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1
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 18, 2020, 03:31:51 PM »
a bit holey around the pole eh ? ..
https://go.nasa.gov/3lVesaU .. b.c.

2
The rest / Re: Wildlife
« on: October 07, 2020, 12:08:14 PM »
Enjoyed the tailwind of Alex today as the ravens returned to the farm . They were demonstrating tumbling techniques again . After lunch the local crows and rooks were tumbling by the hundred . I saw triple 360' spins by rooks .. their joy was unbounded . b.c.

3
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: October 02, 2020, 11:18:06 AM »
I can only assume it's all fake news . The president surely could not come down with a hoax ! Has the Whitehouse run out of bleach ?

4
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: September 25, 2020, 05:25:20 PM »
True FOoW ..

5
Walking the walk / Re: On the individual level? A mea culpa
« on: September 24, 2020, 09:55:25 PM »
people of neither sex are attracted to a wilting cucumber .. only fresh or plastic coated will do ! Of course it should be a priority for hemp based compostable plastics to be used in the food supply chain . just b.c. :)

6
Arctic sea ice / Re: What's new in the Arctic ?
« on: September 24, 2020, 09:36:34 PM »
wow .. that is funny Tor .. the last post I just read included the line ..
  ''If NDE is a guide we've picked these situations for a purpose. It's also not our first time, or our last.''
 .. a little wisdom from vox-mundi to me back on 02.02.2020 .. b.c.

7
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: September 23, 2020, 10:26:14 AM »
'Tor, 1969 Hurricane Camille fits what you described above.'

.. more likely H. Ivan in 2004 ..I remember it only too well .. I had been disappointed with the impact 1st time around on the Gulf coast so I idly doodled a looping track that brought it back for a second go , then watched in disbelief as it happened ... b.c. .

https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=https%3A%2F%2Fupload.wikimedia.org%2Fwikipedia%2Fcommons%2F3%2F32%2FIvan_2004_track.png&imgrefurl=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FMeteorological_history_of_Hurricane_Ivan&tbnid=P6Bdo1TZ0N3nBM&vet=12ahUKEwjvoKS7-v3rAhWa0uAKHY_WBw4QMygAegUIARDCAQ..i&docid=RE2Twa7wjeb1mM&w=2700&h=1669&q=hurricane%20ivan%20path&ved=2ahUKEwjvoKS7-v3rAhWa0uAKHY_WBw4QMygAegUIARDCAQ

8
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: September 22, 2020, 01:39:44 PM »
 .. 'Today's images and animation' .. it looks like the 'meezing seazon' .. half melting , half freezing ..

 .. 'According to climatereanalyzer, there's a 973 HPa low north of Novaya Zemlya.' .. a little of hurricane Sally made it .. gfs's anticipation of this event was extremely good .. b.c.

9
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 20, 2020, 09:36:55 AM »
    https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2020092000/gfsnh-0-114.png?0 ..
  the forecast storm hasn't gone away .. the next week will test the ice . Today's (expected) drop in extent shows that the certainty the melting season is over may prove premature .
 and the forecast continues until the term GAC may again become relevant ..
  https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2020092000/gfsnh-0-186.png?0
 .. and warm air continues to flow from Eurasia ..
  https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2020092000/gfsnh-15-84.png?0 . b.c.
 
 

10
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 19, 2020, 02:02:01 AM »
 .. and you the best bit of first year ice in sight .. I bet Polarstern would be glad to find a floe with your characteristics .. especially as daughter of Sally spins in just as it all goes dark . b.c.

11
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: September 18, 2020, 09:27:35 PM »
Definitely 'maybe' ..

 Q .. can anyone show me any of the almost 30,000 sq kms of sea ice that currently appears to reside in NSIDC's Kara ?   I seem to be in a parallel universe .   How it has been increasing lately in the warm waters is also beyond my ken .. b.c.

12
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 18, 2020, 05:04:05 PM »
''Fear not !'' said he , for mighty dread had seized their troubled minds .. b.c.

13
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 17, 2020, 12:30:41 AM »
 .. I'll wait 'till Sally's had her say ..

 .. forecast from a few days ago ..
https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2020091406/gfsnh-0-252.png?6
 
 .. and tonight ..
https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2020091618/gfsnh-0-192.png?18

  .. there may yet be a very big sting in the tale ( of 2020 ) ..  ;) .. b.c.

 p.s. btw .. Test space is well worth a visit to see Uniquorn's adaptation of seaice.de's post upthread ^ .

 


14
Arctic sea ice / Re: Glossary ... for newbies and others
« on: September 15, 2020, 04:13:43 PM »
I'm happy with the < 1 million sq km measure . 50k might just about equal the coastal false ice . b.c.

15
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 15, 2020, 02:04:26 AM »
Gerontocrat's stats say 99.8% of the melt season is over , today is the last day of an average melt season . Already some have ceased to update their stats as others head for the 'real' excitement of an election . Putting this season to bed so early may turn out to be a mistake .
   This is not an average melt season . It has been one of record breaking warmth . The ice , as Polarstern bears witness , is in a mobile , weak state . The damage done by the depression N. of the CAA was remarkable . As BFTV has remarked above , and A-team elsewhere , ice retreats with little resistance N. of Laptev ; and warm winds continue in the coming days
  Warm water , wind and waves are in wait , and will be for another week or two .  If a real storm enters the basin and stays a few days , volume and area could come crashing down  , extent may too . b.c.

   warming up for winter ? http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2020.png
   

 

16
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 10, 2020, 09:54:58 PM »
gandul , quite a few of us could be found to have long trails of 'did not happen' if we revisited our own posts .. b.c.

17
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 05, 2020, 05:56:23 PM »
  .. and if we follow the 2020 melt rate ....

18
we need 7-8 billion nannings rather than all this .. b.c.

19
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 03, 2020, 10:58:29 AM »
I suppose we could break the trend .. perhaps a day 5 forecast will be realized for the 1'st time in over a month . I said at the end of July that what the Arctic needed for August was 'no weather' .. compared to the day 5 forecasts , it really had none , as storm after storm faded from forecasts . August continued with the heat ; will September bring the 'weather' ? b.c.

20
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 03, 2020, 10:40:41 AM »
https://sites.uci.edu/zlabe/files/2020/09/925T_70N_rank.png

^^ .. Zack Labe's updated monthly temp ranking puts August top of the lot (42 years ). Quite a summer up there .. b.c.

21
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: August 31, 2020, 09:37:37 AM »
https://go.nasa.gov/31FqWMD .. shows open ocean has reached and passed 85'N . b.c.

... not a great help in lowering dmi80+ which continues above 0'C

22
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: August 30, 2020, 12:38:13 PM »
I was snowing so probably this gave a better "ice" presentation of the surface to the satellite. Also melt ponds not frozen in depth but covered with some ice crystals.

  'I was snoring' or 'it was snowing' ? .. took me a minute to guess which was intended ..  ;D

23
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: August 29, 2020, 09:49:11 PM »
 Never mind 'not dropping' , the dmi80+ temp. has risen again . Yesterday it was sharing it's exceptional height with 2016 , today it is out on it's own . Open water , meltponds and warm winds are all working to extend the season . ECM's forecast keeps temps above or close to 0'C for the next week . b.c.

24
so they don't get lost again .. from tealight ..

Some time ago I posted regional snow extents, but the topic is kind of lost in the depth of the forum. After some minor improvements and adding two new regions in Asia I created a seperate webpage for the data. It makes it easier to analyse than several different forum posts.

On the snow-cover webpage, featuring snow maps I added the long term NOAA data since 1967. The low 200km resolution looks terrible compared to the new 24km, but the longer timespan is better to judge changes over time.

https://cryospherecomputing.tk/Snow-Cover
https://cryospherecomputing.tk/snow-regional
Report to moderator    Logged
https://cryospherecomputing.tk/

25
snow is accumulating on the ice ?
 https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/run/gfsnh-16-6.png?6  .. b.c.

26
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« on: August 25, 2020, 11:42:44 AM »
This is one thread where I will really miss blumenkraft's contribution to the forum . Big block is hanging around for his hoped for return .. b.c.

27
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: August 25, 2020, 03:17:33 AM »
In Ireland we've scarcely seen the back of Ellen , and along comes Francis , more water , less wind is the forecast . Rain steady moderate , wind ENE 5-6 atm , roof tied down ..
  5 days apart named storms in August in Ireland is unusual . I think I see another one coming as well .. b.c.

28
The rest / Re: Unsorted
« on: August 24, 2020, 07:35:55 PM »
cheers nanning .. you gave me an idea .. :) b.c.

29
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: August 24, 2020, 01:26:46 AM »
  Hi Gerontocrat .. regarding the graphs . As we remarked earlier in the year , early losses in Kara seem to portend larger losses later in the CAB . 2020 is currently @ 150k sqkm ahead of both '12 and '16 , so that correlation continues .
  On closer examination . I realized the current year line ends @ 3.5 days ago .. is that because it is a trailing average ?
  btw .. Thanks for everything you bring to the Forum .. b.c.

30
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 23, 2020, 11:14:28 AM »
 Welcome Stevo .. ^^ what a wonderful comment to wake to .. other than it's cause . A-team's contributions speak for themselves . He helps those who ask for help too .. yet every year he gets attacked . As a result he steps back from the forum . Yesterday was yet another attempt to drive him away . b.c.

31
Walking the walk / Re: On the individual level? A mea culpa
« on: August 22, 2020, 01:16:36 PM »
 .. and the miners .. children with their bare hands .. minors ..

32
Hi Jim , I'm battered but unbruised , Roof remains .. catching up on lost sleep.. :) b.c.

33
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 20, 2020, 01:11:38 PM »
I like your boots .. but I'll not be licking or bowing .. b.c.

 ps .. looks like you are on the set of the 101 damnations ..

34
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 20, 2020, 12:16:14 PM »
 ^^ +1 ..   b.c.

  p.s.  I'd be happy to welcome God , god and gods (I've a bit of Thor in me ) in the off-topic world . Even to discuss ..  'Life without .. God ..'

35
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: August 20, 2020, 05:21:23 AM »
Being in the path of this potential ice wrecker here in Ireland .. at the minute I am uncertain if my home ( mobile) will be here tomorrow . Steady southerly gale gusting to storm at max atm ..  rain earlier was v.warm .. part of Kyle's contribution to the blast . Now named Ellen she is sending mega amounts of energy north helping make Polarstern the most perfect place to be on earth . I feel , by the time she returns home , the world will have been shocked by what has happened the ice .
 Cyclogenesis at work outside .. coming to the CAB soon ?

 looks like heat above and below sea level will be injected into the basin from both Atlantic and Pacific in the coming days .. hot land and sun heat in summer , now followed by ocean warmth for the fall . A few years ago I talked of my fear of a new season between melt and freeze .. the stormy fall and all that brings . Gusting SSW violent force 11 here atm . 4.20 am  b.c.

36
Ireland is in the early stages of being battered by the remnants of Kyle and more joining forces as Ellen , named by met eireann .. it'd 2 am and I'm off to get a few more tyres to help hold down the roof of my mobile home .. 24/36 hours to go .. the first front has passed over , wind gusting severe gale with showers .
 https://www.rte.ie/news/weather/2020/0819/1160024-storm-ellen/
 .. 3 25 am update .. gust severity increasing .. no chance of sleeping through this .. goig up on roof while I still have one ..

 before I saw the forecasts tonight I had hoped a severe hit here might help the arctic , but seeing this evening's gfs , polarstern is in a wonderful place to document the consequences ... b.c.

37
The forum / Re: Suggestions
« on: August 20, 2020, 12:36:56 AM »
"not a few who would love to see the ASIF wounded or even destroyed."

Who and why ? Any evidence for this ?

sidd

 there's probably a watts' app for that .. b.c.

38
The rest / Re: Unsorted
« on: August 20, 2020, 12:31:15 AM »
Trouble being a true Buddist .. is they seem to disapprove of budists .  FG .. you were describing your 8th day .. a good bud and singing my heart out does it for me . Then I sleep with a big smile on my face no matter what .
  Here comes Ellen .. she'll be even wilder tomorrow night .. the sort of weather I like to meet head on .. b.c.

39
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 19, 2020, 04:14:28 PM »
Just to echo gerontocrat's appreciation for Blumenkraft . No one cared more for the ASIF and it's continued success at informing and recording . This was why he stepped up when Neven called for help and again for Gerontocrat .
 
He did make the mistake of thinking everyone should be moderated , without exception .
Blumenkraft thought Neven needed moderation . He pm'd his fellow mods , an unwise move . I feared the outcome would be exactly as happened .
 
There were no goings-on behind Freegrass's back .

  As others have said , everyone and the forum lost ..

 b.c.

40
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 18, 2020, 05:55:39 PM »
I did it so that Neven can confirm that this was how he gained the evidence that made him believe you and not Blumenkraft . As Donald trump could say 'the truth must lie somewhere' .
  .. and Blumenkraft deserves an answer .   b.c.

41
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 18, 2020, 05:14:15 PM »
Thank you ajouis . you are a breath of fresh air . b.c.


42
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 18, 2020, 01:38:35 PM »
LOL too ...

43
Arctic sea ice / Re: Updating the ASIG
« on: August 18, 2020, 12:43:13 PM »
talking of things ASI.. .. has ASIB died a death ? Was it the COVID virus wot killed it ? b.c.

44
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 16, 2020, 08:18:51 AM »
I have lost my scissors . Any snipping will be by the contributors . And to think only a week ago we were celebrating the Forum and the decorum that led to Gerontocrat being so valuably assisted . b.c.

45
The rest / Re: Pareidolia
« on: August 15, 2020, 06:34:32 PM »

Ice dragon .. last chance to see ! ..  https://go.nasa.gov/3kQChAO

46
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: August 15, 2020, 05:58:57 PM »
              NSIDC daily extent 2020-08-14  5.137m  −246K  !

  .. copied from Alphabet hotel's post in SIA and extent thread .. not unexpected (by some ) but it certainly took it's time . I would guess it is one of the biggest 1 day anomalies ever too .. b.c.


47
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 15, 2020, 02:46:53 AM »
Heck Tom .. I thought I ganged up on you all on my own !
 .. and I'm glad you stayed too . bk was a good advocate ..
b.c.

48
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 14, 2020, 05:17:32 PM »
does any of it really matter ? In a world of illusion , all things are what we make of them .
 Although I've stood for election , I haven't voted in the last 42 years ..
 I'm not a rat nor in a race . I'd much rather have a smoke with a politician than kill them .

  peace b.c.

49
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 14, 2020, 01:41:40 PM »
As it seems I am to be sole moderator of this section which includes the cesspool that is American politics , any perceived fails in forum decorum can be brought to my attention by using
1 , report to moderator , or 
2 , posting on this thread ..

to everyone .. enjoy the forum while trying to maintain decorum . b.c.






         
             
                                                                                          be cause

50
Policy and solutions / Re: But, but, but Germany ....
« on: August 10, 2020, 03:18:48 PM »
A thousand 'loves' .. but one 'like' must suffice .. <3 b.c.

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