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Topics - Tom_Mazanec

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The politics / Abortion
« on: October 12, 2020, 03:39:37 PM »
The Preeminent Issue of Our Time
The Church—and common moral sense—says that one social issue rightly deserves political consideration before and above all others

Permafrost / Northern Hemisphere Winter 2020-2021 Snowcover / Misc Obs
« on: August 22, 2020, 03:20:18 PM »
Here is the new thread, Oren.

The politics / Why CHAZ failed
« on: August 02, 2020, 12:13:54 PM »
Here is another look at CHAZ:

How CHAZ Got CHOPped: Seattle Made Itself a Petri Dish of Polluted Liberal Ideas
First, notice the word “protest” is not even in the constitution. The more orderly sounding and peaceful word used is “petition,” and the only manner in which petitioning your government is protected in the US constitution is clearly stated as “peaceably.” If you are petitioning your government in any way that is not peaceable, you are not protected constitutionally, nor is your behavior advocated.

There is nothing in the constitution saying people can disturb the peace. There is nothing saying they can block streets. Nothing saying the can break things to express their rage. There is nothing saying they can laser police officers in the eyeballs or throw things at the police. This is all lawlessness, and the constitution expresses no protection for it whatsoever.

The rest / Help with Toastmasters Speech?
« on: July 10, 2020, 03:23:22 PM »
I am on the Presentation Mastery Pathway. I will give my second speech in two or three weeks
The Goal:
The purpose of this project is to learn or review basic research methods and present a well organized, well researched speech on any topic.
I would like to do something on AGW. The main constraint is 5-7 minutes. Any advice on sources or other points would be appreciated.
This will be done over Zoom. I will be speaking before a slightly right of center audience.

The rest / Will we need a new widget?
« on: July 05, 2020, 04:38:38 PM »
The widget at which is often used by AGW sites (including Neven's) is up to 6,277,692,000 Big Bens Full of Dynamite. At the rate it is going it looks like it will pass 9,999,999,999 in ten or twelve years. Will the numbers roll over like an odometer, saying we have accumulated no Big Bens since 1998? Will they have to reformat the widget to fit eleven digits? Will they just have an "Over 9,999,999,999" notation like the McDonald's sign? How will we solve the 10G Problem?

Consequences / World of 2100
« on: June 04, 2020, 01:57:23 AM »
This is as far from us as WWII is in the other direction. Children alive today could expect to live till then.
However, the great decision will be made in this century and the results of our choices today will be apparent.
What do you see for 2100?

Consequences / World of 3000
« on: May 23, 2020, 12:19:46 PM »
This is a thread for what you think the "end game" consequences of AGW and our world civilization system will be, in the long term perspective.

Arctic sea ice / DMI Volume
« on: May 01, 2020, 08:09:50 AM »
I would ask that discussion of the DMI volume (based on Hycom-CICE model) and its comparison with PIOMAS and with actual measurement (Cryosat, SMOS) take place in a separate new thread - and not the existing one that compares PIOMAS vs. Cryosat.

Here you are, oren.

Arctic sea ice / Tides
« on: April 01, 2020, 12:59:14 PM »
Here you are, oren.
Do tides affect currents and sea ice?

The rest / Masks
« on: March 25, 2020, 12:41:01 PM »
Rodius, this thread is for discussing masks preventing covid infection.

be cause:
Here is the thread you requested on the Covid-19 thread.


Edited the thread title a bit.

This can be used for all Covid-19 economic consequences.


Consequences / COVID-19
« on: January 25, 2020, 12:46:46 PM »
Per TerryM's suggestion, here is a dedicated thread on the epidemic.
Let's hope this thread fizzles in a month or two.
Till then, here is the blog TerryM mentioned:

Science / 2020 CO2 emissions
« on: January 23, 2020, 04:46:09 PM »
OK, we blew 2019.
Let's see if this year we can reduce CO2 emissions.

The rest / Refute climate risk denier arguments
« on: December 06, 2019, 07:50:04 PM »
Since some half that the “Stupid questions” thread was inappropriate for anti-denier arguments, someone suggested I start a dedicated thread.
Here it is.

<Edited the title to make clear what kind of denier is meant. What it all boils down to, is that these people basically deny that AGW poses any risks at all, or that the risks are negligible. Hence my term 'climate risk denier'; N.>

The rest / Speed of AGW
« on: June 05, 2019, 05:44:02 PM »
While AGW is happening in an instant in Geologic Time, it is spanning lifetimes, which is actuallya problem (I think Jared Diamond called this something like a 'floating normal'...forgot the exact term)

Consequences / Worst consequence of AGW
« on: June 03, 2019, 12:49:17 PM »
What effect of AGW is the worst specific one of all?
Increased heat?
Decreased food production?
Sea level rise?
Weather disasters?
New pandemic potentials?
Climate Refugees?
Trigger for War?
Something else?

Consequences / AGW and climate zones
« on: June 03, 2019, 12:19:23 PM »
IIRC, AGW can wipe out the arctic and subarctic climate zones, making the poles temperate in wind circulation. Is this correct?
Could AGW create a new equatorial climate zone, a "supertropical" one to coin a term?

Science / Projecting to 2150
« on: June 01, 2019, 03:37:23 PM »
I think climate projections should start going out to 2150. When climate modeling (and other modeling like Club of Rome) began 2100 was about 13 decades it is only about 8. The grandchildren of today's children might live to see 2150. And AGW will continue at least this long.
Will we still be projecting to 2100 several decades from now?

Consequences / AGW consequences where you live
« on: June 01, 2019, 03:33:06 PM »
Let this thread be for saying where you live, and you (or other people) say how this will be affected by AGW.
For example, I live in Twinsburg. I am far from the coastline, so I will not be affected by SLR. A hot summer afternoon might be 32 C, so it might rise to 35 C...uncomfortable, but livable. And I hate snow. It almost looks like AGW would improve my life.
What am I missing?

Science / Not twelve years left, but one
« on: May 29, 2019, 09:48:02 PM »
Greenhouse emissions must peak next year and rapidly drop thereafter to save us:

The rest / Peak Oil and Climate Change
« on: May 22, 2019, 01:05:53 AM »
I used to think PO would save the Earth's climate.
Now I'm not so sure.
Here is Greenpeace's take:
What's yours?

The rest / Earth 2100
« on: May 11, 2019, 03:19:56 PM »
Well, I will carefully end my moratorium on starting new threads. I hope nobody objects.
June 2 is the ten year anniversary of this ABC program, which is the The Day After of AGW.

Compare this with OTL (as AltHist aficionados call the real world).

The rest / Club of Rome World model
« on: April 18, 2019, 10:57:11 PM »
Does anyone know where to get this model to run on a Mac (or Windows, though mine is a Mac) computer?

The rest / Climate on Reddit
« on: April 17, 2019, 06:27:37 PM » gives a number of scary headlines, but seldom updates. updates very frequently, but has a lot of "local" weather events. has more local events that might be of interest to us, but does not update often. sometimes covers climate protests et al. updates moderately often and has good AGW articles. is very good for subject and frequency of update. updates only occasionally and covers other facets of the global Metacrisis as well as AGW.
On the other side of the aisle, gives the denier side of the issue. You may want to debate on that reddit. Or not.

Any others I've missed, on either side of the aisle?

The rest / Why I am getting more worried about AGW (a personal story)
« on: April 17, 2019, 04:54:33 PM »
Until recently, my bugaboo about what the world will be like when I am old was Peak Oil. I thought we would either be getting a post-oil technology and infrastructure by now, or entering an Energy Crisis Hyperdepression.
Then came fracking. At first I thought (based on my reading PO blogs) that it would be a flash-in-the-pan. But it seems to have legs. Meanwhile, the things that I thought would start happening in years like 2050 in a BAU scenario started happening in years like 2015.
So was I right before, or now? Will fracking collapse in a year or two and transportation start breaking down, or will the Earth become a hotter, less livable planet?
EDIT: and is your story similar to mine (anybody)?

The rest / Climate change activists should not fly
« on: April 16, 2019, 12:57:20 PM »
You have to walk the walk, not just talk the talk. When activists fly around the world but say we have to cut carbon emissions, it send the message that you have to sacrifice but I don't. Activists for civil rights were thrown in prison, attacked by police dogs, tear gassed, etc. and have mostly triumphed. Activists for climate change too often are do what I say, not what I do and have mostly failed.

The rest / How could I have done this better?
« on: April 16, 2019, 02:04:43 AM »
On this thread I purposely stated the optimistic end of my range of opinion on AGW, and it was still too extreme for the forum.
What tips do you have for any future debates I may have?
Do you have any answers to the people's arguments?

Consequences / World of 2030
« on: April 15, 2019, 03:17:55 PM »
All AGW projections seem to go to 2100, but this is too far in the future for emotional, as opposed to academic, interest for a lot of people (like me...I am 61 and have no children).
So what do you expect the world to be like in just eleven years? I  am not He Who Must Not Be Named, I do not anticipate human extinction by 2016 (but if you do, let me know), but I imagine it might be different from now.
Let me know what you expect , not what you want.

Science / 2019 CO2 emissions
« on: April 11, 2019, 04:40:14 PM »
As long ago as early December, 2018 it was reported that 2018 had hit an all-time record for CO2 emissions.
Do we have some early indications five months later how 2019 is trending?

Consequences / Dubia
« on: April 10, 2019, 09:01:54 PM »
A depiction of Earth a thousand years hence.
I think the sea level rise will be more from thermal expansion of sea water than coastal subsidence, but it is still a possible future:

The rest / Memory of Mankind
« on: April 10, 2019, 05:37:49 PM »
If you think AGW will end Civilization but not Humanity, donate your favorite text to Memory of Mankind:

Consequences / Blue Ocean Event by Dave Borlace
« on: April 10, 2019, 02:14:21 AM »
Is this video a reasonable depiction of what a BOE would mean?

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