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Messages - Ktb

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 6
1
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: Today at 05:46:33 PM »
I guess it depends if he succeeds with that approach or not.

3
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: Today at 12:44:12 PM »
Trump wins election night, Biden wins in the following days/weeks as mail in voting is tabulated.

Although some fuckery may occur with trump trying to persuade the Supreme Court to halt mailed in ballot counting.

4
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: September 19, 2020, 10:21:44 PM »
While I would say that Disney is much too large (Especially!!! after buying Fox), that does not make them fascist.

Pumping out propaganda? I'll give that a soft yes. The US government provides money for films that make the US military look good. That is propaganda. Making a princess movie that children enjoy is not propaganda.

Disney famously underpays their workers at amusement parks. That is messed up. I think those workers should unionize. I do not think Disney is a "nice company" (your quotes not mine). I think they should likely be split. I encourage it.

Your "quotes" of me seem to be wildly off. Please refrain from putting words in my mouth. Additionally, thanks for hyper-focusing on one small aspect of everything I bothered to respond to you about. And finally, I have (once again) refrained from insulting you in my posts. I ask that you do the same.

Yes my stupor, quite enjoyable with some soma!

5
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: September 19, 2020, 05:17:09 PM »
And finally, if you have had any doubts that Trump would be attempting to use the Supreme Court to keep himself in power, you have been duped. Horrendously so.

He is drooling at this. 3 SC appointments in the first term? That's a unicorn. 6-3 conservative loaded court. The next oldest justice, Breyer, was appointed by Clinton. Another 4 years of Trump makes a high likelihood of a 7-2 swing.

6
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: September 19, 2020, 05:11:32 PM »
Are you insane?

Sure, if that's what you need me to be.

The Democrats are encouraging riots in the streets,

No

have shutdown all local businesses,

No

and are willing to do it again if they haven't stopped it already.


2nd shutdown may occur. No arguments there.

All while favoring AMZN, NYT, etc.

Posturing. I wouldn't say they are favoring Amazon. Dems want higher taxes on ultra wealthy and corporations. Sanders (independent but I digress) wants to break up banks and prevent monopolies.

By definition they are consolidating the state and corporations into a few behemoths a la Mercedes-Benz and BMW during the rise of the Nazis in Germany.

Amazon should be broken up. Mega corps should be broken up. Authoritarian Right leaders (term used in the context of Bob Altemeyer's The Authoritarians) are not the ones to do so.

And they have armies of stooges like you, and vox_mundi,

Baseless attack. Happy to be called a stooge, if it makes you feel strong. King stooge even.

who repost propaganda from the WaPo (AMZN) and NYT (NYT) as if it had factual value and weren't designed to bolster the bottom lines of aforementioned FascistCorps which also have deep ties to the military-industrial complex (especially NBC and its affiliate networks).

My post was from ABC which is owned by Disney FascistCorpsTM.

Proposing a new Supreme Court justice is not a "Nazi" move

Never said it was. Perhaps I should have placed that in a comment section of its' own. Do you disagree with the statement that a nazi sympathizer should be called a nazi?

and pretending like a Democrat would not do the same if they had a favorable Senate is to be blithely ignorant.

You Go High, We Go Low! - Republican Mantra circa creation of modern political parties.


Many American Democrats are useful idiots and have willingly demonstrated their tendencies towards banal evil in the wake of the manufactured pandemic restrictions. Hannah Arendt would be horrified.

Press X to doubt. Although that was after only a brief rifling through of her wikipedia page. I'd be happy to read some of her books, appears to be up my alley anyway.

7
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: September 19, 2020, 03:17:56 PM »
Hopefully nobody here is a woman/has daughters/nieces/aunts/wives/mothers.

Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) ladies and gentlemen: Tom Cotton after Trump names him potential Supreme Court nominee: 'It's time for Roe v. Wade to go'

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/515728-tom-cotton-after-trump-names-him-possible-justice-its-time-for-roe-v

8
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: September 19, 2020, 02:41:20 PM »
And from ABC news:

Donald Trump to put forth nominee to replace Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg in coming days: Sources

https://abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/donald-trump-put-nominee-replace-justice-ruth-bader/story?id=73107862&__twitter_impression=true

Anybody surprised by this shit hasn’t been watching. Anybody voting for a Republican is supporting fascism.



The correct term for Nazi sympathizer is nazi.

9
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: September 19, 2020, 01:18:38 PM »
They don't have the numbers to filibuster. Judicial votes need only 51 to pass (or 50-50 tie with Pence as the tiebreaker). Currently senate is 53-47 in favor of republicans. Need 4 to break party lines, if 3 or less Pence will tiebreak.
Also, McConnell can bring any vote to the senate floor that he wants at any time. Even if it would fail 1-99 he could still say he wants to hold a vote on it. It would just get filibustered and they would move on. So McConnell has the power to bring the SC nomination vote to the senate floor whenever, only needs 50 votes to pass it.

So far we have Murkowski (R-AK) who said she would vote no as recently as this Friday; Susan Collins (R-ME) claims it is "too close" to election day to hold a vote. https://edition.cnn.com/us/live-news/ruth-bader-ginsburg-death-live-updates/h_73403b4eaf42724ec9db79154591d223

Lindsay Graham (R-SC) in 2016 AND 2018 said that he would vote no if this scenario occurred. He has since walked that back. https://twitter.com/RiegerReport/status/1307145653856985089

Chuck Grassley (R-IA) seems to be considering voting no. At the very least he is recommending against holding a vote. That does not mean that if a vote is held, he would say no. https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2020/09/18/how-ernst-grassley-said-they-would-handle-supreme-court-vacancy/5831959002/

Mitt Romney (R-UT). Will the man who seems to have broken with republicans do it again? So far only a tweet stating that a "high level Romney insider says Romney will vote no." https://twitter.com/JimDabakis/status/1307120855454044160

10
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: September 19, 2020, 12:52:38 PM »

11
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: September 19, 2020, 03:20:42 AM »
Will McConnell have a new SC appointment ready by Monday? 2020 has been soul crushing

12
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: September 19, 2020, 03:16:59 AM »
Hycom updated their model a couple years ago and it is not possible to compare the updated version to the old version. This is well documented on the ASIF

13
Arctic sea ice / Re: Slater's thread
« on: September 17, 2020, 09:32:22 AM »
Clearly by spot on I meant that their anomaly forecast for minimum was accurate. And there is ample discussion in this thread about what Anomaly forecast means, what the 50 day lead is, and the comparisons between the two.

Peruse at your pleasure.

14
Arctic sea ice / Re: Slater's thread
« on: September 17, 2020, 07:39:50 AM »
Anomaly forecast is spot on?

15
Arctic sea ice / Re: Slater's thread
« on: September 17, 2020, 02:27:47 AM »
Slater's model deserves more credit than it gets. Once again.

16
Consequences / Re: The Holocene Extinction
« on: September 16, 2020, 01:58:14 AM »
And we will miss the AICHI 2030 targets as well. The main goal is "30 by 2030" or 30% of land and 30% of marine placed under conservation status by the year 2030. It ain't gonna happen. And so Gaia cries.

17
Consequences / Re: The Holocene Extinction
« on: September 15, 2020, 01:13:20 AM »

18
Consequences / Re: The Holocene Extinction
« on: September 06, 2020, 05:25:13 PM »
This shows that, although our predicted future rates and associated biodiversity losses are shockingly high, they are within a realistic range, since we can already see these future scenarios being manifested in parts of the world.

What a statement. Good lord. Thanks for posting that paper Gerontocrat. Great read. Depressing, but great.

Also, the term "extinction debt". The authors state it is substantial for class Mammalia. There may not be a descriptor word large enough/with enough weight to describe the extinction debt for all of kingdom Animalia. It must be gargantuan.

19
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: September 01, 2020, 04:10:37 PM »
How can you call the melt season as over 2-3 weeks ahead of time with even short term forecasts speaking another language?

You're misreading. I said the melt season is essentially over. At most we lose another ~480k km (based on historical numbers). At most I post one more semi-monthly update (September 15th, again based on historical dates of minimum). I do not think the melt season is over. I know it is not over. And I have been laughing every time somebody in the melt season thread says that we will have an August minimum or that a one day increase in area on Sept 1st means an early minimum.

I think you are on the right track here. Probably best done in parallel with what you are currently doing.

What might be interesting is to try to model what a BOE year might look like by taking for instance the five lowest minimum years and then stretching this to the BOE threshold of 1 million square km. You could then have a reasonable model for required ice loss in each month based on the historical record. Each year as we get closer, the model should automatically adjust with the addition of data from record breaking or near record minimums.

Relatively easy to add things like this. And I love to make bigger, more complex spreadsheets anyway.

20
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: September 01, 2020, 09:06:39 AM »
New required average is current extent minus extent necessary to cross 1,000,000 km2 threshold divided by number of days remaining in an average melt season.

As this melt season is essentially over, I can look in to making some changes for the 2021 season. I do not keep records during the freezing season. Am happy to make additions to my excel tables.

Additionally, while individual days may be on pace that does not mean the season as a whole is on pace. The on pace column keeps track of the season as a whole, not individual days. I agree it is not perfect, however we do expect lower melt in the earliest and latest months of the melt season, and stronger melt in the middle. For a BOE to occur at some point the strongest melt months will outweigh/outaverage the weaker melt months.

21
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: September 01, 2020, 06:27:54 AM »
And for comparisons to other years:

The following attachment is for actual previous years daily average melt from September 1st to their respective minimums. (Attachment 1).

The following section is for what the previous years would have needed for a BOE to occur: From September 1st to each years respective minimum, our current BOE requirement of -226,409 km2 is the 5th least negative value, of which 2012 is the leader. (See attachment 2).
These numbers will vary depending on the date of 2020s minimum, with extra days decreasing this average.

22
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: September 01, 2020, 06:24:51 AM »
Semimonthly BOE evaluation

As of August 31st, extent is 3,943,313 km2. With on average 13 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -226,409 km2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).

Total extent loss so far this season is -10,504,328 km2. This has resulted in the current season average daily drop of -58,035 km2. Since the year 2007, this is the 4th fastest average daily loss from maximum to August 31st (2007-2020). (See Attachment 2).
--- If the season ended today, total extent loss from maximum to minimum would be 2nd highest since 2007, behind only 2012. ---

Total extent loss from maximum to August 31st is 2nd highest on record in the post-2007 era, behind only 2012. (See Attachment 3).

Looking only at the month of August, 2020 lost -1,813,071 km2, averaging -58,486 km2 per day. Losing 5,000 km2 more than the average of -1,808,351 km2 in the post-2007 era, some ~700km2 less than 2012 lost in August. (See Attachment 4).


Finally, the 2007-2019 average ice loss for September 1st to maximum is -239,348 km2, with 2010 losing the most at -475,120 km2 and 2015 losing the least at -109,577 km2. Giving us a range for the minimum of 3,468,193 and 3,833,736 km2 respectively.

23
As of 24 August, extent has moved down into the 3.75-4.25 range.
August 24th, 2020:
     4,236,622 km2

Ergo, nobody is out of the running yet. Hypothetically speaking of course.

24
Permafrost / Re: 2020-2021 winter snow northern hemisphere
« on: August 25, 2020, 06:29:50 AM »
Can naming conventions stay the same year to year. Please. It makes things so much easier.

Northern Hemisphere Winter 2019-2020 Snowcover / Misc Obs

to

Northern Hemisphere Winter 2020-2021 Snowcover / Misc Obs

25
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: August 22, 2020, 07:30:20 AM »
Latest Five Day Forecast
Wind + Temp @ Surface
Large GiF!


On the 25th the CAA is going to be blasted with heat. Time to say goodbye to the remaining ice there?

26
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: August 18, 2020, 04:48:34 AM »
Semimonthly BOE evaluation - Mid monthly so no BOE comparison to other years

August 15th extent was 4,963,420 km2. With on average 29 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -136,670 km2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).

Total extent loss thus far in August 2020 was -792,964 km2. And total extent loss so far this season is -9,484,221 km2. This has resulted in the current average daily melt rate of -57,480 km2. (See Attachment 2/3).

Looking only at the month of August thus far, we have averaged -52,864 km2 per day. If the month of August ended today, this average daily drop places August 2020 as 9th out of 14 (2007-2020) in average daily August melt. (See Attachment 4).


We may yet have some more green days on my spreadsheet, if and only if those double centuries people keep talking about materialize.


27
The forum / Re: Reading the Forum on a Computer or a Phone?
« on: August 17, 2020, 03:48:24 PM »
Where are the overlapping options? Computer and phone because I’m addicted to ice

28
Walking the walk / Re: Informative & Useful Books
« on: August 16, 2020, 04:11:01 AM »
Just finished Brave New World by Aldous Huxley. Relevance abounds.

29
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: August 15, 2020, 07:30:05 AM »
Anybody else looking at the beaufort tail thinking it will eventually be completely severed from the rest of the pack?

30
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: August 03, 2020, 12:25:08 PM »
And for comparisons to other years:

The following attachment is for actual previous years daily average melt from August 1st to their respective minimums. (Attachment 1).

The following section is for what the previous years would have needed for a BOE to occur: From August 1st to each years respective minimum, our current BOE requirement of -108,100 (-111,187 as of Aug 2) km2 is the 4th lowest value, of which 2018 is the leader. (See attachment 2).
These numbers will vary depending on the date of 2020s minimum, with extra days decreasing this average.

31
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: August 03, 2020, 12:17:19 PM »
Semimonthly BOE evaluation --- Sorry for the delays and missed posts. Sometimes life gets in the way of ice. Numbers updated through August 2nd instead of July 31st.

As of August 2nd, extent is 5,669,846 km2. With on average 42 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -111,187 km2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).

Total extent loss so far this season is -8,777,795 km2. This has resulted in the current season average daily drop of -57,749 km2. Since the year 2007, this is the 4th fastest average daily loss from maximum to July 31st (2007-2020). (See Attachment 2). ~numbers slightly off here in order to work with the late posting.

Total extent loss from maximum to July 31st is highest on record in the post-2007 era.. (See Attachment 3).

Looking only at the month of July, 2020 lost -3,162,434 km2, averaging -102,014 km2 per day. This is the largest loss since in the post-2007 era. (See Attachment 4).

32
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: July 24, 2020, 05:49:59 AM »
Can people please just wait for JCG and Gerontocrat to do their things. It is always funny watching people try to jockey for the honorable position of daily data updater.

It clutters the thread, it doesn't look as nice or neat.

I say this gently, it is most typically new posters who do this. When I was new I was afraid to contribute to the main melting season threads. Still am for the most part. Read. Learn. Find a new way to look at data and then post here. Don't try to horn in by being 14 minutes earlier than JCG.

33
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: July 17, 2020, 01:30:40 AM »
On vacation without access to laptop. Will post semi-monthly update at the end of the month.

34
The forum / Re: Arctic Sea Ice Forum Humor
« on: July 08, 2020, 06:51:22 AM »
With all the red herrings you are creating we may no longer have to worry about plunging global fish stocks.

What a gem from the 2020 melt season thread. Made me laugh out loud.

35
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: July 07, 2020, 10:29:25 AM »
I don't care if the hot blob in the Laptev is from the Lena. You cannot ignore this hot water. 10.3 degC.
2+ degrees hotter in 6 days. Enjoying the high pressure and soaking up the sun.

36
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: July 01, 2020, 11:51:47 AM »
Laptev is biting further north.

Right now there is 25 kt S/SSE wind on the Laptev Sea. In addition to waves and compaction it brings warm air from the Siberian blowtorch.

Wind will start turning east tomorrow thus bringing cooler air from the ocean. Wave action will continue though.

To expound upon the above: 8 DEG C SITTING IN THE LAPTEV.

37
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: July 01, 2020, 10:21:20 AM »
And for comparisons to other years:

The following attachment is for actual previous years daily average melt from June 1st to their respective minimums. (Attachment 1).

The following section is for what the previous years would have needed for a BOE to occur: From July 1st to each years respective minimum, our current BOE requirement of -105,584 km2 is the 8th lowest value, of which 2010 is the leader. (See attachment 2).


As an aside, for those holding out hope for a BOE to occur, we must melt ~143% of 2012 every day until the minimum.
For the few votes in the 2-2.5 million km2 JAXA daily poll we must average between -92,251 and -85,584 km2 or ~125% to 116% more daily melt than 2012.

38
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: July 01, 2020, 10:13:43 AM »
Semimonthly BOE evaluation.

As of June 30th, extent is 8,918,818 km2. With on average 75 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -105,584 km2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).

Total extent loss so far this season is -5,528,823 km2. This has resulted in the current season average daily drop of -46,461 km2. Since the year 2007, this is the 6th fastest average daily loss from maximum to June 30th (2007-2020). (See Attachment 2).

Total extent loss from maximum is 3rd highest on record since 2007 --- 2010 and 2012 had monster Junes. (See Attachment 3).

Looking only at the month of June, 2020 lost -1,915,658 km2, averaging -63,855 km2 per day. This is the 8th largest loss since 2007. (See Attachment 4).

39
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: June 16, 2020, 06:35:42 AM »
Semimonthly BOE evaluation - Mid monthly so no BOE comparison to other years

June 15th extent was 10,029,135 km2. With on average 90 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -100,324 km2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).
Just as an aside: From June 1st to its' respective minimum, 2012 dropped on average -76,535 km2. From July 1st to the minimum, 2012 dropped on average -73,894 km2. To anybody holding out hope for a BOE we need to be dropping ~33% more per day than the record year.

Total extent loss thus far in June 2020 was -805,341 km2. And total extent loss so far this season is -4,418,506 km2. This has resulted in the current average daily melt rate of -42,486 km2. If the month of June ended today, this would be the 6th slowest rate of melt for the same period for the years 2007-2020. (See Attachment 2).

Looking only at the month of June thus far, we have averaged -53,689 km2 per day. If the month of June ended today, this average daily drop places June 2020 as 11th out of 14 (2007-2020) in average daily June melt, ahead of only 2015, 2016, and 2018. (See Attachment 3).


There is so much heat coming into the Russian side of the arctic. I'll be shocked if the 2nd half of June doesn't do something spectacular.

40
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: June 15, 2020, 05:11:31 PM »
Latest Five Day Forecast
Wind + Temp @ Surface

The surface air temp in northern Russia is going to hit 30+ C. Literally bordering the arctic ocean.

41
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 15, 2020, 05:04:00 PM »
Ktb, why Were there no younger Progressives?

There were. Buttigieg's original campaign was quite progressive. He quickly sold out to big pharma and big insurance.

If (big if) Biden wins 2020, I see no outcome that involves him attempting to remain in that office for 2024. Either his VP will be pushed to the campaign trail or someone else will be. Unfortunately Sanders will be much too old at that point. I look forward to the next set of progressives to step forward.

Hate Sanders all you want, there are few if any politicians whose integrity can match Bernies'. That is part of what I will be looking for in the next progressive champion.

42
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 15, 2020, 12:02:39 PM »
Trump is younger than Pelosi, Biden and McConnell. Even the leader of the young people (Sanders) is older.

If a younger candidate had championed the same, or more progressive policies, that is where the support would have gone.

43
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020 melting season
« on: June 13, 2020, 07:22:46 AM »
Anybody else take a look at the NullSchool forecast for June 17th?

28 C at the coast. The entire pacific half of the arctic at 2+ C.

44
The rest / Re: George Floyd murder and blowback
« on: June 02, 2020, 12:01:47 PM »
Social justice is impossible while "free market" capitalism exists.

45
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: June 02, 2020, 02:50:43 AM »
And for comparisons to other years:

The following attachment is for actual previous years daily average melt from June 1st to their respective minimums. (Attachment 1).

The following section is for what the previous years would have needed for a BOE to occur: From June 1st to each years respective minimum, our current BOE requirement is the 6th lowest value, of which 2016 is the leader. (See attachment 2).

46
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: June 02, 2020, 02:47:08 AM »
Semimonthly BOE evaluation.

As of May 31st, extent is 10,834,476 km2. With on average 105 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -93,662 km2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).

Total extent loss so far this season is -3,613,165 km2. This has resulted in the current average daily drop of -40,597 km2. Since the year 2007, this is the 4th highest average daily loss from maximum to April 30th (2007-2020). (See Attachment 2).

Total extent loss from maximum is 1st highest on record since 2007, knocking 2016 from lead in this metric. (See Attachment 3).

Looking only at the month of May, 2020 lost -1,792,544 km2, nearly 200,000 km2 more than the 2007-2019 average. This is the 2nd largest loss since 2007, behind only 2010. (See Attachment 4).

47
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: May 16, 2020, 11:06:21 AM »
Semimonthly BOE evaluation - Mid monthly so no BOE comparison to other years

May 15th extent was 11,637,165 km2. With on average 121 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -87,910 km2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).

Total extent loss thus far in May 2020 was -989,855 km2. And total extent loss so far this season is -2,810,476 km2. This has resulted in the current average daily melt rate of -38,500 km2. If the month of May ended today, this would be the 12th slowest rate of melt for the same period for the years 2007-2020. (See Attachment 2).
Additional note: The average melt from maximum to May 31st (2007-2019) is ~3.1 mil km2, we are some 290,000 km2 away with 16 days in May to go.

Looking only at the month of May thus far, we have averaged -65,990 km2 per day. If the month of May ended today, this average daily drop places May 2020 as 2nd out of 14 (2007-2020) in average daily May melt, behind only 2010. (See Attachment 3).

What do the ASIF gods see in the melt season thread? Preconditioning. Albedo loss. Anomalous heat. High pressure ridging. Impending/continued snow loss over Eurasia.

48
Walking the walk / Re: Informative & Useful Books
« on: May 13, 2020, 05:11:43 AM »
Somehow, I expected that it was mostly applicable to people leaning right-wing because of a conservative mindset. But it can apply to left-leaning people as well.

Correct, Altemeyer and others have pointed out that the desire for authoritarian subjugation/the mindset which is more likely to accept authoritarianism is not unique to the political right. It is however, as you yourself stated (and Altemeyer, and Innuendo Studios, and others have stated), mostly applicable to the political right. It does exist on the political left, but to a much lesser degree, especially in today's political climate.

49
Walking the walk / Re: Informative & Useful Books
« on: May 12, 2020, 10:59:00 AM »
I have started reading The Authoritarians by Bob Altemeyer. It is only chapter one of a book published in 2006, and wow did he call it.

Quote
We would expect authoritarian followers especially to submit to corrupt authorities in their lives: to believe them when there is little reason to do so, to trust them when huge grounds for suspicion exist, and to hold them blameless when they do something wrong.

The book is available free online from Altemeyer himself: https://www.theauthoritarians.org/options-for-getting-the-book/

50
Arctic sea ice / Re: 2020 Sea ice area and extent data
« on: May 02, 2020, 03:19:15 AM »
Ktb,
thank you for that update - really appreciated that.
Has there ever been a green "TRUE" in your column "Are we on track?" since you started your evaluation?

In short, no. But previously if I play with the data I can get it to say TRUE at the start of every month if the first of the month has a high enough loss.

The way my spreadsheet is set up **this year compared to last years** we would need to drop -2.3 million km2 to get back on track and see a TRUE in that column.

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