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Messages - FrankS

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Consequences / Re: Global Surface Air Temperatures
« on: November 28, 2017, 12:18:11 AM »

I know the last week is a forecast, but those are some crazy NH temperatures (they will have to move their legend if it comes true).

Consequences / Re: Global Surface Air Temperatures
« on: April 21, 2017, 07:35:32 PM »
I think the most interesting part of yesterday's NOAA climate call was the "horse race" temperature graph showing that isn't inconceivable that 2017 could pass 2016 as the hottest on record:

Arctic sea ice / Re: Northwest Passage thread
« on: September 26, 2015, 04:57:42 AM »
I thought the people reading this thread would be interested in this article titled "Ice thickness in the Northwest Passage" in Geophysical Reserach Letters:

(found out about it because I know the second authour)

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015 melting season
« on: June 30, 2015, 03:38:25 PM »
IF the forecast holds, there will be a huge WAA over Chukchi and ESS in about 5 days. In Beaufort HP dominated weather will make its presence..

In about 6 days, a heat dome will reach Hudson and toast the ice in combo with some winds too...

Baffin is under fire too soon...

Single, double or triple century breaks anyone?


Once Lake Erie & Lake Ontario finally melt out things may slow down again.


Hmmmm, perhaps we could assimilate some data from unanimous boater reports of open water and lake surface water temperatures far too high for ice to be possible?  ;)

Looking out of my office window I can report that at 9:30 EDT on June 30, 2015, Lake Ontario appears to be ice-free. :)

Consequences / Re: 2015 El NiƱo?
« on: April 01, 2015, 05:18:06 AM »
I think it is really interesting to see the spread between the Dynamical Model Average (Yellow line) and the Statistical Model Average (Grey line).  Different by almost a full degree during the summer, guess we will find out which was better in about 6 months.

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