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Messages - DrTskoul

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He must be agent of the Borg

Consequences / Re: Prepping for Collapse
« on: Today at 01:39:34 PM »
What you need is a fabrication lab in your Eco village.
A fab lab is typically equipped with an array of flexible computer-controlled tools that cover several different length scales and various materials, with the aim to make "almost anything".

And a carpentry shop...

It is interesting that although I believe this to be an exceptional melting season , only 1 person expects a later ''opening'' than me . b.c.

You are weird... that's all

The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: Today at 12:46:12 AM »
My condolences Neven. I lost my mother not 40 days ago and I know how it is. My thoughts are with you and your family.

Policy and solutions / Re: Nuclear Power
« on: July 17, 2019, 03:42:51 PM »
Nuclear Agency Considers Reducing Inspections Of Reactors

What can go wrong....


Consequences / Re: Prepping for Collapse
« on: July 17, 2019, 02:03:31 PM »

There are brain scans that could tell definitively whether a person is psychopathic or not. I would have triple redundancy in the tests to make sure that there is no mistake. The danger that a psychopath poses to society is well worth the expense and, so long as it is done with 100 percent certainty, society has the moral right to deal with the criminal elements amongst them.

No there are no scans that can tell who is a dangerous psychopath or not...good try..

Consequences / Re: Prepping for Collapse
« on: July 17, 2019, 01:55:51 PM »
That's why I advocate living in self-reliant eco-villages of 300-500 people. Well-armed people. There is safety in numbers.

This is "Saviors" level shit.

Consequences / Re: Prepping for Collapse
« on: July 17, 2019, 01:28:31 PM »
Which altruistic, higher human beings will control eugenics and the decision who is a dangerous psychopath?? Very dangerous path, especially with our history of institutionalizing women in the 1800 and 1900s because they did not conform to the male standards.

Very thank you

Policy and solutions / Re: Coal
« on: July 17, 2019, 12:51:45 AM »
How could they be? They were told Coal is coming back....

Policy and solutions / Re: Nuclear Power
« on: July 17, 2019, 12:47:25 AM »
Most mega project fail because of bad communication between design and execution teams.

Science / Re: 2019 CO2 emissions
« on: July 16, 2019, 10:10:06 PM »
Thermal Decomposition of CO2 with Nuclear Heat

" We find that at 3000K, 40% of CO2 molecules break up into CO and O particles. The fraction becomes 50% at 3600K. Carbon monoxide has an even higher thermal decomposition temperature, beyond 3800K.

At 4000K, we can expect that from every 1 mole of CO2, we get 0.15 moles of carbon, 0.5 moles of oxygen and 0.2 moles of CO. Each mole of CO2 fully broken up requires to 530kJ. This corresponds to 12 MJ per kg of CO2 that is decomposed.

Thankfully, nuclear heat is in no short supply. Even small reactor cores can produce gigawatts of thermal energy… indeed, most of the cost of a nuclear reactor comes from the difficulty of containing the heat, not in producing it. "

The first step is therefore to filter out the dust, cool the air to condense out water vapor, and then liquefy CO2 by compressing it to over 25 bars at below room temperature. The liquid CO2 rains out of the compressed gas and can be drained away.

Where the hell are you going to get 4000K in a Nuclear reactor? in the molten core of one??.... sometimes I wonder if we understand what we read and write....For comparison the surface of the sun is 5000K. Let's send all our CO2 to the sun....

Consequences / Re: Prepping for Collapse
« on: July 16, 2019, 07:17:52 PM »
Every single author/thinker that has dealt with a collapse scenario has ended with the same script.

Just pray there is no collapse in the works. Otherwise the storyline is clear as the day...

Science / Re: Ocean temperatures
« on: July 16, 2019, 05:52:28 PM »
Can someone explain what is happening in this graph and how significant this is?

Why is the spike so huge?


Somebody messed up the graph??

Consequences / Re: Prepping for Collapse
« on: July 16, 2019, 01:11:52 PM »
Gerontocrat comes around with his Army to take my stuff.  I try to fight him off with my neighbors.

And that's the most likely scenario not utopia....
My "Army" are Freedom Fighters.
You and your neighbours are a bunch of terrorists.

I am therefore justified in wiping you and yours out by any and all means.

The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: July 16, 2019, 01:10:25 PM »
If there are alt-right scum on the ASIF I am taking a walk.

In a free forum you cannot prevent anyone from dropping by. However the tone and content of discussion can only be based on empirical evidence, and the scientific principle ( in most threads ).  There many political threads that have been actively engaged in a dogmatic banter... I avoid those most of the time and only drive by to see who is who when the curtain has been pulled...

You don't have to walk . There many good folks here to make it worthwhile. Otherwise the loud bigots have won....

Consequences / Re: Places becoming more livable
« on: July 16, 2019, 12:48:35 PM »
It's good to see that in the Netherland we have a relative low temperature change in those scenario's;

At least we drown in 'normal' conditions...

Better than boil.... although A/C s will become more prevalent up north that they used to be

Arctic sea ice / Re: 2019 vs 2012
« on: July 16, 2019, 12:06:49 PM »
I can now do a good comparison for July 15 2012 vs 2019, DMI SST anomalies:

Same magnitude, different distribution.... Pacific is burning and there is no ice export to save the winter ....

The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 15, 2019, 07:17:09 PM »
Trumpistan government reports there has not been any increase in forest fires in Alaska, reports of Bering Sea warming are false and the fishing industry is doing just fine, the fish stocks are full, "what of ,we do not tell, but they're full trust us.", a govt representative was heard saying.

Plus, because we stopped measuring, the bees are doing just fine and can handle all the toxic pesticides we can throw at them.

The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: July 14, 2019, 06:44:41 PM »
One has to be able to ignore the political discussion. I agree it has become too much but who am I to judge. One I know though, whoever is certain they are right is a hair from becoming dogmatic and one of the same too...

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 14, 2019, 05:21:43 PM »
It's still growing.

This is the most important graph of the season!!

Consequences / Re: Prepping for Collapse
« on: July 12, 2019, 03:02:33 AM »
If we reach that point, the survival of the most barbarian is assured...

The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 12, 2019, 03:01:11 AM »
and stopping abortion.

Yeah lets stop abortion of US babies while keep selling bombs to drop on Yemeni cities so their babies die of bad sanitation. Push another country into a war over oil resources because that never hurt a kid ever.

Basically you are supporting post natal abortion.

More people are killed by abortion than are killed in war.

And miscarriages... I guess God is a murderer...

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 11, 2019, 06:44:19 PM »
Slater model update. Not much of a change, projecting 4,26 M sq km extent by Aug 30, 2019.

Looking at the map, this is all way too optimistic IMHO. It still has >10% on ice in Baffin and Hudson. It sees ice near Svalbard with high confidence. IDK...

This map looks like current map. Not end of august forecast map.

You do understand this is the current map with the survival probability plotted. Only the blue will survive by end of August and that is the maps prediction

Policy and solutions / Re: Water Resource Management
« on: July 10, 2019, 12:37:36 PM »

nanoparticles in water also create steam on exposure to sunlight

Solar Vapor Generation Enabled by Nanoparticles

"Solar illumination of broadly absorbing metal or carbon nanoparticles dispersed in a liquid produces vapor without the requirement of heating the fluid volume. When particles are dispersed in water at ambient temperature, energy is directed primarily to vaporization of water into steam, with a much smaller fraction resulting in heating of the fluid. Sunlight-illuminated particles can also drive H2O–ethanol distillation, yielding fractions significantly richer in ethanol content than simple thermal distillation."

So the steam does not condense back on to the liquid and escapes as vapor without heat interaction.... yeah... best if they apply it as solar film evaporator where there is a direct escape route !! However a solar frensel trough steam is much better ( higher temperature therefore higher pressure)

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 10, 2019, 12:01:57 PM »
It's not just the Pacific where there's a lot of melting going on. On the border between the Kara and Barents seas, the ice edge has gone from being a solid, compact line on 5 July to having lots of swirls of melting ice on 9 July. A wide band of the ice is also significantly darkened.

Ahhh... The famous goodbye waves....

The forum / Re: Arctic Sea Ice Forum Humor
« on: July 09, 2019, 09:46:18 PM »
Why am I not laughing?
Black humour - is a diet of limited appeal? Apparently funeral directors are good at it.

in german it's called : GALGENHUMOR

translates to: the humor of those going to be hung on the gallows

In English: Gallows humor ( a subset of black humor)...

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 08, 2019, 12:56:24 PM »
Inspired by Ice Shieldz I decided to try and track some some of larger ice floes in the Beaufort starting June 1st. Two floes are marked with a red dot as far as I was able to track them (which was most of the days).

Notice that both floes have large neighbours that disappear. Neither floe moves particularly far in the 36 days, and both floes have basically broken up at the end of the run, one of them not being trackable at all, the other still having a fairly larg piece that I presume could be tracked for a few more days.

Ice crusher...

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 07, 2019, 01:48:33 PM »
Friv: The 00z EURO is brutal through D7.

Indeed Friv, indeed! This year we might call the high pressure domination in Arctic: "Ridiculously Resilient Arctic Ridge". Most people at the forum remember RRR that hovered west of US for a few years.


The sound of the arctic melting....

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 06, 2019, 04:15:01 PM »
A thick floe before its demise...

Arctic sea ice / Re: Latest PIOMAS update (July 2019)
« on: July 06, 2019, 04:06:25 PM »
Fram export  was higher than average in June.

Even more so relative to the dwindling amount of ice volume in the near CAB.

And some of the remain thick ice ( outside CAA ) has already tickets for the Fram Express...

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: July 04, 2019, 02:28:44 PM »
That is not a real chart of july 3rd. It would mean a BOE within two weeks.
It's not the real thickness. It merely shows how easily the ice will melt (which may still be thick). And it seems right now pretty much every place is vulnerable.

Uni Bremen gets tripped up by surface melt in the summer time. Been discussed elsewhere but Bremen has very little value, if any, in the summertime
Other than showing wet areas

Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« on: July 03, 2019, 11:03:05 PM »
On a serious note, i can imagine a software that counts pixels floating down the strait. That would be a nice and ambitious programming job for someone ...

That will give you a pixel flux through Nares ( area or extent ) with poor thickness info

Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: What's new in Greenland?
« on: July 03, 2019, 01:00:03 PM »
Great. Now Greenland will contribute slightly more to SLR by putting its sand in the sea to support eroded beaches made worse by SLR.

Dont worry it will be mined away... /sarc

Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: Greenland 2019 Melt Season
« on: July 03, 2019, 12:52:33 PM »
A high melt rate, especially if sustained throughout the season, will certainly contribute to glacier speedup and increased calving. This is what happened in 2012 and afterwards, for example in Jakobshavn.

I wonder what will be the extend of the Greenland cold blob come wnd of this season and how will next year's weather will be affected

The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: July 03, 2019, 01:37:13 AM »
We expect more of some people because they are extraordinary in a particular area ? We should expect more of all... both sides of the spectrum... didn't see the outrage with Lurk ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: July 02, 2019, 04:09:20 AM »
I wonder how much of the price decrease comes from depression of wages.

The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: July 02, 2019, 03:53:18 AM »
Well Rod, you have joined in 2018. About 5 years after A-team and others. Memory can be a rather short given where the state of data and data analysis were back then. A-Team might have a unique style and very little patience with fools, but so are many others among us however his contributions are superior. In the era of the quick comment and blog and tweet everybody thinks themselves on par with experts. D-K in practice.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: June 30, 2019, 10:11:24 PM »

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: June 30, 2019, 04:24:12 PM »
I've taken some time out today to write a very extensive blog post on current events in the Arctic: June 2019, one hell of a month.


In recent years, the Arctic has dodged bullets and cannonballs. It looks like this year, it may have to dodge a nuclear bomb.

Let's see if the luck continues ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
« on: June 27, 2019, 11:04:24 PM »
I don’t understand the storing part of it ....put CO2 plus some energy use and you get some methane out...

The rest / Re: How Many Hours A Day Do You Sleep
« on: June 27, 2019, 10:55:48 PM »
As much as I can whenever I can , usually 10:30 / 11 pm to 5 / 5:30 am..

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: June 21, 2019, 01:07:33 AM »
It doesn't matter all that much at this stage, but perhaps just a little: It seems NH snow cover is lowest on record at the moment, but it's difficult to see do to the graph's layout. It's more visible on the graph for North America.

It would fit the correlation between NH snow cover in May/June and September extent

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: June 21, 2019, 01:06:18 AM »
It's really hard for me to understand how we don't have many Moorings on the Russian side continental shelf.

It's so shallow there's almost no turbulence it's almost never Disturbed.

The lack there of is ridiculous.
Unless they dont want to ...

Science / Re: 2018 Mauna Loa CO2 levels
« on: November 21, 2018, 01:01:51 AM »
Early oil industry knowledge of CO2 and global warming

So did the public, the government and every other industry... after all there were documentaries about climate change during that time ...

The rest / Re: Elections 2018 USA
« on: November 06, 2018, 02:00:52 AM »
Laursen at counterpunch presents a case for abstention:

"non-voters have been sending an increasingly loud and consistent message for at least 50 years now: we’ve lost our faith in electoral democracy. "

"a deep disillusionment that’s been growing for decades with an electoral democracy that becomes less democratic all the time, a sclerotic and highly institutionalized two-party system"

"Voting affirms the present system. It signifies our assent ... It maneuvers potentially revolutionary social movements into unthreatening political channels (the best decision Black Lives Matter ever made was to not endorse candidates). It nudges us to blame specific policies and politicians, rather than take a desperately needed hard look at electoral democracy itself."

" The right to say No to the whole damn thing is the most powerful political weapon we have as members of this or any society, because it denies the State legitimacy. "

" the worst thing about voting: it distracts us from the need to explore, collectively, without mediation by governments or politicians, how we can manage our future. "


The power of no is what makes a Brexit voting is abdication of one's civic responsibility....

Policy and solutions / Re: Nuclear Power
« on: November 01, 2018, 03:56:48 AM »
Nuclear energy is unfortunately doomed... Waiting for fusion power..hopefully before societal collapse...

We have fusion.  It's 93 million miles from us and capturing it is a solved problem.
Yeah, plants solved quite a while ago....unfortunately cannot do that for 10 billion people and their energy needs...

Au contraire.

Unfortunately not all energy needs are satisfied with electricity...

Policy and solutions / Re: Geoengineering, another rush for money?
« on: October 31, 2018, 01:16:00 PM »
Well they won the DUH!!! award. We do not know exactly what will happen. Sulfates are not a boundary condition for thousands of climate model runs to capture. Or a stable well mixed forcing like CO2 or water vapor.  It’s more like trying for an accurate weather prediction decades in the future.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: October 31, 2018, 12:01:16 PM »
It's still civilized 1000 miles from home on the Autobahn. Try some of the Midwestern and Western States in US or Australia...

Policy and solutions / Re: Nuclear Power
« on: October 31, 2018, 09:51:38 AM »
Nuclear energy is unfortunately doomed... Waiting for fusion power..hopefully before societal collapse...

We have fusion.  It's 93 million miles from us and capturing it is a solved problem.
Yeah, plants solved quite a while ago....unfortunately cannot do that for 10 billion people and their energy needs...

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