

23
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 13, 2020, 11:57:50 PM »
Here’s a couple links.  Search the forum for “Tesloop” for others.

On the other hand, here is a study of battery degradation of 500 Tesla vehicles...
looks like 7 years 150,000 miles = 90% battery capacity on average.
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/cars/article-7764529/US-study-claims-Tesla-batteries-lose-just-1-performance-year.html
Study claims Teslas lose just 1% performance every year caused by repeat charges
- It says Tesla batteries show slow levels of deterioration for first 150,000 miles
- After 7 years, the average Tesla car battery loses 7% capacity, researcher found

—-
Tales from a Tesla Model S that hit 400,000 miles in 3 years
https://www.teslarati.com/tesloop-tesla-model-s-400k-miles-battery-maintenance-cost/


24
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 13, 2020, 11:38:54 PM »
...  As an aside, 1 million passenger EVs  on the road in the USA reduces demand for gasoline*** by about 0.03 million barrels per day, compared with 2018 gasoline consumption of a bit above 8 million barrels per day by autos and light vans (source: EIA + guess about HGVs & Buses)....

Another consideration regarding the reduced gasoline use is that the first generation of EVs were only short-range models, and the charging infrastructure was limited, which made long trips impractical.  But today’s EVs make long distance travel, even cross-country, an everyday occurrence.  That and fast charging now makes an EV the primary car, not a secondary one for when circumstances fit.  Add in the rapid growth of EV sales and it’s clear the gas reduction trend will not be linear.

25
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 13, 2020, 04:06:40 PM »

26
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 12, 2020, 08:07:16 PM »
Norway Puts Its Foot Down On Lexus' Misleading 'Self-Charging' Hybrid Ads: 'This is a Pure Lie'
Quote
Norway’s Consumer Authority has put its foot down on Toyota’s ads for the Lexus NX, deeming the campaign for the "self-charging hybrid" crossover as misleading. Many people complained about Toyota’s ads in Norway for its hybrid compact vehicle, with some stating that the company's pitch was a "pure lie."
https://www.tesmanian.com/blogs/tesmanian-blog/norway-toyotas-self-charging-hybrid-campaign-lexus-nx

—-
@LexusUK is still promoting that angle, however:
Quote
EV News Daily ⚡️ (@EVNewsDaily) 1/11/20, 7:06 PM
The latest rancid piece of shameful marketing just to flog the last few cars before people realise how great EVs are.
New tactic: Fill the entire screen with a massive battery and pretend they’re REALLY electric. No shot of an engine funnily enough.
How do they sleep at night?
https://twitter.com/evnewsdaily/status/1216149300411031553
Images below.

Some of the comments are hilarious. Seems to me like a massive PR fail but management remains so blinkered to public opinion they can’t see it. The poor social media team just have keep replying “but it charges when you slow down”.
Twitpics of comments at the link: https://twitter.com/evnewsdaily/status/1216150917713625089

< Doesn't Lexus have their own BEV (or to put it another way, a *proper* car fit for 2020) due soon?! Some serious back peddling is going to have to happen!
EV News Daily: That’s what we’re confused about. They are bringing plug-ins to market so, of all the ways to promote their clever hybrid stuff, why pursue an aggressive campaign against plugs? I can only imagine it’s short termism in the extreme.

https://twitter.com/evnewsdaily/status/1216276045797740544

27
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 12, 2020, 05:58:58 PM »
For me it is demotivating when I'm ignored and nobody engages or reacts to my posts.

nanning,
I’ll respect your choices, to be poor and spend hours a day drinking, smoking and thinking… if you respect others’ choices to switch to cleaner, sustainable technology which indirectly benefits others — including you!  And, for those making cheaper internet available to those who today have none.

28
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: January 12, 2020, 03:43:41 PM »
Another version of this chart.  IOD = Indian Ocean Dipole.

Mike Hansen on Twitter: "Australian mean temperature anomaly and years with positive IOD (records since 1960).”
https://mobile.twitter.com/hmike01/status/1215839244817616896
Data from bom.gov.au.  Links at the link.

29
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 11, 2020, 06:15:32 PM »
Quote
It is expected to accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in 9 seconds.
That must really shove you in your seat!

...because you are mashing the accelerator pedal to the floor as forcefully as you can.... ;)

30
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: January 11, 2020, 03:38:00 PM »
Shane Fitzsimmons on Twitter: "US fire fighters arrived at Sydney Int Airport this week, on their way to assist with fire fighting in Victoria. Coming through, all gathered gave a spontaneous & lengthy round of applause, reflecting the gratitude & admiration we all have for their generosity. #NSWRFS @NSWRFS”
https://mobile.twitter.com/rfscommissioner/status/1215194398721368065
Video at the link.

31
Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: January 08, 2020, 10:15:56 PM »
Fortunately, no tsunami:
Quote
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.0 OCCURRED IN
THE PUERTO RICO REGION AT 1118 UTC ON TUESDAY JANUARY 7 2020.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE. HOWEVER... THERE IS A VERY SMALL POSSIBILITY OF TSUNAMI WAVES ALONG COASTS LOCATED NEAREST THE EPICENTER.
https://ptwc.weather.gov/ptwc/text.php?id=caribe.TIBCAX.2020.01.07.1122

32
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: January 08, 2020, 09:58:40 PM »
How Climate Change Has Made the Australian Bushfires Worse | Time
Quote
The Australian bushfires were exacerbated by two factors that have a “well-established” link to climate change: heat and dry conditions, says Stefan Rahmstorf, department head at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and a lead author of the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Fourth Assessment Report.

In recent years, Australia has experienced long-term dry conditions and exceptionally low rainfall. Scientists say that droughts in the country have gotten worse over recent decades. At the same time, the country has recorded record high temperatures; last summer was the hottest on record for the country. ...
https://time.com/5759964/australian-bushfires-climate-change/

——-
Quote
NASA on Twitter: "Bushfires have been ravaging Australia's Kangaroo Island, which is home to native wildlife such as sea lions, koalas and endangered bird species. Our @NASAEarth satellites are monitoring the extent of the damage and the areas continuing to burn.”
Quote
Kangaroo Island Shows Burn Scars On One Third of the Land Mass | NASA
     https://mobile.twitter.com/nasa/status/1214668035149221888
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2020/kangaroo-island-shows-burn-scars-on-one-third-of-the-land-mass
Image below.

33
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 08, 2020, 08:37:31 PM »
...
Sounds like software may not be ready yet (but have got the OTA upgrades fixed for current production). Once software is written, might it be as easy as insert flash stick then remove it a few minutes later during which time an employee can be sticking another flash stick in another car or two?

If they have to drive cars a couple of minutes then hook up to complicated computer set up such that they can't set up many of these, then it is going to take a bit longer but even then the labour cost to fix each car is still unlikely to be terribly significant compared to cost of a car.

The finance requirement might be rather large and if borrowed the interest on that might be rather more noticeable than the labour costs to fix it. If they have the cash available then loss of interest earned wouldn't be so significant. "Expect deliveries to begin in late May" perhaps suggests a delay of 3 or 4 months with current production having OTA updates fixed but software required for other issues not yet available.
...

The “May” estimate was before the latest update, which moved the earliest deliveries to August.  If it were a quick fix, they wouldn’t need to park 10,000 cars in outdoor lots and delay all deliveries another several months until the problem can be remedied....

Quote
...because the first 10,000 cars are being manufactured without the ability to accept over-the-air software updates, the cars are being parked in outdoor lots until the company can send teams of software engineers to them to fix the problem. Another 10 or 20 thousand also have the problem, but OTA fixes should be possible.  Expect deliveries to begin in late May or early June, Volkswagen said.

But now:
•  First Edition deliveries delayed until August...

34
Policy and solutions / Re: Becoming Vegan.
« on: January 08, 2020, 08:21:30 PM »
Sig, The research and development department for one of the majors in the vegan burger business just ordered 15 pounds of mangalitsa fat from my farm. I guess if you want to imitate something you should start with high quality product !

Cool. 8)  Enticing people away from industrially-farmed meat by making a more attractive, niche-like plant substitute is all to the good.

35
UK media to Australia politician:
"You're not a climate sceptic, you're a climate denier."
Quote
"You're facing one of the greatest crises you've ever faced and there is you Mr Kelly, with respect a senior politician, who still doesn't think this has anything to do with a heating up planet.

"Nothing to see here, nothing to worry about as virtually your entire country is eviscerated by fires - it is quite extraordinary."
https://amp.9news.com.au/article/ed8dbdc8-30d0-4547-bd60-d7d15e4da61f

36
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: January 06, 2020, 08:16:18 PM »
A point I forgot to make: My 20th century car doesn't need more gas than a modern German rocket science car. ...

But it probably emits far more pollutants.

37
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: January 06, 2020, 05:45:08 PM »
Alex Steffen: "Damn. Wildfires burn their way to the coast in Victoria, Australia. The deep truth of this picture is that those forests will likely never be the same, and those beaches will be swallowed by rising seas before the end of the century. Img: Australian Maritime Safety Authority”
https://mobile.twitter.com/alexsteffen/status/1213607271072055297
Image below.

Brian Kahn: "Gut wrenching scene from New South Wales of dead animals along the roadside. The bushfires are a climate change-fueled ecological disaster. We should not look away”
https://mobile.twitter.com/blkahn/status/1213870775754616833
Video at the link.

38
Quote
NWS WPC (@NWSWPC) 1/3/20, 8:44 AM
*Preliminary* Precipitation Analysis for 2019 shows much of the country experienced a wetter than average year. The northern and central Plains in particular experienced an unprecedented amount of precipitation. Some areas broke previous annual records by more than 20 inches! [508mm!]
https://twitter.com/nwswpc/status/1213093785435090944
Maps below.

39
Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: January 03, 2020, 03:12:21 AM »
”This is not ordinary rain.”

Jakarta floods: 02 January 2020
Thousands have been evacuated after flash floods on New Year's Eve
Quote
At least 21 people have died in flooding in the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, after the city had its most intense rainfall for at least 24 years.

The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) measured 377mm (14.8 inches) of rainfall in a day at an airport in East Jakarta. That's the most rain in a single day since at least 1996, when records supplied by the agency began.

"The rain falling on New Year's Eve... is not ordinary rain," said the agency. The agency said the intensity of the rain was due to several factors, including the monsoon season, as well as a high amount of water vapour in the air.

At least 62,000 people have been evacuated out of the city. Some people spent the night on the roofs of their buildings while awaiting rescue. The heavy rainfall is expected to continue until the weekend. The electricity has been switched off in many districts of Jakarta as a precaution, and some railway lines are also shut.

I have lived in West Jakarta for seven years. The capital is always prone to floods and no one thought this monsoon season was going to be a big deal.

How wrong everyone was.
...
The death toll is the worst since 2013 , when 47 deaths were reported. In 2007, more than 50 were reported killed.
...
Jakarta is one of the fastest-sinking cities in the world and experts say it could be entirely submerged by 2050.
https://www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-asia-50969418

40
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 30, 2019, 05:58:10 PM »
Let’s hear it for the mud field!

Tesla Gigafactory 3 Output Almost at 2K a Week, All Finished MIC Model 3s Already Sold
Quote
During the ceremonial MIC Model 3 delivery event, some of Tesla China’s executives shared information about Gigafactory 3 and its progress. An announcement about GF3 producing 280 Model 3s a day—or 28 cars an hour within 10-hour shifts--was made at the delivery event.

In a five-day workweek, 280 cars a day would amount to about 1,400 a week. GF3’s output would be a little over 1,900 if Tesla China was working with a 7-day workweek. Usually, workweeks in China consist of 6 days, bringing GF3's current estimated output to almost 1,700 Model 3s a week.

The General Manager of Tesla China, Allen Wang, announced that sales for the locally-made electric sedan were “very good.” He also shared that the Shanghai facility already achieved a production rate of 1,000 a week, somewhat confirming the calculations above. ...
https://www.tesmanian.com/blogs/tesmanian-blog/tesla-gigafactory-3-output-mic-model-3s-already-sold
   
Groundbreaking was less than 1 year ago! :o 8)
Quote
Elon Musk (@elonmusk) 1/8/19
And now … we dance!
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1082579294738698240
Photo at the link. ;)

41
Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: December 30, 2019, 04:02:56 PM »
U.S. Seasonal Climate Outlook for Precipitation and Temperature, March-April-May 2020
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=3

42
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: December 29, 2019, 10:04:28 PM »
Scientists in Sweden have created a liquid that can absorb solar energy and store it as a thermal fuel for as long as 18 years. The fluid works like a rechargeable battery, but instead of electricity, sunlight goes in and heat comes out when it's needed.

Link >> https://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-create-liquid-fuel-that-can-store-the-sun-s-energy-for-up-to-18-years

The Quadricyclane - Norbornadiene reaction has been studied extensively.  The elusive target here may be efficiency — how best to acquire and transfer the solar-thermal energy required to convert the lower-energy-state chemical to its energy-storing form?
Quote
Quadricyclane is a highly strained molecule (78.7 kcal/mol). Isomerization of quadricyclane proceeds slowly at low temperatures without the use of a catalyst.[1] Because of quadricyclane’s strained structure and thermal stability, it has been studied extensively.

In the presence of a catalyst norbornadiene is converted into quadricyclane via ~300nm UV radiation .[2] When converted back to norbornadiene via irradiation, quadryicyclane’s ring strain energy is liberated in the form of heat (ΔH = −89 kJ/mol). This reaction has been proposed to store solar energy.[3][4] However, the absorption edge of light does not extend past 300 nm whereas most solar radiation has wavelengths longer than 400 nm.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quadricyclane

43
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: December 28, 2019, 04:04:25 AM »
Apparently it’s official:  per Porsche’s website, the top-trim Taycan Turbo S is EPA-rated for 192 miles of range.
Quote
11:52 PM Fri Dec 27 14 43  porsche.com x RANGE
The estimated EPA range for the Taycan Turbo is 201 miles.
The estimated EPA range for the Taycan Turbo S is 192 miles.
Range estimates based on standardized EPA testing may be found on the new vehicle window sticker ( Monroney sticker), EPA websites, and the Porsche.us website. Please make sure the range is adequate for your daily driving needs prior to finalizing your purchase.
https://www.porsche.com/usa/models/taycan/taycan-models/taycan-turbo-s/

44
Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: December 26, 2019, 04:40:00 PM »
AFTER THE WATER

When a flash flood ripped through Old Ellicott City in Maryland, U.S., residents thought it was a freak occurrence. Instead, it was a hint about the future. And adapting to that future has been painful.

https://apps.npr.org/ellicott-city/

Events, aftermath, then choosing the next steps to protect their town.
Unusual article layout; scroll down through the text, photos and video.

45
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars Part Deux
« on: December 25, 2019, 09:25:46 PM »
Increasing numbers of homeless people in California are living in their vehicles amid the ongoing housing crisis.
But now advocacy groups have opened up "safe parking lots" designed to let the homeless sleep in their cars without fear of being removed.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2019/12/23/us/homeless-living-in-vehicles-los-angeles/index.html

46
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: December 25, 2019, 02:58:35 PM »
The OEM overhaul story so far.

GM, Ford and others cut thousands of jobs and closed factories to save billions in 2019
Quote
•      Automakers such as GM, Ford and Mercedes-Benz cut thousands of jobs and restructured operations globally to save billions in 2019.
•      The collapse of the global auto industry a decade ago has not been forgotten by the automakers amid slowing vehicle sales and fears of an economic slowdown heading into the 2020s.
•      Many of the actions were taken in an attempt to safeguard investments in emerging technologies such as autonomous and electric vehicles in the event of an economic slowdown. …
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/23/automakers-cut-jobs-close-factories-to-save-billions-in-2019.html

—-
UK/Europe

2020 set to be year of the electric car, say industry analysts
New EU rules will penalise carmakers for excessive CO2 emissions.
Quote
Europe’s carmakers are gearing up to make 2020 the year of the electric car, according to automotive analysts, with a wave of new models launching as the world’s biggest manufacturers scramble to lower the carbon dioxide emissions of their products.

Previous electric models have mostly been targeted at niche markets, but 2020 will see the launch of flagship electric models with familiar names, such as the Mini, the Vauxhall Corsa and the Fiat 500. ...
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/dec/25/2020-set-to-be-year-of-the-electric-car-say-industry-analysts

——
Canada

Want an electric vehicle? Here's why it can be so hard to get one
What's affecting production, and why automakers send their limited supply to certain provinces first
Quote
Supply and demand
Canadian roads are filled with 25 million vehicles, and right now only about 136,000 of them are electric. But EVs could be on the verge of a breakthrough.
In a report by Clean Energy Canada, 54 per cent of Canadians polled in March said they're inclined to buy electric for their next vehicle. One in 10 are certain they will. ...
https://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/elecrtric-vehicle-ev-supply-demand-1.5394140
Data below.

47
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: December 25, 2019, 02:31:58 AM »
Quote
Rebecca Herbert (@RebeccaH2020) 12/24/19, 8:36 AM
#Australia prepares for post-Christmas extreme bushfires
6 people died in fires that have destroyed over 37,000 square kilometres of bush

A local firefighter and a koala watch their forest burn in a climate disaster.

#Tiredearth #ClimateEmergency #ChristmasEve #Christmas
https://twitter.com/rebeccah2020/status/1209467920771960832

48
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 23, 2019, 08:58:48 PM »
Quote
< Do you know the cumulative losses of TSLA short sellers?
Ihor Dusaniwsky (@ihors3) 12/20/19, 2:51 PM
$TSLA 2016-2019 cumulative net-of-financing mark-to-market P\L is a loss of -$8.173 billion.
https://twitter.com/ihors3/status/1208112799915954178

Ghost of Steve Jobs’ Ghost (@NotThatTesla) 12/20/19, 4:27 PM

Tesla Inc. net loss since 2008 is only $5.812 Billion

$TSLAQ has lost more money by shorting $TSLA than Tesla the company has lost in its history.
(Except Tesla’s wasn’t “lost,” it was invested, in growth....)
 
Quote
3rd Row Tesla (@thirdrowtesla) 12/21/19, 9:45 PM
Bears thought they got @elonmusk good when he they convinced the SEC to fine him and Tesla $20 million each — but Elon also bought $20 million in Tesla stock at the time.
Those $20 million worth of Tesla shares are valued over $30 million today.
https://twitter.com/thirdrowtesla/status/1208579343032545281
2018:  Elon Musk intends to buy $20 million of Tesla stock
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/17/elon-musk-intends-to-buy-20-million-of-tesla-stock.html

49
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: December 23, 2019, 06:52:58 PM »
Sydney, Australia.  December 22.

Nine News Sydney: "The ring of fire around Sydney is as angry and as frightening as we've seen. 20,000 people are tonight in the path of the mega fire rolling down the Blue Mountains into the town of Lithgow. #9News”
https://mobile.twitter.com/9newssyd/status/1208283137228165120
3.5 -minute video at the link.

Rebecca Herbert: "Flames climb up cliff face in #Australia Australia's Blue Mountains  :'( >:( Extraordinary footage shows flames climbing up a cliff face in Australia's Blue Mountains as bushfires burn in the region #Tiredearth #Sydney #ClimateAction #ClimateEmergency"
https://mobile.twitter.com/rebeccah2020/status/1208727620487135233
Video at the link.

50
Consequences / Re: Forests: An Endangered Resource
« on: December 23, 2019, 05:34:22 PM »
Elon Musk-Backed Tree-Planting Campaign Meets $20 Million Goal
Quote
Team Trees
In October, YouTuber Jimmy “MrBeast” Donaldson publicly launched Team Trees, a campaign to raise enough money to plant 20 million trees at a dollar a pop(lar).

Within days, the campaign secured a million dollar pledge from Tesla CEO Elon Musk, which was soon followed by a pledge of a million and one dollars from Shopify CEO Tobi Lütke.

Now, less than two months later, the tree-planting campaign has announced that it’s officially surpassed its $20 million fundraising goal.

Global Growth
According to the Team Trees FAQ page, the Arbor Day Foundation will oversee the planting of the trees, which will begin in January 2020 and wrap up no later than December 2022.

“Due to the sheer volume of trees planted (20 million), they will be planted in a variety of forests on public and private lands in areas of great need,” Team Trees wrote, adding that the aim is to “plant trees on every continent not named Antarctica!” ...
https://futurism.com/the-byte/elon-musk-tree-planting-meets-goal

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