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Messages - Aluminium

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 16
1
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: January 23, 2021, 05:23:44 AM »
January 11-21.

2020.

2
Consequences / Re: Heatwaves
« on: January 14, 2021, 04:20:58 AM »
Your body can adjust to a degree based on the climate you live in.
Proper dress and acclimatization do miraculous things, at least for cold climate. People on Vostok Station are living in winter with up to -90°C. It's much worse for other species who cannot change dress.

3
Consequences / Re: Heatwaves
« on: January 14, 2021, 01:48:11 AM »



4
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: January 13, 2021, 08:56:49 AM »
January 2-12.

2020.

5
Consequences / Re: Origins of COVID-19
« on: January 06, 2021, 02:50:38 AM »
Sure, it is unlikely that an asteroid landed on the house and burnt it down, sure it is more likely to be matches, but you cant 100% rule the asteroid theory out.
Yes, extremely unlikely. Actually meteorites are cold when land. A big one can burn it down but consequences are really different from match.

Asteroid hazard is known risk. It's not a big task to calculate probability for certain building or check if impact event happened. But how to estimate plausibility of lab-origin scenario? Should we also consider alien's experiment as possible scenario?

6
Lake Baikal, 05.01.2021.


7
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: January 05, 2021, 08:18:59 AM »
December 25 - January 4.

2019/2020

8
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: December 28, 2020, 06:25:57 AM »
December 17-27.

2019.

9
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: December 20, 2020, 10:49:29 AM »
December 10-19.

2019.

10
The rest / Re: Astronomical news
« on: December 19, 2020, 11:49:22 AM »
2 days left! The Great Conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn will happen at the day of the winter solstice (21.12.2020).

11
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: December 17, 2020, 01:54:16 PM »

12
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: December 13, 2020, 08:07:28 AM »
November 22 - December 12.

2019.

13
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: November 25, 2020, 05:46:04 AM »
November 18-24.

2019.

14
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: November 22, 2020, 09:58:51 AM »
Cyclone Gati in the Arabian Sea.

15
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: November 21, 2020, 07:58:17 AM »
November 15-20.

2019.

16
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: November 18, 2020, 08:32:11 AM »
November 12-17.

2019.

17
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: November 16, 2020, 04:10:36 PM »
Iota is officially cat 5. November 16. First cat 5 of the season. This year is strange.

18
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: November 16, 2020, 08:13:22 AM »
Iota is already a category 4 hurricane. Fourth major hurricane this year named with Greek letter.

19
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: November 15, 2020, 07:42:39 AM »
November 9-14.

2019.

20
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: November 12, 2020, 06:57:36 AM »
November 2-11.

2019.

21
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: November 05, 2020, 09:09:29 AM »
October 31 - November 4.

2019.

22
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: November 03, 2020, 07:23:40 AM »
October 27 - November 2.

2019.

23
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: October 31, 2020, 09:50:47 PM »
884 mb / 170 kt (18:00 UTC). Typhoon Goni is something.

24
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 30, 2020, 06:26:19 AM »
October 25-29.

2019.

25
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: October 28, 2020, 07:59:01 PM »
Who really know what to expect? Tropical cyclones will have more energy in warmer world. But how will they spend this energy?

26
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: October 28, 2020, 10:10:39 AM »
Hurricane Zeta.

27
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 28, 2020, 07:33:20 AM »
October 23-27.

2019.

28
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 26, 2020, 02:00:19 PM »
This winter I would not be surprised to see heat advection from the Arctic.

29
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 26, 2020, 07:41:31 AM »
October 21-25.

2019.

30
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 25, 2020, 11:48:12 AM »
Temperature on Kotelny Island finally falls below -10°C. Winter is coming.

31
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: October 25, 2020, 10:01:47 AM »
Another tropical storm is aimed at Louisiana.

32
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 24, 2020, 05:38:58 AM »
October 19-23.

2019.

33
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 22, 2020, 11:34:18 AM »
October 17-21.

2019.

34
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 20, 2020, 08:37:15 AM »
October 15-19.

2019.

35
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 18, 2020, 08:52:35 AM »
October 13-17.

2019.

36
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 16, 2020, 07:40:14 AM »
October 11-15.

2019.

37
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 15, 2020, 08:31:42 AM »
A large red field of wind is forecasted in the Arctic.

38
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 14, 2020, 06:10:39 AM »
October 9-13.

2019.

39
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 12, 2020, 07:37:41 AM »
October 7-11.

2019.

40
The politics / Re: The Alt Right
« on: October 10, 2020, 08:02:21 AM »
I doubt anybody on this forum does not have an idea of what the alt-right is and what alt-right means.
Everyone should learn even obvious somewhere. I did not know, for example.

41
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 10, 2020, 07:38:25 AM »
October 5-9.

2019.

42
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 10, 2020, 07:33:35 AM »
LWR is main negative feedback which stabilizes temperature on the Earth and prevents violation of the second law of thermodynamics. Warmer -> more LWR -> cooling. Cooler -> less LWR -> warming. Increased LWR can be a result of positive feedback but it provides negative feedback itself.

43
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: October 08, 2020, 05:58:00 PM »
Forecasts show barely cat 3 before landfall but it can become worse.

44
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 08, 2020, 07:27:19 AM »
October 3-7.

2019.

45
Arctic sea ice / Re: September predictions challenge 2020
« on: October 07, 2020, 06:24:58 AM »
My score is 42 in this case. Monthly average is 4.333. All daily values are below monthly average for some reason.

46
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: October 06, 2020, 10:28:10 PM »
Something above 170 doesn't appear very often on this chart.

47
Consequences / Re: Hurricane Season 2020
« on: October 06, 2020, 05:30:05 PM »
Delta is a major hurricane already.

Quote
000
WTNT61 KNHC 061520
TCUAT1

Hurricane Delta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL262020
1120 AM EDT Tue Oct 06 2020

...RECENTLY RECEIVED DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT DELTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE...

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Delta is
continuing to rapidly strengthen. The maximum winds have
increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts.  This makes
Delta a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale.


SUMMARY OF 1120 AM EDT...1520 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 82.7W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown
Source.

48
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 06, 2020, 10:20:41 AM »
October 1-5.

2019.

49
Arctic sea ice / Re: September predictions challenge 2020
« on: October 06, 2020, 10:14:57 AM »
JAXA: 3.25-3.75 high.
NSIDC: 3.75-4.25 high.
PIOMAS: 4.25-4.75 high.

JAXA: 3.25-3.75 high.
NSIDC: 3.75-4.25 high.
PIOMAS: 4.0-4.5 high.

JAXA: 3.25-3.75 high.
NSIDC: 3.75-4.25 very high.
PIOMAS: 3.75-4.25 very high. :)

JuneJulyAugust
JAXA666
NSIDC6610
PIOMAS2610

Sum = 58.

50
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2020/2021 freezing season
« on: October 04, 2020, 07:38:03 AM »
September 29 - October 3.

2019.

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