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Messages - Alexander555

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The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: March 23, 2018, 08:22:42 PM »
Just like you buddy, time to leave the ship. It's sinking. You can jump out together with Trump.

Arctic sea ice / Re: What the Buoys are telling
« on: March 23, 2018, 07:26:48 PM »
I have no idea if the data is available.

The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: March 23, 2018, 07:43:46 AM »
Buddy, the Republican party is a party that is going to die anyway. That 50% of Americans that voted for the republicans are mainly white. They live in the rural area's, they are old, poor, and have few children. White Americans will be a minority soon. This is the last fight of wounded animal.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2018 melting season
« on: March 21, 2018, 09:21:33 PM »
In some way it's a little strange to see 2012 as the highest number, and it had the lowest minimum the same time. And for this year it's the lowest number. Can somebody tell something about that 2011/2012 winter ?

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2018 melting season
« on: March 21, 2018, 10:30:38 AM »
That area in the north-east of Greenland, looks like it's still open water.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2017/2018 freezing season
« on: March 19, 2018, 07:57:10 PM »
He Gerontocrat, do you have a minute ? Do you maybe know where i can find a pic like this. But only from the last 10 years.

Consequences / Re: Ice-free Arctic
« on: March 18, 2018, 08:40:13 PM »
I would just do it for fun, small amounts.

Consequences / Re: Ice-free Arctic
« on: March 18, 2018, 08:11:04 PM »
You have a company where you can bet on it ?

Consequences / Re: Ice-free Arctic
« on: March 18, 2018, 07:50:40 PM »
If you look at the pic, at the diffrences between the years close to each other.

1979 = 16 800 km3
1981 = 12 600 km3
difference = 4200 km3

1992 = 14 800 km3
1995 = 11 200 km3
difference = 3600 km3

2004 = 9800 km3
2007 = 6500 km3
difference = 3300 km3

2012 = 3600 km3
2014 = 6800 km3
difference = 3200 km3

In nominal terms it's going down a little. But as a % of it's total body, it's going up fast. And we are now a little above 4000 km3, at minimum. The temperature continued to go up. A lot of the ice is fractured. I would put it before 2025. 1 million km2 at 1 m thick

Consequences / Re: Ice-free Arctic
« on: March 18, 2018, 07:17:24 PM »
I would take the bet.

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 18, 2018, 03:37:29 PM »
One book could be enough to bring in a couple millions. And some juicy tweets can help the case.

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 18, 2018, 03:08:34 PM »
That they all come out of a stinking cesspool, that's for sure. So what is the word of these man worth. Absolutely nothing.

Consequences / Re: Global Surface Air Temperatures
« on: March 18, 2018, 09:49:13 AM »
We went from 17 000 km3 to 4 500 km3 in less than 40 years. So how can somebody come to  the conclusion that it will take more than 40 years to lose that 4 500  km3 ? And it's in the last few years the earth warmed most. So i think that ice can be gone any moment.

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 17, 2018, 10:20:31 PM »
The Guardian reveals how Cambridge Analytica harvested Facebook data from 50 million americans to use in targeted messaging in the presidential election.
Whistleblower describes how firm linked to former Trump adviser Steve Bannon compiled user data to target American voters. Cambridge Analytica’s algorithms turned ‘likes’ into a political tool.

Look at their graphic. There you have the possible connection between CA and St. Petersburg based Internet Research Agency, in the form of Aleksandr Kogan. He is an associate professor at St Petersburg State University, and received grants from the Russian government to research Facebook users’ emotional states. And he is the guy who actually programmed and harvested data.
50 million profiles represented around a third of active North American Facebook users, and nearly a quarter of potential US voters.

Makes my hypothesis that this part of Russiagate actually is a Mercer/Bannon/CA-gate stronger. Maybe the 'Russian troll farm' was indeed an alt-right troll farm working to orders from US alt-right?

Why would these 50 million people not have an own opinion ? You realy think that garbage on Facebook makes their opinion. That there is nothing in their life to  base their opinion on. What would be more importand, how trusted is a digital election ? How do you know as a voter that the result is real ?  It's very simple, you don't. 

Consequences / Re: Climate change, the ocean, agriculture, and FOOD
« on: March 17, 2018, 09:08:26 PM »
It's already an old article, but still interesting. It shows that 40 % of al the water in that river comes from glaciers. That's probably going to have a big impact at many places on this planet.

I share that idea. Because we can see a reason for the fact that it's not an early maximum. That vortex split left a few places with little ice. And that ice is growing now. But it's probably thin, in combination with a warm arctic winter. Is there normaly a poll for the minimum extent ?

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 14, 2018, 04:22:41 PM »
She thinks it was Russia, but that means they know nothing. One thing is for sure. Somebody is looking for trouble.

I have the link from a facebook group. But i have been watching the temperature in India on ventusky, and it has been above 40 degree C for several days. So i think it's from the last weeks.

Facebook groups are not to be trusted. Why not use a source that quotes the actual temperatures such as Ogimet ?

A check on the India maxes today gives many stations close to 40 C with Bhira leading the pack at 42 C.

The video posted refers to temperatures of 120 F (almost 49 C). That is why I think the video is not from this year at all.

It's possible that it's not from this year . At first i did not realise that 120F is 49 C. But i checked the max average temperature for a few cities. And they were all 3 to 7 degree C above that average. That's why i did not questioned that 120 F. And for next week they forcast again some high temperatures.

The temperature went above 30 degree C half way February, in almost the entire country. With peaks above 40 degree C. And it's still going on.

I have the link from a facebook group. But i have been watching the temperature in India on ventusky, and it has been above 40 degree C for several days. So i think it's from the last weeks.

The 3th Nor'Easter is forcasted closer and closer to the coast. And it looks like it's going to be Boston again. Hurricane speed winds and plenty of snow.

Science / Re: Global Forest Watch
« on: March 10, 2018, 11:55:32 PM »
In some way it even holds some kind of danger. Besides the fact that this vegetation growth tells us something about climate change. We add more co2, what is good for photosynthesis. And that is good for foodproduction. So the population keeps growing. The same time we exhaust our land, more and more places need fertiliser. Or they can not use the land every year, or at a much lower yield. The moment we start to add less co2, and we see the opposite happening, less vegetation growth. Our population will be bigger than ever, all land will depend on some kind of fertiliser. That will probably trigger more deforestation. Lost week i made a small seedbank for myself. Some corn , onion, carrots.... They stay good for 5 years on average, some a little less. In that case , small scale production could be part of a solution.

Science / Re: Global Forest Watch
« on: March 10, 2018, 11:31:41 PM »
Maybe the vegetation is growing faster because of the extra co2. But probably there is less vegetation. It's hard to imagine there would be more. Over here they turn 12 footballfields of nature into concrete every day. And on the map it shows as green as a rainforest. So in general it tells very little about the condition we are in.

Science / Re: Global Forest Watch
« on: March 10, 2018, 09:53:35 PM »

I don't know where this comes from, but over here they are building everywhere. And still it looks a lot greener now than in 1997 on the map. So i think it's a joke.

Consequences / Re: Ice-free Arctic
« on: March 10, 2018, 09:44:51 PM »
Oh I am now worrying about low solar impacts esp. the high pressure over the basin/Greenland that we saw last time!

The 2012 HP over Greenland led to that melt at summit if was so well positioned and brought us our record smashing  year in the basin.

I know we would need sympathetic naturals as well but I am sure that Low solar is the key to the trick working?

Over the period from half way down the cycle, to half way back up the cycle, saw the naturals have a few bites at the cherry that have not been repeated since half way up the cycle , peak solar to half way back down.

Now we are in that 'danger zone' again so how many seasons before the naturals assist enough to let the 'magic key' work again?

Have we now altered that naturals so much that it would have to be an even rarer conflagration of of them for the solar 'magic key' to work or are we to expect one of the next 5 years or so to throw us another record smashing Arctic/Greenland year?.... and a step closer to ice free or even a Blue Ocean event......

That danger zone, low solar. How do you explain that ? If i understand it correct, it's a little warmer at the solar high. And a little colder at the solar low. So is it that little extra heat during the solar high that steps in , in some way. Does it build up a couple years maybe, before it cools down a little on his way to the solar high.

Consequences / Re: Ice-free Arctic
« on: March 08, 2018, 08:53:48 PM »
This " if we stop warming the planet" thing? As I understand it NASA is telling us that up to 50% of the warming is being masked by the flip side of our polluting ( global dimming) so if we suddenly stopped polluting we would have both the CO2 'lag' plus a near doubling it the warming we've seen once the particulates/sulphates drop out....
I think the forcing this would impart to the Arctic would wrought changes is was very hard to reverse ( methane/CO2 from natural sources?)?

That may be true, if we stop polluting.  But what if we stop polluting and emitting carbon dioxide?  If pollution is cooling the globe by half what CO2 is warming (according to NASA), then temperatures should drop, if both are ceased simultaneously.

Where would we be without the industrial revolution and mass population growth ? Probably in the next ice age. So the people in Canada are lucky we have some climate change.  But that makes no diffrence at the moment, because we are going to add more greenhouse gases for a long time. Because they still keep this planet running. And i think you can not put a number on how much warmer it will get with an arctic ice free for a month, like 0,15 degree C. Because it will continue to go up gradualy. Why would it stop at 0,15 degree C. That's not how are oceans function. There are no sources on this planet that can cool it down more than today. It will just add more heat.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2017/2018 freezing season
« on: March 06, 2018, 06:47:09 PM »
All together it's not looking that good, first it gets broken. And than blowen into the warmer water.

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 06, 2018, 03:16:25 PM »

Really.  Posting a video clip from RT?  Why not just post a press release from the Kremlin....or a clip from Sean Hannity?

For those that still don't know....RT is funded BY THE KREMLIN.

What's the difference, your entire economy is funded by the central bank.

The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: March 05, 2018, 07:13:32 PM »
Trump will do what he has to do. And he has 60 000 people that die from an overdose, he has millions of people in jail for almost nothing. So to hell with the mexicans and the canadians.

Maybe the housing problem in California will get better in the future, a little.

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 05, 2018, 08:36:46 AM »

I don't belief what i read. Doing something about that illegal immigration was something he promised during the election. That's how he won a democratic election. So why do you want to remove him from power. You don't like democracy ? Than move to an other country. Or do you want to bring in more Mexicans , from them you know they will vote for the democrats. That's what they call election fraude. And everybody that supported that fraude should be in jail.

Your distaste for brown immigrants has long been apparent here.  Trump said many things in the campaign that most took with a large grain of salt--like universal health coverage for low cost, raising taxes on the wealthy so the middle class could get tax relief.  It would serve the interests of Democracy to impeach him for these campaign lies, though the Constitution probably doesn't support this action.

Democracy exists in the US within a Constitutional framework.  No President is free to create policies that violate statutes forbidding discrimination on the basis of national origin, among other forms of discrimination.  This includes immigration policies.

Immigrants voting for Democrats is a myth.  A non-citizen who registers to vote and then votes commits a crime that can directly lead to deportation.  Voting by non-citizens is a vanishingly rare occurrence.

And your globalist spirit already destroyed to many countries. If you look at Venezuela, most hospitals have no employees left that know what to do. Because they all moved to the US. And how attractive is a country with no operational hospitals. Disaster after disaster, that's what your kind of people are creating on this planet. And you pay them al with your printed money, because thats what makes the diffrence. They can make more money in the US because they just have to print it. Soon you will be at war with every country on this planet.

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 05, 2018, 08:24:58 AM »
Russia is not an enemy to the US by itself, Russia is not the USSR, it has no ambitions for any other social or economic system than capitalism.

That's not the issue, Hefaistos.
The problem is that Russia is very much making itself an enemy of the west.
Just some examples of nuclear threats alone :

Here, where they threatened Denmark with nuclear war :

Or here, where they threatened to nuke Yellowstone, which would cause total destruction of the US :
and similar report from the Russian president of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems (can you believe they actually have such an Academy?) :

Or here, where Putin himself shows a video of how they can nuke Florida without being intercepted :

Or when Russia moved nuclear capable missiles to Kaliningrad, scaring Poland big-time :

It's also not correct to state that Russia "shot down a civilian airliner".
It's a pity that you spread such unwarranted and hateful lies on this forum.

Right. I'm sure the crew that came with the Russian BUK from the 53rd BUK brigade in Kursk that shot down MH17 was on "vacation"  ;)

You tried to destroy Russia with your sanctions, and now they have weapons the US can't stop.

The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: March 04, 2018, 10:10:03 PM »
There *are* enough 30%ers to make the congressional republicans worry about losing a primary.  But a gateway to concentration camps?  Not plausible. 

"We already have a concentration's called Tent City"  Sheriff Joe Arpaio

Fair point.  Undocumented immigrants are indeed suffering.  And this problem is directly from Trump and supported by his 30%.  Without that 30% of the population being behind this, it wouldn't be happening.

But to bring this point back into context, I don't see the Mueller investigation as contributing to their suffering.  I do see the investigation bringing down Trump's overall level of support, and thus  reigning in Trump's freedom to act in this realm.

As long as he's in the White House, he retains authority to issue executive orders to implement such suffering.  Impeachment after being criminally named is only prompt way to take power from him, to avoid their suffering and the suffering from war with Iran or nuclear war with N. Korea.

I don't belief what i read. Doing something about that illegal immigration was something he promised during the election. That's how he won a democratic election. So why do you want to remove him from power. You don't like democracy ? Than move to an other country. Or do you want to bring in more Mexicans , from them you know they will vote for the democrats. That's what they call election fraude. And everybody that supported that fraude should be in jail.

Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: March 04, 2018, 09:05:37 PM »
The result of cheap mass tourism. Mountains of trash, all seaweed and coral died from sewage from the hotels.

Consequences / Re: Hurricane season 2018
« on: March 04, 2018, 07:31:07 PM »
This is the nor'eastern that hit the US this weekend. What is left moves further to Europe. With hurricane-speed winds, next weekend.

Just like they are going to ruin the rest of this planet.

If you look at that Pakastani population.  It went from 40 million people in 1960 to 200 million people today. And now you want me to say that i want them to die. They killed themself old man.

What is your point anyway Martin ? That it's our fate to get ruined ? That we should just accept it that these arabs and africans walk in to Europe by the millions because they ruined their own place. Because their countries are overcrowded and striped of their water supply.

What i know about these Syrians, is that it's the same people that started that war in Syria. That are now moving into Europe. That war started in Aleppo. And Aleppo is (was ) mainly a consentration of immigrants. Immigrants that moved in from other places in the middle-east in the last dozens of years. And 7 years ago it exploded in that immigrant stronghold of Aleppo . And  now they move further, into Europe. A nice world without borders.

Arctic sea ice / Re: Overdue for a 'monster' spring volume melt?
« on: March 02, 2018, 08:36:21 PM »
I don't have much experiance to predict something at all. And definitely not in the short run, like this spring. But the first pic shows that the water near the ice edge is almost everywhere warmer than normal, from 1 to 4 degree C warmer. The 2th pic shows the temperature of the surface water, near the ice edge, that's between 1 and 5 degree C. So normaly that water is close to zero degree C, and not 1 to 5 degree C like it is today .That sounds like good melting conditions. And the 3th pic tells something about the quality of that ice edge. And that is not looking that fantastic. And maybe the 4th pic is part of the reason. And the quality of their equipment should be good enough to messure that correct. That's a big jump in a short time.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2017/2018 freezing season
« on: March 01, 2018, 10:43:26 PM »
Or it has to improve a lot in one day, or it looks like the worst ever. Even 2012 was looking much better.

Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2017/2018 freezing season
« on: March 01, 2018, 09:50:30 PM »
Do you think this is the result of the vortex collaps from a couple months ago ? The cold went deep into the eastern part of the US. And you see the Saint-Lawrence bay is frozen. And more ice in Baffin. On the other side it was very cold all the way to South-Korea, and you see some more ice in Ochotsk. And a big piece is missing north of Svalbard and in the Bering sea. But Bering and the area North of Svalbard are also effected by the Altantic and Pasific sea, and it was warmer than normal, the air.

That area north of Svalbard , was that always frozen in the years before 2017 ? Because that's a big area pretty close to the Arctic.

And now again we are in a  collaps of the Vortex, pumping arctic cold out of the arctic , into Europe. Cold that shoud thickning the arctic ice. So maybe we could be in for a nasty surprise, for a low minimum in September.

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