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Messages - Rob Dekker

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1
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: February 07, 2020, 10:12:07 AM »
Kirk Douglas on Hitler:

"I was 16 when that man came to power in 1933.  For almost a decade before his rise he was laughed at ― not taken seriously.  He was seen as a buffoon who couldn’t possibly deceive an educated, civilized population with his nationalistic, hateful rhetoric"

https://www.indy100.com/article/kirk-douglas-death-donald-trump-letter-2016-7466021

2
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: February 06, 2020, 11:08:41 AM »
After the impeachment trial :

In Private, Republicans Admit They Acquitted Trump Out of Fear

One journalist remarked, “How in the world can these senators walk around here upright when they have no backbone?”

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/05/opinion/trump-senate-acquittal-impeachment.html

3
The politics / Re: US intervention in foreign lands
« on: January 22, 2020, 09:42:33 AM »
Did it ever occur to you that that "establishment narrative" may actually be pretty close to the truth

Well, not in the last 30 years or so.

I meant for this particular chemical attack on Douma, April 7, 2018, in which at least 43 people were killed.

4
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: January 17, 2020, 07:26:09 AM »
The FBI arrested three members of a neo-Nazi hate group who had weapons and discussed traveling to a pro-gun rally on Monday in Richmond, Virginia, in anticipation of a “possible race war.” The NRA has yet to disavow the rally.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/16/us/politics/fbi-arrest-virginia-gun-rally.html

Maybe that "deep state" is actually working as intended.

5
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: January 12, 2020, 09:30:06 AM »
Trump likes to present himself as the anti-establishment candidate, and the anti-war message is a big part of that.
...
The difference with Russiagate and Ukrainegate is that those types of 'attacks' actually provide an argument for his anti-establishment narrative. Which is why they are so fundamentally stupid.

Trump "anti-war" ? What are you smoking ?

Quote
On Trump's first full day in office, in January 2017, according to The Post, the CIA showed Trump a recording of a drone strike in which operators had waited to strike until the target wandered away from his home, which had his family inside. But Trump apparently questioned the move.

"Why did you wait?" the person at the meeting recalled Trump saying.

and he campaigned on war crimes with statements like this :

Quote
"When you get these terrorists, you have to take out their families..."

https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-cia-drone-strike-terrorist-families-2018-4

No other president in the history of the US has ever advocated a war-crime, until Trump campaigned on it.

6
Policy and solutions / Re: Robots and AI: Our Immortality or Extinction
« on: January 03, 2020, 05:16:21 AM »
Parts of the story are certainly BS. I'm not certain that all of it was.
I followed it closely when first reported, Sail-Tracker, manufacturer of the 'device', employees ect.
The Cook did slow down to a crawl, then limp into port. Spent some weeks in port, then left the Black Sea (I believe under escort?).
Not sure what occurred, but reasonably sure that something did.

Yes. Something did happen : A Russian journalist (Dmitri Sedov) wrote a satire piece on facebook.

The myth took off from there, via Rossiya-1 (Russia's TV1 network) to the Sun and the Daily Star, and to Fox News (before they took down the piece).

Even the manufacturer of the Khibiny system itself made a serious attempt to stop this nonsense and debunk the myth :

Quote
...the manufacturer of the electronic warfare weapons itself announced that the report was false.

The company, known by its acronym, KRET, published an article in February 2015 saying that the Khibiny system was not installed on the particular plane and that while it can neutralize enemy radar, the article that said it completely shut down the American destroyer “is nothing but a newspaper hoax.”

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/06/07/world/europe/anatomy-of-fake-news-russian-propaganda.html

So this was another example of :

A lie can travel halfway around the world before the truth can get its boots on.


7
Well - isolationism might be preferable to interfering in everything that's comes visible on the horizon. As to the rest, none of these have ever appeared on my radar.

Isolationism kills.

It kills refugees in Syria, it kills journalists in Russia, it kills human rights activists in Mexico and it kills democracy around the world.

As for "the rest", may you be more aware of your radar in the future.

And yes. Neo-nazi's are "a type".

8
Policy and solutions / Re: Robots and AI: Our Immortality or Extinction
« on: December 24, 2019, 09:04:25 AM »
I posted before that in machine design, it is VERY hard for us to make a machine do something useful.

In fact, the mere fact that there are so many people working in technology fields is an indication that machines are pretty hopeless without us.

This is specifically interesting when people are afraid of AI or even think that machines will be taking over our lives.

To get a better perspective, here is a really good tutorial that explains how neural networks work.



Once you are through this, you should have a much better idea of what 'learning' an AI machine really means.

Also, the more complex machines become, the more dependent they are on us.
Just think for example about the IC manufacturing plants needed to make these complex AI chips.

So maybe this provides some comfort that we are VERY far away from machines or robots to take over our lives.

At BEST, these AI machines will actually help us do our work more efficiently, which should be considered a positive development.

[edit] And at WORST, they don't work. Which means somebody (human) needs to fix them.

9
Science / Re: 2019 CO2 emissions
« on: December 23, 2019, 09:11:43 AM »
Nanning, the 30.6 Gton/year is for 2010, as you correctly quoted from scepticalscience.com.

It's now 9 years later, and despite all the hard work to contain the problem, we increased emissions to 36.7 Gton/year (Bruce's quote).

The problem is that this is mostly from the 2 billion or so on this planet with a 'middle class' or higher standard of living.

There are still another 5 billion poor people who would like some reasonable standard of living too, with a place to live that has lighting, heating and/or cooling, a mode of transportation, and a healthy food supply.

We CANNOT do that with fossil fuels, since we will cook (and choke) the planet.

So we better get REAL serious about renewables FAST.

10
Policy and solutions / Re: Policy and solutions in the Netherlands
« on: December 21, 2019, 08:56:02 AM »
Thanks gerontocrat. Good overview of fossil fuel emissions in the Netherlands, and it is clear that fossil fuel burning did not reduce much (at all) since 1990.

However, that CBS overview does not include various non-CO2 GHG emissions.
This report presents a more complete overview :
https://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/2019-0020.pdf

In the graph below, you can see that most gain since 1990 was caused by reduction of non-CO2 GHG emission reductions, such as N2O, methane and F-gases. It may even be 15%.

It is unclear how the Netherlands can reduce GHG emissions by any meaningful (like the 40% pledge) way beyond this without seriously moving away from fossil fuels and towards renewable energy.

11
Science / Re: 2019 CO2 emissions
« on: December 20, 2019, 08:14:03 AM »
Seriously.
How are we going to stop this ?
Or at least reduce it ?
Or even slow down the increase ?

12
The politics / Re: Russia, Russia, Russia
« on: December 19, 2019, 09:21:26 AM »
They call Browder a 'fraudster'.

https://www.rt.com/news/476138-spiegel-browder-magnitsky-inconsistencies-story/

RT does. And the Russian state tried real hard to arrest Browder.

But I don't see that Der Spiegel calls Browder a 'fraudster'.

Where did you find that ?

13
Science / Re: 2019 CO2 emissions
« on: December 17, 2019, 09:14:33 AM »
You want to talk about CO2 emissions ?

We are now adding about 1530 Giga ton of CO2 per year to our atmosphere.
And that rate is still increasing.

Some people still think that geo-engineering is a solution.

I think they are nuts.

[edit]Fixed annual emission rate.

14
Policy and solutions / Re: Policy and solutions in the Netherlands
« on: December 17, 2019, 07:49:04 AM »
I'm sorry guys. I'm a Dutch, but living abroad, so I'm not very familiar with Dutch policy and politics. I am an engineer, and as such I'm really curious how the Netherlands plans to implement the pledge to the Paris agreement.

If you look at the world map, the Netherlands is joining the rest of the EU in the lead to reduce CO2 emissions by 40%.



Other countries like China and the US have insufficient pledges, and there are even countries like Russia, Turkey and Iran that did not even bother to pledge anything, so the EU is clearly in the lead here.

But even with that, how is the Netherlands going to reduce CO2 emissions by 40% ?

Clearly closing some pig farms is not going to do it, and importing Russian gas is not helping either.

15
Arctic sea ice / Re: "Stupid" Questions :o
« on: December 09, 2019, 07:46:48 AM »
All this talk about GDP and happiness, versus the argument that problem is not so bad, seems so irrelevant.

After all, if we keep on emitting more CO2, the problem will continue to get worse, so it does not really matter where you draw the line when it is called 'catastrophic' for you personally.

So, in my humble opinion, the real issue is very simple :

   We either, at some point in time, stop burning fossil fuel, or we will cook this planet.

Whichever comes first.

The only (stupid) question remaining is : If we don't stop now, then WHEN ?

16
Policy and solutions / Re: Robots and AI: Our Immortality or Extinction
« on: December 03, 2019, 09:11:00 AM »
I work on ICs. Integrated Circuits. Commonly known as chips. These are the evil machines that will certainly cause demise of the human race, and the Singularity.

I've worked on these suckers for the past 30 years, and let me tell you a secret :

I still have a job because these machines just don't work unless we tell them what to do.

That's my 2 cts on that subject.

17
Policy and solutions / Re: Policy and solutions in the Netherlands
« on: November 27, 2019, 08:35:50 AM »
Perhaps cars emit mainly N2O (GHG) and the pig farms mainly NO and NO2 (air pollution)?

From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NOx :
"Nitrous oxide plays hardly any role in air pollution, although it may have a significant impact on the ozone layer,[4] and is a significant greenhouse gas. "

"NOx gases are usually produced from the reaction among nitrogen and oxygen during combustion of fuels, such as hydrocarbons, in air; especially at high temperatures, such as occur in car engines.[1][2][3] In areas of high motor vehicle traffic, such as in large cities, the nitrogen oxides emitted can be a significant source of air pollution. "

According to that wiki page, NOx includes NO and NO2, and often also includes N2O, and that NOx is mostly emitted by burning hydrocarbons in car engines.

Also NOx emissions from pig farms (or agriculture in general) is minor compared to NOx emissions from car engines. See below a picture of the sources of NOx, from this reference :
https://www.rivm.nl/stikstof

Which shows that the vast majority of NOx still comes from traffic (even though it is much better than a few decades ago) and the energy industry (burning fossil fuels), and that NOx emissions from all of agriculture are still minor. Closing pig farms because of their minor NOx emissions is thus silly.

In fact, when above we talk about "stikstof" emissions from pig farms, it appears that we are talking about ammonia. Ammonia gets emitted from pig manure, and agriculture is the main source of ammonia emissions, as you can see in the second image below, from the same link.

Incidentally, ammonia is not a greenhouse gas, and the Netherlands is not exceeding its maximum ammonia quota yet, so that can't be the reason to close these pig farms either.

18
Policy and solutions / Re: Policy and solutions in the Netherlands
« on: November 22, 2019, 09:36:03 AM »
Thank you Kassy and RikW on giving your perspective on the Dutch policies regarding AGW.
I now live in live in California for the past 28 years, but I was born an raised in the Netherlands, and my heart will always be in the low lands.

I remember Holland being a pragmatic nation, no-nonsense, two feet on the ground, finding innovative solutions for real problems, in many ways similar to the line of thinking here in California.

But when RikW writes this here, I start to have some doubts :

Well, in the Netherlands we are going off-grid with gas.

If I remember correctly since a couple of years it isn't obligated anymore when building a new houses to connect it to the gas-grid and in 2050 the gas-grid should be gone and everything should be done electric. So the gas network will be written off in 30 years.

Heating homes with electricity ?
This does not seem smart at all, especially since most electricity in the Netherlands is still generated from ... wait for it ... natural gas !

So who came up with this idea to eliminate the "gas-grid" in the Netherlands ?

19
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: November 18, 2019, 08:59:58 AM »
A joined publication by The Intercept (not Glenn Greenwald) and the New York Times shows Iran's influence in Iraq :

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/11/18/world/middleeast/iran-iraq-spy-cables.html

Quote
The Iran Cables: Secret Documents Show How Tehran Wields Power in Iraq
Hundreds of leaked intelligence reports shed light on a shadow war for regional influence — and the battles within the Islamic Republic’s own spy divisions

https://theintercept.com/2019/11/18/iran-iraq-spy-cables/

Quote
The unprecedented leak exposes Tehran’s vast influence in Iraq, detailing years of painstaking work by Iranian spies to co-opt the country’s leaders, pay Iraqi agents working for the Americans to switch sides, and infiltrate every aspect of Iraq’s political, economic, and religious life.

21
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: October 22, 2019, 06:02:28 AM »
Don't forget, the US!

Allies gone, credibility gone, trust gone, hegemony gone.

Down the drain.

Agreed.

It is unprecedented how much damage Trump has done (to the US, to our allies, to democracy, to honor and respect, to the environment, to the poor, to the disabled, to immigrants, to international trade, to just about anything and anyone else but Trump himself and maybe Putin and Erdogan) in the short time he has been in office.

Trump. Has. To. Go. Period.

22
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: October 21, 2019, 07:39:53 AM »
Donald Trump currently has:

- No Secretary of Energy

- No Homeland Security Director

- No Director of National Intelligence

- No Deputy Director of National Intelligence

- No ICE Director or Deputy ICE Director

- No FEMA Director

- No White House Chief of Staff

- No clue

h/t @PalmerReport

23
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: September 25, 2019, 11:29:52 AM »
...cap the max allowed wealth and reduce the weight of cars to a certain amount per seat, i.e. 200kg per seat. That would either make a big car twice as expensive or lighter and most probably smaller in the process.

Size and weight is what has to be moved around and the more weight per passenger the less efficient, no matter the energy source. All energy has to be produced and the electricity used by a TESLA or E-Tron SUV could be used better for other things, i.e to replace some nuclear power plants are even coal power plants.

As long as we are not 100% renewable on electricity, every KW used by a car is missing elsewhere or producing CO2.

The heavier the cars are, the faster they are, hence the bigger the batteries are, the more elsewhere needed electricity goes into that car unnecessarily.

If I had a say, i would cap car size to 2 seats per person in a household and that would make a single household owning 500kg cars max. Of course with exceptions for taxis, divorced parents that still drive their kids etc. But generally a single household does not need a 7-seater at 2.7 tons
and a childless couple neither.

etc. etc.

If I were a climate change denier and a paid fossil fuel advocate, I would not be able to put out a better post than you just did :

- Limit capital, so that the capital-heavy investments in renewables will not happen, and
- Limit weight of cars so that cars with a battery are at a disadvantage, and
- Argue that energy for EVs could be used better for other purposes, and
- As long as we are not 100% renewable, all electricity for EVs is emitting CO2, and 
- bringing up non-sensical arguments like "The heavier the cars are, the faster they are,", and
- imposing bizarre authoritarian rules on private transportation, like limit 2 per vehicle, excluding " divorced parents that still drive their kids ".

I have to admit that the latter two seem just... weird... but the rest puts you solidly in the fossil-fuel-advocates arena.

24
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: September 17, 2019, 09:25:01 AM »
Back in 2012 I was a big fan of Tesla. Over the years I grew suspicious. Then the Solar City thing really made me question if Musk was a fraud. Finally the 420 funding secured tweet resolved the issue. Ever since I have hated the cult-leading fraudulent liar cuz, you know, I'm a decent person who has some morals.

OKidoki.

Now, do you have the same "cult-leading fraudulent liar" feelings about other successful guys like, I don't know, Jeff Bezos for example ?

If not, why not ?

25
The politics / Re: Russia, Russia, Russia
« on: September 10, 2019, 07:19:00 AM »
I've been deleting a lot of posts by Gumbercules because they only lead to nothing good, but I thought there was a very funny contradiction in two subsequent comments:

Quote
Leftists do not care about coherence. They don't care about anything but power. They resent the fact you even have the right to express your opinion. And you can feel it. They HATE you. And if we give them power they will murder you, as history proves they do.

Quote
The special prosecutor is a traitor and if there were any justice in this world he's be executed in public.
It would seem Gumbercules is a leftist.  ;D

Sorry, Gumbercules, but I just had to share this.

And it would seem that you, Neven, are not.

26
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: August 28, 2019, 08:32:35 AM »
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-starship-hopper-cautious-testing/

...while Starhopper appears to be far too heavy and simplistic to warrant the expensive and time-consuming task of outfitting it with aerodynamic control surfaces and a new nose cone capable of surviving the associated forces.

(Old nose cone broke in a 50 mph wind. LMFAO)


Anyone interested in a side wager about whether the tin-foil-half-of-a-self-crushed-rocket will ever fly? I think it should be obvious which side of the bet I'm take.

(This is on topic, cuz Musk has a proven record of using one company to bail out another company and I can't imagine he would let Tesla go bust without raiding SpaceX first. Thus they will all be imploding at the same time.)

That "the tin-foil-half-of-a-self-crushed-rocket" just flew...

27
The politics / Re: Russia, Russia, Russia
« on: August 24, 2019, 07:42:13 AM »
'stupid niggers vote against their best interests because they are brainwashed by Moscow'
Can you explain what your point is here, or maybe evidence of anyone saying something like this?
 (I get that the quoted passage is not a representation of your thoughts)

I'm referring to this insanity. Russiagate isn't just used as smoke and mirrors to hide systemic defects and personal failure of Democrats in high positions, but also to kneecap any left-of-center movements that could successfully question and thus change the system.

Let's do some fact-checking on that statement.

The 'insanity' you are referring to is a NYT article :
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/17/us/politics/russia-2016-influence-campaign.html
which quotes two studies that conclude that Russian 2016 Influence Operation Targeted African-Americans on Social Media more than other ethnic groups.

One study is from the University of Oxford :
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenthelper/534-oxford-russia-internet-research-agency/c6588b4a7b940c551c38/optimized/full.pdf#page=1

Here are some of the statements from that report :

Quote
Russia's IRA activities were designed to polarize the US public and interfere in elections by:
o campaigning for African American voters to boycott elections or follow the wrong voting
procedures in 2016, and more recently for Mexican American and Hispanic voters to
distrust US institutions;
o encouraging extreme right-wing voters to be more confrontational; and
o spreading sensationalist, conspiratorial, and other forms of junk political news and
misinformation to voters across the political spectrum.

and

Quote
We can see from Table 4 that the African American segment was targeted with the most ads. White users were divided into liberal and conservative segments and targeted differently. A number of other ethnic segments, including Latin Americans and Muslim Americans, were targeted with smaller campaigns.

and

Quote
The top five posts by known IRA accounts are overtly political and polarizing, and details about the content and engagement by social media users is described in Appendix B. On Twitter, of the five most-retweeted IRA accounts, four focused on targeting African Americans.

This solidly confirms the NYT report that Russian 2016 Influence Operation Targeted African-Americans on Social Media more than other ethnic groups.

So now that the facts are clear, could you please clarify what you mean with 'insanity' regarding these studies, and please explain why you think these studies findings are just "smoke and mirrors", or that somehow these facts even "kneecap any left-of-center movements that could successfully question and thus change the system" ?

28
Policy and solutions / Re: Solar Roadways
« on: August 23, 2019, 10:34:42 AM »
SolaRoad in the Netherlands created that $5 million solar bike lane.
It cost 100X of rooftop solar, and broke on the first day of a bit of frost :



Still, the Dutch government gave them another grant, so they could build something more substantial.
They did.
They built a "solar bus lane".
An it broke within a week :

https://www.cobouw.nl/infra/nieuws/2019/03/busbaan-van-solaroad-al-binnen-een-week-kapot-101270923?vakmedianet-approve-cookies=1&_ga=2.67821201.1695215524.1566192838-1096526447.1566192838



When are we going to learn that solar panels in a road are just a VERY bad idea ?

29
The politics / Re: Russia, Russia, Russia
« on: August 21, 2019, 10:22:15 AM »
OK, guys, I see that since I left, fact-based reasoning is still in short supply at the ASIF and ad-hominum is still the preferred way of communicating here.

Back to the facts :
This is a Princeton University study.
Not a tweet from the liar in chief.
Please know the difference.

How much % is from US?

The study did not find any Foreign Influence Effort (FIE) from the US.
Foreign Influence Effort needs to satisfy three criteria :

https://esoc.princeton.edu/files/trends-online-foreign-influence-efforts

Quote
FIEs are defined as: (i) coordinated campaigns by one state to impact one or more specific aspects of politics in another state, (ii) through media channels, including social media, by (iii) producing content designed to appear indigenous to the target state. To be included in the data an FIE must meet all three criteria.

So if you find any effort from the US that satisfies all three criteria, please let us know.

30
The politics / Re: Russia, Russia, Russia
« on: August 20, 2019, 10:10:27 AM »
Not surprising, but a new study shows that Russia is the leading global offender of foreign disinfo influence operations around the world, accounting for a whopping 72% of total operations. Study by Princeton's @ESoConflict :

https://esoc.princeton.edu/files/trends-online-foreign-influence-efforts




31
I'm a Bernie supporter, Neven.

Did Bernie pass your test yet ?

No, not yet. And if he doesn't, it's because he has to pander to people like you, or because he's compromised. It's not easy to do what he's trying to do in a fascist deep state, with such a large part of the population brainwashed by corporate mainstream media.

Have you considered the possibility that maybe it's not the mainstream media and the entire population of the USA, but instead YOU are the one who is brainwashed ?

I mean "fascist deep state" ?
Are you serious ?

32
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: April 13, 2019, 09:03:24 AM »
Sharp-eyed FH webcast watchers may have noticed the brief, unexplained, strange image below.

Quote
Rishvan (@iamrishvan) 4/11/19, 7:12 PM
What am I looking at @elonmusk? #FalconHeavy
https://twitter.com/iamrishvan/status/1116479118986469378

Quote
Elon Musk (@elonmusk) 4/11/19, 7:12 PM
Liquid oxygen
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1116479251669078016

Another possibility:  a Stargate. ;)

Yeah. That's liquid oxygen in the Falcon 9 oxygen tank. So cool !

Scott Manley actually explained about how keeping that liquid oxygen in place in zero gravity (after the booster shuts down) is not easy at 12:30 in this video which also features the Israeli moon lander and the Falcon Heavy launch :


33
Rob, do you have a reference to a study that shows that not putting a stop on the exponential growth of concentrated wealth would actually reduce carbon emissions?

No. I don't, because I don't make that claim.

You seem to disagree with my claim, or don't you?

If you don't disagree with it per se, does it matter if there are or aren't studies (which would be social science anyway, and thus never provide 'true')? Or can you judge the idea on its merits, by using your own thoughts and ideas?

Fair enough.
Using common sense, I don't agree with your claim.
After all, "concentrated wealth" by itself has very little to do with carbon emissions.
For example, a guy sitting on a pile of gold emits no more carbon than a guy sitting on a pile of garbage.

I think with your idea of "putting a stop on the exponential growth of concentrated wealth" it very much depends on where your will redistribute these dollars.

Please look at this graph (carbon footprint per dollar) :



Here you see that the higher the income, the lower the carbon emissions are per dollar.
That makes sense, since higher income people tend to invest more and spend less on carbon-heavy consumer products.

So I think if you "put a stop on the exponential growth of concentrated wealth" as you suggest, you need to be careful what you will do with that wealth.

If you simply would re-distribute that wealth to lower income groups, you would actually INCREASE carbon emissions.

If instead, if you would use that 'concentrated' wealth (taken from the wealthy) to fund carbon-free energy projects (solar, wind, energy efficiency etc) then you could reduce carbon emissions for all of us.

That's my take on that.

34
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: March 25, 2019, 09:49:20 AM »
Quote
Note the report stops at Feb 2019, the exact point before Model 3 started bulk deliveries to European customers.

So what? It's an intentional conspiracy is it? Is this what you're claiming - the whole report is "biased" and/or "inaccurate" and/or "flawed data" ... planned to coincide with the long indicated tesla deliveries to Europe?

oren is right, Lurk.
Here is a report from February :

Tesla Model 3 Easily Outsold All Other EVs In Europe In February 2019

Tesla is already the top-selling BEV brand in Western Europe (see report for February) and the latest data provided by industry analyst Matthias Schmidt (schmidtmatthias.de) suggest that the Tesla Model 3 is the top-selling model.

In the last month, about 3,724 registrations of the Model 3 were counted, which is several hundred more than in the case of the second top car, the Renault ZOE. Biggest markets for Model 3 were Germany (959) and Norway (791).

https://insideevs.com/tesla-model-3-outsells-evs-europe/


35
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: March 25, 2019, 08:00:48 AM »
Sorry to disappoint the Tesla bears here on this forum.

Tomorrow, as I take ownership of a brand new Tesla Model S, Tesla will increase their glory with one more 2019 Q1 sale and delivery, and they will increase their cash flow also.

And I'm really looking forward to never have to pump fossil fuel again !

36
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: March 08, 2019, 08:53:16 AM »
This is just so AWESOME :

SpaceX Crew Demo-1 Mission.

Launch and successful booster landing :



Docking with the International Space station :



Astronauts Enter Crew Dragon after Docking



Re-entry and splash down :



And with that, the first ever commercial mission to launch a vehicle to the ISS, dock with the ISS, and return to planet Earth comes to a close. Eight years after the last US vehicle visited the ISS.

Congrats to SpaceX and NASA for making this happen.

Looking forward to the first manned mission of SpaceX's Crew Dragon Demo-2 to ISS later this year.

37
The rest / SpaceX
« on: February 24, 2019, 10:34:25 AM »
This thread created from the "Tesla" thread.

SpaceX does all kind of exciting stuff, so I'm just dropping in my comment as a starter :

At this point, it would be good to note that SpaceX just completed another successful launch, this time of the first Israeli Moon Lander, and a Indonesian communication satellite :



Also noteworthy is that with this launch they completed the 34th successful landing and recovery of a Stage-1 booster rocket, and this is the second time that SpaceX re-uses a Stage-1 booster for the THIRD time.

That really shows that they can re-use booster rockets successfully and in doing so reduced the cost for LEO launches below ANY other competitor, and still make money !

38
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: February 16, 2019, 08:25:39 AM »
Hey Rob,

while i agree with you in general, is it literally unconstitutional?

I mean, yeah, it should be unconstitutional but is it really?

Thanks b_lumenkraft.
Here is some down-to-earth assessment of the situation :

https://prospect.org/article/trumps-emergency-action-unlawful-and-unconstitutional

Quote
The Constitution has no clause that gives the president emergency powers. This was a deliberate and wise choice. The framers of the Constitution wanted to make sure that its requirements, including checks and balances, are enforced even in times of crisis. Indeed, when prior presidents have tried to claim inherent power to deal with emergencies, the Supreme Court has rejected such claims.   

In the end, any funding for Trump's wall would need to be approved by Congress, regardless of Trump's declaration of an emergency.

Since Congress is split right now, any claimed extra powers by Trump will have to be decided by the third branch of the government : The Legislature.

So, yeah, there will be some lawsuits.

39
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 18, 2019, 07:09:20 AM »
And no, Neven, the Integrity Initiative for which Dan writes is NOT "covert", and neither is it "warmongering" or "parasite" as you suggest.

In fact, it's wide open and clear in its objectives.

https://www.integrityinitiative.net/

They openly state that they counter dis-information and propaganda, and they have plenty of articles that debunk dis- and mis-information. Mostly from Russia, since that's where most dis-information comes from nowadays.

And judging by the amount of Russian attack articles against them (on Sputnik and RT and sites from the PropOrNot list), they are doing something right.

40
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 18, 2019, 07:07:39 AM »
Kaszeta needs to make clear that he gets paid for that kind of stuff by covert organisations that get paid millions to fuel conflicts with Russia...

And here, my friends, is where the founder of the ASIF sounds exactly like the number one climate science denier and ClimateGate keeper : Stephen McIntyre, in their attack on fact-checkers like (Bellingcat's) Dan Kaszeta.

Just so you know.

41
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: January 17, 2019, 11:10:11 AM »

42
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 17, 2019, 10:57:04 AM »
McIntyre posted an invoice sent by Kaszeta’s firm, Strongpoint Security, billing II’s parent organization, the Institute for Statecraft, for about $800 for an article penned by the man.

This reminds me of ClimateGate.
McIntyre once again relies on hacked documents, and uses them to smear his opponents.

In this case it was about this article by Kaszeta :
<no links to climate risk denier sites or to manipulating warmongering parasite sites, thanks; N.>

Which is a pretty good article, showing that Russia's alternate theories, about what happened to the Skripals, are pretty absurd.

43
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 17, 2019, 10:36:02 AM »
Global warming will happen faster than we think

Three trends will combine to hasten it, warn Yangyang Xu, Veerabhadran Ramanathan and David G. Victor.

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-07586-5

Prepare for the “new abnormal”. That was what California Governor Jerry Brown told reporters last month, commenting on the deadly wildfires that have plagued the state this year. He’s right.

California’s latest crisis builds on years of record-breaking droughts and heatwaves. The rest of the world, too, has had more than its fair share of extreme weather in 2018. The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change announced last week that 157 million more people were exposed to heatwave events in 2017, compared with 2000.

44
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 17, 2019, 10:31:32 AM »
Thank you, Susan.

When Neven says :

Quote
Thanks for re-iterating your opinions, Susan. Let's get back on-topic now.

I think what he is trying to say is that as long as we stay on topic, it's now OK to post opinions that differ from his.

Which would be a great relief.

No more stuff like this :

Quote
So, I would kindly ask you to go find some other place to do your thing. I think it would be better for you, and it would definitely be a lot better for me, because it's wearing me out and I don't want to quit this project just yet.

or stuff like this :

Quote
.... if you can't even admit something as simple as George Bush being a war criminal, it may be best that you start looking for a forum that is more to your liking, or at least restrict your presence to the Arctic Sea Ice board. I think it would be better for you, and it would definitely be less tiresome and depressing for me.
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,617.msg183118.html#msg183118

So, I think we are good to go.

Thank you, Neven !

45
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 15, 2019, 10:03:00 AM »
The point is, whether you are using or being used, be careful not to let your hatreds eat you alive, as you execute the agenda of those who wish to destroy and sow chaos, rather than work together to solve problems.

That's what I've been trying to get through to Rob again and again.

Seriously, Neven ?

I was the one pointing out that Bernie stated to "Bring people together" while you are the one "kicking Democrats out". Remember ?

There is even a thread about it.

46
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 15, 2019, 09:56:17 AM »
Rob, I'm not going through the same motions again, and I'm not booting anyone out.

True. You are not booting anyone out directly. Yet you are making it clear that people on the side of reason are no longer welcome on the ASIF, while Russian propagandists are.

Quote
Everyone is free to use the only really useful category on this forum: Cryosphere. The ghostbusting can be done everywhere else on the Internet.

Sure. Then why do the Lurk's and the Red's and the Terry's of several shades continue to spread their Russian propaganda on this forum, while people holding a more level-headed, evidence-based opinion are chased off the forum by you ?

Quote
Mainstream, neoliberal/neocon thinking has a firm grip in most places, so you really have nothing to complain

That starts to sound like a conspiracy theory.

Quote
(except of course that it's not going to solve AGW, but you don't see the connection).

Of course selecting one commenter over another is not going to solve AGW.

AGW is going to be solved by people making wise decisions, and politicians allowing renewable energy to thrive.

We'll get there with or without you selectively discouraging people to post on certain threads on the ASIF.

47
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: January 14, 2019, 08:54:13 AM »
<snip, I've decided not to go through the same motions>

Martin, maybe you haven't noticed, but ever since I've taken some measures to limit the amount of space mainstream conditioned thinking gets to take up on this forum, the belligerent bitching has been reduced by 90%. I really like it that way, much more quiet and interesting. Things have improved massively.

It's not that you have "taken some measures".
It's that a fair amount of commenters (including me) left, after we were told in no uncertain terms that our input on the ASIF was no longer appreciated.
And yes, that cleared up things tremendously, since now only the pro-Russia crowd is left over.
They are still promoting Jimmy Dore and RT, as you can see above.

It's just that there is no more push-back against that Russian propaganda.

Quote
This place can do without missionaries who impose their worn-out, 20th century narratives that come straight out of the divide-and-conquer strategies pushed by concentrated wealth (irrespective of nationality) to keep the wars and AGW going strong, because this Forum is about Arctic sea ice loss, not about politics.

You know, Neven : this hurts.

I came here in 2011, while fighting the deniers at WUWT, hoping to find here a crowd that was using evidence-based reasoning and science to come to conclusions about AGW and Arctic Sea Ice decline.

I feel extremely strong about AGW. Probably even more so than you do. But I approach the problem and the solution from a scientific, and engineering and economics point of view. For example : Solar farms make sense, and solar roads don't. Shutting down coal plants make sense, and so does installing grid batteries, but geo-engineering doesn't make sense, and neither does the Keystone XL (tar-sands) pipeline.

And yes, I feel very strong about Russia too. Russia has no business invading in Ukraine, and their role in the downing of MH17 cannot be denied, and neither can their meddling in foreign elections, including the US 2016 elections, and neither can we deny the poisoning of the Skripals in the UK nor the Russian bombing of hospitals in Syria.

I'm really sorry you disagree with me and some other posters here (like Martin, Susan, ASLR, Bob Wallace etc) on some issues.

But I think you are making a big mistake in booting these fine people out.

Instead, you could have booted out the Russian propagandists that we argued with.
That would have quieted down the discussion too.

48
The politics / Re: Ukraine, Nazis and western support
« on: December 03, 2018, 08:44:20 AM »
And you are their HERO, Rob. These people would be nowhere without you.

Well look at that.

Now I'm not just responsible for inciting WW III, but also personally responsible for putting villains like Putin and bin Salman in their place of power ?

Imagine what I could do for you, Neven ;D

49
The rest / Re: Arctic Café
« on: November 27, 2018, 03:33:47 AM »
Not really the Arctic, but it's cold here.
First picture from Mars by InSight.



I thought this was funny.

50
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: November 18, 2018, 04:57:36 AM »
The legendary Potholer54 picks apart and turns to shreds a piece by Bjorn Lomborg about the carbon footprint of electric cars :



Interesting note here : The video by Bjorn Lomborg is produced by Prager University.

It turns out the that Prager University is not a university at all, but instead a Youtube channel funded by the Wilks brothers. If you don't know these guys, they are like the Koch brothers, rich because of fossil fuels, and fully committed to spend their money on people that deny climate science :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dan_and_Farris_Wilks

Can't make this stuff up.

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