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Yes, I have. You've just ignored the links I presented and trotted out the same, tired talking points that don't hold relevance anymore
thanks for this, keep us updated! your country i now a giant laboratoryNow we will have to turn our attention toward Israel. ...A (third) general lockdown begun a few weeks ago was extended until the end of January....
..... So in February we *should* see a much improved situation on both infections and hospitalizations.
Anyone saying that countries and politicians don't care and will continue with business as usual until 2050 doesn't know what they're talking about.
Because businesses are exiting coal at a rapid rate, sparked in part by Blackrock: https://mobile.twitter.com/TimBuckleyIEEFA/status/1351390735627554819
Also, the Dems can use reconciliation in the Senate to achieve most of Biden's goals: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/budget-reconciliation-offers-democrats-pathway-to-act-on-climate-change-62118325
Manchin will go along with a great deal of it as long as he gets some "pork" for West Virginia.
Interstitial should have mentioned these things instead of his or her innate pessimistic view
..... and when the next El Nino comes along, there will be another leap upward.
the Us and Europe still talk like they should be aplauded for getting to net zerro by 2050. we need a ban on new ff infrastructure ice vehicles today. net zero by 2030 or 2035 should be our goal.It should, but it isn't. If net zero goal is placed within a decade, people currently in power would have to make the tough decisions. They don't want to do that.
As net zero goal is placed further into the future, it's all business as usual until the powers-that-be conveniently retire. Technology may reduce some emissions so everybody can pretend things are being done, when in fact nothing isn't.
This is a rather simplistic and untrue explanation
Pfizer is not the only ones that should be ashamed, but also the people who organize vaccination without extended testing. If I'm right, Vaccines had only been tested on healthy people under 55,
If reinfection is milder than first infection then it does not matter. Someone quoted excellent research about this upthread. Then, even if covid becomes endemic it won't be more dangerous
But what if there is accumulative damage with each reinfection?
What about the age bias? Covid hits harder the older you are. Reinfections happen on more vulnerable subjects every year.
... Somehow I've always thought that ever since grain-based agriculture became dominant, there wasn't much else, but this makes much more sense....
El Cid that image is totally Yin & Yang. heh
Our mid range weather forecasts in Chicago keep predicting a huge breakout of severe cold weather. It keeps getting pushed out further in the future. The severe cold weather is now forecast to bring highs in the high 20F and lows in the high teens, hardly severe cold.
Excellent research, though disturbing results. 1/6 the chance of infection is way too high. Hopefully the larger dataset will be more optimistic, and/or the vaccine turn out to have higher efficacy than previous infection.
From the virus' perspective, a higher R value could mean that a given village all comes down with the flu, everyone goes to bed and recovers, and the virus never gets to spread to the next village. It wants to circulate in a community for a longer time, for more opportunities to spread to the next community.
Covid is contagious for longer for an individual, so a higher R does not have this disadvantage. As long as people can be contagious for more than a week, then the higher the better. All the better if some people are asymptomatic. Those people will travel rather than take to their beds. This virus functions extremely well for producing the problems it has. A tough nut to crack.
Historical snowfall in the center of Spain. Madrid paralyzed, airport closed.
As one who lives in a place that gets winter weather, I find it hilarious that this is considered some kind of historic storm. You can still see the tires of those cars in the photos.
Here's a photo from our historic 1978 storm:
The virus is under selective pressure to become more contagious
I've been thinking about this for a while. How come the R of the flu has not changed in hundreds of years (= did not become more contagious) despite being more prone to mutations???
I strongly doubt that influenza has a constant R value. .....
Central Spain Records Temperatures of -25C After Snowstorm
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-55632791
The virus is under selective pressure to become more contagious
What's going on in the upper atmosphere? The polar vortex is getting pushed aside...
I have always been curious about this chart, specifically the spike that occurred in the 1940's and the drop following it.
Industrial production spiked during WWII and a decade long worldwide recession followed it. Wouldn't CO2 emissions track with this? The steep climb in temperatures beginning around 1970 coincides with the rapid industrialization of much of the third world. Does this trend suggest that temperatures are much more sensitive to current CO2 emissions?
. However, I drew attention to the Russian nuclear submariners and navy GCMs which I cited last summer who expect major mid-winter recirculation this year from around December 2021 that moves the typical storm tracks north of the British Isles to the latitude of Gibraltar with Pleistocene rains pouring in Sahara.
There is a new post on this subject over at ATTP.
https://andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2021/01/08/warming-commitments/
Tor and El Cid:
You seem to make calculations where forcings are linearly related to emissions, or to concentrations of GHGs in the atmosphere.
However, forcings from CO2 are logarithmic.
Seasonal Coronaviruses Might Stimulate Cross-Protection Against SARS-CoV-2
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-01-seasonal-coronaviruses-cross-protection-sars-cov-.html
Greater exposure to seasonal coronaviruses, specifically those responsible for common colds, could help explain why most of sub-Saharan Africa has endured less severe SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks than many other areas of the world, according to research led by the University of Nebraska–Lincoln.
To test the hypothesis, the researchers examined whether pre-pandemic blood plasma samples—some taken from residents of the United States, others from two countries in sub-Saharan Africa—showed signs of recognizing SARS-CoV-2 antigens. They found that less than 3% of the American samples contained infection-fighting antibodies that reacted with the SARS-CoV-2 antigens. Conversely, 19% and 14% of samples from the respective sub-Saharan countries exhibited a response to SARS-CoV-2, commonly known as the novel coronavirus.
vaccinate as many as you can with one shot and worry about the second shot later.
Could the current developing SSW disturb the polar vortex in such a way that warm North Pacific storms could invade the Bering sea and the Arctic Ocean via the bering Strait? If Bering Sea Ice replicates the events of Feb March 2019 maybe Central Canada will get really really cold.
Agriculture is responsible for 11% of all Greenhouse Gas emissions globally. Together with related emissions from changing land use and cutting down forests, it accounts for around 30% of GHG emissions globally.
How do they make that part of the pie disappear.
Putin...has spent much of the past year secluded at his dacha outside Moscow, and visitors to the president must first walk through a specially constructed corridor in which they are sprayed from all sides with disinfectant.
Best bid is that a new SSW event is on it's way???
So Environment Canada's forecasts for above average temperatures are a bet against the trends?
So a cancellation due to lightning certainly would have made sense. Now, what will the weather be in 28 days?
The local Health Dept. phoned about an hour ago giving us (wife and me) appointments to receive our first Moderna vaccination shot, tomorrow mid-day.
The nurse, working at 8 pm on New Year's Day, chuckled when I answered the phone (not knowing who it was) with a cheery "Happy New Year!"
Forecast is for rain all day, maybe some lightning, so appointments could get cancelled...
A very good article on "Mr. Winter", the Russian geophysicist Dr. Zimov. The only thing lacking are pictures but The Economist alas has not yet discovered the joys of photography.
https://www.economist.com/christmas-specials/2020/12/19/one-russian-scientist-hopes-to-slow-the-thawing-of-the-arctic
