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Messages - Sigmetnow

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1
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: Today at 05:04:23 PM »
If VW made a good EV microbus /van, I think it would sell like crazy.  And then Tesla wouldn’t have to make one…  for now. 

But who will make the first mass-market autonomous van?

—-
SMR
Ark Invest Predicts $9 Trillion Robotaxi Opportunity By 2029


—-
Quote
Sawyer Merritt (@SawyerMerritt)1/21/21, 11:08 AM
NEWS: Pete Buttigieg (President Joe Biden’s nominee to head the Transportation Department) said while testifying today: "Automated vehicle tech is coming, it's advancing quickly and its something that holds the potential to be transformative; In many ways policy has not kept up."
https://twitter.com/sawyermerritt/status/1352286895963844611
Video clip at the link.

Sawyer Merritt:

➡️https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvYBw8b6Q8M&feature=emb_logo
[ 2 hours ]

2
Policy and solutions / Re: Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
« on: Today at 04:30:32 PM »
Quote
Elon Musk (@elonmusk)1/21/21, 6:08 PM
Am donating $100M towards a prize for best carbon capture technology
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1352392678177034242
Elon Musk:
Details next week

Everyday Astronaut:
Is a sabatier reactor considered a carbon capture technology? Or maybe a good carbon capture machine can be used for a more efficient and powerful sabatier reactor
Elon Musk:
It’s a good path for fully renewable rocket energy, so solves part of problem, but longer chain hydrocarbons than CH4 are needed to be solid at room temp

3
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: Today at 04:22:15 PM »
—- Starship SN9 Static Fire - Jan 22
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/22/21, 9:55 AM
Yesterday's Starship static fire attempt did not go well. However, they're back at it with SN9 early this morning.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1352630887255519232

Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight)1/22/21, 9:52 AM

Starship SN9 is very eager this morning. Tri-venting and Siren already. Would be a very rare pre-midday Static Fire.
youtube.com/watch?v=wgwQSs…  [ https://t.co/KLFof9P5Ts ]
➡️ https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1352630887255519232
10 sec “tri-venting” clip at the Twitter link.


Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight)1/22/21, 10:00 AM

STATIC FIRE! Starship SN9 fires up her three Raptors. Very smooth morning pad flow to ignition.
Looks and sounded very good. Let's hope the data was good to approve launch next week.
SN9 Status: … ➡️ https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1352632161065693184
20 second vid at the link.

⬇️Image below from: https://twitter.com/pabloplataa/status/1352632587668365312

4
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: Today at 03:43:51 PM »
—- Next launch: Transporter-1.  Now Saturday?
Quote
Eric Berger:
Another confirmation that Transporter-1 launch will slip a day. Interesting note about the total number of satellites too:

Will Marshall (@Will4Planet) 1/21/21, 10:27 PM
This Saturday we're launching 48 SuperDoves w/ @SpaceX!
Fun Fact: it's a record-breaking ride w/ 133 sats! (Beating 104 on PSLV in 2017 where @planetlabs had 88)
Tune in for 06:40PST / 14:40UTC liftoff: spacex.com/launches/ Follow along @planetlabs
https://twitter.com/will4planet/status/1352457949394833409

New Year, New Launches: 48 SuperDoves To Launch With SpaceX
January 21, 2021
Quote
Planet is rocketing into the new year with 48 SuperDoves, our Flock 4s, scheduled to fly on SpaceX’s Transporter-1 mission. This rideshare mission launching out of Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida will deliver Flock 4s to a sun-synchronous orbit at approximately 500 km altitude. These 48 SuperDoves bring improvements to image sharpness and quality, plus new spectral bands for analysis. With this launch of 8-band SuperDoves, Planet will continue to provide medium resolution multispectral imagery (3-5m) at a global scale to our customers worldwide.

This marks our sixth launch on a SpaceX Falcon 9 and our third launch on their smallsat rideshare program. Just last summer, we successfully launched six SkySats across two SpaceX Starlink rideshare missions and we’re excited to again fly on such a reliable and well-flown launch vehicle.

Follow along on Planet’s Twitter for updates as the launch window nears.
Ad astra! 
https://www.planet.com/pulse/new-year-new-launches-48-superdoves-to-launch-with-spacex/

Quote
Gavin: … The tracking overnight suggests they didn't get tug Hawk hooked up to tow JRTI until [Thursday] morning, probably because of the rough seas we saw during the webcast.
https://twitter.com/spacexfleet/status/1352340284210868227
 
Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight) 1/21/21, 2:51 PM
The next Starlink launch is currently NET Jan. 27, per hazard zones. I think it will be a bit tight to turnaround JRTI in time for that launch date. OCISLY is currently occupied with the Transporter-1 launch. …
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1352343128041156608


—- Starship
Quote
Mary (@BocaChicaGal) 1/21/21, 7:33 PM
I have received the ‘Alert’ notice and a road closure is scheduled between 7 a.m. and 12:00 p.m. Another possible SN9 static fire attempt [Friday]. ???
https://twitter.com/bocachicagal/status/1352413945173311488
SPadre:
 Prolly 7.2 test, things didn’t look or sound norminal today
Mary:
We don’t receive an ‘Alert’ notice for testing test tanks.

Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight) 1/21/21, 1:02 PM
Latest with Starship SN9:
- Static fire Thursday afternoon
- Launch no-earlier than Monday, per Temporary Flight Restrictions
wenhop.com
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1352315542594482179

Old TFRs:
Altitude: From the surface up to and including 7200 feet MSL
Effective Date(s):
From January 20, 2021 at 1200 UTC
To January 24, 2021 at 0600 UTC

New TFRs issued Thursday: for Mon-Wed, Jan 25, 26, 27, Surface to Unlimited.  1400 to 2359 UTC


—— Oops, We meant 9 at Stennis
Green Run Update: Hot Fire Met Many Objectives, Test Assessment Underway
January 21, 2021
Quote
... Currently, the SLS core stage can still be loaded with propellant and pressurized 20 more times for a total of 22 cycles. Rocket stages like the core stage are designed to be loaded with cryogenic propellant and pressurized a specific number of times. These are called cryogenic loading cycles. Before Green Run testing began, SLS had allocated nine cryogenic cycles for testing at NASA’s Stennis Space Center in Bay St. Louis, Mississippi and has used two of those during the hot fire and wet dress rehearsal, with seven cryogenic cycles remaining for additional testing. For the Artemis I Iaunch, NASA is preserving 13 of the remaining 20 cryogenic loading cycles. These can be used for multiple launch attempts, a wet dress rehearsal on the launch pad, and other activities that require propellant loading and tank pressurization
https://blogs.nasa.gov/artemis/2021/01/21/green-run-update-hot-fire-met-many-objectives-test-assessment-underway/


—- Saturday webcast
Quote
Thomas Burghardt (@TGMetsFan98)1/21/21, 12:33 PM
On this week's NSF Live, join John Galloway (@KSpaceAcademy) and myself in welcoming a very special guest: Founder and CEO of @RocketLab, @Peter_J_Beck!
We will be doing Q&A including questions taken from our live chat!
Saturday at 3 PM EST (20:00 UTC): youtu.be/Knk_RuV7mao
https://twitter.com/tgmetsfan98/status/1352308361136660483

—-
Quote
Peter Beck (@Peter_J_Beck) 1/17/21, 10:25 PM
The new HyperCurie engine for deep space and planetary missions on Photon. Banana for scale, apparently bananas are now recognized units of measure?
https://twitter.com/peter_j_beck/status/1351007738759942145
⬇️ Photo below.


—- Bernie Sanders @ inauguration day photo meme, continued (They’re putting him everywhere.)
Quote
William Harwood (@cbs_spacenews)1/22/21, 9:15 AM
Couldn't resist putting Bernie on the flight deck... Go for launch!
https://twitter.com/cbs_spacenews/status/1352621000941330434
⬇️ Image below

5
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 21, 2021, 04:31:25 PM »
—- Jan 20, 2021 Falcon 9 Starlink mission
Sunrise —> Day —> Launch: Seamless time lapse and real-time video of today’s liftoff of Falcon 9 and 60 Starlink satellites
https://www.reddit.com/r/spacex/comments/l1akw5/sunrise_day_launch_seamless_time_lapse_and/
With audio!

Winds were “outside the envelope” for a drone-ship landing, but SpaceX went ahead with the attempt — and the booster hit its mark precisely!
Quote
SpaceX (@SpaceX) 1/20/21, 8:12 AM
Falcon 9’s first stage has landed on the Just Read the Instructions droneship!
➡️ https://twitter.com/spacex/status/1351880155145273351
Webcast clip: 11 sec

Around the time of the T-E retraction (T minus 4:30 to 3:30, about 17:30 in the Starlink mission launch video), there’s a minute or so of ambient audio where you can really hear the Falcon 9 “breathing.”  Imagine being in a Dragon capsule, listening to that while awaiting liftoff!
➡️ https://www.spacex.com/launches/
Edit: adding permalink: ➡️https://youtu.be/84Nct_Q9Lqw

SpaceX sets new rocket reuse records with successful Starlink launch
January 20, 2021 Stephen Clark
https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/01/20/spacex-sets-new-rocket-reuse-records-with-successful-starlink-launch/


—- Transporter-1, polar orbit smallsat mission NET tomorrow
Quote
Jan. 22: Falcon 9 • Transporter 1
Launch window: 1424-1524 GMT (9:24-10:24 a.m. EST)

Launch site: SLC-40, Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida
A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch the Transporter 1 mission, a rideshare flight to a sun-synchronous orbit with dozens of small microsatellites and nanosatellites for commercial and government customers. Delayed from Dec. 16, Jan. 14, and Jan. 21. [Updated Jan. 19]
https://spaceflightnow.com/launch-schedule/

Quote
Gavin - SpaceXFleet.com (@SpaceXFleet) 1/21/21, 6:13 AM
Ms. Tree and Chief having finished work at the Starlink LZ and are now cruising south towards the Transporter-1 LZ, near Cuba.
They should arrive around launch time. There are some other ships in the area that may have been hired to babysit the fairing until the catchers arrive. 
https://twitter.com/spacexfleet/status/1352212792401666048
Map at the link.


—- Starship static fire attempts
Quote
Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight)1/20/21, 4:23 PM
They are recycling and then some random car just turned up in the view on the "blocked" road coming off the beach.
youtube.com/watch?v=IHIcC4…
➡️ https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1352003931203895297
30 sec webcast clip, with car

Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/20/21, 5:52 PM
After two aborts today, one of which was due to a car galivanting by, it seems like SpaceX is making a third run at a static fire of its revamped SN9 Starship prototype.
youtube.com/watch?v=IHIcC4…
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1352026121831936000

Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight) 1/20/21, 6:49 PM
Another abort for Starship SN9 during the Static Fire attempt.
Live with Mary (@BocaChicaGal) and NSF bots
youtube.com/watch?v=IHIcC4…
➡️ https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1352040671897595906

Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight) 1/20/21, 6:52 PM 

And now they've woken up Hopper, wondering who the new family member is (Test Tank SN7.2).
➡️ https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1352041430206849024
Vid clips at the arrow links.

Quote
Mary (@BocaChicaGal)1/20/21, 9:01 PM
I have received an ‘Alert’ notice for [Thursday]. Another possible SN9 static fire attempt between the hours of 8 a.m. - 5 p.m.
https://twitter.com/bocachicagal/status/1352073839036002309


—- Oops
Quote
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/15/21, 3:49 PM
Regarding the fate of Starship prototype SN9, I have begun to hear bits and pieces that are not great news. There's nothing I consider reportable on what has happened, but I would now bet against SN9 flying before February.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350183316335558661

Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/20/21, 2:31 PM
Here to admit my error on this. I'm not sure what miracles were worked on SN9 exactly, but with new TFRs popping up and a probable static fire today, it does look like SN9 will in fact fly sooner than I believed. Happy to lose this bet!
tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/det…
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1351975686953717761



—- New U.S. President Joe Biden’s Oval Office
Quote
Josh Billinson (@jbillinson)1/20/21, 5:21 PM  
Joe Biden has moon rocks in the Oval Office, which feels like an incredible flex that the United States has enough moon rocks to just use some of them for interior decorating
washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/…
https://twitter.com/jbillinson/status/1352018386843299841

Liem Bahneman (@Liembo)1/20/21, 5:58 PM

 Is this them?
➡️ https://twitter.com/liembo/status/1352027771770347525
Photo at the link.
< Does he need more? We can get him more in a few years if he wants more. I think he should have more.
Note: Presidents get to “borrow” items from museums to keep in the White House during their tenure. :)


—- NASA admin in transition
As parting message, Jim Bridenstine leaves Artemis program ‘in good shape’ for Biden’s NASA
https://www.theverge.com/platform/amp/2021/1/20/22240908/jim-bridenstine-nasa-chief-transition-artemis

Steve Jurczyk becomes Acting Administrator of NASA as Jim Bridenstine shares farewell video
https://spaceexplored.com/2021/01/20/steve-jurczyk-becomes-acting-administrator-of-nasa-as-jim-bridenstine-shares-farewell-video/

6
Policy and solutions / Re: The Boring Company
« on: January 21, 2021, 03:46:57 PM »
I do not live in Las Vegas, the Netherlands, nor Miami.

Given that bridges remain stable in substance as light as air, and tunnels are built underwater, and that Miami has both, I’d say the odds of the Boring Company being able to do what they say are rather good.

How about an opinion from a professor of underground construction and tunneling, on this very subject?
Quote
South Florida is largely on a foundation of limestone, which is sponge-like, allowing water to move through it easily. But tunneling through limestone and beneath groundwater is common, said Michael Mooney, a professor of underground construction and tunneling at the Colorado School of Mines.

Mooney said that rising sea levels would increase the pressure on a finally designed tunnel, but that can be accommodated by design
https://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/florida/os-neelon-musk-dig-tunnels-as-solution-for-miami-traffic-jams-20210120-vuvhmg3lhfa7zchgf4b7p2bc4y-story.html

Port Miami Tunnel - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Port_Miami_Tunnel
The Port of Miami Tunnel (also State Road 887) is a 4,200-foot (1,300 m) bored, undersea tunnel in Miami, Florida. It consists of two parallel tunnels (one in each direction) that travel beneath Biscayne Bay, connecting the MacArthur Causeway on Watson Island with PortMiami on Dodge Island.


As to whether the environment is better protected by emissions-free transport through tunnels, as opposed to millions of vehicles polluting the air, I would not reject the former without knowing more about their protective construction methods.  But that’s just me.

—-
Quote
… now I know why it's called the boring company (even at speedx2)  :P

They agree!  :)
Quote
The Boring Company (@boringcompany)7/1/19, 11:53 PM
Come work with us in Las Vegas – lots of boring jobs available!
boringcompany.com/jobs
https://twitter.com/boringcompany/status/1145903368184819712

7
U.S.: Big business backs key climate change regulations
Jan 21
Quote
Two of Washington’s biggest lobbying groups say they support the Biden administration’s plan to regulate methane emissions from oil and gas wells.

Why it matters: The shift, instigated by the Chamber of Commerce and American Petroleum Institute, is one of the most concrete signs of how corporations are beginning to support action on climate change in the face of pressure from investors, politicians and the public.

Catch up quick: The organizations have for years opposed any direct regulation of methane, a greenhouse gas that’s the primary component of natural gas. ...
https://www.axios.com/business-back-key-climate-change-regulations-b55ccce6-1595-415b-975e-7c57555745a0.html

8
Policy and solutions / Re: The Boring Company
« on: January 21, 2021, 02:46:12 AM »
Quote
Miami does not have an underground transit system for a very good reason.

The geology of Miami and Florida
As a result of the aquifer, it is not possible to dig more than 15 to 20 ft (5 to 6 m) beneath the city without hitting water, which impedes underground construction, though some underground parking garages exist. For this reason, the mass transit systems in and around Miami are elevated or at-grade.


Quote
@truth_tesla  1/18/21, 4:22 AM
How does the Netherlands have tunnels, if much of the country is below sea level?
The answer: tunnel concrete walls are waterproof, and tunnels are probably also excellent emergency shelters during hurricanes as well.
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_t…
https://twitter.com/truth_tesla/status/1351097608547278852
@truth_tesla :
 Fun fact: about 50% of Netherlands' surface is at or below 1m above sea level - and a majority of their underground tunnels are below sea level.
info at the link

Portions of the Boring Company LVCC Loop are below the water table.

The Boring Company ramps vehicle testing for LVCC Loop [video]
January 19, 2021
https://www.teslarati.com/elon-musk-the-boring-company-las-vegas-loop-video/

Low frame-rate, fixed webcam vid, ~5 min:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E8tv-P1g7JY&feature=youtu.be

Quote
< What about Gary the snail? Is he still faster than the tunneling machines?
Elon Musk (@elonmusk)1/9/21, 1:59 PM
Yes, but not for long
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1347981380710383616

9
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 21, 2021, 02:21:21 AM »
—- The EV successor to the beloved VW Microbus is delayed yet again
Volkswagen ID. Buzz Delayed Until 2023 For US Customers
January 18th, 2021
Quote
In any event, the idea of an electric minivan that would be the spiritual successor to the VW Microbus — the ultimate symbol of automotive cool and official vehicle of the Woodstock Generation — is one that has great emotional power. In recent stories, CleanTechnica has detailed how Volkswagen is starting to reconfigure its Hannover factory to produce the ID. Buzz and is adding an assembly line at its factory in Chattanooga to manufacture the ID.4 and the ID. Buzz.

Recent rumors suggested the ID. Buzz would be available to consumers in early 2022. And while that may be true, according to a report by Car and Driver, Scott Keogh, head of Volkswagen of America, told Automotive News last week, “I wish it was coming next year. It’s not going to come quite as soon as that. It’s going to be a little bit later than that.” A little bit later apparently means sometime in 2023 and that’s for cars built in Germany. When VOA is going to get production going in Tennessee is anyone’s guess. …
https://cleantechnica.com/2021/01/18/volkswagen-id-buzz-delayed-until-2023-for-us-customers/
⬇️ Image below.


—- “urban entry model”, range 265 miles (426 km)
JANUARY 20, 2021
Mercedes unveils electric compact SUV
Quote
The EQA, the first of several electric models Mercedes-Benz plans to launch this year, will initially have a range of 426 kilometres (265 miles), with a 500km model coming later.
The SUV will go on sale in Europe on Feb 4 at what board of management Britta Seeger described as “very attractive price points”.
Mercedes-Benz describes the EQA as an “urban entry model” and board member Seeger touted its “sustainability, versatility and fresh look”. …
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-daimler-electric-idUSKBN29P19N

—-
Ontario, Canada: GM to convert CAMI into commercial EV plant
Jan 16, 2021
Quote
General Motors plans to transform its Ingersoll plant in Ontario, Canada into a major electric delivery vehicle factory. The Group earmarked one billion Canadian dollars (just under $800 million) for the conversion.

BrightDrop, GM’s new electric delivery vehicle outlet, will have its new truck made there once they switch over the current Chevrolet Equinox production to the EV600s. The model is set for delivery in late-2021 and GM said they would start transforming the CAMI factory in Ingersoll immediately, pending agreements with Canadian authorities.

The logistics-focussed BrightDrop brand had only been announced three days ago, and GM says they will offer commercial customers “an ecosystem of connected and electrified products and services” that cover the first to last mile. The first model is the EP1 and set to hit the market in just a few weeks. This is not an electric delivery truck like the EV600 but an electric pallet truck. …
https://www.electrive.com/2021/01/16/ontario-gm-to-convert-cami-into-commercial-ev-plant/

—-
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles is no more
Jan. 16, 2021
Fiat Chrysler, Groupe PSA merge to become Stellantis
https://www.detroitnews.com/story/business/autos/chrysler/2021/01/16/fiat-chrysler-groupe-psa-merge-become-stellantis/4179989001/

Stock ticker will be $STLA ::) ::) ::) Because heaven forfend they get confused with Tesla $TSLA.
 

10
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 20, 2021, 01:12:25 PM »
Starlink launch in just under an hour
Quote
45th Space Wing (@45thSpaceWing)1/20/21, 6:53 AM
SpaceX is currently targeting 8:02 a.m. EST for this morning’s Starlink launch!
You’ll be able to view the livestream here: spacex.com/launches/
https://twitter.com/45thspacewing/status/1351860401714196482

—-
With latest Starlink launch, SpaceX to set record for rapid reuse
Weather appears to be good for Wednesday after concerns about recovery on Monday.
Eric Berger - 1/19/2021, 10:41 AM
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/01/with-latest-starlink-launch-spacex-to-set-record-for-rapid-reuse/

—- Starship
Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight) 1/19/21, 2:19 PM
No static fire [Tuesday] in Boca Chica. It has slipped to Wednesday. Temporary Flight Restrictions have also been updated – moving the earliest possible launch date to Thursday.
wenhop.com
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1351610135571927040

Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight) 1/19/21, 3:18 PM

Starship SN9 will wait at least another day for her pre-launch Static Fire test. However, rocket production further down Highway 4 waits for no one!
Say hello to the Forward Dome of Super Heavy Prototype BN2 <--yes, 2.
Picture from Mary (@BocaChicaGal):
forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topi…
➡️ https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1351625215990763529
Photo at the link: “B2 forward dome”
 


—- Satellogic and SpaceX Announce Multiple Launch Agreement
Through a series of rideshare launches over the next two years and beyond, the company will be moving from weekly to daily world remaps by 2025 with more than 300 microsatellites in orbit.
  First mission, scheduled for mid-2021, will further expand Satellogic’s industry-leading in-orbit capacity
January 19, 2021
Quote
Satellogic, the first company to develop a scalable Earth observation platform with the ability to remap the entire planet at both high-frequency and high-resolution, today announced a Multiple Launch Services Agreement (MLA) with SpaceX. Through the agreement, SpaceX becomes Satellogic’s preferred vendor for rideshare missions. The first launch, scheduled for June 2021, will deliver Satellogic satellites to Low Earth Orbit on a Falcon 9 rocket.

Today’s agreement with SpaceX will enable Satellogic to maintain and extend their position as the global leader in high-resolution, high-frequency geospatial analytics. Satellogic expects to complete the initial buildout of their Earth Observation Constellation by the end of 2022. At that point the company will have the capacity to deliver weekly, high-resolution coverage of the entire landmass of the planet.

Satellogic provides a disruptive and compelling economic use case to current users of EO imagery, as well the ability to simplify the image collection process, eventually replacing considerably less efficient technologies and solutions such as drones, helicopters, planes, and boots-on-the-ground manpower. “Satellogic’s business model makes them the ideal partner for SpaceX’s rideshare missions. SpaceX’s frequent launch schedule means that Satellogic’s end customers will get the latest satellite technology as soon as it’s ready to launch,” said Tom Ochinero, Vice President of Commercial Sales at SpaceX. “We’re excited to support Satellogic’s ambitions to democratize access to geospatial analytics.”

After completing three launches in 2020, Satellogic’s in-orbit capacity now enables access to up to four daily revisits of any point of interest and the collection of more than 4 million sq. km per day in high-resolution data. …
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210119005117/en/Satellogic-and-SpaceX-Announce-Multiple-Launch-Agreement


—- SLS hotfire abort analysis & teleconference
Quote
Eric Berger:
Heard from a couple of people regarding NASA's update on the SLS Green Run test.
Basic gist is: the engineers developing and testing the vehicle definitely want another core stage hot fire. If there's not one, it will be for political reasons.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1351559211075989505
Green Run Update: Data and Inspections Indicate Core Stage in Good Condition
January 19, 2021
https://blogs.nasa.gov/artemis/2021/01/19/green-run-update-data-and-inspections-indicate-core-stage-in-good-condition/

Eric Berger:
Some more detail here on why NASA is likely to repeat a hot fire test of the SLS rocket. Good news is that the issues observed Saturday all seem addressable.
NASA likely to redo hot-fire test of its Space Launch System core stage
Of 23 test objectives, full data was received for 15 of them.
Eric Berger - 1/19/2021, 1:20 PM
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/01/nasa-likely-to-redo-hot-fire-test-of-its-space-launch-system-core-stage/

From the Jan 19 NASA Teleconference:
- Shutdown happened due to software parameters set conservatively to protect the rocket during the test, because it’s the only one there is.  If this had been an actual launch, looser software parameters (and redundant hardware) would have allowed a successful continuation of the burn.  The MCF alarm did not cause the abort.
 - When deciding whether to re-do the hotfire test, they must balance the need for complete data with the risks and limits of having only one rocket.  Examples: the propellant tank can only be loaded nine times.  (Have already loaded three times:  two wet dress rehearsals and one hotfire.)  And SRB’s have time limits once stacked.
- Conditions for testing are best at Stennis, so any hotfire tests will happen there, not at KSC.
- Can Artemis 1 launch occur this year? “Too early to say.”

11
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: January 20, 2021, 02:07:25 AM »
What to do with all those offshore drilling platforms as the contractors go bankrupt?  How about turning them into the first generation of (sustainably fueled) offshore spaceports?

SpaceX bought two floating oil platforms from a bankrupt offshore drilling contractor for a mere $7 million just a decade after completion.
Six months after CEO Elon Musk revealed that “SpaceX is building floating, superheavy-class spaceports” for its next-generation Starship rocket, the company has already purchased and begun converting at least two retired oil rigs.

SpaceX is turning oil rigs into floating Starship spaceports named after Mars’ moons
By Eric Ralph January 19, 2021
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-building-floating-starship-spaceports-phobos-deimos/

SpaceX acquires former oil rigs to serve as floating Starship spaceports
 Thomas BurghardtJanuary 19, 2021
Quote
Job postings by SpaceX have indicated that work on offshore launch platforms has begun in Brownsville, Texas, near their Starship manufacturing and launch facilities in Boca Chica.

Positions included crane operators, electricians, and offshore operations engineers, and several of the job listings specified that the position was part of the company’s Starship program. Job descriptions for these positions included responsibilities like “designing and building an operational offshore rocket launch facility” and required the “ability to work on an offshore platform in Brownsville, Texas.” …
https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2021/01/spacex-rigs-starship-spaceports/

Aside:  The Boca Chica, Texas, Starship Production Complex has already begun installing equipment to produce propellent for its rockets, eventually in a sustainable manner as will be required on Mars.

12
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 20, 2021, 01:55:11 AM »
SpaceX bought two floating oil platforms from a bankrupt offshore drilling contractor for a mere $7 million just a decade after completion.
Six months after CEO Elon Musk revealed that “SpaceX is building floating, superheavy-class spaceports” for its next-generation Starship rocket, the company has already purchased and begun converting at least two retired oil rigs.

SpaceX is turning oil rigs into floating Starship spaceports named after Mars’ moons
By Eric Ralph January 19, 2021
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-building-floating-starship-spaceports-phobos-deimos/

SpaceX acquires former oil rigs to serve as floating Starship spaceports
 Thomas Burghardt January 19, 2021
Quote
Job postings by SpaceX have indicated that work on offshore launch platforms has begun in Brownsville, Texas, near their Starship manufacturing and launch facilities in Boca Chica.

Positions included crane operators, electricians, and offshore operations engineers, and several of the job listings specified that the position was part of the company’s Starship program. Job descriptions for these positions included responsibilities like “designing and building an operational offshore rocket launch facility” and required the “ability to work on an offshore platform in Brownsville, Texas.” …
https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2021/01/spacex-rigs-starship-spaceports/

Aside:  The Boca Chica Starship Production Complex has begun installing equipment to produce propellent for its rockets, eventually in a sustainable manner as will be required on Mars.

13
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 19, 2021, 09:42:22 PM »
Tomorrow, January 20 at noon EST, Joe Biden becomes President of the U.S.

Biden will move to implement his $2 trillion climate plan on Day 1 to bolster the economy and kick off the new administration's fight against climate change
Jan 20, 2021
Quote
In his $US1.7 trillion climate proposal, Biden plans on reversing many of President Donald Trump’s actions that relate to the climate on his first day in office, such as rejoining the Paris Agreement, ending the Keystone XL pipeline, and establishing rules that limit methane emissions from oil and gas drilling operations. The proposals are also intended to boost the still-struggling economy, and by confronting climate change, 10 million clean energy jobs could be created if the proposal is successful.
...
The climate was also high up on the agenda during the confirmation hearing of Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen on Tuesday. Yellen told lawmakers that Biden’s infrastructure plan will involve investing in clean technology, renewable energy, promoting electric vehicle usage, and creating jobs.

Yellen also said that Biden is in “full support” of restoring full incentives for electric vehicles, along with ensuring workers have the skills to succeed in the electric vehicle industry.

Democratic lawmakers support federal spending for combating climate change. Sen. Ron Wyden of Oregon said in Yellen’s hearing that he hopes to advance a bill that will prioritise clean energy, clean transportation and energy conservation – efforts that address the “existential threat” of the warming climate. …
https://www.businessinsider.com.au/biden-enact-climate-plan-on-first-day-in-office-2021-1

14
Tomorrow, January 20 at noon EST, Joe Biden becomes President of the U.S.

Biden will move to implement his $2 trillion climate plan on Day 1 to bolster the economy and kick off the new administration's fight against climate change
Jan 20, 2021
Quote
In his $US1.7 trillion climate proposal, Biden plans on reversing many of President Donald Trump’s actions that relate to the climate on his first day in office, such as rejoining the Paris Agreement, ending the Keystone XL pipeline, and establishing rules that limit methane emissions from oil and gas drilling operations. The proposals are also intended to boost the still-struggling economy, and by confronting climate change, 10 million clean energy jobs could be created if the proposal is successful.

“If executed strategically, our response to climate change can create more than 10 million well-paying jobs in the United States that will grow a stronger, more inclusive middle class enjoyed by communities across the country, not just in cities along the coasts,” Biden’s website states.

The climate was also high up on the agenda during the confirmation hearing of Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen on Tuesday. Yellen told lawmakers that Biden’s infrastructure plan will involve investing in clean technology, renewable energy, promoting electric vehicle usage, and creating jobs.

Yellen also said that Biden is in “full support” of restoring full incentives for electric vehicles, along with ensuring workers have the skills to succeed in the electric vehicle industry.

Democratic lawmakers support federal spending for combating climate change. Sen. Ron Wyden of Oregon said in Yellen’s hearing that he hopes to advance a bill that will prioritise clean energy, clean transportation and energy conservation – efforts that address the “existential threat” of the warming climate. …
https://www.businessinsider.com.au/biden-enact-climate-plan-on-first-day-in-office-2021-1

15
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 19, 2021, 06:21:15 PM »
Since Tesla does most of their own servicing (and increasing amounts of its own insuring), they not only have an eye on ease of manufacture, but other future expenses. For example, the crash rails in the new one-piece rear casting are designed to be cut off after a crash, and new ones are bolted on along with the new rear bits.

16
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 19, 2021, 01:52:23 PM »
—- Launch today Tomorrow! 
Quote
SpaceX (@SpaceX)1/18/21, 9:52 PM
To allow additional time for pre-launch inspections, now targeting Wednesday, January 20 at 8:02 a.m. EST for launch of Starlink
https://twitter.com/spacex/status/1351361922218799105

SpaceX set to launch first Starlink mission of 2021
https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2021/01/spacex-set-to-launch-first-starlink-mission-of-2021/

—- Transporter-1 mission preps
SpaceX drone ship heads to The Bahamas for Falcon 9’s next polar launch
January 18, 2021
Quote
Notably, with drone ship OCISLY and support ship GO Searcher’s recent departure for Transporter-1, SpaceX is in the unique position of having deployed almost the entirety of its substantial rocket recovery fleet. Only GO Navigator (effectively the twin of GO Searcher) is currently in port and even that ship was out at sea supporting the first Cargo Dragon 2 recovery on January 17th. Altogether, six of SpaceX’s seven recovery ships are currently hard at work supporting two separate Falcon 9 launches – a rare but probably increasingly common sight as SpaceX works to complete as many as 48 launches in 2021.

Starlink-16 is scheduled to launch no earlier than 8:23 am EST (13:23 UTC), Tuesday, January 19th and will be broadcast live by SpaceX, as usual. Transporter-1 will follow as few as ~49 hours later, launching NET 9:24 am EST (14:24 UTC) on Thursday, January 21st.
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-falcon-9-polar-launch-bahamas-drone-ship/

—- Starship
Quote
Mary (@BocaChicaGal) 1/18/21, 8:12 PM
The ‘Alert’ notice has arrived and a road closure for [Tuesday] from 8 a.m. - 5 p.m. has been posted.  [Fingers crossed] for a Starship SN9 static fire attempt….
https://twitter.com/bocachicagal/status/1351336715772956672
Images of the notice and the schedule at the link.

—- Future offshore Starship landing platform?
Quote
Jack Beyer (@thejackbeyer)1/18/21, 7:52 PM I've been exploring around the Port of Brownsville while waiting for Starship testing and found an oil rig that appears to be named Deimos, after one of the moons of Mars! Based on job postings and @elonmusk's tweets, I'm willing to bet that SpaceX is involved.
https://twitter.com/thejackbeyer/status/1351331758084661252
Jack Beyer:
These two photos were taken months apart - you can see the [“Deimos”] sign is a recent addition. Could this be one of the floating, Superheavy class spaceports that @elonmusk has mentioned SpaceX is building?
https://twitter.com/thejackbeyer/status/1351332065283895297
⬇️ Wide photo below; closer ones at the links!

And no, evidence indicates it is not the Shell Deimos rig:
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1351349107453952002

—-
Quote
Julia (@julia_bergeron)1/18/21, 10:17 PM
 Right? Now, imagine a fleet to support them like the crews used to do in the gulf.
https://twitter.com/julia_bergeron/status/1351368214840807433
Julia:
Me daydreaming of a fleet to support/supply the offshore pads. Fun fact, this is exactly what the #SpaceXFleet did before being contracted to recover boosters and fairings at sea! GO Searcher pictured pre-Dragon days
⬇️ Photo below.

17
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 19, 2021, 02:08:30 AM »
—- Florida, U.S.
Duke Energy Florida to invest in EV charging stations as part of clean energy plan, and raise rates
Quote
Duke Energy Corp.'s subsidiary Duke Energy Florida (DEF) announced Friday agreement to push its clean energy program for the state, including investing in electric vehicle charging stations and accelerating the retirement of coal plants, but will also include base rate increases over the next three years.

The utility company said the agreement is subject to approval by the Florida Public Service Commission (FPSC). "This agreement provides a path to minimize bill increases while continuing to make smart investments that will offer customers greater reliability, cleaner energy alternatives and innovative technology," said Catherine Stempien, DEF state president.

The agreement includes base rate increases of about $5 billion over the next three years. As a result, DEF said its average residential customers will see their bills increase by 3% to 4% in 2022, and by 1% to 2% in 2023 and 2024. Duke's stock, which rose 0.3% in afternoon trading, has slipped 0.6% over the past 12 months, while the SPDR Utilities Select Sector ETF has lost 4.6% and the S&P 500 has gained 15.0%.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/duke-energy-florida-to-invest-in-ev-charging-stations-as-part-of-clean-energy-plan-and-raise-rates/ar-BB1cN4NR

—-
Hyundai to end domestic sales of Kona EVs after recalls - reports
Quote
SEOUL (Reuters) - South Korea’s Hyundai Motor Co will end domestic sales of its best-selling electric vehicle (EV), the Kona EV, after a series of fires and faulty braking systems prompted mass recalls, local media reported on Friday.

Cable news channel YTN said Hyundai was reviewing the end of Kona EV sales in South Korea, while the JoongAng Daily cited an unidentified source as saying sales would continue in Europe.  The Kona EV ranks among Europe’s best-selling EVs. Sales of the model outside its home market account for over three-quarters of the total.

Hyundai declined to confirm the reports but told Reuters, “We are reviewing various options as we prepare to launch the Ioniq 5” midsize crossover electric vehicle.

In October, Hyundai recalled Kona EVs in South Korea due to the risk of short circuit possibly caused by faulty manufacturing of its high-voltage battery cells. The recall, which includes software updates and battery replacements after inspections, involves 25,564 Kona EVs built during September 2017 to March 2020.

Hyundai has also recalled 50,864 Kona EV and Nexo fuel-cell vehicles in South Korea due to faulty electronic braking systems.
https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN28S0F3

—-
Ford reportedly delays some deliveries of its Mustang Mach-E
The company says it’s conducing additional quality checks on its new EV
https://www.theverge.com/2021/1/16/22234668/ford-delays-deliveries-mustang-mach-e-quality-checks

—-
2021 Tesla Model 3 fit and finish goes under the critical eye of automotive veteran Sandy Munro
January 15, 2021
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-3-2021-fit-and-finish-analysis-sandy-munro-video/

18
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 19, 2021, 01:58:20 AM »
—- Batteries
Quote
Tesla (@Tesla) 1/17/21, 4:08 PM
Come work on cell / battery production at Giga Texas & Giga Berlin!  tesla.com/battery-jobs
➡️ https://twitter.com/tesla/status/1350912868624035842
1 min vid of 3680 battery factory machines at the link.

Elon Musk (@elonmusk) 1/18/21, 12:52 AM
Battery cell production is the fundamental rate-limiter slowing down a sustainable energy future. Very important problem.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1351044768030142464

—-
January 18, 2021
Tesla renews contract with Jeff Dahn’s battery team at Dalhousie University
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-dalhouse-university-battery-team-contract-renewal-jeff-dahn/

October 19, 2020
Tesla battery researcher Jeff Dahn’s tests hint at li-ion cells breaking the 2M-mile barrier
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-jeff-dahn-2-million-mile-battery-video/

19
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 19, 2021, 01:53:17 AM »
Quote
Why has Tesla lowered the price of their cars numerous times if the market is supply constrained?

Because they can?
Because when the average industry profit margin is 5 to 10%, and Tesla’s profit margin is 30 to 40%, customers who learn that might be a tiny bit miffed?

Tesla Model Y Made In China Has 29.4% Gross Margin Per Analysts
Quote
Compared to the industry average of some 8-10 percent gross margin on luxury vehicles, the Model Y's nearly 30% margin is outstanding. Previous reports suggested the China-made Model 3 Standard Range Plus fares even better, with a gross profit margin near 40 percent. Tesla China has reduced the price of the Model 3 since that early report.
https://insideevs.com/news/464539/tesla-model-y-30-percent-gross-margin-china/

20
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 19, 2021, 01:20:34 AM »
gerontocrat wrote:
Quote
Miami does not have an underground transit system for a very good reason.

The geology of Miami and Florida
...
As a result of the aquifer, it is not possible to dig more than 15 to 20 ft (5 to 6 m) beneath the city without hitting water, which impedes underground construction, though some underground parking garages exist. For this reason, the mass transit systems in and around Miami are elevated or at-grade.

Quote
@truth_tesla  1/18/21, 4:22 AM
How does the Netherlands have tunnels, if much of the country is below sea level?
The answer: tunnel concrete walls are waterproof, and tunnels are probably also excellent emergency shelters during hurricanes as well.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_t…
https://twitter.com/truth_tesla/status/1351097608547278852
@truth_tesla :
 Fun fact: about 50% of Netherlands' surface is at or below 1m above sea level - and a majority of their underground tunnels are below sea level.
Info at the link

21
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 18, 2021, 08:40:49 PM »
—- Starship
Quote
Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight)1/18/21, 1:48 PM
Static Fire test expected to move to Tuesday. Looks like another windy day which is impacting on readiness preps.

Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight)1/18/21, 11:41 AM
Starship SN9 is expected to conduct a final Static Fire test today, paving the way for a launch this week.
A review of the test path and the always-fascinating goings-on at SpaceX Boca Chica.
Videos and pictures by Mary (@BocaChicaGal). Words from me.
nasaspaceflight.com/2021/01/starsh…  [ https://t.co/Q0QbkThFh6 ]
https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1351208079778586661

Just now: updated TFRs indicate a Starship flight no earlier than Wednesday.


—- Starliner OFT reflight
Boeing says it has re-qualified software for the Starliner crew capsule after errors cut short the craft’s first orbital test flight in 2019, setting the stage for an end-to-end simulation before a redo of the demo flight in March. …

Boeing making progress on Starliner software for test flight in March
https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/01/18/boeing-making-progress-on-starliner-software-for-test-flight-in-march/


—- Ode to Jim B.
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/18/21, 10:56 AM
With just two days left in his tenure, I want to take a moment publicly thank @JimBridenstine for being open, honest, and accessible to the media. He rarely blamed the media, and often acknowledged our role in both publicizing NASA while also keeping the agency honest.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1351196771754631168
~ Saturday night in Mississippi offers a great example of this. It was very cold. He was on stage in a suit, outside, in sub-40° [< 4.4°C] weather. After 22 minutes of a news conference, PIO said OK, I think we're done here. Jim responds, "We're here for them if there are more questions."
~ The news conference went on for about 20 more minutes. He and the others didn't have all the answers for sure, but they took our questions. It was a great Jim moment.
~ On the inside, I'm not certain of how he was as a leader. But publicly, Bridenstine was a great representative of NASA. He supported his agency and built it up at a time when a lot of government was being torn down. Was he perfect? No. But who among us is? Wish him well.

—- ”Phantom Space, Inc.” is aptly named
At least SLS has a rocket, of sorts!  Phantom Space just bragged on Twitter about their progress — using a photoshopped image with their rendered rocket and Phantom Space logo pasted into a NASA factory photo. :o
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/18/21, 11:23 AM
In summary: Phantom Space took a NASA photo of an abort motor (below), inserted a rendering of its Daytona rocket into the photo, and then tweeted about how construction of the rocket pathfinding model was coming. Original tweet, which was deleted:
imgur.com/a/xsTt6Ma     
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1351203481076555781
The CEO was persuaded to take down the tweet — after he retweeted it, claimed the image wasn’t illegal, that yes it was an “animation,” and that he didn’t know.

—- Perseverance 2 ?
Quote
星咲高校地学部航天局 HGCSA (@dedztbh)1/18/21, 9:22 AM
BREAKING: The first Chinese Mars rover is likely to be named Perseverance
https://twitter.com/dedztbh/status/1351173073249169410
[Image: China's first Mars rover name solicitation, submission of name, preliminary evaluation, shortlisted top 10 list ranking...]

星咲高校地学部航天局 HGCSA (@dedztbh)1/18/21, 9:24 AM
CLOSE ENOUGH
⬇️ Image below.
Number 1 on the shortlist:   1 . 弘毅
Hóngyì
As best I can tell:
The second character by itself means “perseverance;” the first character (“great”) is pronounced the same as the color “red” is pronounced, so a sly Mars reference.  Together, they can mean “have a broad and strong mind.”

22
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: January 18, 2021, 05:59:59 PM »
Biden to yank Keystone XL permit on first day of presidency
Rescinding Keystone XL would negate one of President Donald Trump's own first actions in office and kill a project that had become a political totem in the fight between climate activists and the oil industry.

Environmentalists applauded the decision. "President-elect Biden is showing courage and empathy to the farmers, ranchers and tribal nations who have dealt with an ongoing threat that disrupted their lives for over a decade"
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/17/biden-yank-keystone-pipeline-permit-460142

23
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 18, 2021, 03:06:04 PM »
—- Space is hard. Then again, SLS hasn’t left the ground, yet.
Quote
Eric Ralph (@13ericralph31)1/16/21, 8:59 PM
NASA & Boeing, 2017-2020: Green Run is basically a known quantity and will be ez pz thanks to our glorious Heritage Hardware™ - success is all but guaranteed!
NASA after SLS aborts 12% into static fire: "iF yOuRe ExPeCtInG pErFeCtIoN oN a FiRsT tEsT, yOuVe NeVeR tEsTeD bEfOrE"
https://twitter.com/13ericralph31/status/1350623812568584195

Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/16/21, 11:02 PM
"It is difficult to say what happened Saturday is anything but a bitter disappointment. This rocket core stage was moved to Stennis from its factory in nearby Louisiana more than one calendar year ago, with months of preparations for this critical test." arstechnica.com/science/2021/0…
Wayne Hale:
Only a ‘bitter disappointment’ for those with unrealistic expectations who have never participated in rocket testing before. Anybody that has been on this road before knows that this was possible even likely. Should have been prepared for this outcome
https://twitter.com/waynehale/status/1350806205481029633
William Harwood:
@waynehale Absolutely concur.

Eric Ralph:
I'm paraphrasing and it's more on behalf of Boeing, to be fair to NASA. Boeing officials did start to give *slightly* more pragmatic statements in 2020 after months of delays and several stumbles, but only then.  Happy to link multiple instances of extreme confidence :)

Eric Ralph:
@SciGuySpace @cbs_spacenews @waynehale spent a few minutes looking for examples of NASA and Boeing's extreme confidence going into Green Run lol
Eric Ralph:
"The core stage design will remain basically the same. The green run acceptance test gives NASA the confidence needed to know the new core stage will perform again and again as it is intended." - Lisa Bates, NASA SLS manager
spaceflightnow.com/2019/07/27/nas…
Eric Ralph:
“We’re going to move it out of this facility. We’re going to take it to the Stennis Space Center. We’re going to do a ‘green run’ test. We’re going to prove its capability, we’re going to get it to the Cape." - Bridenstine
spaceflightnow.com/2019/12/15/nas…
Eric Ralph:
"“The first vehicle we built is a flight vehicle,” he said. “We didn’t get any prototypes, didn’t get any demonstration vehicles or anything like that. The first one you’ve got to get right. That takes extra time.” - John Shannon, SLS Manager
spaceflightnow.com/2019/12/15/nas…
Eric Ralph:
In Shannon's defense, he did acknowledge that a rocket-side aborted static fire would need to be repeated before NASA would consider CS-1 qualified. But Bridenstine, Honeycutt, and Gilbrech all directly contradicted or tiptoed around his statements. spaceflightnow.com/2019/12/15/nas…

Eric Ralph:
If NASA somehow manages to waive the need for a full-duration Core Stage static fire and moves to ship CS-1 straight to Florida, I'd estimate the odds of an Artemis-1 launch failure to be around 50-75%.
Chris Marshall:
Well if the boosters truly have a 1 year shelf [life] once stacking started then they really are in a difficult position as any further delays will likely cause the launch to exceed that

24
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 18, 2021, 02:03:50 PM »
—- Starlink launch moves right
Quote
SpaceX (@SpaceX) 1/17/21, 10:04 PM
Due to unfavorable weather conditions in the recovery area, now targeting Tuesday, January 19 at 8:23 a.m. EST for launch of Starlink
https://twitter.com/spacex/status/1351002566994386949

SpaceX Falcon 9 booster set to beat rocket turnaround record by a huge margin
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-falcon-9-booster-record-rocket-turnaround-2021/


—- Starship
Quote
Mary (@BocaChicaGal) 1/17/21, 8:48 PM
I have received an ‘Alert’ notice and a road closure has been scheduled from 8 a.m. - 5 p.m. [Monday]. Possible static fire attempt of the three new Raptor engines on Starship SN9.
https://twitter.com/bocachicagal/status/1350983378963673090
Pics of notice & schedule at the link.

Quote
Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight) 1/17/21, 7:21 PM
SpaceX is installing an array of machinery that will eventually provide Boca Chica with onsite propellant, as the future Starships that will benefit from local LOX assemble.
Video & Photos from Mary (@BocaChicaGal). Edited by Theo Ripper (@theoripper)
➡️youtu.be/ptX80cTKdDQ
https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1350961414605828101

25
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 18, 2021, 01:37:23 AM »
—-  Starlink launch tomorrow (morning)
1345 GMT.   “Starlink V1.0-L16”
Quote
SpaceX (@SpaceX)1/17/21, 1:45 PM
Targeting Monday, January 18 at 8:45 a.m. EST for Falcon 9 launch of 60 Starlink satellites from LC-39A; Falcon 9’s first stage previously supported seven missions. Team is keeping an eye on launch and recovery weather → spacex.com/launches
https://twitter.com/spacex/status/1350876908867620864

Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight)1/17/21, 1:47 PM

This will be the first eighth flight of a Falcon booster and the fastest turnaround time between flights (around 35 days).
nextspaceflight.com/launches/reuse…  [ https://t.co/CLAWIlESjq
Wow, fastest turnaround previously was 50 days.  Now 35.


—- Starship
Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight) 1/16/21, 10:56 PM
VIDEO: While Starship SN9 repairs continue, SpaceX is making progress on new prototypes. Components for SN17 are already being spotted!
Video & Photos from Mary (@BocaChicaGal). Edited by Nic Gautschi (@NGautschi).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-gCdbjEiq4&feature=youtu.be
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1350653215033880577

—-
Wondering when the next Starship flight will occur?
Michael Baylor has procured the meme-famous wenhop (and whenhop) urls to serve Starship fans.  ;D
wenhop.com
whenhop.com

—- SpaceX 2004
New article, but features (at least on my feed) a video interview from July 2004: Musk speaking about the future of space transportation and SpaceX.
Elon Musk donates $5 million to education group Khan Academy
https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/17/us/elon-musk-khan-academy-5-million-donation-trnd/index.html


—- Virgin Orbit plane-launched rocket successfully orbits smallsats for NASA
Quote
Virgin Orbit (@Virgin_Orbit) 1/17/21, 5:28 PM
Payloads successfully deployed into our target orbit! We are so, so proud to say that LauncherOne has now completed its first mission to space, carrying 9 CubeSat missions into Low Earth Orbit for our friends @NASA. #LaunchDemo2
https://twitter.com/virgin_orbit/status/1350933162398986240

Virgin Orbit confirms the LauncherOne rocket reached a preliminary orbit after releasing from its Boeing 747 carrier aircraft over the Pacific Ocean at 11:39 a.m. PST (2:39 p.m. EST; 1939 GMT).
Virgin’s satellite launcher reaches orbit on second try
https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/01/18/virgins-satellite-launcher-reaches-orbit-on-second-try/
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/17/21, 2:52 PM
You can count the number of privately developed orbital rockets on a single hand. And this is a first for a liquid fueled, air-launched rocket. Great accomplishment for Virgin Orbit.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350893744904679424


—— SLS, though
"It is difficult to say what happened Saturday is anything but a bitter disappointment. This rocket core stage was moved to Stennis from its factory in nearby Louisiana more than one calendar year ago, with months of preparations for this critical test."
After a decade, NASA’s big rocket fails its first real test
"It's not everything we hoped it would be."
Eric Berger - 1/16/2021, 10:57 PM
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/01/nasas-space-launch-system-rocket-shuts-down-after-just-67-seconds/

—- Reference: the Virgin/Chad meme
;D “infographic” at the link.
➡️ https://twitter.com/kekcrypto/status/1350686134884556800

26
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 17, 2021, 02:08:10 PM »
—- SLS Green Run abort
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/16/21, 8:37 PM
Big takeaway from SLS hot fire news conference: No specifics on what the next steps are. Need to look at data. SLS program manager John Honeycutt did note they had hoped to get 250 seconds of data but only got 60.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350618338880331780
Eric Berger:
Only real news was a report of a “flash” near engine four in the thermal protection area. No details. The engine section was among the most challenging parts of the core stage design.

< Thank you for asking specifics - my take away is that had lots more data they didn’t want to share because it could lead to negative inferences.  Also Honeycutt had very little specific info for a multi billion dollar program manager - didn’t instill confidence
> ....and they’re already talking about skipping all that and just shipping it to the Cape and do engine swaps there. Someone should tell that in 96 hours a new Congress could drop this whole program if they keep screwing this up.
>> They also talked about not flying a second OFT for Starliner in [that] post launch press conference, so I don’t take forward looking statements at this point too seriously.
< Took a short cut on the wet dress rehearsal. Now thinking of taking another shortcut on the green run test. They’ll keep sweeping problems under the rug until ….

Video: SLS core stage test-firing ends early
https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/01/16/video-sls-core-stage-test-firing-ends-early/

NASA studying cause of early end to NASA moon rocket test-firing
https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/01/17/nasa-studying-cause-of-early-end-to-nasa-moon-rocket-test-firing/


Even if nothing required fixing or replacement, the quickest the rocket could be “dried out” (the water trapped from the hydrogen/oxygen combustion), and inspected for a retest would be 3 to 4 weeks.  And Stennis requires 5 days to set up the fuel barges, etc. for a test.  Afterward, it would then be another 3 to 4 weeks to “dry out” the rocket again so it could leave Stennis for KSC.  So, the core would likely be at Stennis until April or May even without an engine swap (but they do have extra engines available at Stennis, if needed).

Just a thought about why the rocket did not shut down immediately after the MCF detection:  Given what we’ve seen of Boeing’s (lack of) software prowess in the Starliner OFT (and the 737-MAX), it’s not a stretch to imagine the program was trying to “get the rocket to a safe orbit on the three remaining engines” — without escape coding that said, “look, you are our only flight article, not a prototype, so if anything goes really really wrong, just shut down immediately and save yourself.”


—- Starship: new TFRs posted
7200 feet = 2200 meters
Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight) 1/16/21, 2:13 PM Starship SN9 update:
- Flight test Temporary Flight Restriction (TFR) for the 21st was added today
- Flight test TFRs currently posted for Jan. 19, 20, and 21
- New TFR posted for Jan. 18-21 up to 7,200 ft
- Not sure on the purpose for the 7,200 ft TFR
tfr.faa.gov/tfr2/list.html 
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1350521650542858240

27
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 17, 2021, 01:43:31 AM »
Update: SLS press conference in 20 minutes (8pm ET), per nasa.gov

—-
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/16/21, 7:03 PM
Even if today's test had been perfect there was no pathway to a Moon landing in 2024. The Mars landing in 2029 is hilarious unless Wicker is low-key announcing full funding for Starship in this tweet.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350594611455135751

Senator Roger Wicker (@SenatorWicker) 1/16/21, 6:43 PM

I commend @NASA Administrator @JimBridenstine for his stewardship of NASA & the SLS program. We are still on track to take the first woman to the moon by 2024 & complete a Mars landing by 2029. I know that bipartisan support for this program and space exploration will continue.
https://twitter.com/senatorwicker/status/1350589426498469889 

28
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 17, 2021, 12:50:11 AM »
—- SLS Green Run test — aborted
Sat jan 16
At 5:27 pm ET. after several hours of holds/reschedules, the SLS core stage ignited and fired for about 67 seconds of the eight and a half minute test, then shut down after a “Major Component Failure” was detected on Engine 4, just before an important engine gimbal test was to start.

Quote
Wayne Hale (@waynehale)1/16/21, 5:30 PM
Well MCF was not a call this ascent flight director ever wanted to hear: Major Component Failure is detected by the SSME controller.
https://twitter.com/waynehale/status/1350571106038657024
Wayne Hale:
Just to be clear, all that software in the SSME controller is designed to detect a problem and shut down the engine before really bad things happen. Could be instrumentation failure too.

Quote
William Harwood (@cbs_spacenews)1/16/21, 5:40 PM
SLS: Listening to test team audio loop, a controller called out an "MCF on engine 4" a few seconds before the engines were commanded to begin a gimbal steering sequence. "Copy that," the test director replied. "But we're still running, still got 4 good engines, right?"
https://twitter.com/cbs_spacenews/status/1350573760051630081
William Harwood:
SLS: Timing clarification: The "we've got a shutdown" call came almost exactly 30 seconds after the "MCF on engine 4" call, and just a few seconds into what was expected to be a gimbaling test of the main engine nozzles
Wayne Hale:
Again, working off my creaky memory, an engine doesn’t declare it is in shutdown phase until Pc drops below 30% - which can take about 3 seconds. Or that’s the way it used to work - on the shuttle

If this had been an actual flight, it likely would have meant loss of vehicle. Could they have shut down the affected engine and continued to a safe orbit? Or would the launch escape system have activated?

Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/16/21, 5:51 PM
Interesting note here from Wayne about swapping out an engine. I'd think they could do this at Stennis, but the rocket may need to go back to the factory at Michoud.
Kathryn Crowe (@Kat_Cr)1/16/21, 5:37 PM
No matter what the cause of the early shutdown was, the safe shutdown of the stage with an early cut is also by itself a major engineering success - and valuable test data points #GreenRunTest
Wayne Hale (@waynehale)1/16/21, 5:40 PM
Completely concur. Very valuable. Now the discussions will begin as to whether there was enough data collected or if the test needs to be rerun - either way that engine will likely be changed out. Of course the experts will probably tell us at the post test conference shortly 
https://twitter.com/waynehale/status/1350573676282982400
Post test conference has been cancelled.

Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/16/21, 6:35 PM
I'm told it was indeed an engine problem.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350587464113655811
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/16/21, 5:53 PM
For those of you who were still holding out hope for a 2021 Artemis I launch ... that hope died today. It required shipping the core stage from Stennis in February. That won't be happening.

There has also been a concern that they have already begun stacking the solid rocket boosters, which are only certified for 12 months once assembled.

29
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 16, 2021, 09:22:12 PM »
—- SLS Green Run hot fire test is moved up
William Harwood (@cbs_spacenews)1/16/21, 3:16 PM
SLS: Good afternoon; NASA has moved up the planned test firing of an SLS first stage booster at the Stennis Space Center in Mississippi to 4pm EST, 1 hour earlier than originally planned; NASA TV coverage will begin at 3:20pm: [right now!]
➡️https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=21X5lGlDOfg
https://twitter.com/cbs_spacenews/status/1350537352247185411

Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight)1/16/21, 3:10 PM
LIVE: SLS core stage hot fire test
The NASASpaceflight team will have our expert SLS writer Philip Sloss on the broadcast for today's crucial test of the core stage along with @ChrisG_NSF and @KSpaceAcademy.
➡️youtu.be/s1bkX9f52NI

30
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 16, 2021, 07:07:42 PM »
—- Starship SN9
Quote
Mary (@BocaChicaGal)1/15/21, 1:42 PM
Raptor SN44 was a naughty Raptor.   
https://twitter.com/bocachicagal/status/1350151330439036928
⬇️ Photo below

Quote
John Kraus (@johnkrausphotos)1/14/21, 10:42 AM
Starship under the stars
https://twitter.com/johnkrausphotos/status/1349743604059807746
⬇️ Photo below.
Elon Musk:  Nice shot

< Still aiming for SN9 flight this weekend?
Elon Musk (@elonmusk)1/15/21, 12:41 AM
Two of the engines need slight repairs, so will be switched out

Everyday Astronaut:
When SN8 had to swap a Raptor, it was 26 days between Raptor swapping and flight  :o I might head home for a bit if they’re replacing two
Elon Musk:
We’re making major improvements to ease of engine swap. Needs to be a few hours at most.
<< Need another static fire then I'm assuming?
Elon Musk:
Probably wise

—- 
Eric Berger hears things suggesting a delay before SN9 flight… but as of a few minutes ago, the TFRs for Jan 18+ are still posted.
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/15/21, 3:49 PM
Regarding the fate of Starship prototype SN9, I have begun to hear bits and pieces that are not great news. There's nothing I consider reportable on what has happened, but I would now bet against SN9 flying before February.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350183316335558661

Quote
Space TFRs (@SpaceTfrs) 1/14/21, 11:36 PM
Brownsville (TX) SpaceX high-altitude flight TFR: From January 18, 2021 at 1400 UTC To January 18, 2021 at 2359 UTC
Altitude: From the surface to space
tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/det…
https://twitter.com/spacetfrs/status/1349938385872449540
Also for Jan 19 & 20.  Issued jan 15.

—-
Brady Kenniston:
Starship SN9 waits for its launch date following three separate static fires in one day. Meanwhile Starship SN10's Aft Flaps are mounted ahead of its rollout to the launch pad following SN9's liftoff:
SpaceX Boca Chica: SN9 Looks Great After Triple Static Fire - SN10 Aft Flaps Mounted
➡️ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgAs5fBdXFs&feature=youtu.be
Includes a look inside the new LOX Distiller. When a tank is not just a tank!
⬇️ Screencap below.

 —-
Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight) 1/15/21, 10:48 PM
SpaceX is moving quickly to recover from the Starship SN9 hiccup. A Raptor is underneath the vehicle and about to be lifted into place just hours after an engine was removed.
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1350288821682724864
Jack Beyer (@thejackbeyer) 1/15/21, 11:28 PM
A fresh Raptor Engine waiting to be installed on Starship SN9 earlier tonight. @NASASpaceflight

Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight)1/16/21, 2:10 AM
Starship SN9 is swapping out Raptors following issues related to the recent Static Fire test. While a new launch date target is awaited, work continues around SpaceX Boca Chica.
Video & Photos from Mary (@BocaChicaGal). Edited by @NGautschi
➡️youtu.be/89h2JHmMOIs 

John Kraus (@johnkrausphotos) took several up-close photos of Raptor SN44 after it was removed:
https://twitter.com/johnkrausphotos/status/1350196806303559680

https://twitter.com/johnkrausphotos/status/1350202176489074688

https://twitter.com/johnkrausphotos/status/1350198513192333322

https://twitter.com/thejackbeyer/status/1350201503492026371

31
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 16, 2021, 06:52:08 PM »
—- CRS-21
Quote
Gavin - SpaceXFleet.com (@SpaceXFleet)1/15/21, 7:33 AM
SpaceX has published a photo of the CRS-21 Dragon after successful recovery!
spacex.com/updates/crs-21…
https://twitter.com/spacexfleet/status/1350058427221991424
⬇️ Photo below

—- Starlink launch preps  
  North & South Carolina
Quote
Gavin - SpaceXFleet.com (@SpaceXFleet)1/16/21, 11:13 AM
Ms. Tree and Ms. Chief docked at the Port of Morehead City earlier this morning.
JRTI droneship and GO Quest are offshore near Georgetown, SC.
The weather at the Starlink LZ is pretty bad and there is no rush to get onsite just yet.
https://twitter.com/spacexfleet/status/1350476367733862404

NCSpaceOps (@ncspaceops)1/16/21, 11:09 AM
.@SpaceX fairing catching vessels Ms Tree and Ms Chief are in the Port of Morehead City. They’ll be supporting the next #Statlink mission #nc #northcarolina #SpaceX #spacexfleet @SpaceXFleet
https://twitter.com/ncspaceops/status/1350475368839475200
Photo at the link.

—- Next Starlink launch
Quote
Emre Kelly (@EmreKelly)1/14/21, 4:06 PM
Looks like SpaceX is now targeting no earlier than Monday, Jan. 18, for the next Starlink launch from 39A. Hazard warnings indicate a T-0 sometime between 0835 and 0943 ET.
https://twitter.com/emrekelly/status/1349825152847122436


—- Opinion | Policy: Defense
How Joe Biden can galvanize space diplomacy
Quote
Nascent efforts to establish international norms for behavior offer an major opportunity to reduce the chances of a conflict.

The potential for future conflicts to originate in outer space, or for terrestrial conflicts to extend there, has grown as various governments are developing an array of counterspace weapons. The explosion of commercial space activity has also raised the risk of damaging incidents in space.

These developments have renewed interest in the role that international norms of responsible behavior could play in enhancing safety and security in the space domain. Those norms can range from informal "rules of the road" that evolve from practice to international political agreements or even legally-binding measures.

But previous efforts to establish norms have had limited results. The Biden administration has an opportunity, working with like-minded allies and partners, to galvanize nascent international efforts. …
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/15/how-joe-biden-can-galvanize-space-diplomacy-459331


—- Reusable Rockets
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/15/21, 7:52 AM
ArianeGroup and the French space agency have reached a deal to expedite development of the low-cost, reusable Prometheus rocket engine. They seek to begin testing before the end of 2021 at the Vernon site in Normandy, France. Would be used for rockets after Ariane 6.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350063388924268546


—- SLS Green Run hot fire test today.
The Wet Dress Rehearsal did not complete a full duration, so be prepared for countdown holds.
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/16/21, 8:14 AM
NASA says it will proceed with fueling operations for today's hot fire test of the SLS rocket core stage. Live coverage begins at 4:20pm ET (21:20 UTC) with a two-hour firing window opening at 5pm ET. NASA TV will broadcast it.
blogs.nasa.gov/artemis/2021/0…
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1350431165665177600

Chris B - NSF (@NASASpaceflight) 1/16/21, 9:56 AM
SLS Green Run Day.
Vehicle is into prop loading on the B-2 Test Stand at Stennis.
Here's the most comprehensive overview article for the SLS Green Run from the most prolific SLS writer, Philip Sloss.
https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1350456941697527809
⬇️

NASA SLS Core Stage ready for high-stakes Green Run static fire
written by Philip Sloss January 16, 2021
Quote
NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS) program and Core Stage prime contractor Boeing are finally ready for the big moment of the rocket’s Green Run campaign and the biggest moment in the 10-year old program, a static firing of the stage. After a year of test cases at the Stennis Space Center in Mississippi, visits from hurricanes, and waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, an eight-minute long, flight-duration Hot-Fire test planned for January 16 hopes to demonstrate the readiness of the new rocket stage for its first launch.

Four veteran Space Shuttle Main Engines (SSME), now equipped with upgraded computers and adapted to meet SLS performance requirements, are supporting actors in this crucial test of the rookie stage. The Hot-Fire test is planned as a full flight duty cycle to demonstrate the real-world performance of the large, complicated rocket; the renamed Aerojet Rocketdyne RS-25 engines will be put through a set of circular and sinusoidal gimbaling experiments that will help demonstrate operating margins predicted by analytical models.

Green Run design verification campaign a first and last opportunity before first SLS launch
Boeing is conducting the SLS Core Stage Green Run design verification campaign with the stage bolted into the B-2 Test Stand at Stennis. Core Stage-1 arrived at the test site almost a year ago in mid-January, 2020; the campaign is now ready for the culmination of testing with a flight-duration, nearly 500-second test firing of the stage. …
https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2021/01/sls-core-stage-green-run-static-fire/

32
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 16, 2021, 02:27:44 PM »
Giga Berlin:  Agreement reached
Quote
Giga Berlin / Gigafactory 4 (@gigafactory_4)1/16/21, 5:28 AM 
According to @berlinerzeitung the 100 Million payment was deposited by #Tesla yesterday late in the evening.
berliner-zeitung.de/news/tesla-hat…  [ https://t.co/X3nEo7nII0 ]
https://twitter.com/gigafactory_4/status/1350389455199350784
⬇️ English translation: [below]  translate.google.com/translate?sl=d…

@truth_tesla:
Just wondering, the article says start of production is set for July.
Wondering what the source of that is, has this date been mentioned by Tesla or in any of the permits before?
@RaymathD:
Contractor building the factory say they are on schedule for july
@truth_tesla:
If this July date was communicated earlier then I'd expect this date to slip to August-ish, given the permitting delay - with first production units in Q3-Q4.
@RaymathD
It was communicated last week, the contractor basically said they are on track for july opening

< Slightly off-topic: If anyone wants to download that sign and print it, go ahead, it's free: teamelon.com/artwork/tesla-…  [ https://t.co/qBvq8WKiiT ]

Gigafactory Berlin
Tesla has deposited security deposit: construction work continues
16.1.2021 - 11:14 am
From July 2021, around 500,000 vehicles per year are expected to roll off the production line in the factory in Grünheide.
Quote
The deadline for the required security deposit for US electric car manufacturer Tesla had just been extended as a precaution. Now the Tesla management reached an agreement between Tesla Brandenburg and the State Office for the Environment on Friday evening and deposited the requested amount, the Ministry of Environment announced on Saturday.

"The necessary security is provided by the provision of a letter of comfort by a German GmbH, combined with a cash deposit of 100 million euros," said the Ministry of the Environment. Accordingly, the money was deposited between 11 p.m. and midnight. This means that no construction stop has to be imposed.

The factory has not yet received any environmental approval. Tesla is therefore building through early approvals. The 100 million euros are necessary as security for possible dismantling costs. In December, the company had not deposited the performance by the December 17 deadline. Tesla then got a longer deadline until January 15th. Production should start in July.
https://t.co/0zmlq0yXvV

Full approval is expected soon.

Quote
@GF4Tesla.build #GigaBerlin. (@Gf4Tesla)1/15/21, 12:13 PM
#GigaBerlin
January 15 / 2021
Snowfall over GIGABERLIN
but nothing can stop the construction work.
( or my drone ) ; - )
YT ➡️youtu.be/rHCEJmbFwFI 
➡️ https://twitter.com/gf4tesla/status/1350128869894991877
2 min vid at the link

33
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 16, 2021, 01:04:34 AM »
No wonder Viasat is fighting against Starlink as hard as it can. But city dwellers may be disappointed, because Starlink will not replace other ISPs in congested, well-served areas.
SpaceX Starlink internet ready to be adopted by over 50% of Americans: survey
January 14, 2021
Quote
A recent survey has determined that over half of Americans are ready to switch to SpaceX’s Starlink satellite internet service. This was despite only 5% of internet subscribers in the United States being connected via satellite today.

The study was conducted by Reviews.org, which asked respondents whether they would consider getting on board with Starlink once the satellite internet service is fully set up. As it turns out, over half of those surveyed stated that they’d be signing up for the Starlink Beta program, despite the $499 cost of the satellite dish and the service’s current $99 per month fee.

Interestingly enough, 55% of the study’s respondents who do not use satellite internet today noted that they would stay with Starlink permanently if the system’s connection was faster, even if its price was higher than their current internet service provider. Over 40% of the respondents also stated that they would stay with Starlink if SpaceX would allow subscribers to make payments on the satellite system instead of an upfront $499 fee.

Average internet costs in the United States today stand at 57.2 Mbps for about $65 per month, which translates to a $1.13 per Mbps rate. Starlink is more expensive at $99 per month, but considering that the system provides average speeds of 103.1 Mbps at its present state, SpaceX’s satellite system is actually cheaper on a per Mbps basis. ...
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-starlink-50-percent-usa-adoption-survey

34
Policy and solutions / Re: The Boring Company
« on: January 15, 2021, 09:03:23 PM »
The Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority (LVCVA) board agreed to pay The Boring Company (TBC) up to $6.25 million for the operation and management of the Las Vegas Convention Center (LVCC) Loop, beginning February 1, 2021. 

The Boring Company gets $6.25M for LVCC Loop & permission to dig more tunnels
Quote
The LVCC Loop will not charge fares as part of the agreement with the board. Revenue will be generated by the LVCVA through advertising, sponsorships, and facility rentals. The board agreed to pay the tunneling company $167,000 per month as a management fee to maintain operations and test the underground people-mover.

The document also stated: “The Agreement provides for an additional fee in the form of a Base Operations and Maintenance (O&M) Fee for full operation of the System. The Base O&M Fee is scaled for show size, with a maximum daily fee of $30,000 for the largest sized facility shows.”

Tesla vehicles with drivers will move people through the tunnels at the beginning of the system’s operations. However, the board expects autonomous operations with Tesla cars “no later than December 31 2021,” and has agreed to provide a renegotiation fee once the shift takes place.

Vegas Loop Agreement
The board also gave Elon Musk’s Boring Co. permission to dig more tunnels to connect the LVCC with the Encore Resort campus with the Vegas Loop. The company also attained permission to extend and create more “connectivity” in the city’s Resort Corridor.

Unlike the LVCC Loop, the Vegas Loop will be fully funded and operated by TBC.
https://www.teslarati.com/elon-musk-boring-company-las-vegas-loop-new-funding/

35
Policy and solutions / Re: Robots and AI: Our Immortality or Extinction
« on: January 15, 2021, 08:42:20 PM »
Neighborhood watch?  Video clip:  Encountering a Spot robot dog on the prowl at night.

K10(@Kristennetten):
Policing?
➡️ https://twitter.com/kristennetten/status/1349660501739933696

36
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 15, 2021, 05:12:29 PM »
—- When a company that makes 500,000 EVs a year is too big.
Why Tesla Is Opposing South Korea's Proposed Green Energy Vehicle Policy
Jan 7
Quote
Given the high cost of electric vehicles, government subsidies and incentives are a major factor that can alleviate the financial burden on manufacturers and prospective customers.

What Happened: Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) has opposed an incentive scheme that is being discussed by the South Korean government to promote new energy vehicle sales, The Korea Times reported.

The new policy would require local automakers increase the share of green energy vehicles, and those that meet the standard would be rewarded, while the rest would be penalized, the report said.  Although the terms of the policy have not been worked out concretely, it is expected that companies meeting the standards will be able to sell excess credits in the market to other companies.

Tesla reportedly complained that the policy is against the equitable treatment mandated for both foreign and domestic players under the Korean-U.S. Free Trade Agreement.

A government official clarified that the policy is proposed to motivate traditional automakers to switch to green energy vehicles, and therefore it does not make sense to pay subsidies to a pure play EV company such as Tesla, the Korea Times reported.

The government is reportedly planning to work out the final framework of the policy by the end of 2021 and assess automaker green energy vehicle production in 2022. Fines would be levied on defaulters by 2023 and the amount collected would be used to set up infrastructure for eco-friendly cars, the report said. …
https://m.benzinga.com/article/19063510


—- How many is too many EV manufacturers?
Quote
Sam Korus (@skorusARK)1/14/21, 2:55 PM
1/Some context for the number of EV companies emerging.
In the early 1900s when gas cars were first gaining share there was a boom in the number of car companies, which was quickly followed by consolidation.
https://twitter.com/skorusark/status/1349807387461316608
[At the link: Graph with 3 points]

Sam Korus:
2/When China was handing out money to EV companies there was a boom of ~500 companies. Of those, "just 11 succeeded in raising funds last year (2019)" europe.autonews.com/automakers/ev-…

Petteri Bergius:
$NKLA is first to go, then Workhorse, Atlis, Bollinger. Next batch is $F, $GM, $FCA, PSA. Disruption is ruining the horsewhip makers and charlatans.
The new Ford, GM and Chrysler will be Tesla, Rivian and Lucid in the US. In Europe VW will probably survive. The Chinese will wipe off Toyota, Hyundai, Nissan and Kia


Williams Gwyn:
Agreed. There are shaky new EVMs and many legacy OEMs face bankruptcy and are fighting for their lives. GM's latest marketing led reinvention is just that imo, advertising dressed up as news on CNBC. I don't believe they have compelling or profitable EVs coming out any time soon.


—-
U.S. exempts automated vehicles from some crash standards
Quote
The outgoing Trump administration said on Thursday it was issuing new rules that would allow manufacturers of automated vehicles to bypass some crash standards required of conventional vehicles, which would cut production costs.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration said the rules would exempt from certain crash standards automated vehicles that are designed to carry only goods, not people. The new rules, issued after months of deliberation, would also give a freer hand to manufacturers of passenger-carrying autonomous vehicles to design vehicles without standard controls, including steering wheels.

It is the first time the agency has made a significant move to remove barriers to deployment of vehicles without traditional human controls — including eliminating the requirement that self-driving vehicles have a driver’s seat. …
https://venturebeat.com/2021/01/15/u-s-exempts-automated-vehicles-from-some-crash-standards/

—-
JANUARY 15, 2021
BMW aims to double fully-electric vehicle sales in 2021
(But doesn’t say exactly how many that is.)
Quote
BMW said on Friday that it aims to double its sales of fully-electric vehicles this year as the German carmaker and rivals race to release new models to comply with CO2 emissions targets and chase market leader Tesla Inc.

BMW also said that including plug-in hybrids, it aims for a 50% increase in sales of electrified vehicles versus 2020.
It did not give sales volumes for its fully electric vehicles but in 2020 data released on Tuesday BMW said it sold close to 193,000 electrified vehicles - fully electric and plug-in hybrid - last year.

Tesla delivered just under 500,000 vehicles, all fully electric, to customers in 2020. …
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-bmw-electric-idUSKBN29K1CI

—-
Toyota greenwashing results in record fine of $ 180 million for emissions lies
January 15, 2021
Quote
Toyota will pay a fine of $ 180 million for failing to comply with Clean Air Act emissions reporting requirements from 2005 to 2015, according to a filing filed today by the US Department of Justice.

During this period, Toyota delayed the required filings on emissions defects and did not notify the EPA of the progress of recalls related to the emissions defects. This has resulted in higher emissions, higher costs for consumers, and greater profit for Toyota.

Emissions regulations are largely based on a “self-disclosure” system where manufacturers are responsible for filing reports detailing their compliance. During the 10-year period, Toyota delayed filing 78 emissions reports, some of which were sent up to eight years late. The company also failed to file 20 emissions recall reports and more than 200 quarterly emissions recall updates. …
https://www.fr24news.com/a/2021/01/toyota-greenwashing-results-in-record-fine-of-180-million-for-emissions-lies.html

—-
Porsche: guidance for 2020:  40,000 Taycans.  Actual: 20,000 (declares victory)
Quote
Alex (@alex_avoigt)1/12/21, 5:59 AM
Porsche declares victory having sold 20k Taycan in 2020
What they don't say is that the original target was 30-40k
https://twitter.com/alex_avoigt/status/1348947705016553475
Alex:  Porsche is losing money with every Taycan shipped.  Porsche announced to target making a profit with the new model in 2021 but did not release any break-even volume
> That 40k target was already set for the original start for 2019, during pre-production. Back then at end of 2018 they raised the volumes for logistics and supply chain for a 40k minimum.
< To be fair, there was a pandemic in 2020.
<< VW reports about 200% increase in electric sales "despite all challenges" (and 15% overall decline). So 20K BEVs vs 30-40K is bad.


—- NKLA Stock is Worth Less Than $3
Nikola’s Altered Agreement with GM Permanently Changed the Equation
Quote
Based on a new net-net value of $939.64 million [$985.9 million in current assets at the end of Q3 2020 plus $10.24 million in cash, less $56.5 million in liabilities] and shares outstanding of 385 million, the estimated new net-net value per share is $2.44.
https://investorplace.com/2021/01/nikolas-altered-agreement-gm-changed-equation-nkla-stock/

37
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 15, 2021, 04:42:36 PM »
Tesla Sells Out Of Q1 Supply Of Model Y In China Just Days After Opening Order Page: Report
Jan 6
Quote
At the start of 2021, Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) opened up the order page for the Model Y in China. Tesla has been working to expand Gigafactory Shanghai to mass-produce the Model Y for sale in China and export to neighboring areas including Australia and parts of Europe.

Now a report from Electrek shows Tesla has already received enough orders to exhaust its supply of the popular vehicle for the first three months of 2021.

The order page has only been live for about six days, but the delivery estimate on Tesla's site is showing that orders will not be filled until the second quarter of 2021. The performance version is being quoted as available in the third quarter of the year.

A study covered Tuesday said Tesla may already be producing 3,000 Model Ys per week at Gigafactory Shanghai. If accurate, that would mean Tesla received over 36,000 Model Y orders in six days, or 6,000 orders per day, double the amount of Model Y the company is currently able to produce.
https://m.benzinga.com/article/19042173

—-
Last Year's Massive Rally Was Just the Beginning for Tesla Stock
https://investorplace.com/2021/01/massive-rally-beginning-for-tesla-stock/

—-
Elon Musk’s Rise to Riches: How quickly the Tesla CEO Climbed the Wealth List
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-elon-musk-rise-to-riches-data/

;)
“Elon Musk is now worth $208 billion.
You want to know how he did it? He skipped 34.67 billion lattes. It's that easy.”
https://twitter.com/stephenpunwasi/status/1348329165502746626

38
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 15, 2021, 04:31:41 PM »
Quote
Tesla just needs to bite the bullet, replace the chips and move on.

It seems Tesla agrees the chips must be replaced.  But why induce stress on owners and service centers in an effort to get every car done right away via recall notifications... if Tesla can schedule replacements in a controlled manner over several years?  If they can show that there is a 99.9xxx percent chance that the chip will not fail before they get to it, I don’t see how that is a less safe option than wasting the money and effort to recall every affected car and just hoping the most urgently needed cases respond quickly.  Also, some cars will be seen for other service before the chip’s end of life, so the chip replacement can be done efficiently in the same visit, eliminating extra hassles for owners and Tesla.  Is NHTSA afraid that if they make an exception for computer-on-wheels Teslas, the OEM automakers will demand the same treatment?

39
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: January 15, 2021, 03:55:50 PM »
Plans for 2021
US grid will see 80 percent of its new capacity go emission-free
1/15/2021
Quote
Earlier this week, the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) released figures on the new generating capacity that's expected to start operating over the course of 2021. While plans can obviously change, the hope is that, with its new additions, the grid will look radically different than it did just five years ago. The report includes the details of where a new nuclear plant may be started up, although it will be dwarfed by the capacity of new batteries. But the big picture is that, even ignoring the batteries, about 80 percent of the planned capacity additions will be emission-free.
...

Less than 20 percent of the capacity added in 2021 will be natural gas (6.6GW), even if you disregard the battery capacity being added. That's down from 34 percent just two years ago, and over 60 percent three years ago. New additions are heavily concentrated in areas where a lot of natural gas is produced: southern Texas and near the Ohio/Pennsylvania/West Virginia borders.

Instead, wind and solar dominated, with 12.2GW of new wind capacity and 15.4GW of solar power. This is especially striking given that tax credits for renewable energy were set to phase out in 2020, leading many projects to be pushed through to completion late in the year. (Those credits ended up being extended in a recent budget bill.) Normally, the EIA predicts that these sorts of expirations cause the pipeline of new projects to empty out, leading to a temporary drop. There is absolutely no indication that this took place in 2021.

Notably, these values don't include residential solar, which is expected to add another 3GW to 4GW of capacity in 2021. ...
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/01/wind-solar-to-dominate-new-us-generating-capacity-in-2021/

40
The rest / Re: Astronomical news
« on: January 14, 2021, 09:05:27 PM »
Lesson learned:  Mars dirt is weird. (Or, the aliens’ impenetrable underground structure is very close to the surface. ;) )
Quote
NASA InSight (@NASAInSight)1/14/21, 11:49 AM
One phase ends, and another begins…
Last weekend, the mole made a final attempt to dig farther underground on Mars. Even with all the steps we’ve taken to #SaveTheMole, it seems there’s just not enough friction in this soil to keep it moving downward. (1/4)
https://twitter.com/nasainsight/status/1349760462854909957
[gif of digging attempt at the link]
NASA InSight:
The soil here is different than anything else we’ve dealt with on Mars: It clumps together in a way no other mission has experienced. The mole was designed to work in soil that flows freely around it. So the end has come for one part of my mission. (2/4) go.nasa.gov/3bGdzkG

For my team, it’s a tough decision. For over a year and a half, we’ve done all we can to solve this unique challenge. What we’ve learned, we’ll carry forward to future missions, and to my next task… (3/4)
[Photo: mole on earth]

In my extended mission, I’ll spend the next two years listening for more marsquakes. To help get the clearest signal, I’m going to bury the cable that runs between me and the seismometer. More science to come. Onward. (4/4)
[Photo: seismometer]

Note: InSight is a lander, not a rover.

41
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 14, 2021, 07:56:42 PM »
Re the chip:
IIRC, the software update was to assure the Tesla Mothership knew the status of each car’s chip, and provided for an alert to the owner and to Tesla when end-of-life was approaching, and automatically scheduled a replacement. (Tesla software has other proactive service alerts that work the same way.)  Tesla used that data to estimate how many, and when, chip replacements would be needed over the next few years.  Perhaps NHTSA is asking for a brute force approach because, in the past, other automakers have been unable to perform this kind of individualized remedy.

42
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 14, 2021, 06:24:34 PM »
Tesla Inc is on its way to becoming a $2 trillion company, Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives said on Tuesday.
Quote
What Happened: Ives told Oliver Renick of TD Ameritrade Network in an interview that the Elon Musk-led company was not an auto company but rather a disruptive technology company.

“In a year or two from now, we’re not just looking at one trillion for Tesla, but in a couple of years this could be a company that could start to approach 1.5 trillion - 2 trillion [market valuation].”

Ives said that between Tesla and Nio Inc (NYSE: NIO), the former had the lead in the growing Chinese market.
“It speaks to what [Elon Musk] has been able to accomplish — being the only U.S. manufacturer without a partner in China.”
“It’s a big enough ocean for more than one boat,” the analyst said — referencing the size of China’s EV market which can accommodate firms like Xpeng Inc (NYSE: XPEV), Nio, and others.

Ives termed Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 factor as “the key to success” and a “lynchpin.” …
https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/01/19137840/tesla-reaching-2t-valuation-in-2-years-heres-what-inspires-daniel-ives-optimistic-t

—- The “reports” behind the $25k MIC Tesla rumor
Tesla To Launch $25,000 EV Sedan In China By 2022: Report
Quote
Tesla Inc  is making its vehicles more price competitive to gain a bigger chunk of the Chinese EV market, if reports are to be believed.
What Happened: Tesla is planning to produce a third EV model from the Shanghai Giga in 2022, with the price point estimated between 160,000 yuan ($24,700) and 200,000 yuan ($31,000), local Chinese media reported. The new car project was initiated in September 2020 and product validation is expected to be completed in March, the report said.

Tesla currently sells Model 3 vehicles in China and it has begun accepting orders for made-in-China Model Y vehicles.
The new sedan, according to the report, is likely to be a two-seater with a body chassis similar to Model 3.
Tesla's cheapest car is the China-made Model 3, which is armed with a lithium iron phosphate battery. It's priced around 249,900 yuan ($38,500). …
https://m.benzinga.com/article/19079042

—-
Tesla Model Y Will 'Disrupt' The Chinese Auto Market — Here's Why
Quote
Tesla Inc’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) Model Y electric vehicle will help boost sales and emerge as a major disrupter of that country’s auto market in 2021, analysts are estimating, as reported by Reuters on Monday.

What Happened: China — the world’s largest car market — saw the launch of the locally made Model Y sports utility vehicles this month for a price of RMB 339,900 ($52,376), which is less than a tenth of gasoline-powered luxury cars with a similar market positioning made by Daimler AG, Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, and Volkswagen AG, according to Reuters.

“The pricing will disrupt the conventional premium cars market and shatter the traditional belief that the cost of an electric vehicle (EV) should be higher,” Cui Dongshu, secretary-general of China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) told Reuters.
Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, which is made in Shanghai, outsold similarly positioned cars made by the luxury automakers in November, as per CPCA data.

The [NIO] et7 pricing being "quite competitive with the Model S" of Tesla is a "statement of aspiration" on the automaker's part, Russo told CNBC on Monday.
https://m.benzinga.com/article/19114686

——- India
Tesla Is Preparing for a Robust Entry into India, a Multi-Billion Dollar Market
Quote
Tesla is in talks with officials from five states in India to open stores, an office, an R&D center, and possibly a factory for production. At the moment, the company is choosing a place where it will start its official activities in the country. …
https://www.tesmanian.com/blogs/tesmanian-blog/india-is-a-multi-million-market-for-tesla

—- Giga Berlin
Quote
@GF4Tesla .build #GigaBerlin. (@Gf4Tesla) 1/14/21, 2:40 AM ]
#GigaBerlin
Pictures from January 13 / 2021
Construction work on the entire GigaBerlin.
' Body in White ' (BiW )
' General Assembly ' ( GA ) / ' Seat production ' ( SE )
and also in the ' Casting ' ( CA ) the construction work continues.
Credit: @RalfThomas
https://twitter.com/gf4tesla/status/1349622506613825536
4 photos at the link:: buildings under construction

43
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: January 14, 2021, 05:57:57 PM »
Model Y awarded 5-star safety rating in every category!
NHTSA’s assessment determined that Model Y has a rollover risk of 7.9%, the lowest of any SUV recorded to date by the organization.

Model Y Achieves 5-Star Overall Safety Rating from NHTSA
Quote
Since the launch of Model S in 2012, we have engineered every Tesla around the same advanced architecture that maximizes occupant safety. Today, Model Y, Tesla’s mid-size Sport Utility Vehicle (SUV), is the latest Tesla vehicle to earn a 5-star safety rating in every category from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).

As part of their 2020 New Car Assessment Program, NHTSA tested Model Y Long Range All-Wheel Drive (AWD). We expect similar results for all Model Y variants, including our Performance AWD and single motor, rear-wheel drive variants in the future.
https://www.tesla.com/en_GB/blog/model-y-achieves-5-star-overall-safety-rating-nhtsa?redirect=no

Quote
Tesla (@Tesla)1/13/21, 11:23 PM
Large crumple zones, rigid body structure & low center of gravity really make a difference
➡️ https://twitter.com/tesla/status/1349572805122113540
20 secs: testing clips. :o


——-
Panasonic President shares insights on Tesla’s 4680 battery cell production plans
Quote
“We have begun development of a new automotive battery, the 4680, for Tesla in the United States. The electrode structure is difficult because of its high capacity. The electrode structure is difficult because of its large capacity. We will make prototypes in Japan and establish a manufacturing method. High reliability is one of our strengths. There is no concern that Tesla will become a competitor (although Tesla is promoting in-house production of the battery),” Tsuga said. … 
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-4680-cell-production-insights-panasonic-president/


—-
Calls LIDAR a fool’s errand. Improves radar sensors.
Tesla dials in on FSD improvements with ‘millimeter-wave radar sensor’ filing
January 14, 2021
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-millimeter-wave-radar-sensor/

44
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 14, 2021, 04:39:32 PM »
—- CRS-21
Science delivered to Kennedy Space Center only 3 hours after splashdown!
Quote
NASA's Kennedy Space Center (@NASAKennedy)1/13/21, 11:48 PM
Welcome back to Kennedy Space Center!
Time-critical research that was on the @SpaceX cargo Dragon has arrived to the Launch and Landing Facility. This short trip allows researchers to collect data with minimal loss of microgravity effects:

    SpaceX Cargo Dragon Splashes Down Loaded With Science Experiments – Space Station
    https://blogs.nasa.gov/spacestation/2021/01/13/spacex-cargo-dragon-splashes-down-loaded-with-science-experiments/
    Some of the scientific investigations Dragon returned to Earth are described.
    Is also the source of the “SpaceX-21” patch shown below.

https://twitter.com/nasakennedy/status/1349579187615535104
⬇️ Photo below. :o 8)
< Nice, a Eurocopter Super Puma (EC-225)

NASA's Kennedy Space Center (@NASAKennedy)1/14/21, 1:37 AM
From the Launch and Landing Facility to the Space Station Processing Facility, the time-sensitive @ISS_Research delivered by @SpaceX’s upgraded cargo Dragon is now being processed for handoff. …
➡️ https://twitter.com/nasakennedy/status/1349606576638844930
14 sec: rolling cargo out of a truck at a loading dock


—- Starship
Quote
Brady Kenniston (@TheFavoritist) 1/13/21, 11:20 PM
SpaceX defied expectations by static firing Starship SN9's Raptor engines three times in one day! This was the final test before SN9 can fly.
Video from Mary (@BocaChicaGal), Jack Beyer (@thejackbeyer), and NSF Robotic Cameras.

    Starship SN9 Static Fires - Three Raptor Engine Tests in One Day - YouTube
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pqRaa7WfIeU&feature=youtu.be
      10 min vid

45
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 14, 2021, 02:35:34 AM »
—- Cargo Dragon 2.0 CRS-21 splashdown
Quote
SpaceX (@SpaceX)1/13/21, 8:28 PM
Splashdown of Dragon confirmed, completing SpaceX’s 21st @Space_Station resupply mission and the first return of a cargo resupply spacecraft off the coast of Florida
https://twitter.com/spacex/status/1349528716951474177

Quote
Gavin - SpaceXFleet.com:
One of the features of the new CRS-2 contract is splashdown near Florida.
SpaceX has two recovery ships with helipads in Florida, allowing them to fly cargo back to scientists faster than ever before.
Previously, it would take 24 - 72 hours for Dragon cargo to arrive by ship.
https://twitter.com/spacexfleet/status/1349513761254748160

William Harwood (@cbs_spacenews) 1/13/21, 7:24 PM

CRS-21: Rcovery crews are standing by to quickly extract a rodent habitat and frozen, time-critical experiment samples so they can be flown back to Cape Canaveral for a speedy handover to researchers
https://twitter.com/cbs_spacenews/status/1349512667875205122


—- Starship multiple static fires!
Quote
Elon Musk (@elonmusk) 1/13/21, 2:06 PM Today at SpaceX is about practicing Starship engine starts. Ship is held down by massive pins while engines are fired. Two starts completed, about to try a third.

Elon Musk (@elonmusk)1/13/21, 4:47 PM
All three static fires completed & no RUDs!

Everyday Astronaut:
Awesome milestone! Back to back to back static fires!!!! We’ve never seen that before. Very impressive. And they still haven’t detanked.... think they’ll go for four?!

Elon Musk (@elonmusk)1/13/21, 5:07 PM
Detanking & inspections now. Good progress towards our “Hop in & go to Mars!” goal.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1349478110027280386

Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/13/21, 5:54 PM
Starship prototype SN9 performed three static fire tests today. This is a notable achievement, and really points to maturing hardware, ground systems, and procedures. Test flight could take place as early as tomorrow, but weather may be better on Friday or Saturday.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1349489959019933696

46
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 14, 2021, 02:25:16 AM »
Tesla Model Y Will 'Disrupt' The Chinese Auto Market — Here's Why
Quote
Tesla Inc’s Model Y electric vehicle will help boost sales and emerge as a major disrupter of that country’s auto market in 2021, analysts are estimating, as reported by Reuters on Monday.

What Happened: China — the world’s largest car market — saw the launch of the locally made Model Y sports utility vehicles this month for a price of RMB 339,900 ($52,376), which is less than a tenth of gasoline-powered luxury cars with a similar market positioning made by Daimler AG, Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, and Volkswagen AG, according to Reuters.

“The pricing will disrupt the conventional premium cars market and shatter the traditional belief that the cost of an electric vehicle (EV) should be higher,” Cui Dongshu, secretary-general of China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) told Reuters.

Tesla’s Model 3 sedan, which is made in Shanghai, outsold similarly positioned cars made by the luxury automakers in November, as per CPCA data.

Why It Matters: Tesla’s Model Y pricing would set a benchmark for automakers to beat and push demand higher, noted Reuters.

Nio Rivalry: Tesla, other foreign players, along with domestic competitors such as Nio Inc, Xpeng Inc are ramping up production to meet the projected demand.

Nio unveiled its first sedan, the et7, during the Nio Day event on Saturday. The company's CEO William Li said this week that the automaker could make cheaper mass-market cars under a different brand. …
https://m.benzinga.com/article/19114686

47
Policy and solutions / Re: Electric cars
« on: January 14, 2021, 02:10:17 AM »
—- Honda’s EVs are coming from GM
Report: GM-Built Honda and Acura EV SUVs Due by Mid-Decade
Quote
Last year, General Motors and Honda announced plans to use the former company's Ultium electric vehicle tech in forthcoming battery-electric vehicles sold by the latter. Now, a report by Automotive News sheds a little light on the forthcoming fruits of this partnership.

According to AN, GM is due to produce two EV models for the Japanese automaker: a mainstream Honda SUV and a luxury-oriented Acura SUV. Production of the Honda-badged model reportedly begins in 2023 at GM's Ramos Arizpe, Mexico plant, which currently builds vehicles such as the Chevrolet Equinox and Blazer compact and midsize SUVs. About a year later, the Acura EV SUV will start production at GM's Spring Hill, Tennessee plant that today builds the likes of the Cadillac XT5 and GMC Acadia SUVs, and is set to build the the Cadillac Lyriq electric SUV.

Per AN's sources, the Honda and Acura EVs will cast shadows close to that of Lyriq, which was revealed in show-car form late last year and promises a driving range of more than 300 miles on a full charge of its battery pack. We expect the Honda and Acura EVs to offer similarly impressive driving ranges.

Although the timelines and production facilities GM and Honda intend to use are merely rumors at the moment, the fact remains that Honda is working with GM on its forthcoming EV models. Likewise, GM continues to move forward in its plans to expand its presence in the EV marketplace. The automaker intends to update its Chevrolet Bolt for the 2022 model year, while also adding the Bolt EUV crossover SUV to the mix. Meanwhile, the company intends to initially bring its Ultium tech to market in the 2022 GMC Hummer EV pickup. Other upcoming Ultium-based GM models include a GMC Hummer EV SUV, the aforementioned Cadillac Lyriq SUV, and a Chevrolet pickup.
https://www.motortrend.com/news/gm-honda-acura-ev-development-report/

—-
GM working with 'all the best startups' on next-gen EV battery tech -exec
Quote
“We’re partnering with some great companies,” including Honda Motor and LG Chem, on electric vehicles and batteries, said Doug Parks, GM’s executive vice president of global product development. But “we’re also looking outside the company to startups to get on the front edge of that learning curve.”

GM Chief Executive Mary Barra said nearly a year ago that the automaker had boosted its spending budget on electric and automated vehicles from $20 billion to $27 billion through 2025.

Parks said much of that $7 billion increase is tied to spending on additional production capacity for the Ultium battery, which is slated to go into production in Ohio next year in a $2.3 billion joint venture with LG Chem.

With all the electric vehicles that GM has planned for North America - some 20 models by 2025 - “we’re going to need more capacity” for batteries, Parks said. “So there’s more investment coming after the initial wave in Ohio.” 
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-tech-ces-general-motors-idUSKBN29G2EG


GM debuts all-electric van in battle to capture 'last mile' e-commerce deliveries
FedEx has already placed "a large order" for the electric trucks, after a test showed they resulted in a 25 percent increase in productivity, GM said.
Jan. 12, 2021
Quote
General Motors wants to electrify the delivery side of e-commerce, launching a new subsidiary, BrightDrop, that will deliver “an ecosystem” of products and services to speed up the shipping and delivery process.
Set to launch later this year, BrightDrop will offer all-electric delivery vans, as well as a droid-like cargo palette capable of rolling around under its own power.

The new GM subsidiary has already received a large order from Federal Express, which tested the technology and found a 25 percent increase in productivity, according to Pam Fletcher, the Detroit automaker’s head of global innovation.
E-commerce will likely grow to 100 million packages a day by 2023, "three years earlier than originally expected," Richard Smith, FedEx's regional president said Tuesday.
Bright Drop has received numerous letters of intent from other shipping and delivery services, Fletcher said.

With BrightDrop, GM will go into competition with several other manufacturers hoping to electrify the delivery business, including Daimler and Rivian, the suburban Detroit startup backed by Ford and Amazon. The online retail giant has ordered 100,000 all-electric Rivian delivery trucks for the U.S., and thousands more from Daimler for Europe.

About the size of the standard FedEx truck of today, the BrightDrop EV600 will use an all-electric platform similar to the one that will underpin the new GMC Hummer pickup that GM plans to launch later this year. It will be powered by the new Ultium batteries the automaker will produce at a new plant in Ohio that is part of a joint venture with South Korea’s LG Chem.
The van will have a range of about 250 miles per charge, according to Fletcher, more than enough to handle the typical "last mile" delivery route, based on industry data showing such delivery trucks typically log fewer than 50 miles a day.

At its debut, the other key product will be the EP1. While not quite the chatty Star Wars droid, this cargo palette will be self-propelled, using electric motors in each of its wheels. That means it will be able to roll along with a human worker, minimizing strain and reducing the risk of injuries.
Both the EP1 and EV600 will use cloud-connected technology so they can be monitored constantly. New BrightDrop software will let a customer know where they are at any time and what goods are being carried. That should reduce errors, as well as theft, according to BrightDrop.

The utility truck market is expected to almost double to more than $90 billion annually by 2026, according to Forbes Business Insight, up from around $47 billion in 2018, with cargo and delivery vehicles of various sizes set to make up a significant share of that.
Demand is growing for all-electric models, according to Alf Poor, CEO of Ideanomics.
That adoption is expected to happen rather rapidly, Poor and other experts believe. One reason is the pressure fleet operators are facing under new regulations. California, for example, has laid out a plan for phasing out the use of internal combustion power in all trucking segments over the coming decade.
But there’s another motivating factor. Until recently, electric drive technology was considered too expensive or limited in range, but upgrades have made it much more appealing. Despite a higher up-front price tag, operating costs are a fraction of conventional vehicles, said Poor, so electric trucks “just make sense because there’s almost an immediate return on investment.”
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/autos/gm-debuts-all-electric-van-battle-capture-last-mile-e-n1253883

48
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 13, 2021, 10:14:06 PM »
Quote
Gavin - SpaceXFleet.com (@SpaceXFleet) 1/13/21, 4:00 PM
Live: Just Read the Instructions droneship is departing for the Starlink V1 L16 mission:

     NSF Fleetcam - LIVE SpaceX Fleet Operations at Port Canaveral, FL 24x7 - YouTube
     https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gnt2wZBg89g&feature=youtu.be
https://twitter.com/spacexfleet/status/1349461380928311299

Quote
Jan. 17 Falcon 9 • Starlink V1.0-L16
Launch time: 1823 GMT (1:23 p.m. EST)
Launch site: LC-39A, Kennedy Space Center, Florida
A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch the 17th batch of approximately 60 satellites for SpaceX’s Starlink broadband network, a mission designated Starlink V1.0-L16.

Jan. 21 Falcon 9 • Transporter 1
Launch time: 1424 GMT (9:24 a.m. EST)
Launch site: SLC-40, Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida
A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch the Transporter 1 mission, a rideshare flight to a sun-synchronous orbit with dozens of small microsatellites and nanosatellites for commercial and government customers. Delayed from Dec. 16 and Jan. 14.
https://spaceflightnow.com/launch-schedule/

—- Today’s Starship static fires continue!
Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight)1/13/21, 4:06 PM
The only thing better than two static fires is three static fires.
SpaceX is going again with Starship SN9!

LIVE: https://t.co/kTBRmCMbk4 
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1349462889334153218

49
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 13, 2021, 09:55:31 PM »
—- So many launches planned for this weekend!
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/12/21, 3:11 PM
Looks like Blue Origin's next New Shepard Launch will take place sometime from this Thursday through Sunday.

Eric Berger:
Because of course it will. We'll add this to the list of SLS Green Run, SN9 test flight, LauncherOne demo flight, and Rocket Lab.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1349086963949776896

—-
Quote
Eric Berger:
New year, new NASA!
➡️ https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1349384241101025280
Text image at the link:  NASA will telecast Saturday’s SLS core stage hot fire test!  Starting at 4:20 pm ET! ;D


—- Moon Lander mission selects SpaceX
Intuitive Machines Selects SpaceX Falcon 9 Rocket for Second Moon Mission
Quote
January 13, 2021
There are currently five awarded Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) missions to the lunar surface in the next three years. Intuitive Machines (IM) has two of the missions and both will be launched by SpaceX.
https://7c27f7d6-4a0b-4269-aee9-80e85c3db26a.usrfiles.com/ugd/7c27f7_d4e8fd8ca00244ef9d28ab1dbcf68bd5.pdf


—- New Solar Arrays for the ISS
Quote
Eric Berger:
Boeing is building six additional solar arrays for the International Space Station. They will launch beginning in 2021, the company said.
These new arrays will combine with the eight existing arrays to provide a 20-30% increase in power. "The arrays will provide ISS with electricity to sustain its systems and equipment, plus augment the electricity available to continue a wide variety of ... experiments."

Mack Crawford (@brickmack):
They go in front of (or on top of, if you prefer) the existing panels. They cover up part of the old ones, but since they're way more efficient (and not degraded by 20 years of radiation and oxidation) it works out.
Carried 2 at a time on Cargo Dragon.
https://twitter.com/brickmack/status/1348739627071377408

Press Release:
Quote
HOUSTON, Jan. 11, 2021 – Boeing will support the International Space Station’s (ISS) growing research capabilities and commercial opportunities with new solar arrays to increase the orbiting laboratory’s power supply. The modification to Boeing’s ISS sustainment contract with NASA calls for Boeing to deliver six additional solar arrays to NASA for installation beginning in 2021. … 
https://boeing.mediaroom.com/news-releases-statements?item=130801


—- A core stage for the second SLS is being built
Quote
Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace)1/12/21, 1:40 PM
John Shannon of Boeing says production of the second core stage (for Artemis 2) is going well. COVID-permitting, it will be shipped from Michoud Assembly Facility in Louisiana in June, 2022.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1349063739849515011
Eric Berger:
This means it's all but certain that Artemis 2 (the mission to carry a crew of four astronauts around the Moon, similar to Apollo 8 ) will not launch until mid-2023 at the earliest.


Lori Garver (@Lori_Garver) 1/12/21, 2:20 PM
@SciGuySpace Congress gave @NASA $850M v $3.4B for HLS. When-if ever-will that get us a lander? Do we keep circling the moon 1 or 2 times a yr for $10B? What about Gateway? Please don't blame @JoeBiden. Inheriting false expectations makes it harder to gain new Admin. support #tellthetruth
https://twitter.com/lori_garver/status/1349073766723293189
< But it's enough to keep the legacy workforce employed, which is all Congress really cares about.
< Boots on the moon in 2024!
<< You mean lob a pair of empty boots at the moon? That could work
> Which makes the chances of it launching at all substantially less. It will be very interesting to see what the Biden Administration does with SLS given the cost overruns.
>> Hardware already exists and NASA fully plans to use it. It’ll fly
> Hardware for Apollo 19 and 20 was also built, but never flown. It is not unprecedented for a program to get cancelled and leave behind hardware.


—- The Lunar Gateway
NASA and Japan finalize Gateway agreement
Jeff Foust January 13, 2021
https://spacenews.com/nasa-and-japan-finalize-gateway-agreement/
⬇️ Render below.

50
The rest / Re: SpaceX
« on: January 13, 2021, 09:43:26 PM »
—- CRS-21 Cargo Dragon splashdown tonight
Quote
SpaceX (@SpaceX)1/12/21, 9:09 AM
Separation confirmed! Dragon performing 3 departure burns to move away from the @Space_Station
https://twitter.com/spacex/status/1348995595080409091
⬇️ Photo: Dragon away, against a black space background
Elon Musk:
One day, we will get a camera up there that also shows the star field in the background
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1349166774646943746

Splashdown:  01:27 UTC

Gavin - SpaceXFleet.com (@SpaceXFleet) 1/12/21, 8:06 AM

NASA is targeting CRS-21 splashdown at 8:27pm ET on Wednesday - offshore near Tampa, [Florida, in the] Gulf of Mexico.
Recovery ship GO Navigator will be on station.
https://twitter.com/spacexfleet/status/1348979592485339139

Gavin - SpaceXFleet.com:
A helicopter will take the priority cargo straight from the ship, at sea, to KSC.

USCGSoutheast (@USCGSoutheast)1/13/21, 2:22 PM
#BreakingNews @USCG Sector St. Pete will activate a 2 [mile] safety zone in the Gulf of Mexico tonight w/ @NASA @faa & @SpaceX for CRS 21 Dragon 2 Cargo Capsule return. Boaters should STAY BACK for the safety of all responders & spacecraft & monitor VHF CH 16 for updates. #boatsafe
https://twitter.com/uscgsoutheast/status/1349436704592175106
⬇️ Text image of the notice


—- Starship
Quote
Elon Musk (@elonmusk)1/13/21, 2:06 PM
Today at SpaceX is about practicing Starship engine starts. Ship is held down by massive pins while engines are fired. Two starts completed, about to try a third.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1349432529657294848
Quote
Sassquatch (@Sassquatch0) 1/13/21, 1:48 PM
 @LabPadre 's camera had really great audio of the static fire & engine noise after shutoff.
➡️ https://twitter.com/sassquatch0/status/1349428239060541440
18 sec clip. Also: debris.

Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) 1/13/21, 3:23 PM
SN9 has completed its second static fire test of the day, this one occurring about 2 hours after the first one.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1349452102481944581
⬇️ Image below

——
Quote
Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight)1/13/21, 9:43 AM
SpaceX has added a Temporary Flight Restriction for Starship SN9's hop on Saturday. Launch opportunities are currently available on Jan. 14, 15, and 16, per hazard zones.
tfr.faa.gov/tfr2/list.html
https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1349366355582046208

—-
Quote
Brendan (@brendan2908) 1/12/21, 4:59 PM
SN7.2's forward dome has been mated with its aft dome. This is the first tank to be built using 3mm stainless steel instead of the current 4mm.
@elonmusk what bar are you expecting SN7.2 to reach and when will it be tested?
By: @BocaChicaGal for @NASASpaceflight
➡️ https://twitter.com/brendan2908/status/1349113844648431617
Photo & Render of the tank at the link


—- Starlink & Russia
Russia may fine citizens who use SpaceX’s Starlink Internet service
Russia is planning its own Internet from space plan, called Sphere.
Eric Berger - 1/12/2021, 9:11 AM
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/01/russia-may-fine-citizens-who-use-spacexs-starlink-internet-service/
Quote
Elon Musk (responding to the ars article):
We’re just trying to get people to Mars. Help would be appreciated.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1349187570647920640

Lyubomir Vladimirov (@lvladimirovBG)1/12/21, 6:03 PM
Dear Elon,
I'm a game dev. and I am making a game about colonizing Mars with you and SpaceX in it. If you think it's cool, all I need is the "Go ahead" to use your name and Logos.
I will post this every day for a year or until I get a Yes or a No! 
154 / 365
Elon Musk (@elonmusk)1/13/21, 3:04 AM
@lvladimirovBG You can steal our name/logos & we probably won’t sue you
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1349265937392930816

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