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Consequences / Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« on: June 16, 2018, 04:46:07 AM »
And where might "here abouts" be located?
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Trump's approval rating is now 44%....the lowest of any incoming president since Gallup has done polling on it.
I would NOT BE SURPRISED....if that were to slip into the 30ish area (mid 20's to low 30's) over the next 12 months...
Changing the name of a bad idea does not make if a good idea. It's kind of like wrapping a dog turd in gold foil and calling it a candy bar!!
The USA denialists have been so effective that now we are suppose to be grateful that the USA public appreciation of climate change risk is approximately back where it was in 1989. At this rate of progress we will be at AR10 before we muster sufficient public support to get USA policy makers to take effective (carbon pricing combined with regulations) action:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/climate-change-caused-by-humans-poll_us_56ec27f9e4b09bf44a9d164c
I enjoy miscalculations getting propagated
Quote96.3°F (34.6°C)I presume the 34.6°C is correct (from context); the equivalent should be 94.3°F.
Thanks, I fixed it to say:
The mercury hit 96.3°F (35.7°C) at Kew Gardens, the nearest recording site, topping the previous record of 94.3°F (34.6°C) on June 26, 1976.
Dr. M.
Some criticisms of scientists supposedly advocating policy often involves a confusion or failure to distinguish between advocacy for policy outcomes and for policy methods.
Your link is not to an "article", but rather an opinion piece by a contrarian climate scientist.
Your condescending and patronizing tone ignited me again.
I am not sure if you have had read this article.
This is from Aqua modis about 5 days ago. It was a pretty clear image so it will work well.
We also have access to GIS products based on the modis data itself. like the one below.
It really doesn't need to be precise to be analytically effective. We can just throw it into 3-4 categories. Brighter lighter blues = high reflectivity(75%+) Semi darkening = medium reflectivity(65-75%) average darkening = 50-65% reflectivity(bigger range potentially compensating for pooling water or melt ponds). Strong darkening = 30-50% reflectivity.
Again that is just rough ballpark estimates. Sometimes when snow melts in earnest there is water trapped on the top of the ice so much so it's almost like one large melt sea at times and albedo plummets until the water drains and then there is a rebound when the bare ice is left exposed but drained.
I would just use the modis images as a general guide.
...snip...
Thank you. I agree about the poor articulation and that I should read further and not start just with what I feel. My linguistic limitations didnt help either. And i couldnt agree with u more about the intimidating nature of rushing to post a thread here. Next time Ill do my homework first, I hope it will help. Thx again.Participating at a forum frequented and dominated by hard-core science types is different than hanging out at a site where only laypersons participate.
For the record, I basically concur with Xulonn and notjonathon's perspectives. But when I try to write like they wrote, I take forever and 'always' write things I later regret!Tor, I'm a retired expat living in the mountains of western Panama. My education was in conservation/ecology at U.C. Berkeley in the mid 1970's. I trained and worked as a psychiatric technician in the early 1960's. I recently took an online course in climate science from the University of British Columbia to help understand AGW/CC science.
That might lead to bad science.
"I care more about restoring trust in science than about calling people to action"[/i]
Just a link to SWERUS-C3's home page.Thanks Terry. The science crew's blogs look interesting, and I am just starting to read them. It will be an interesting look into the daily workings of a major scientific expedition on what I see as a critical aspect of the AGW/CC event.
http://www.swerus-c3.geo.su.se/
Terry
I am an associate professor in the Department of Political Science and director of the Climate Science Center at Texas Tech University, part of the Department of Interior’s South-Central Climate Science Center. My research focuses on establishing a scientific basis for assessing the regional to local-scale impacts of climate change on human systems and the natural environment. To this end, I analyze observations, compare future scenarios, evaluate global and regional climate models, build and assess statistical downscaling models, and constantly strive to develop better ways of translating climate projections into information relevant to agriculture, ecosystems, energy, infrastructure, public health, and water resources.
I am also the founder and CEO of ATMOS Research, where we bridge the gap between scientists and stakeholders to provide relevant, state-of-the-art information on how climate change will affect our lives to a broad range of non-profit, industry and government clients. We are currently working with the state of Delaware, the cities of Cambridge and Austin, and Boston Logan Airport to assess the potential impacts of climate change on their infrastructure and future planning.
My work has resulted in over 100 peer-reviewed papers, abstracts, and other publications and many key reports including the U.S. Global Change Research Program’s Second National Climate Assessment; the U.S. National Academy of Science report, Climate Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts over Decades to Millennia; and the upcoming 2014 Third National Climate Assessment. In addition to these reports, I have led climate impact assessments for a broad cross-section of cities and regions, from Chicago to California and the U.S. Northeast. The findings of these studies have been presented before Congress, highlighted in briefings to state and federal agencies, and used as input to future planning by communities, states, and regions across the country.