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Messages - DrTskoul

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The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: Today at 01:43:44 AM »
I pm'd Neven from my father's chair earlier. In our hearts there is no death . Love Itself ensures life is eternal .

Arctic sea ice / Re: When will the Arctic Go Ice Free?
« on: July 15, 2019, 03:16:25 PM »
23rd August 2027.
End of debate.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 14, 2019, 02:32:56 PM »
It's still growing.

The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 12, 2019, 08:18:53 AM »
I don't want an abortion discussion here.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 03, 2019, 02:30:28 AM »
You know, if the world is ending due to impending BOE and all, I guess one positive would be that all the grammar nazis will also be dead.  8)

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 03, 2019, 02:22:09 AM »
I am at times amazed at the low quality English used by some of the native speakers on the forum

As a university professor in an English-speaking country, I can regretfully confirm that written English is weakening.

On the other hand, in a polyglot community like this one, just getting one’s meaning across is probably enough.

1. People who police others' informal writing on the internet deserve neither to be writing nor reading on the internet. It's petty. E.g., I *teach* EFL, yet rarely ever edit my posts anywhere on the internet and let tons of typos make their way into posterity, and occasional true errors... because it's petty to care about how people write on the internet!


Because... (<--- Don't do that, e.g.)

2. Bill is correct. The *only* point of language is to move an idea from one head to another(s). (<--- Don't do that, either.) Anything else is gravy; only formal writing need be as accurate as possible.

3. Playing language cop can get one into some rather embarrassing moments, such as using low-quality English to accuse others of using "low quality English," which, I believe, would mean they used English vulgarities very well. If we are to take your post as written, as opposed to as intended, you have stated in text the opposite of what you intended.  :o

This is called irony. And hypocrisy. (<-- Don't do that one neitherhow.)

So, don't be petty. It's pretty petty. It's a pity and peculiar to be petty per people being pithy with said people's prose, pacishe? (<--- Do this. Have fun, that is.)

 ;)  ;D 8)


Arctic sea ice / Re: AMSR2 Snow & Ice Volume/Thickness
« on: July 02, 2019, 08:41:19 PM »
Volume and thickness crashed to lowest during the second half of June. In the first half melt was apparently below average. The gif shows the Beaufort gyre in action transporting ice into the melt zone.

One should keep in mind that the product doesn't try to calculate actual ice thickness, but average thickness per ice covered gridcell. If you have an even 50/50 split of water and ice than the gridcell thickness is just 50% of the ice floes.

Full size images and June animation at:

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: June 28, 2019, 12:57:10 AM »

there won't be ice in hudson by then.

what would that take away from the 2nd place prediction ?

The Slater prediction has its value, but the Slater map, in my view, is pretty strange.  I would not base any specific interpretations upon it.

I covered this in Reply 1487 in significantly more detail but the Slater map is a map of the current conditions and does not depict the extent predicted.

Thanks for the clarification.  I know a lot of people respect the Slater prediction, so I will certainly respect that.  But given the confusion the Slater map causes, I have to wonder why they publish it all.  It is, as you state in Reply 1487 really just a differently colored version of the current NSIDC concentration map (they should state that this is the case, BTW).  The map only puzzles people who see it (Magna this year, myself last year), at least in this context.  And it made me mistrust what by all accounts is a pretty good predictive tool.   

The rest / Re: The problem of Corporate Democrats and how to kick them out
« on: November 09, 2018, 12:27:11 AM »
Jimmy Dore equates Feinstein to Gingrich because she gave a vague acceptance speech with no policy specifics.  That kind of petty "analysis" won't be keeping anyone up at night.  How shallow, visionless, ethically challenged and intellectually dishonest do you have to be to venerate Jimmy Dore?

At least Uygur presents some rational arguments. 

The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: September 27, 2018, 04:48:15 PM »

Some girls didn't need to be drugged to get into it. Ever been to Spring break in Florida folks?

The problem with Kavanaugh isn't that he drank and had sex in high school.  The problem is that he's shown himself to be the unrepentant product of rich white male entitled chauvinistic jock frat prep-school bro culture.

My educational trajectory put me into regular contact with this culture and its denizens for 10 - 15 years.  Sounds like a prison sentence.  I was more drawn to the anti-war hippie counter-culture types.  By the time I got to college, this youth culture was rapidly evaporating.  Pity.

The parties we've been reading about, the ones of Kavanaugh's youth, weren't notable for the alcohol and sex, they were notable for targeting women to intoxicate and, since they were then unable to give consent, gang-rape. 

He grew into respectability, but there's no sign he ever had any epiphany about the culture he came from.   We can see this in his paternalistic yet vigorous refusal to let a 17 year-old immigrant obtain medical care and abortion:

Brett Kavanaugh's One Abortion Case

This rich white entitled male bro culture is part of why so many Americans (and others around the world) suffer.  The stories that are now dogging Kavanaugh are broadly consistent with each other and with the toxic culture I observed during my educational years.  This is a segment of the entitled culture that refuses to take personal responsibility for our shared global environment.  As it ties in with sexuality and gender relations, we can see it in stories from the new movement unfolding now:

I couldn’t stop reading #WhyIDidntReportIt stories. Then I realized why.

"In the last week, women and men who have experienced sexual abuse at the hands of others have started doing what they haven’t been able to for years and decades: admit something unfair and awful and damaging happened to them.

Just search for #WhyIDidntReportIt, or variations of that hashtag, and their stories will come barreling at you as confessionals, some containing only bits of details and others spilling out in their complete and painful-to-read messiness."

This chauvinistic, ultimately abusive culture is part of the problem.  Kavanaugh is an unrepentant product of it.

Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: September 26, 2018, 01:17:07 PM »
Play nice, guys. It's entirely possible to make your point without resorting to childish ad hominems. I know that can be both fun and cathartic, but it's ultimately unproductive. Hell, it's counterproductive. So please act likes adults, and treat this forum with respect, or at least more than you reserve for, say, 4chan. Thanks!

Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: July 01, 2018, 10:15:29 PM »
Here's an article about Sears below.  What THE HELL is Buddy doing posting an article about Sears .... once a retailing giant ...... in the Oil, Oil, Oil thread?  :o

Long declines in companies look a LOT alike.  They are LONG AND PROTRACTED.  A company makes a big cut initially thinking "OK .... we've right sized now."  Only to find out that they have to keep cutting and cutting. the future that awaits ExxonMobil.  A LONG PROTRACTED DECLINE.  And it has already started ..... even though many of those still holding the stock don't think so.

So while natural gas may soften the blow to oil and gas companies like Exxon and others .... it won't save them.  They have a VERY, VERY, LONG downfall in front of them ..... likely to be slower and more painful than the holders of their stock are ready for.

Sears missed the change in the retailing market, just like ExxonMobil has missed the change in the energy and transportation markets.

Sears is having a tough year.

The department store chain was once the largest retailer in the United States, but has  cut its store count in half in the last five years.

Consequences / Re: Near Term Human Extinction
« on: June 09, 2018, 10:45:40 AM »
It still amazes me how even intelligent people such as on this forum cannot see the inherent destruction of industrial society.
Population, extinction rates, pollution of all kinds, greenhouse gases, casualties of war and atrocities etc all explode upon industrialization just as the famous Mann "hockeystick" does.
It still amazes me how intelligent people make wrong assumptions about other intelligent people.
What if we do see the inherent problems? What is it that you suggest in practice?

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2018 melting season
« on: May 30, 2018, 08:50:53 AM »
I can see that dipole starting to organize on day 6 in your graphics.  Considering corroborating runs in other models, it's pretty persuasive.

It's gone again from today's 00Z forecast. I'm glad I didn't post anything from D7-10 yesterday. Looks completely different now!

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