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Messages - blumenkraft

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1
Climate deniers go after AOC, Greta Thunberg with sexist attacks

Why do i have to share a planet with such scumbags?

Must have been a very very evil worm in a former life...

2
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« on: Today at 03:12:56 PM »
Holy cow, that's a lot of export! 😳

Confined to the right side of the floating direction, so in my assumption, this is not only wind-driven but an actual surface current (as modeled by Mercator - see post above).

Now the question is i guess, has the wind caused the current? Fact is, the wind was stronger in the south end of the channel. Perhaps it caused some kind of undertow.

If so, is this the kickstart for a persistent winter current?

Edit: It came to my attention that users obviously expect an animation when the file is a GIF. The below GIF is not one but a still picture. It's a JPG i converted to GIF for file size reduction. I am very sorry if i confused someone. Your computer is NOT broken.

3
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« on: Today at 12:51:41 PM »
.. southward and southerly mean the opposite .. b.c.

That's some useful information, B.C. :D

Thanks for the correction.

Quote
I like that you can relay more info in 400 kb than some can in 40,000

I know some tricks, my friend. ;)

4
I do not get your humor (just hoping it is humor, what I do not get).

Same!

Quote
Dictionary

handler
/ˈhandlə/
noun: handler; plural noun: handlers
1.
a person who handles or deals with certain articles or commodities.
"a baggage handler"
a device which handles certain articles or substances.
"the company launched three telescopic handlers"
2.
a person who trains or has charge of an animal, in particular a police officer in charge of a dog.
3.
a person who trains or manages another person.
a person who trains and acts as second to a boxer.
a publicity agent.
a person who directs the activities of a spy or other freelance agent.

To those who call Greta a puppet of handlers, which definition of the word are you implying and for what reason?

In general, i have the impression the word is negatively connoted and i see it as a smear if used in the context of Greta.

5
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2019 sea ice area and extent data
« on: Today at 05:41:16 AM »
We are celebrating the Independence of México

Why do i hear Speedy Gonzales yelling "¡Arriba, Arriba! ¡Ándale, Ándale!" now?

Have a lot of fun Juan.  8)

6
Arctic sea ice / Re: The Freezing Season For Dummies
« on: September 15, 2019, 07:36:58 PM »
Let's take this to the forum decorum thread, shall we?


7
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: September 15, 2019, 07:36:27 PM »
The freezing season is about to start again and we need to give space to the professionals that don't like us amateurs messing up their thread. That's why I created this "thread for dummies" (aka people without a scientific background) that are concerned about the climate and want to discuss it without being bitched by the "professionals".
bitched by the "professionals" ?

ooooo! miaow

I can bitch! Does that make me a professional too?


Let me bitch a little too, please. :)

To the professionals, please give new users time to acclimate to the dynamics of the forum. This is a very different place than some other social media outlets, so stay patient.

When someone misbehaves in your view, please stay kind. Most of the newbs mean well but are not aware of the etiquette. Take Tom, who got massive hate for opening new threads. I mean, what the fuck? Heard of proportionality gentlemen?

Freegrass is here to learn and he found his animations to be a positive contribution. Others encouraged him including me and when i asked him to make the file size (way) smaller he immediately complied. Yes, one can ask nicely.

Here is to the new users, perhaps observe the space a little before jumping in too fast. Ask more if there is something unclear! Don't get frustrated if there is no answer right away, ask again.

8
The forum / Re: GIF size, your Internet, and what is usable?
« on: September 15, 2019, 03:28:32 PM »
Seems pretty much what I put together

Yep, we are pretty much in agreement on that. :)

9
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars Part Deux
« on: September 15, 2019, 03:07:33 PM »
Sigmetnow, it's rare, but i have to disagree on this one. You wouldn't dramatically lower the average speed with a speed limit. But you would cut off the unhealthy spikes.

It has been tested a gazillion times on German Autobahn. You let a Porsche and a Smart drive from Hamburg to Munich. The Porsche would travel as fast as possible while the Smart goes at constantly lowish speed. The Porsche will be there 15-30 Minutes earlier only for this 8h trip.

From a traffic flow perspective, a speed limit has proven to lower the rate of congestions, so you even upper the average speed in the conurbation.

So no, there would be no productivity loss.

10
Arctic sea ice / Re: When will the Arctic Go Ice Free?
« on: September 15, 2019, 02:48:55 PM »
We can't possibly know!

11
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 15, 2019, 01:31:38 PM »
blumenkraft and others can vouch for that .

I hereby do! :)

12
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 15, 2019, 09:38:01 AM »
Oddly satisfying ice drift forecast for 23.09. via Mercator.

The second pic the todays ice drift model.

13
The forum / Re: ASIF Statistics
« on: September 15, 2019, 08:00:40 AM »
That's correct.

It's reasonable to assume that a spike in interest would also cause a spike in sign-ups anyway.

On the other hand, we are talking about big numbers here. It would be very very odd if a 2x interest would only produce lurking interest.

14
The forum / Re: GIF size, your Internet, and what is usable?
« on: September 14, 2019, 08:10:26 PM »
I wasn't aware MP4s loads in the background until Oren mentioned it earlier today. And i bet i'm not the only one. People upload big files in the (false) hope it wouldn't download on the user's side.

15
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 14, 2019, 06:19:30 PM »
Animated gifs are roughly 3 times larger for the content I prepare.


Is that so? When an MP4 autoloads in backgroud no matter what (as i recently learned - thanks Oren!!), and everyone opening the thread causing IP traffic, the 'click to play' GIF (>700px) would save a shitton of traffic.


That said, i do enjoy your and Freegrass' animations and i do find them valuable. :)

16
The forum / Re: Suggestions
« on: September 14, 2019, 05:47:08 PM »
You can change that for yourself - choose modify profile

Awesome, Gerontocrat! Thanks for the hint.

B.C., this one might save your data plan! \o/

17
The forum / Re: Suggestions
« on: September 14, 2019, 03:37:23 PM »
Suggestion:

Reduce post shown per thread to 20 (now 50).

This would reduce bits moved per thread opened by default. Fewer bits to load for users and deliver for the forum server.

@Neven, what do you think?



18
Policy and solutions / Re: Insurance Industry Policies and Climate Change
« on: September 14, 2019, 12:13:28 PM »
Well, the Greens in Germany gained some ground recently. I think CDU politicians are in fear of losing the majority in the next election which is a reasonable analysis.

So the CDU is doing what they do, they overtake their opposition on their message.

They went totally anti-immigrant to fight the AfD in 2015.

So what they are doing now IMHO is trying to be more green than the Greens to fight them.

19
Arctic sea ice / Re: "Stupid" Questions :o
« on: September 14, 2019, 09:23:18 AM »
I would say this is due to the low solar altitude, Wallen.

Happy to be corrected on this.

20
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars Part Deux
« on: September 14, 2019, 08:56:57 AM »
A slow transition is ought to come. Nothing special has to be done for it. Just watch renewables become cheaper and cheaper and let the market do its thing.

But we don't have the time for a slow transition. The time for incrementalism is over. Incrementalism is exactly what mankind did wrong in the last 30 years.

It's either revolution or demise.

21
Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: September 14, 2019, 08:40:20 AM »
To shame those "who need shaming".
...
It needs a little (looking) school girl to get that across...

Even Kant needed way more words to say that.

22
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars Part Deux
« on: September 14, 2019, 08:32:17 AM »
Personally, i would make it 30km/h innercity (because everything above 30 is madness when there are kids around), 70 km/h outercity (because wild animals realize your speed below 80 only), and 90 km/h on Autobahn/highway (because everything above 90 makes the drag unreasonable).

And i would make it strict, as in 'if you go faster you get your driver license nulled'.

Additionally, i would regulate the maximum amount of recourses used for a car. I would basically ban supercars. Those are madness by default.

I do think there should be perks for EVs, but loosen the speed limit should not be one.

My hometown offers free parking everywhere for EVs. That's a nice perk IMHO.

23
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 14, 2019, 08:02:13 AM »
I hope others like it like i do! :D

24
Antarctica / Re: Antarctic Icebergs
« on: September 13, 2019, 08:25:55 PM »
Interestingly, it also moves along with the tides.

25
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 01:36:01 PM »
I'm not sure if this is comprehensible, or just confusing.

It is really awesome. !!

26
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 08:43:15 AM »
This one is most useful. If you could merge the temps in there that would be perfect.

27
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: September 13, 2019, 06:34:12 AM »

 They do not want to build good mainstream electric cars because if they do they destroy the decades and billions of dollars they have invested in ICE.

Exactly! It's called the sunk cost fallacy and it's a real thing. It's omnipresent in the car industry in Germany.

28
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: September 12, 2019, 04:36:02 PM »
Creator of Stanford Prison Experiment on Trump's camps: It's how Nazi guards behaved



Link >> https://www.salon.com/2019/09/12/creator-of-stanford-prison-experiment-on-trumps-camps-its-how-nazi-guards-behaved/

29
Wow, that's weird.

Welcome, Nuke. :)

30
Policy and solutions / Re: Greta Thunberg's Atlantic crossing
« on: September 12, 2019, 03:33:55 PM »
This is Jane Goodall.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jane_Goodall

PS: I can imagine today is quite a big day for Greta.  :D

31
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: September 12, 2019, 12:39:50 PM »
Hey trumpists, hope you are proud of yourselves.

This is taken from r/politics. The reputation of NOAA destroyed instantly because your great dictator manchild can't admit to a mistake.

This is what fascism does...

33
Arctic sea ice / Re: MOSAiC news
« on: September 12, 2019, 10:00:52 AM »

34
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: September 12, 2019, 07:24:43 AM »
Trump Administration Officials Arrested for Scamming Puerto Rico Out of $1.8 Billion in Hurricane Relief Funds

Quote
Remember when Trump blasted Puerto Rico’s government for their corruption and thievery, explaining that he was the best thing that ever happened to that foreign country whose president’s name he couldn’t quite remember?

Well, it turned out, it was his own people who were actually doing the scamming.

Link >> https://www.theroot.com/trump-administration-officials-arrested-for-scamming-pu-1838044256

35
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 11, 2019, 05:09:51 PM »
Unfortunately, by some the sea ice extent graphs are given the most attention rather than sea ice thickness and fragmentation (and sea surface temperature).

FIFY  ;)

I totally agree, the extent and area graphs are great for comparison, but you can only compare the extent and the area, and this is by far not the whole story.

Thanks to the ninjas who keep the data thread running anyway. :)


36
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: September 11, 2019, 04:11:34 PM »
Tesla Model 3 reportedly gets pedestrian noisemaker

This is why we can't have nice things.

37
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« on: September 11, 2019, 03:45:23 PM »
According to the weather forecast, we'll see strong southward winds in the Strait in the upcoming days. This could lead to export.

Recently, only the tidally driven wiggling pulled some floes inside.

38
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 11, 2019, 10:03:19 AM »
September 6-10.

Looking at this, one might think there was an increase on the Atlantic side.

Big nope though. It's due to widening gaps.

39
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 10, 2019, 05:20:45 PM »
Nah, what's that face Simon? Being corrected on something doesn't vindicate such a face. It's all good mate. :)

And thanks a lot for the 'veteran' compliment. Very kind of you. :D

40
The rest / Re: Empire - America and the future
« on: September 10, 2019, 02:21:51 PM »

41
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: September 10, 2019, 11:21:51 AM »
Quote
in my estimation,

Shall we use words in the context of their meaning or is it helpful to project very subjective things on them in the assumption the talking partner would know about them? Let's just stick to the former, because it's making the conversation way easier.

The CO2 emissions of a country is not a function of the political system per se. Sure, the Chinese government may decide to ban fossils just like that. That's not possible in the US.

We have a two-party fake-democracy country and a one-party fake-communist country. Both are emitting too much CO2. As does any 'western' country. This is because we all use the wrong primary energy sources. We use them because of the price. The price is a function of markets. The US and China are operating on one world market at almost the same market rules. Ergo the free market is the problem, not the economic/political label you put on countries.

There is one way out though: Put a price on externalities and make it a market rule by using market tools (i.e. taxation).

42
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: September 10, 2019, 08:09:29 AM »
China is still fairly communist, read the figures.

Let's start with the definition. ;)

Quote
communism
/ˈkɒmjʊnɪz(ə)m/
noun
a theory or system of social organization in which all property is owned by the community and each person contributes and receives according to their ability and needs.

With this in mind, how is China fitting this definition? In China, you have poor farmers and billionaires. Businesses are privately owned.

China is a neoliberal economy with an authoritarian government. Very much like the US these days...

You need to know, when the west in the 80s started their neoliberal war against humanity, it was a Chinese idea. It was Deng Xiaoping who floated the idea of privatizing to open China to the west. Thatcher, Reagan, and Kohl loved it and immediately adopted this policy, slashing welfare and privatized public goods and services.

43
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« on: September 09, 2019, 08:27:26 PM »
Those static icebergs in Kane Basin are starting to degrade slowly.

You can count floes in Kane with one hand by now.

44
The rest / Re: Good music
« on: September 09, 2019, 07:31:29 PM »
Not this trip especially, but there has been some. ;)

45
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: September 09, 2019, 07:15:47 PM »
LOL, i read it as 2.370t.

I don't believe the 39t figure though. I might google dat. ;)

Edit: Found this:

Quote
The study's finding of 8.2 years is "based on a series of assumptions." To get to that figure, two of those assumptions must have been that the internal-combustion vehicle in question gets great mileage and isn't driven very much. Oh, and while battery production incurs a carbon footprint in these statistics, the gasoline in the study magically appears in your tank and the only carbon emitted is from burning it (that is, the calculations ignore the carbon emissions created by producing and moving large quantities of gasoline). Those are nifty assumptions.

Let's say the gas-powered car is actually something similar to a Tesla Model S P100D, which would use the battery in question. Let's say we're talking about the Audi A8 4.0, another quick AWD sedan. According to the EPA, that car emits 6.2 metric tons of CO2 per year, given 15,000 miles of annual driving. And since A8s don't automatically percolate their own 93-octane, the EPA also calculates an additional 1.1 tons of upstream carbon to get those ancient dinosaur innards coursing through your fuel pump. Math aficionados will note that 17.5 (battery production) divided by 7.3 (total annual A8 emissions) equals 2.4. As in, apples to apples, the battery's carbon footprint is zeroed out in less than three years.

Link >> https://www.popularmechanics.com/cars/hybrid-electric/news/a27039/tesla-battery-emissions-study-fake-news/

46
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Forecast Graphics
« on: September 09, 2019, 03:27:12 PM »
That's a good idea, Freegrass. :)

47
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: September 09, 2019, 11:37:00 AM »
Technofixes don't work I think,

This statement is 100% correct, Nanning.

But, as you know, it's utopic nonetheless.

The question can't therefore be, how do we abandon technology but how do we use technology to mitigate.

Mitigation can't be avoided - with or without making use of technology.

48
The forum / Re: GIF size, your Internet, and what is usable?
« on: September 09, 2019, 11:19:44 AM »
Please, everyone doing GIFs:

In general, produce GIFs. They would work on any platform. If it's a big file (>2.5mb), canvas size should be >700 pixels so that it doesn't autoplay.

If there is no way around mp4 for you, consider uploading to Youtube and link it.

If you don't like Youtube for some reason, at least make it >700px big so they wouldn't autoplay and eat up data budget for users.

Thank you. :)

Pro-tip concerning screenshots. Even screenshots can be very big in file size. Upload them to EZgif, adjust canvas size to 700px, optimize it at 35 and then download as a GIF. You can easily make a 2.5mb file to be 150kb. Better for the forum server, the users and the CO2 consumption. Everyone is happy.  ;D

49
Antarctica / Re: PIG has calved
« on: September 09, 2019, 08:48:00 AM »
Open waters in front of PIG as the first rays of sunlight hit.

Sentinel-3 SLSTR

50
Antarctica / Re: Antarctic Icebergs
« on: September 09, 2019, 08:25:21 AM »
A68A from 4th without 1 cloudy day.

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