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Arctic sea ice / Re: What the Buoys are telling
« on: May 06, 2018, 07:49:12 PM »
Just came across this - a small update on O-Buoy 14
"Hunters found OB-14 near Gates Head island in the west Victoria Straits while Polar Bear hunting recently (March 2018)"
There is a picture at the link -

Arctic sea ice / Re: January Poll: JAXA Maximum
« on: January 15, 2018, 06:47:53 PM »
I think (guess  :) ) it will stay under 14 million, so down a bin to 13.75 - 14

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS
« on: February 12, 2017, 07:25:42 PM »

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS
« on: July 13, 2016, 08:42:17 AM »
Neven - fortunately I saved the link the last time JAXA changed to ADS and they seem to follow the same pattern for the new site, otherwise I don't think I would have found it :-)

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS
« on: July 13, 2016, 08:26:53 AM »
for the new ads vishop, it seems to be located here -

Just shifted my vote/guess up a bin to 3.75-4.0 from last time - probably still too low, just have to wait and see :-)

I voted for 2017, mostly because of all the FYI currently close to the pole and assuming (not a good thing to do for the Arctic sea ice) 2017 will be similar if not worse.  Almost picked 2016, but despite the FYI, don't think it is likely.

Antarctica / Re: What's new in Antarctica ?
« on: February 02, 2016, 08:28:49 PM »
An interesting project to get more info on Antarctic ice shelves

Summary -
 The phase sensitive radars were developed and built at the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) and very precisely measure changes in ice thickness. This means that we get a direct measurement of the ice shelf melt rate. Satellites can also be used to measure this, but will only give average values over several years, while we will get a value every 2 hours from the phase sensitive radars. In combination with the moorings that we have deployed at the ice shelf front, this will allow us to directly link changes in ocean temperature to changes in the ice shelf melt rate. The aim of the seismic surveys is to find out how much seawater there is between the floating ice shelf and the bedrock.

Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« on: September 04, 2015, 12:42:24 AM »
Some interesting observations from the Oden as it headed back down the Nares Strait -
"The irony of all of this is that the big icebergs and floes streaming southward out of the Arctic Ocean and blocking the strait may be an indicator of Arctic warming. Although icebergs are not unknown here, those who have been on past expeditions did not report so many. Normally they tend to stay put up in the Arctic, but we think maybe the ice there has loosened up enough that the bergs are free to drift southward. We are not sure of this; will have to check satellite images and commentaries from ice tracking programs when we get home."
Full blog post at

Arctic background / Re: USCGC Healy: scientific mission to the Arctic
« on: September 04, 2015, 12:38:17 AM »
This is not the Healy,  but an interesting blog from another research ship - in the Chukchi and Beaufort sea - scroll down to see the "We're Rolling" video which shows some pretty heavy seas as they transited the Chukchi.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Home brew AMSR2 extent & area calculation
« on: August 23, 2015, 10:53:23 PM »
Another nice animation - thanks!!  It also looks like some ice from the Lincoln Sea is making its way south thru the Nares Strait

Just moved my vote down a bin to 4.25-4.5 - thinking it will be closer to 4.5, but might, depending on weather/compaction, be closer to the 4.25.  Totally unscientific most based on watching the Uni Bremen maps :)

Arctic background / Re: USCGC Healy: scientific mission to the Arctic
« on: August 11, 2015, 06:48:05 PM »
The 3D video worked for me in Chrome, but not IE, so seems to be a browser issue

Those images are wonderful and nice to hear from Andreas, especially since he is obviously super busy.
While poking around the Petermann expedition site, I came across this set of updates ( ) from the Co-Chief scientist and found them very interesting.

Arctic background / Re: USCGC Healy: scientific mission to the Arctic
« on: August 10, 2015, 07:53:06 AM »
Looks like the Canadian portion of GEOTRACES on the Amundsen is back in action again ( ) after the diversion to break ice in Hudson Bay.  But like all expeditions, they are experiencing challenges, at the moment from equipment and not the weather or ice.

From this blog post - it is possible that some of the photos of the land might be Hall Land - I don't know where exactly that is, but other Greenland experts on the forum can perhaps locate it.  My understanding is that the land teams were delivered to their research locations via helicopter, so perhaps they are "in the vicinity" of Petermann

Here is a link to a nice blog post by Céline Heuzé - . She is on board the Oden.  There are some great pictures of the sea ice they have encountered as well as a picture of the face of Petermann

Arctic sea ice / Re: What the Buoys are telling
« on: August 03, 2015, 08:44:17 AM »
If you go to and put the movie all the way at the end (drag the bar at the bottom of the image), at the top will be the lat/lon info.  Hope this helps

Sticking with my number from last time - 3.0-3.25 at least for now.

I am sticking with my 4.5-4.75 bin from last poll - but I may change to a lower amount before the poll closes.  Still watching to see what the next couple of weeks brings for the Beaufort and whether things pick up on the Atlantic side.

Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: what's new in Greenland ?
« on: July 29, 2015, 11:59:35 PM »
This project - sounds interesting and should produce some interesting data. 
"Called Oceans Melting Greenland (OMG), the US$30-million NASA project will help scientists to predict the future of the Greenland ice sheet, which holds enough water to boost sea levels by around 6 metres and already seems to be melting more rapidly in response to increasing air temperatures. But it is not clear how much the oceans affect the rate of melting along the island’s edges, which depends on poorly known variables such as how warm, saline water interacts with the glaciers."

An interesting expedition and research this summer at Petermann -

Up a bin to 4.5-4.75 - Beaufort still looks "slushy" and might be a surprise, but everywhere else seems to me to be slow.  Guess we will see what happens this month :)

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015 melting season
« on: May 07, 2015, 07:23:37 PM »
While the weather currently is pretty overcast in Churchill, this shows some melting, as opposed to a couple of weeks ago when everything was uniformly frozen.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015 melting season
« on: April 25, 2015, 09:30:44 AM »
According this post on Climate Crocks - (fixed link) Calbuco probably won't have much of a cooling effect.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Barneo 2015 / NP-41
« on: April 11, 2015, 07:53:00 PM »
Also for those who are interested, NPEO has reports on how the installation of their equipment is going -

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS/JAXA
« on: March 29, 2015, 11:01:26 PM »
ghoti - found this over on Jim Pettit's climate graph site -

Arctic sea ice / Re: "Smart" and "Stupid" Questions - Feel Free To Ask
« on: March 19, 2015, 12:40:41 AM »
Besides the more interactive one that crandles posted, there is also this chart -

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015 melting season
« on: February 28, 2015, 06:55:02 PM »
Although not a graph, I finally found the CRREL IMB page here -   

Arctic background / Re: No Arctic expedition this year...
« on: February 24, 2015, 06:23:39 PM »
Laurent - thanks for posting - I remember reading about this some time ago but had forgotten exactly when it was supposed to happen.  The Arctic continues to have surprises for all of us :-) !

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS/JAXA
« on: February 18, 2015, 08:41:21 AM »

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS/JAXA
« on: February 15, 2015, 05:43:36 PM »
The colorful one Wipneus referred to may be this?

Anreas Muenchow has an interesting new post on Petermann over at his blog - - he is hoping to install some instruments on Petermann this summer - hoping to crowdfund this project (see )

Arctic sea ice / Re: Northwest Passage thread
« on: September 14, 2014, 10:39:08 PM »
Both the S/V Novara and the S/V Arctic Tern have made it to the vicinity of Barrow ( ) after going through the Northwest Passage from East to West.

Glaciers / Re: Alpine Glaciers
« on: August 16, 2014, 12:52:37 AM »
Thought others might find this interesting -

Once again sticking with numbers from last month 5250-5500.  Still just a guess :-)

I am staying with 2.75-3.00, same as last month. 

I am sticking with 4.5-4.75, same as last month. 

I think Andreas Munchow is currently on the Polarstern headed to this area ( ) so perhaps there will be some more information and studies of this area soon.

More cautious than last year but still think the min should be around 3.0 - but just a guess

Arctic sea ice / Re: What the Buoys are telling
« on: June 03, 2014, 12:09:11 AM »
I would say footprints (polar bear most likely  :) ) and definitely looks like open water especially on today's image just coming in - nice and sunny too.  Webcam #1 on its side , while not as interesting, gives a good view of melting ice.

At this point in time I am being much more "conservative" than last year and ticked the 4.5-4.75 box.  That said, I expect June to be a telling month for where the extent will finally end up.  Ice seems very fractured and weak to me (eyeball observations of MODIS), but hard to say if that will equate to a big melt - will wait and see how the June weather turns out.

Arctic background / Re: Eric Larsen's "Save The Poles" Expedition
« on: May 08, 2014, 08:46:45 AM »
Took 8 hours to travel the last 3.5nm, but Eric and Ryan made it to 90 North - now sleeping in and waiting for their pick up flight.

Arctic background / Re: Eric Larsen's "Save The Poles" Expedition
« on: May 05, 2014, 09:21:31 PM »
They are within 19 miles of the pole and finding really bad ice conditions - lots of leads, only small ice floes, needing to swim leads or worse, unexpectedly falling thru the ice - these last few miles may be the most difficult ones.

Arctic background / Re: Eric Larsen's "Save The Poles" Expedition
« on: May 04, 2014, 01:44:54 AM »
This expedition is closing in on the pole - latest position Latitude: 89.273, Longitude: -41.19 | Dist To Pole: 50.3 Miles.  After a couple of days of good ice, clear weather and not a lot of drift, they are now struggling with flat light and more drift.  They also report polar bear tracks on the same path they are on - an additional worry.  Hopefully the polar bear finds a nice tasty seal to snack on and won't be interested in them.

Arctic background / Re: Bernice Nootenboom and Expedition Hope
« on: May 04, 2014, 01:41:12 AM »
After getting a resupply and a relocation to the west via airplane (they had drifted about 142 km to the east), Expedition Hope is at 85deg 14min N, 79def 18min W and battling lots of pressure ridges and big leads. 

Arctic background / Re: Eric Larsen's "Save The Poles" Expedition
« on: April 21, 2014, 11:37:25 PM »
Eric Larsen's current position - Latitude: 86.437, Longitude: -59.778 | Dist To Pole: 246.4 Miles
Lots of eastward drift, open leads and challenging weather.

Arctic background / Re: Bernice Nootenboom and Expedition Hope
« on: April 16, 2014, 08:26:31 AM »
Very interesting expedition to follow. 
There is another expedition led by Eric Larsen (Save the Poles)]  [url] [/url] -  that is going from Canada to the Pole - opposite direction to Expedition Hope.  Interesting to read the blog and see the ice conditions they are encountering.

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