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Messages - GoodeWeather

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1
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 17, 2020, 01:46:33 PM »
The over-reaction was fine, I've said it before. But now there is more data, and efforts must be made to reduce the over-reaction. Because the narrative of death, fear and panic is very dangerous on a psychological level.

Mind you, there is a difference between Europe and the US, given the difference in timing. Never mind the fact that the US is a third world banana republic which is facing much larger problems than the clown in the White House.

2
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 05, 2020, 07:24:43 PM »
Gandul, i'm listening to podcasts by people living in China and/or reporting from there.

I've never heard them saying things like "psychopathic Supreme Leader", "ruthless dictatorship regime", or something like that.

May i ask you where you get these words describing China? Trump? CNN?
OH yes, they love their regime don't they?
What is your ideal regime, blumenkraft?
No you may not, not on this thread, sorry.
Blumenkraft, please try to avoid picking up political fights on this thread. I get your sensitivities but this is derailing.
There is always the off-topic off-topic thread for those who wish to take it elsewhere.

3
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 05, 2020, 05:36:21 PM »
Scenario 3:

There's a chance that warmer weather, plus social distancing, canceling large gatherings, etc will knock down the R0 below 1 temporarily.

Then it comes roaring back in the fall from thousands of loci instead of one single market in China.

Worst case, it doesn't get bad until after the election Nov 3, Trump gets re-elected (I think I threw up a little in my mouth).

4
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 02, 2020, 04:36:05 PM »
edit:  blum it happened again  :-X . No matter how many times i re-read my post, dyslexia always gets the better of me.

The ones judging you based on that are fucking morons anyway. Who cares?   :)

Also: Grammarly FTW! Just try it, the basic version is good enough and for free.

5
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: February 29, 2020, 05:13:59 PM »
Just got mail from mailroute.net, reminding me to also keep internet hygiene!

Malware in a Coronavirus "PSA"
Beware of increased threats at this time and don't click suspicious links
.

The attempt looked like this:




6
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: February 29, 2020, 04:01:56 PM »
Where is the esteemed Vox_Mundi anyway? I may have to access the news sources mysef if this goes on too long...

7
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: February 22, 2020, 06:29:10 PM »
Can we expect a vaccine for this soon?
After nearly four decades we don’t have an HIV vaccine.

Were it a 'man made' thingy then we would have a vaccine already but , to hide their tracks, it would be delayed from being deployment for the general public for a 'reasonable' amount of time to 'prove' authenticity I reckon?

World leaders, of course, would all be inoculated so let's see how many of them succumb to Covid-19 eh?

I agree with another here. This comment is irresponsible and I expect better of this site.

8
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: January 30, 2020, 06:55:17 PM »
Hoarding food just makes a bad situation worse, or creates a bad situation where one does not exist as is the case in the USA so far.

The USA produces a food surplus. If things get really bad internationally, the problem for the USA will be not being able to export that surplus. This is already worrying US soya and corn farmers & exporters.

Having hysterical knee-jerk reactions based on social media crap that has no basis in reality is really childish.

The apocalyptic posts on this thread are pretty ridiculous. Get a grip.

This will either blow over or blow up.
If it blows over, I will lock the thread in a month or two and you can forget about it.
If it blows up, the posts on this thread will be the least of your worries.

9
Consequences / Re: Chinese coronavirus
« on: January 29, 2020, 06:47:16 PM »
There is another issue of concern that has so far gone unremarked.

The genetic analysis of the variants of the virus trace back to an estimated common ancestor on or about November 29, 2019.

https://nextstrain.org/ncov

The first human cases were identified about December 29th, implying infection no earlier than December 17, and more likely as late as December 24.

Yet the genetic tree shows several branching events about that time, and dozens of variants before that time. Please correct me if I am wrong. I am not a virologist. But, that would seem to suggest that the commonly presented story of a single infection from a single zoonotic jump at the Wuhan market in late December must be wrong. There has to have been, or seem to have to have been multiple infections in a short time frame with more than a dozen variants.

Alternately, there was a single infection back about November 20-24. And that infected person went undetected and gave rise to the variants.

The large number of variants all at once seems odd. They do fall into four or five fairly tight clusters, so perhaps the number of seeming variants is not unusual.

Still, this seems to point to two possibilities. 1) the zoonotic jump occurred a month earlier than has been believed, or 2) the zoonotic infection occurred many times with variants in a short period.

I have no idea what to make of that. And I don't know enough to know if this is usually seen to happen this way, or if this is unusual. It does look curious.

What most concerns me is that if there is a wild pool of the virus in some other species (most likely bats, next most likely snakes) which is rapidly mutating in that population, that it may be much harder to ultimately contain the disease. And the natural pool may be a source for continued new variants of the virus to emerge.

Sam

10
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2019
« on: September 02, 2019, 06:26:54 PM »
Someone pinned that thing onto Bahama...  :-\

11
Consequences / Re: AGW consequences where you live
« on: August 14, 2019, 03:31:43 AM »
Northeast warming faster than rest of US, particularly in winter:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2019/national/climate-environment/climate-change-america/

As a New Jersey resident I have to call BS on this article.  First off more people live in the sector of the northeast than any other sector in the country, which would include more cities and more of a heat island effect...not really news.  Second their data only constricts to meteorological winter and not astronomical which would include part or match, and anyone living in the northeast will tell you that is to most variable month of the year (March 2016 was the coldest march on record for a lot of tristate areas).

I can not deny that winter is not what it used to be, but I'm unimpressed by the means they support it.  Seems just like stating an obvious fact.
Yes, this article is fake news and the data is broad and incorrect. It also goes back to 1895 so it should be no surprise that the NYC heat island is visible on the map (as are heat islands elsewhere).

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