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Messages - Poldergeist

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1
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: August 30, 2019, 11:01:25 PM »
Right on! :D
Liked: 187
Likes Given: 217
There aren't many people like you that give more likes than they get... I don't get it... Likes are free to give, so why is everyone so stingy with them?

2
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: August 13, 2019, 06:06:22 PM »

It would be interesting to know how much ice the Barnes Ice Cap lost this yet. It seems to have been under blue sky for most of July and August.

A remnant of the last ice age. It will not survive to see the next.


Next ?


100,000 years from now

We are STILL in an ice age. What we are experiencing is the Earth's climate transitioning from a interglacial to a hothouse state. My guess is it'll take a few million years to switch back to icehouse. Go on; Prove me wrong.

3
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 16, 2019, 10:10:29 PM »
Trump is a snake-oil salesman and stumbled on the snake-oil that got him to the White House.

He is a misogynist.
He is a racist.
He appeals to the worst in people.

He is not immoral. Immoral people defy morality.
He is amoral. Morality does not exist for him.

He has the instincts and desires of a dictator.
He cannot be trusted.

When he is finished the USA will be weaker.
If he gets a second term the damage will be severe.

One "good" consequence is that the moral and ethical bankruptcy of the US Political establishment has been exposed - because he is still the President.

Trouble is, a lot of people a long way from the US of A could end up as collateral damage.

4
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 10, 2019, 02:27:05 PM »
So let's support the one whose policies cause children to die in concentration camps in order to save children.

That makes no sense.

It's either you are pro-life, then you can't support Trump's politics or you are fuck-life.

5
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 10, 2019, 12:04:56 PM »
Your response actually makes me want to vote for Trump more. Isn't that weird?

Yeah, that's weird indeed. You would vote for him, but because of me, you vote for him more.

You just made a binary thing you already decided on weirdly about me.

Quote
assume I'm just racist, white supremacist, alt-right(whatever that is) deplorable?

You support Trump and therefore you support racist policies. You support concentration camps for example. You support children in cages.

Your motives don't matter anymore at this point.

I am German and i'm taking 'never forget' drop-dead serious.

Whatever you think about sides, you are on the wrong side of history.

Quote
I shouldn't be allowed to speak, just because I'm a Trump voter.

I get that you see it like that, but that's not it!

Just recently someone was banned because he supports BAU. You support BAU and even worse. Waaaaay worse! All the things the other dude was banned for, your post represent times 10.

In this context, i was asking Neven this question.

6
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 07, 2019, 06:56:32 PM »
just a thought/question:

if all the MYI is gone and if we agree that certainly all the First-Year-Ice will be gone (<95%) that would mean we would end up with zero ice if i'm not totally mistaken, hence i don't think that all the MYI will go for good but that the littel that will remain will be 95% MYI and all the rest gone for good.

I think that there is a bit of a "gotcha" in the terminology. As long as there is ice at the end of the melting season, there will always be MYI because whatever is left becomes MYI the next year. Personally, I only think of ice 3+ years as MYI, but that's just me. So, a BOE will signal the end of MYI, but not before. (with the usual caveats about the 1M sq. km threshold)

Quote
BTW i slowly get a feeling that we could be in for very nasty surprise in about 40-50 days from now, shadowing the worst expectations based on the past 2-3 years when we dodged it.

it has been said and remains, weather is key, but it will come the day  when we shall be watching in awe at nothing (no ice) despite relatively cold weather at the end of august/early september, simply because the ever thinner ice will soon simply melt away just because it started 1m thinner than 5-10 years ago.


I think someone called this a "poof" and I agree, it will happen, just like concentration thresholds make ice "disappear".

I don't think we give enough weight to the most recent years. We focus on area or extent, which is natural, because it is just so visual. But, to me, it can be a red herring. In many terms, 2017 was a much more significant year than 2016 and yet it was ignored as an also-ran.

And then of course, there is the uncertainty of the measurements, particularly PIOMAS. I joke that we are going to end up with volume but no area, or area without volume. :)

 

7
The rest / Re: Cli Fi
« on: July 07, 2019, 04:11:06 PM »
Poldergeist, I've added your comment to this thread on Cli-fi that already existed. If you read back, I'm sure you'll find some suggestions.

8
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 07, 2019, 03:25:28 PM »
I believe it has been posted earlier, somewhere else on the forum, but one of the main indicators of the september minimum seems to be the amount of posts on this thread.

In a day we will pass 2018 total posts (70 pages), with still some three months to go, before neven closes the thread.

I am certain of a new minimum.
Huh.. 2019 not even in the top three, can't even say "I coulda been a contender" (yet).

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?action=stats
Replies
2019 - 3,439        2015 - 4,869

Views
2019 - 317,842    2015 - 1,632,921
The more terrible and unexpected for the world will be the harsh reality.
Tomorrow's National Enquirer front page

The End of the World is Nigh

Record Postings on ASIF  2019 melting Season Thread !!!

Emergency Meeting of UN Security Council Today !!!



You know perfectly well that even if in September 2019 the area of ice in the Arctic drops to 2-2.5 million kilometers, the public will not worry much about it.

People love summer more than winter. This is the simplest psychology.

Awareness will come only when the planet begins to really burn in the fire. But then something will be impossible to change. The only thing that world leaders will do in this situation - use of radical methods. The poisoning of the atmosphere with sulfurous aerosols and powerful nuclear explosions for rapid cooling.

But such actions will kill the remnants of the biosphere and give only a temporary effect.

gone off the rails guys...as far off topic as we can get...

9
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 07, 2019, 12:13:31 PM »
I believe it has been posted earlier, somewhere else on the forum, but one of the main indicators of the september minimum seems to be the amount of posts on this thread.

In a day we will pass 2018 total posts (70 pages), with still some three months to go, before neven closes the thread.

I am certain of a new minimum.
Huh.. 2019 not even in the top three, can't even say "I coulda been a contender" (yet).

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?action=stats
Replies
2019 - 3,439        2015 - 4,869

Views
2019 - 317,842    2015 - 1,632,921
The more terrible and unexpected for the world will be the harsh reality.
Tomorrow's National Enquirer front page

The End of the World is Nigh

Record Postings on ASIF  2019 melting Season Thread !!!

Emergency Meeting of UN Security Council Today !!!

10
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 07, 2019, 11:40:07 AM »
I believe it has been posted earlier, somewhere else on the forum, but one of the main indicators of the september minimum seems to be the amount of posts on this thread.

In a day we will pass 2018 total posts (70 pages), with still some three months to go, before neven closes the thread.

I am certain of a new minimum.
Huh.. 2019 not even in the top three, can't even say "I coulda been a contender" (yet).

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?action=stats
Replies
2019 - 3,439        2015 - 4,869

Views
2019 - 317,842    2015 - 1,632,921

11
Arctic sea ice / Re: Latest PIOMAS update (July 2019)
« on: July 06, 2019, 03:29:12 PM »
Awesome, Wip, thanks a lot. You received five likes from me, and I wish I could give you more.  :)

Quite simply the most important posts each month chronicling the melt season and they appear like clockwork.

12
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 01, 2019, 11:01:10 PM »
The latest operational GFS rum is a really sobering one.

mind to share the recipe for "SOBERING RUM"

i like rum so much but then i couldn't get hold on that kind, hence consumption has to stay limited.


I'm in tears....   :D :D :D

13
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 01, 2019, 09:37:20 PM »
For those who don't read the Stupid Questions thread, I posted an apology there for my behavior on this thread yesterday.

If you want to comment, I ask that you do it there and not disrupt this thread any further as I did.

14
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 01, 2019, 03:03:33 PM »
Let's talk about 14 characteristics, 10 stages, and where you are....



15
Arctic sea ice / Re: Glossary ... for newbies and others
« on: March 21, 2018, 10:13:31 PM »
SWE - Snow Water Equivalent

Side note: It appears that all you lovely people are now on the brink of developing a totally new & unique language, which is based entirely on acronyms. Extremely interesting from an ethnolinguistics perspective, I must say! (but one helluva bugger to learn! The dev team at Rosetta Stone have their work cut out for them!)
But SWE can mean....

SWE - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SWE
SWE may refer to: Samberigi Airport in Papua New Guinea by IATA airport code; Sensor Web Enablement, an Open Geospatial Consortium framework for defining a Sensor Web; Shallow water equations, a set of hyperbolic partial differential equations; Snow water equivalent ยท Society of Women Engineers, a non-profit ...

So one needs context - will AI be able to cope ?

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Arctic sea ice / Re: Glossary ... for newbies and others
« on: March 21, 2018, 07:58:04 PM »
SWE - Snow Water Equivalent

Side note: It appears that all you lovely people are now on the brink of developing a totally new & unique language, which is based entirely on acronyms. Extremely interesting from an ethnolinguistics perspective, I must say! (but one helluva bugger to learn! The dev team at Rosetta Stone have their work cut out for them!)

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