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Messages - RunningChristo

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1
Glaciers / Re: Norway glacier retreat 2007 - 2013
« on: August 11, 2020, 02:33:35 PM »
... And 1980.

2
Glaciers / Re: Norway glacier retreat 2007 - 2013
« on: August 11, 2020, 02:32:30 PM »
Lucky you Oren, my parents didn't share my interests.  But your memory must be a little disoriented, while the glacier were positioned in the end of the lake, closer to the cliffhanger/tongue. The field you remember must ve the shoreline along the lake, probably covered with some vegetation.

3
Glaciers / Re: Norway glacier retreat 2007 - 2013
« on: August 10, 2020, 11:40:09 PM »
IT sure has continued to retreat! I was there first time 1995, then almost the whole lake was covered with ice. This was the situation for ca. 2-4 years, thereafter retreating fast until the lake again was icefree.

4
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: July 25, 2020, 06:32:43 PM »
21.7C at Longyearbyen, Svalbard today, thus "shattering" the previous max dating back to July 1979! Another poor year for the retreating glaciers up there...

5
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: June 19, 2020, 09:02:50 PM »
You got to look at the bright (or holistic!) side of it,  even "evil" stuff as this virus end up as nutrition for new life :P 

6
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: June 01, 2020, 08:03:28 PM »
In Norway this is ALL for free! And we take this for granted, paying our taxes more or less willingly. Despite this we Even survive and have handled this Corona-era fairly well. 

Personally I struggle to find any ups about living in the Promised land these days. But what do I know, being an European!

7
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 27, 2020, 02:32:24 PM »
To even get to an IFR at 1% UK must have an infection rate 12-13 times above the current reported number. Even that roughly 2 mill. mark is just  3-4% of the total population and thus we understand  that a new and later peak is highly likely.

But despite this, I expect the society to be more prepared at all levels now, having more or less adapted to a new normal. In that light, a certain opening up ought to be "acceptable" for all parts.

In Norway capacity at hospitals have been very far from overloaded, much due to other operations being postponed. But how long will people tolerate this? Thanks to the low numbers the last 2-3 weeks , things are starting to normalize and the general fear of visiting doctors and hospitals is crumbling for each passing week.   

8
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 22, 2020, 06:26:49 PM »
More than 1% of the population (5.4 mill.) here in Norway have been tested so far  (as of Sunday morning local time). 0.3% death rate (2260 positive), pretty low, expect to rise some in the days ahead. In a normal year 900 will succumb to flu. These days people and the press seem to "forget" that. How many will die until lockdown?

We do practice social distancing but when people are banned from visiting their cottage if it is located in another commune (mostly are), they can't cross the border and do the "despisable" shopping in Sweden, then most people are stuck at their homes and thus swarming the pedestrian roads, the Forest and last but not least making an extra pressure upon shops still operating as normal.

Hard to say what remedy is the wisest. More and more people (also elderly) is voicing fear for shutting all down,  ruining the future for the younger generations.

9
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 16, 2020, 09:20:06 PM »
Maybe Germany manage to test many more of these younger groups least prone to die. Any statistics around proving this? Also my country, Norway, so far is keeping a fairly low mortalityrate. Is this due to a more efficient healthcaresystem, thus being able to act earlier, monitoring the pasients more thoroughly?

What ever it is, too few are being tested these days, making the numbers out there highly unreliable, making it pretty hard to predict the direction this virus will bounce.

10
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: March 10, 2020, 11:16:17 PM »
My country, Norway, is rapidly approaching 400, thus passing  UK, a fact I find sort of surreal. Point is, the dark numbers out there are huge! I suspect  many countries not being able to test the sufficient number of cases. 

Personally I've been having flu-like symptoms for a few days, but in my civilized country we can stay away from work at least 3 days in a row, fully paid. Workers in far too many countries lacking these rights will keep going to work spreading this virus Even faster...   

Edit: Ironic or not, just minutes after posting I register that the Uk health minister have tested positive.

11
The rest / Re: How Many Hours A Day Do You Sleep
« on: December 11, 2018, 01:37:11 PM »
Enough sleep is as vital as the Arctic Ice recovery during winter, not easy at all, but we hope for the best every night/winter, right?

12
Consequences / Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« on: February 25, 2018, 10:17:47 PM »
The heat is still on,  currently +4.0 C at Longyearbyen, Svalbard! Ironically we're at the complete other end of the ladder around Oslo, where temps are dropping fast as we speak, will be well below -10 tomorrow morning and for a  whole week most likely😲. Spring is hereby postponed until further notice, right so Sleepy?

13
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2017/2018 freezing season
« on: January 13, 2018, 10:14:37 AM »
With temps at +5.4C currently at Longyearbyen, Svalbard, buildup of any seaice at least at the western side of Svalbard, will have  hard time taking place!

www.yr.no/place/Norway/Svalbard/Longyearbyen/?sp

The risk for events like the slides taking place in februar 2017, are increasing by the hours. Pretty surreal this happening in the middle of  winter at those latitudes...

14
Arctic sea ice / Re: Home brew AMSR2 extent & area calculation
« on: August 16, 2017, 11:35:46 AM »
The Laptev Triangle, the Arctic version of The Bermuda Triangle = where all the ice is "lost" 😉.

15
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015/2016 freezing season
« on: February 01, 2016, 11:18:35 AM »
Average temps. at Longyearbyen for January 2016: +11.5 C Above normal. I assume these huge positive anomalies got to affect the iceformation even north and northeast of Svalbard...
This is the 62. consecutive month above normal...

Even the most ignorant denialist got to consider this as a sign of a warmer era.

16
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015/2016 freezing season
« on: January 03, 2016, 03:23:00 PM »
+5.2C at Longyearbyen 2 pm today as well! Things are really turned up side down,  when in Oslo at the same time we're experiencing 5 degrees below...
This is the 7'th consecutive Day with temps at Svalbard 15-20 C above normal,  so no Wonder the Atlantic side do take a beating! 

17
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015 melting season
« on: August 19, 2015, 11:41:04 AM »
Thumbs up Neven and F. Tnioli. Arrogance is very human, I'm no exception! No need for any to be expelled. I for sure am in favor of different opinions.
This season is Getting Just as exciting as normal, and at last Northern Europe  have got their share of summer as well

18
The rest / Re: Cli Fi
« on: August 26, 2014, 07:51:27 PM »
Just borrowed "The Drowned World" by J. G. Ballard at the local library  ;D Take placein a futuric world anno 2142 when the icecaps have more or less melted away...

19
The rest / Re: Cli Fi
« on: August 25, 2014, 11:51:41 PM »
A highly interesting genre indeed!

Lots of Sci-fi books tend to mention "what did go wrong on mother earth", like much of A. C C. Clarkes fiction. Also Kim Stanley Robinsons Mars Triology do mention the rising sealevel on earth as the glaciers melt "all of a sudden", doing havoc to the worlds great seaside Citys!

The articles below mention a few classics, among others J. G. Ballards "The Drowned World" from 1962!

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/01/education/using-the-arts-to-teach-how-to-prepare-for-climate-crisis.html?_r=1

http://guardianlv.com/2014/04/climate-change-and-cli-fi-novels/

20
Walking the walk / Re: Manure - Hazards for Gardeners
« on: August 17, 2014, 09:53:36 PM »
As a gardener I am WELL aware of the risk of applying fresh (or even older!) compost, and I try to educate/warn my customers at a daily basis of these traumatic risks!
Fresh compost mixed into soil to Upgrade it NEED to get "finished" so to say, meaning that as long as the compostingprocess is taking Place (to check the status, just tilt/turn the compost, if it's "smoking" then it's still warm and in full speed!) it's no good using it yet. Unless you desire bad cropping! Seeds most likely won't start growing at all.

I had this customer buying Thujas ( the most loved/hated plant in the temperate hemisphere, haha) worthy 10-15000 euro, came back complaining; the plants were getting yellowish in the leaf....oh dear me I remember thinking, almost panicking! Luckily he soon explained he had used fresh soil, and other plants from the same shipment planted in older, more safe soil, was showing no signs of uncommon behavior, so my conscience was happily clean as a slate:-).

In college I did a Project, mixing composted soil With normal peat, and my conclusion was to mix no more than 30-40% of housebased compost, then the benefits would start turning negative.

The best soil we sell in Norway include 30& cowbased compost, which is composted for 3 years prior to mixing it as a endproduct. 

Hope this will help you understand the risks of using unsecure and cheap Products in Your lovely gardens:-).

21
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: Jøkelbugt / North East Greenland
« on: August 14, 2014, 10:23:53 PM »
lt WILL go, 99% sure! The ice at the northeastern coast of Greenland is breaking fast the last days, and east of the remaining fastice there's barely ice in the sea, just "Soup"!

A just as big question is if the ice further North, in the Simon Sea/fjords, will be flushed due to the fact that the icecork outside the fjord is now blowing away from the coast?!

22
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2014, 10:12:25 PM »
Sale of Tesla S in Norway through July have risen a staggering 64860% this year...from 5 to 3248 cars, the 2. most sold model overall in 2014. Pretty impressive considering the populatition of Norway, just above 5 million.  Nissan Leaf is BTW number 4...the less pricey model for the common man in the street. Starting price for a "simple" Tesla S in Norway: Above $100.000!

Why so sucessfull in Norway? Much less taxes, free to drive in the Bus/Taxi-lanes into towns, free passing through the many tollroads etc. So only the government loose Income so far...So changes less favorable for Electric cars may take Place in a year or two.

23
Lol! Reminds me of a similar test, of all Capitals in the world, but of course this Glacier test is Way much COOLER, literally  ;D.

24
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: Greenland 2014 Melt Season
« on: August 04, 2014, 10:41:28 AM »
Current temp. at "Station Nord", not far off that Flade Blink glacier cap, stands at +9 C; pretty hot up there lately. I figure most of the landfast ice and fjordice doesn't stand much of a chance surviving this summer. A summer much warmer than usual for Greenland in general!

http://www.dmi.dk/groenland/maalinger/vejret-lige-nu/

25
Oslo, Norway have been "blessed" With the warmest July since 1955, 20,8 C (16,4 C = normal), and the current 12 month running average is now at +2,6 C ABOVE normal!  I Call that "a hint" of Global Warming...



Longyearbyen, Svalbard, did not experience such an exceptional July, just 1,3 C above normal, but despite this "Cold" July, the current 12 month average there stand at + 4,55 Above normal.
I say that is bad News for both ice/glaciers, permafrost and animallife!

26
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: July 29, 2014, 11:49:22 PM »
Its been like that every summer since I've been watching (2008).  Comparing IJIS views for same day shows that the pack has not been as solid at this time of year since 2009.  Currently MODIS shows the majority of the pack as being quite solidly jammed together with almost no water visible in between the individual pieces of ice.
[/quote]

I tend to support Michael on this matter, as an avid icewatcher the last 5 Seasons. In a very short timeframe ice North of 80' degrees will again be protected by Shorter days and less insolation,  so to achieve a true nosedive onwards we must depend upon some freakish tornados and lows, crushing the ice and at the same time make saltier and hotter water upwell from the Arctic Depths....

We better stick around...lurking, mostly :P

27
Arctic background / Northern Passage Expedition 2010 - remember?!
« on: July 24, 2014, 09:35:15 PM »
This was the year I started following Neven's blog, discovered by following the brave Expedition of Børge Ousland and his crew on the trimaran "Northern Passage". They started out (or continued the trip) from Murmansk 25'th of July 2010, tomorrow. Will be interesting to see if the Sea of Kara will Clear out in due time till the same time they were there 4 years ago:-).



I would strongly recommend a reunion with their detailed blog, which also covers the Arctic situation at that time; more or less the same as today, post 2007.

http://www.ousland.no/category/northern-passage-2010/

28
I still have to click the "Tobias-2006-2014.gif" line to make it open, but I normally don't give up easily :P.

29
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: Greenland 2014 Melt Season
« on: July 21, 2014, 10:35:31 PM »
+14 C at Station North, Close to the Flade Isblink glacier today, for several hours!
Both June & July have for the most of Greenland been well above normal, speaking of temps. Check the link from dmi.dk

http://www.dmi.dk/groenland/arkiver/vejrarkiv/

So it's not gonna be much fastice left around GIS when the melting season is finished!

30
Hope you'll be able to upload a pic dating august 2014, in due time, Espen! Makes the pics more "comparable", less "noisy", meaning less snow! The temps lately at Greenland (since June at least for most parts!) must have done Wonders to the meltrate...


31
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: July 15, 2014, 12:20:01 AM »
According to http://weather.gc.ca/forecast/canada/index_e.html?id=nu  most of the ice in the Canadian Archipelago will be toasted pretty hard in the coming week. 
I thereupon suggest the Amundsen route to be more or less open till the first week of August...

Also I expect the ice North of Svalbard to move North pretty fast till then, due to the good weather currently and the general heating of the Northern Atlantic ready to dig into the now rotten ice!
The season is by far over yet ;).

32
More about the same story.

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10152095293780448&set=a.408538150447.190897.22652235447&type=1&theater

Note that this is highly uncommon to take Place in Norway, normally it's not enough energy or heat to create the stuff you have "over there"!

33
Walking the walk / Re: Gardening
« on: June 24, 2014, 10:07:44 AM »
Ah Jostaberries! Yes we have them also in Norway, a rather New Product this is and few People are aware of it's existence really, as it is a crossbreed between blackcurrants and gooseberries.
I planted a couple some years ago and they do grow Fast, even faster than blackcurrants! Most peculiar when you take the parents/ genes in consideration...
Anyway, the taste is OK but I'm not satisfied by the croplevel, which I find to be on the poor side of acceptable, but maybe this will change in the years Ahead?!
If you prune them I wouldn't do so for another year or 2, just to make sure the plants have established well, thus not draining the energylevel of the plant due to a poorly developed rootingsystem!
My suggestion would be to extend Your Crop...the more variation you have the better, and all plants and berries Carries their most unique taste and will keep you strong and healthy, thus preparing you for long Nights With both kids and ASIB/ASIF to take care of ;D.

34
Walking the walk / Re: Gardening
« on: June 24, 2014, 09:33:41 AM »
Looking pomising Neven! Cabbages are the most healthy veggies the rumour goes!  In Norway and other "cooler" parts of Europe the Iberia is a kind of plague, so such raised beds are much preferred. I would raise the walls another 15-20 cm though, to make it deeper and thus allowing the plants to do better, a mix of soil in bags, some composted cowshit, all mixed With some of the available soil at Your site will suffice. Also ergonomically raised beds are to prefer ;).

What kind of berry bushes have you planted Neven? As a Professional gardner I Wonder why you are thinking of pruning them hard, this is mostly NOT my advice, unless Your bushes are biannual (raspberries) or just very old (not even then I would cut ALL branches back!)?! Prune only the branches, always at ground Level!, growing wrong direction, the weakest, and look for keeping 3-6 New strong branches every year. When the plants are 3-5 year of age it's time for developing a classic Russian 5 year plan, meaning ALL branches are to be cut away in that time frame, allowing the bush to rejuvenate itself With New branches and not allowing branches to age more than 4-6 years. This way you will make sure the plants stay fresh and healthy and also prevent them from occupying Your entire garden ;D.

The spring and summer in Scandinavia have been very favorable for most crops, good for the amateur and the farmer 8).

Keep it up man!  Your "excuse" for neglecting Your garden until the house is finished is SO common and much understandable!!

35
Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS/JAXA
« on: June 24, 2014, 09:03:31 AM »
THIS is the first page I look up in the morning...and WHAT a June Cliff we finally came upon!!

36
Arctic sea ice / Re: siberian arctic coast
« on: June 16, 2014, 09:23:21 AM »
Very true Andreas! The change from blue to grey, previously noted here at the Forum, that is the last stage of icemelting, the breakup and meltdown will then be a Swift "massacre"!

http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/imagery/subsets/?subset=Arctic_r05c05.2014167.terra.500m

38
Arctic sea ice / Re: Home brew AMSR2 extent & area calculation
« on: June 14, 2014, 11:40:05 PM »
  "I hear she's a real hottie."

That's a Good One:-).  I've wondered why the ice in that strait haven't been able to melt out in the last 1-2 weeks, but I didn't fully pay attention to the export from further North, just feeding the strait With more and more. So With that as background I don't mind Olga being such a hottie :P.

39
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: June 14, 2014, 11:26:26 PM »
That's great Jim! Thanks!

 The ice has clearly retreated further away from the shoreline/delta this year compared to 2013.

 The heat is ON up there, not only in Oslo were I ran a 10 K at Bislett (Golden League arena!) under a baking sun, realising that summer & icemelting might be a much more prefered combo than running & summer...

BTW, above 21 C at Kangerlussuaq today...just saying 8).

40
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: Greenland 2014 Melt Season
« on: June 13, 2014, 12:12:38 AM »
More than 20 C in Southern Greenland today, for the first time this summer:-).
http://www.dmi.dk/groenland/maalinger/vejret-lige-nu/stations/vis/4271

41
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: Greenland 2014 Melt Season
« on: June 09, 2014, 07:05:28 PM »
Currently Close to +18 C at Kangerlussuaq, western Greenland, so today the rivers will soar and albedo fall as a rotten tomato to the ground :P.

http://www.dmi.dk/groenland/maalinger/vejret-lige-nu/stations/vis/4231

42
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: June 09, 2014, 10:09:23 AM »
Oh come on guys, there's plenty of room for both "dreaming" and realism in here, ha ha:-).

BTW, in a few days the temps in the Whole of Arctic Canada seem to be lifted to a much more meltfriendly mode, according to http://weather.gc.ca/canada_e.html
Much more sun so I bet a couple weeks Will do Wonders to the state of ice! But only time will tell...

43
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: June 07, 2014, 11:16:56 AM »
1 week earlier and still looking similar, meaning 1 crucial extra week of melt, can make a huge difference! Jim, you might post a New comparison, if weather allows (and Your time!) in a week from now just to see what takes Place in only 1 week!? Would be highly intersting :D.

44
Arctic sea ice / Re: Drift, Deformation and Fracture of Sea Ice
« on: June 03, 2014, 04:41:26 PM »
Here is a New time lapse "film" "Ice In Motion" showing the breakup of ice around Hopen, Svalbard, this very spring :D


45
Arctic sea ice / Re: IJIS/JAXA
« on: June 01, 2014, 08:47:45 AM »
Shouting in the Woods helps, Espen! I suggest the lag that have been dominating the downward spiral the last 1-2 weks, will turn rather opposite now as we've entered the month of solstice!

46
In the Greater Oslo (Norway) area the average temps the last 11 months have been 2,6 C Above normal, and the watertemps in the local lakes is already Close to 20 C, just tested and pretty lovely I admit! Just saying to those overseas been freezing butts off in the same period;-). But "normal"?! I blame it upon the Jet stream acting Fuzzy lately!

47
The rest / Re: Arctic Café
« on: May 31, 2014, 12:07:09 AM »
Horrible Destiny to those birds, eating all that plastic! Those pics ought to be flagged worldwide to show People what happens in the long run....

48
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: May 29, 2014, 11:44:25 PM »
The cracking and destruction of ice North west & east of Greenland the last 10 days is just mindboggling:
http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/imagery/subsets/?subset=Arctic_r03c03.2014139.terra
compared to today:
http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/imagery/subsets/?subset=Arctic_r03c03.2014149.terra
Just 10 days :o. Can't wait for the NeXT 10...

49
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: May 29, 2014, 05:42:01 PM »
Well said Robert! I know you speak up for many of us noneducated lurkers! I do like the enthusiasm of folks as Friv & Chris Biscan (the same man in disguise?!), but I do learn a lot more from guys like Werther etc. So don't dive into the world of abbrevations and coded Messages if there is a chance for making it plain and simple ;). Hemingway wrote in a short & simple way, but I dare say it wasn't an easy task... :P.

50
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2014 Melting Season
« on: May 26, 2014, 11:53:02 PM »
And all this due to the lowpressure currently hoovering just North of the Candadian Achipelago Islands?! Give me a hard time believing the ice at those Places is 4-5 meter...just cracking in suh a short time span (Yeah I am aware of the clouds making eyevision hard lately, but anyhow!), amazing no matter!

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