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Messages - bosbas

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The rest / Re: The Collapse Of America
« on: September 27, 2020, 11:22:23 AM »
Interesting article at the link.

Should a Trump nominee be confirmed, the Supreme Court will consist of six justices appointed by Republicans, even though the party has won the popular presidential vote only once in the past seven elections (George W. Bush, in 2004).

The rest / Re: The Collapse Of America
« on: September 25, 2020, 10:32:14 PM »
It is not much different from many European countries, where whichever party wins a majority of seats in parliamentary elections selects the next prime minister.

The difference is that in the US a candidate needs to get a majority of votes in a certain district/state, while in other countries, a candidate needs to get a certain percentage of votes overall. The US system leads to unexpected outcomes, where a majority of votes does not equal to win an election. While Clinton received 2.87 million more votes than Trump did, Trump received the majority in the Electoral College ; that looks like the result of a voting system that has severe limitations. With a districting system like the US, the number of parties is highly reduced, since winning a district is the only way to get a seat.

The rest / Re: The Collapse Of America
« on: September 20, 2020, 02:11:13 PM »
The US election system where the winner takes it all guarantees that those acting as sheep and flock together the most are the ultimate winner. The GOP has a better reputation than the Dems in controlling the herd. That pluralist election system should be on top of the list of things that need an overhaul.

Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: September 02, 2020, 06:01:18 PM »
Isn't that big drop in NSIDC the result of the new month and a different mask to remove non-existing coastal ice?

Science / Re: 2020 Mauna Loa CO2 levels
« on: May 03, 2020, 10:20:20 PM »
Stephan, the data has not been updated for the current week; your numbers are identical to last weeks post. We have to wait for the figures for the week starting April 26th.

Consequences / Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« on: February 01, 2020, 06:02:41 PM »
Meanwhile my family from Dubbo, Australia just moved permanently to a cooler place. I wonder how much migration will be caused by the bushfires and the drought.

Arctic sea ice / Re: 2019 sea ice area and extent data
« on: September 20, 2019, 09:44:18 PM »
A timely point for me to say thank you Geronto and to Juan and ... +1

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 18, 2019, 12:25:54 PM »
Comparing Sept 17 between 2007 and 2019 on Worldview shows nicely the difference in ice floe size around Prince Patrick - quite a difference.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: August 12, 2019, 09:31:28 AM »
Some breaking up in the CAA near Mackenzie King

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 17, 2019, 09:49:14 PM »
 I am sorry for your loss, Neven.

Science / Re: 2019 Mauna Loa CO2 levels
« on: July 07, 2019, 08:58:23 PM »
It isn't that long ago that I thought a high 2 ppm increase was something noteworthy; now we're seeing 3.81 even without a strong el-nino or other natural cause that I am aware of; scary.

Science / Re: 2018 Mauna Loa CO2 levels
« on: April 20, 2018, 11:30:59 PM »
Not much news this week so far.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2017/2018 freezing season
« on: December 30, 2017, 11:41:24 AM »
Iain, you should label your plot 12-25 as it lists values from few days back.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Arctic Image of the Day
« on: July 02, 2017, 12:33:46 AM »
Gletcher from Greenland, close to the Labrador sea. I don't know if it has a name.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Arctic Image of the Day
« on: July 02, 2017, 12:29:13 AM »
Meltponds southern part of Greenland. Never having seen sea ice in my life, I was quite excited the sky was clear.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Arctic Image of the Day
« on: June 30, 2017, 12:48:24 AM »
The last remnants of sea ice in the Hudson Bay (the island is Mansel Island).

Makes lot of sense; thanks.

100kW is not what I am used to call a small service; but maybe I'm wrong. I used to have 22kW (200 Amps 110V). Can existing infrastructure manage 100kW per household?

Having lived in the US for 13 years, I think I learned a lot about what in EU we call corruption is totally legal in US. I was hopeful when Scalia died that we could finally get a progressive to replace him, something needed to overturn Citizens United, but I was never sure Obama''s choice would make that happen. Now it seems we're going back to again decades long lack of progress.  And I agree we need more Elisabeth Warren (my wife''s name is Elisabeth also) but it will be hard as the whole electoral structure is so supportive of a 2 party system that they need to make changes to those outdated formulas.

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS
« on: March 18, 2017, 02:46:51 PM »
Jim, I see in your chart 2011 in 3rd place. Where ended 2016?

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: February 12, 2017, 07:22:51 PM »
Having lived in the US for 13 years, my thought is that Trump is the culmination of a long process. A good read about this is The brainwashing of my father. A decades long suppressing/divide of the general population (think about so-called Right to Work laws) , extreme income and wealth inequality, and an election system that ensures a 2 party system are all aspects that play a role. The combination of this and many other aspects (like money in politics, lobbying and other kinds of bribery) have led to this culmination. I had always wondered if the US would succeed in structurally reversing these kinds of bribery (gerrymandering is also among those) , and I am more and more inclined to think they will not get out of this mess in an orderly way ; I just hope I am wrong.

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: February 03, 2017, 08:40:47 PM »
I considered myself centre right in 2002 only to find out after moving to the US that my position was left from the democrats. Now, I'm most sympathetic to the  Green Party.

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: February 03, 2017, 08:27:50 PM »
In reply 1207 is the WSJ calling this a center-right government?  Rediculous. Obama can be called center right.

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: February 01, 2017, 09:18:33 PM »
Everything drT mentions is already under threat for a pretty long period in the US. And now we are witnessing a dangerous step further in the wrong direction. Who is willing to stop Trump/Bannon? Before they have taken over/ruined everything that is left. So much extremism in each next appointee.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Arctic Image of the Day
« on: January 27, 2017, 11:54:58 PM »
And even warmer now. -1.7C

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2016 melting season
« on: August 31, 2016, 04:54:35 PM »
I can't find the remnants of Big Block anymore on today's NSIDC picture. It was fun to watch ... While it lasted.

Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: August 20, 2016, 10:39:10 PM »
Threatened By Rising Seas, Alaska Village Decides To Relocate

"Shishmaref will be underwater within the next three decades, and if we do not do anything, we'll be forced to move to another city like Nome or Kotzebue or Fairbanks or Anchorage, and not many people will move to the same place. So that means our unique community of Shishmaref will soon die out because we have our unique dialect of Inupiat Eskimo language, our unique Eskimo dancing, our unique gospel singing translated in Inupiat. All that will soon die out if we do not move as a community."

Science / Re: Mauna Loa CO2
« on: June 19, 2016, 10:09:23 PM »
No end to big increases it seems .... 4.78 for the latest weekly update

Science / Re: Mauna Loa CO2
« on: March 27, 2016, 04:39:05 PM »
Latest value:
Week beginning on March 20, 2016: 405.62 ppm
That is 4.19 ppm more than a year ago - a new record for a yearly increase of the weekly average? Makes me wonder when we will have a redo of the Paris talks - but maybe I am exaggerating, and once the current El Nino goes away these big increases will come down with it - at least, I hope so.

Wili, how bad is flying actually? Sometimes I get the impression that transport (air, boat) is only a small portion of the overall emissions, but I am not sure. I think that these 2 were excluded from the December Paris agreement IIRC.

Science / Re: Mauna Loa CO2
« on: March 03, 2016, 07:24:21 PM »
The peak is always in May.

Policy and solutions / Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015
« on: February 14, 2016, 12:48:24 PM »
This has the potential to unleash a new era. Finally the end of the super-conservative majority of SCOTUS?
Antonin Scalia, Justice on the Supreme Court, Dies at 79:

Policy and solutions / Re: Global economics and finances - impacts
« on: January 16, 2016, 10:10:49 AM »
When the BDI hit an all time low in Jan last year (it is lower now), this was explained here:
I quote: "The current malaise is much more a result of the overall supply of ships than a harbinger of doom for the world economy. In the run up to the financial crisis, as the world economy boomed and rates hit new heights, shipowners ordered a huge tonnage of bulk carriers. These hit the waves during the post-crisis slump that was already weighing heavily on demand for ships, which pushed charter rates lower still. Just as scrapping and a slimming of the order book was eroding the oversupply of ships, an uptick in Chinese coal imports in 2013 prompted another rash of orders. Ship owners reckoned that China’s appetite for coal would keep growing. But the country’s policy of weaning itself off dirty energy has contributed to a rapid decline in imports, leaving another glut of new vessels and rock-bottom rates for their owners."

Consequences / Re: 2015 - The Year of the Feedback?
« on: October 22, 2015, 09:05:25 PM »
The linked article in Mashable didn't mention what I thought was the biggest news:
"The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for September 2015 was the highest for September in the 136-year period of record, at 0.90°C (1.62°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C (59.0°F), surpassing the previous record set last year in 2014 by 0.12°C (0.19°F)."

Consequences / Re: 2015 - The Year of the Feedback?
« on: October 14, 2015, 04:25:47 PM »
Thank you for the explanation!

Consequences / Re: 2015 - The Year of the Feedback?
« on: October 14, 2015, 03:24:02 PM »
Thank you for the explanation. ASLR wrote: "They both show an atypical recent fluctuation in the CO2 concentration that may be associated with the rain forest emissions that Csnavywx is documenting. " I could not figure out - what is atypical about those curves?

Consequences / Re: 2015 - The Year of the Feedback?
« on: October 14, 2015, 09:25:52 AM »
Thanks for posting, very interesting. What does CAMS stand for?

Arctic sea ice / Re: Home brew AMSR2 extent & area calculation
« on: July 24, 2015, 09:58:34 PM »
I think it is about 6m deep; not 6ft.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Northwest Passage thread
« on: July 15, 2015, 08:55:19 PM »
According to Climate Reanalyzer the air temperature at Banks has been above normal for a long time (and continues that way). I wonder if that will have an impact later. But I don't know what the temperature was in 2012 in that area; it could be it is only a little departure from the norm.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015 melting season
« on: June 08, 2015, 01:29:12 PM »
@plinius: That's about 20-30 sqkm of ice per day going down the sink.
How did you calculate that? It seems a small number to me ... thanks.

Science / Re: Carbon Cycle
« on: April 15, 2015, 04:20:37 AM »
Foolhardycougar wrote: " there is about 30% more carbon dioxide in the air today than there was about 150 years ago".
Well, no - there is about 42% more carbon dioxide in the air today than there was about 150 years ago, or, 150 years ago there was 30% less carbon dioxide in the air compared with today.

Science / Re: Carbon emissions, totals, trends, etc
« on: April 13, 2015, 04:08:27 AM »
Feb 2015 goes in the record books as the month the global mean CO2 surpassed 400 ppm.

Consequences / Re: CA Drought Emergency Declared
« on: April 04, 2015, 04:53:44 AM »
Theatlantic has the following:
"How bad is the California drought in the context of state history and U.S. history?

Patty Limerick (director of the University of Colorado's Center of the American West): I would not use the word bad. I would just say "severe, and severe at a new scale, and a new intensity, and a new urgency. I guess I’m not using the word bad because it is a call to action. It is, sorry to use the cliché, but it is a wakeup call, and that might be good. Though I also don’t want to call it good, because there are people who are in a pickle now. So I guess I wouldn’t use the term good or bad, but this certainly puts us in a new framework for thinking about who we are and how we live and what are necessities and what are luxuries. And that has virtues and values to it."

A record low snowpack 2 years in a row and no greater urgency then this? One thing to consider - when water stops running from the faucet, people tend to go through a very steep learning curve; but do we really want to get to that point?

Consequences / Re: 2015 El Niño?
« on: March 25, 2015, 10:56:44 PM »
bigB, what actual values represent the colors in the sea level anomaly picture?

Arctic sea ice / Re: Home brew AMSR2 extent & area calculation
« on: October 02, 2014, 12:21:17 AM »
Wipneus, highly appreciated. I checked this out daily. Dank daarvoor!!

Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS/JAXA
« on: August 01, 2014, 05:21:15 PM »
Today 6th lowest - also above 2010 (6,745,367)

Arctic background / Re: Psychology of Climate Change Denial
« on: July 02, 2014, 03:49:14 PM »
An other blog which I find very useful on this topic is which is moderated by Tenney Naumer . Almost daily, articles about this topic are posted on this blog.

Policy and solutions / Re: Better Tomorrows
« on: May 22, 2014, 04:43:15 AM »
Last week, we received the news that Wubbo Ockels had passed away.
He was one of the best-known promoters of durability in the Netherlands and was the first Dutch astronaut. Apart from his pioneering work for sustainability, he is also known for his green energy research projects. Durability is much more than energy according to Ockels. “It is also good and transparent governance, culture and a fair distribution of prosperity,” he stated. The Dutch have been very fortunate with his inspirational views on the future of a durable society; I am sure we will miss him on our journey to a durable tomorrow.

Science / Re: Mauna Loa CO2
« on: April 21, 2014, 05:24:36 AM »
Latest weekly value up 4.01 ppm compared to a year ago. I can't remember having seen such a difference between years.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Melt Ponds
« on: July 25, 2013, 04:29:31 PM »
I am very impressed by the clear view we have on the melt pond around webcam-2; have we seen this in such detail before?
Can the rising water level in the pond be explained by just additional melt water? I haven't seen a drop in the water level that I would expect if the melt water could drain to the sea?
Just wondering ...

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