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Messages - sidd

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"it was Trump leading the racist birther movement against Obama that gave rise to his political career."

Not quite, he's been flirting with the idea since the 80s, ran in 2000 for Reform party.
I remember that 87 circus.


The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: January 17, 2018, 04:54:52 AM »
Cornel West:

"The political triumph of Donald Trump is a symbol and symptom – not cause or origin – of our imperial meltdown. Trump is neither alien nor extraneous to American culture and history. In fact, he is as American as apple pie.
His triumph flows from the implosion of a Republican party establishment beholden to big money, big military and big scapegoating of vulnerable peoples of color, LGBTQ peoples, immigrants, Muslims, and women.

It also flows from a Democratic party establishment beholden to big money, big military, and the clever deployment of peoples of color, LGBTQ peoples, immigrants, Muslims and women to hide and conceal the lies and crimes of neoliberal policies here and abroad; and from a corporate media establishment that aided and abetted Trump owing to high profits and revenues."

West goes on to make a point that will, no doubt, be loudly contested, that Obama was a necessary, but not sufficient condition for Trump:

"The painful truth is there is no Donald Trump without Barack Obama, no neofascist stirrings without neoliberal policies – all within the imperial zone. Obama was the brilliant black smiling face of the American empire. Trump is the know-nothing white cruel face of the American empire.

Obama did not produce Trump, but his Wall Street–friendly policies helped facilitate Trump’s pseudo-populist victory. Obama’s reluctance to confront race matters in a serious and substantive manner did not cause the ugly white backlash, but Obama’s hesitancy did not help the opposition to white-supremacist practices. "


The rest / Re: Empire - America and the future
« on: January 15, 2018, 06:32:01 AM »
Nibbled to death. A billion here, a billion there, soon you're talking real money.

solar panels is in there from india and S. Korea too.


Here, for future reference is a list of Democratic Congressional reps who want fewer limits on government spies:

Sewell AL
O'Halleran  AZ
Sinema  AZ
Brownley CA
Swalwell CA
Thompson CA
Aguilar  CA
Bera  CA
Costa  CA
Panetta  CA
Pelosi  CA
Peters  CA
Ruiz  CA
Schiff  CA
Torres  CA
Esty CT
Himes  CT
Castor FL
Frankel FL
Lawson FL
Murphy FL
Demings  FL
Bishop GA
Loebsack  IA
Bustos  IL
Lipinski  IL
Quigley  IL
Schneider  IL
Visclosky  IN
Brown MD
Delaney  MD
Hoyer  MD
Ruppersberger  MD
Peterson  MN
Kuster NH
Gottheimer  NJ
Norcross  NJ
Sires  NJ
Rosen  NV
Higgins NY
Rice NY
Lowey  NY
Suozzi  NY
Kaptur  OH
Cartwright  PA
Langevin  RI
Blunt Rochester
Wasserman Schultz
Maloney, Sean
Cooper  TN
Castro TX
Cuellar  TX
McEachin  VA
Heck  WA
Kilmer  WA


The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: January 11, 2018, 08:19:55 AM »
Taibbi on Wolff on Trump:

" ... mostly concerned with keeping the boss away from the real power of his office, almost like parents trying to steer a two-year-old away from the gas range."

"Just remember, Trump could be cunning, focused and bursting with willpower, in addition to being a gross, ignorant pig. We can only hope that Wolff is right that he isn't both."


The rest / Re: Empire - America and the future
« on: January 10, 2018, 08:38:07 PM »
China reconsiders buying US Treasuries:

"Senior government officials in Beijing reviewing the nation’s foreign-exchange holdings have recommended slowing or halting purchases of U.S. Treasuries ..."

"The market for U.S. government bonds is becoming less attractive relative to other assets, and trade tensions with the U.S. may provide a reason to slow or stop buying American debt ... "


The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: January 10, 2018, 09:51:14 AM »

The rest / Re: Economic Inequality
« on: January 10, 2018, 09:47:04 AM »
Worse than Piketty thought:

"“The same fact reported [by Piketty] holds true for more countries and more years, and more dramatically,” the researchers conclude."

"Overall, if the average annual return on wealth since 1870 has been 6.28 percent, average annual economic growth works out to just 2.87 percent.

“The weighted rate of return on capital was twice as high as the growth rate in the past 150 years,” the authors conclude."

Data from 1870-2015


The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: January 10, 2018, 08:23:06 AM »
Simpson transcript released by DiFi is interesting. Some points that jumped at me:

1) If Simpson's account of Steele's account of Steele's Rome interview with the FBI is close to reality, there was an FBI source within trump campaign or organization. I speculate that was Page or Sater. Both those have been flipped in previous Fed investigations.

2) Simpson throws Browder (of Magnitsky act fame) under the bus. Apparently Simpson tried to serve him with a subpoena three times, whereupon Browder scampered like a bunny. Simpson seems bitter about it, and details evidence about Browder's connection with Putin,  Russian tax evasion and the like.

3) Akhmentshin shows up in many places. That guy knows more than he's telling.

There are other interesting bits, too, not least in the questions themselves, which indicate where the Senators were going then. And the questions which Simpson and counsel refused to answer, showing what they considered sensitive then.

Warning: Long read, will suck up some time.


Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: January 10, 2018, 06:22:27 AM »
The telegraph is quite anti wind, but can anyone verify and clarify this story, which claims that wind farms make more money when turned off ? This sentence makes me suspicious:

"REF research - based on official, publicly available data - shows that wind farms are currently being paid compensation of about £70 per megawatt hour (MWh) to switch off. In comparison they are typically paid £49 per MWh in a consumer subsidy when producing electricity."

But in the second sentence they  dot no say what the wind farms are paid for electricity sales when they are turned on. The sum pf the 49+electricity sales would be the revenue per MWH when they are turned on, as compared to the 70 they are paid in constraint payments.


Kucinich running for ohio governor, dunno if he will beat Cordray


Policy and solutions / Re: Coal
« on: January 09, 2018, 06:34:41 AM »

Policy and solutions / Re: Coal
« on: January 09, 2018, 06:33:04 AM »

Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: January 09, 2018, 12:47:16 AM »
Rivers in the USA becoming more saline:

doi: 10.1073/pnas.1711234115

"The freshwater salinization syndrome can increase risks to the safety of drinking water and infrastructure. Elevated salt levels in drinking water can contribute to hypertension in people on sodium-restricted diets and is of concern to people requiring kidney dialysis (9). Salinization and alkalinization influence the corrosivity of water, and this can affect leaching of metals from pipes carrying drinking water (9, 68). Salinization increases corrosion of transportation infrastructure with United States economic costs estimated in the billions of dollars (69). Given increasing impacts on ecosystems and human welfare, increased salinization and alkalinization of fresh water is now a pervasive water quality issue, which may require aggressive management in both arid and humid climates across latitudes."

Open access. Read all about it.


The rest / Re: Empire - America and the future
« on: January 08, 2018, 07:24:23 AM »
USA cuts off bribes to Pakistan, Pakistan looks to China:

"For Pakistan, the rupee-yuan settlement of trade with China is important because “it would reduce our needs for US dollars to a significant extent as our imports from China are in excess of $10bn”, explains a central banker."


Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: January 08, 2018, 02:27:10 AM »
This is something i had never heard of before: Raptors spreading wildfires ... intentionally (!)

Bonta et al.

doi: 10.2993/0278-0771-37.4.700

"While driving past a smoky roadside fire on the Cape York Peninsula, QLD, Dick Eussen saw Black Kites swooping on prey amidst smoke and sparks, while others hopped about on the road in front of the fire as it burned itself out (Table 1:Record 14). He saw one bird swoop to grab a smoking stick in its talons, dropping it onto the road. The ember was apparently too hot for the kite to hold. Another was more successful, dropping a stick on the other side of the road in the unburnt grass, which soon flared up."

"In all, he put out seven fires, all caused by the kites."

"Fire-spreading by raptors is found across a 2400 km E-W and 1000 km N-S swath of northern Australia. The behavior is likely known to most, if not all, Aboriginal groups within this region. Most accounts and traditions unequivocally indicate intentionality on the part of three raptor species and a handful provide evidence of cooperative fire-spreading by select individuals from within larger fire-foraging raptor assemblages."


German floods, Rhine, Moselle,Neckar,Danube and others:Heavy rain and melting snow


Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: January 06, 2018, 12:22:57 AM »
America's finest news source on how to decrease bike accidents:

" ... a study published Monday by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration found that 90 percent of bike accidents could be prevented by buying a car like a normal person. “Our data confirm that the vast majority of cyclist injuries can be avoided simply by driving an automobile instead of biking around like some weirdo,” said lead researcher Dr. Laura Gafferty "


Nader interviewed by Hedges:


"The party will always be weak, flabby, indentured and dialing for the same commercial dollars as long as the four-time losers continue to run the party."

Nader said the ruling elites have “lost the fear of the people.”

Nader worries that as long as “10 to 15 percent of the American people are well-off” the elites will have enough support to continue the assault.

Resistance, Nader said, must be local.

The greed of the corporate state leaves us unprepared for the ravages of climate change, he warned.

Don’t wait for the Democratic Party. The Democratic Party is an instrument. On the first round you’ve got to use it and control it. On the third round, when you’re mobilized, you can throw it aside.


Read the whole thing:


Policy and solutions / Re: Nuclear Power
« on: January 05, 2018, 11:29:15 PM »
There are 59 nukes (60 Gwatt electric capacity in total) under construction worldwide, with China (19), Russia (7) India(6) leading the pack.

How many of the 59 under construction will actually complete is difficult to tell.  Countries beside the USA seem to have difficulties as well. I  see that Taishan in china seems to have overcome construction troubles and the first EPR there is scheduled to come on this year, (construction began 2009, originally scheduled to come online in 2013)

It would be interesting to see who are the lenders and what are the financing terms. In the USA, very few lenders want to finance a new nuke. That, more than anything else, seems to be the killing argument against nuclear power expansion in the USA. Construction screwups do not help either.


Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: January 05, 2018, 11:02:57 PM »
The latest ITC ruling seems based on one from 2012:

Listed there are the programs determined to be countervailable

A. Programs Determined To Be Countervailable

1. Golden Sun Demonstration Program
2. Preferential Policy Lending
3. Provision of Polysilicon for Less Than Adequate Remuneration (“LTAR”)
4. Provision of Land for LTAR
5. Provision of Electricity for LTAR
6. “Two Free, Three Half” Program for Foreign-Invested Enterprises (“FIEs”)
7. Preferential Tax Program for High or New Technology Enterprises (“HNTEs”)
8. Enterprise Income Tax Law, Research and Development (“R&D”) Program
9. Import Tariff and Value Added Tax (“VAT”) Exemptions for Use of Imported Equipment
10. VAT Rebates on FIE Purchases of Chinese-Made Equipment
11. Discovered Grants
12. Export Credit Subsidy Programs: Export Buyer’s Credits


and those not so determined

B. Programs Determined To Be Not Used by the Respondents During the POI or To Not Provide
Benefits During the POI
1. Export Product Research and Development Fund
2. Subsidies for Development of “Famous Brands” and “China World Top Brands”
3. Sub-Central Government Subsidies for Development of “Famous Brands” and “China World
Top Brands”
4. Special Energy Fund (Established by Shandong Province)
5. Funds for Outward Expansion of Industries in Guangdong Province
6. Government Provision of Aluminum for LTAR
7. Income Tax Reductions for Export-Oriented FIEs
8. Income Tax Benefits for FIEs Based on Geographic Location
9. Local Income Tax Exemption and Reduction Programs for “Productive” FIEs
10. Tax Refunds for Reinvestment of FIE Profits in Export-Oriented Enterprises
11. Tax Reductions for High and New-Technology Enterprises Involved in Designated Projects
12. Preferential Income Tax Policy for Enterprises in the Northeast Region
13. Guangdong Province Tax Programs
14. VAT and Tariff Exemptions for Purchases of Fixed Assets Under the Foreign
Trade and Development Fund Program
15. Tax Reductions for FIEs Purchasing Chinese-Made Equipment
16. Export Guarantees and Insurance for Green Technology
17. Export Credit Subsidy Program: Export Seller’s Credits
18. Discovered Grants
19. Provision of Float Glass for LTAR
20. The Over-Rebate of VAT Program


This should probably be on a thread on "What's New in Climate Change Denial" but I am not going to be the one to create that thread ...

" ... the Interior Department quietly rescinded an array of policies designed to elevate climate change and conservation in decisions on managing public lands, waters and wildlife. "

The recission statement is at


Consequences / Re: Climate change, the ocean, agriculture, and FOOD
« on: January 05, 2018, 09:38:22 PM »
Ninth Circuit federal appeals court overturns most of Idaho's ag-gag law "which permits state authorities to jail anyone who conducts undercover investigations and secretly records animal abuse"


Policy and solutions / Re: Nuclear Power
« on: January 05, 2018, 09:28:25 PM »
" ... pushing back hard against them ..."

Push back as hard as you please against their arguments. Attacking their integrity or other personal denigration is not constructive.

Mr. Bond, thanks for the link to French power generation on


Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: January 05, 2018, 10:05:54 AM »
Fewer diesels(down by 17%), fewer cars(5.6%) sold in UK in 2017 than in 2016


Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: January 05, 2018, 07:57:27 AM »
ITC finds that  "The government of China’s industrial policies, plans, and support programs took advantage of the existence of programs implemented by the U.S. government to encourage renewable energy consumption ..."

Trump could choose to impose tariffs.

ITC finding at:


Policy and solutions / Re: Nuclear Power
« on: January 05, 2018, 06:11:27 AM »
"You're just a nuclear pusher who puts nuclear ahead of personal integrity."

I am not a big nuke fan, but i do not think this comment does any good on this forum.


The rest / Re: How to secure internet ?
« on: January 05, 2018, 12:37:57 AM »
Schneier on CPU bugs:

The Intel problem is the more serious. The fixes can cause appreciable slowdown on databases.


The rest / Re: Empire - America and the future
« on: January 05, 2018, 12:35:20 AM »
Engelhardt on Forever Wars:

"A glance at the map tells you that the war on terror, an increasingly complex set of intertwined conflicts, is now a remarkably global phenomenon.  It stretches from the Philippines (with its own ISIS-branded group that just fought an almost five-month-long campaign that devastated Marawi, a city of 300,000) through South Asia, Central Asia, the Middle East, North Africa, and deep into West Africa ..."

" ... the Costs of War Project identifies no less than 76 countries, 39% of those on the planet, as involved in that global conflict.  That means places like Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Somalia, and Libya where U.S. drone or other air strikes are the norm and U.S. ground troops (often Special Operations forces) have been either directly or indirectly engaged in combat.  It also means countries where U.S. advisers are training local militaries or even militias in counterterror tactics and those with bases crucial to this expanding set of conflicts ... "

" ... the Costs of War Project estimated that the price tag on the war on terror (with some future expenses included) had already reached an astronomical $5.6 trillion."

" American Special Operations forces were deployed to 149 countries in 2017 alone and the U.S. has so many troops on so many bases in so many places on Earth that the Pentagon can’t even account for the whereabouts of 44,000 of them. "

Nice map. Read all about it:


Antarctica / Re: What's new in Antarctica ?
« on: January 04, 2018, 09:13:43 AM »
This post could easily belong on many threads, but i post here because it is a new and beautiful result from WAIS divide ice core. Bereiter et al. have produced a record of mean ocean temperature since the last deglaciation from isotope fractions of noble gases. The timespan is  from 24 kyr. to 7.5 kyr and from 4 Kyr to present. The unfortunate data gap is due to sample rejection. Over most of the data the time resolution is 250 yr.

In the quotes below MOT is mean ocean temperature, LGM is last glacial maximum

"It is interesting to note that since the LGM about the same amount of energy has gone into MOT as into melting grounded ice (Fig. 3b). This is not contradicting the understanding that most of the current anthropogenic warming has been taken up by the ocean ..."

"The warming from 12,750 yr bp to 12,050 yr bp (referred to as YD1) within the Younger Dryas represents the strongest global ocean warming phase within our record. The MOT change rate is 2.5 ± 0.53 mK yr −1 and the corresponding energy uptake (13.8 ± 2.9) × 1e21  J/yr. This unprecedented natural MOT warming rate is comparable to the strong warming since 1997 estimated in ref. 1, but clearly surpasses the estimate therein for the multidecadal trend from 1971 to 2005 ..."

I attach fig 2 because the data shows the pretty agreement between all the different isotope ratio estimates.  I also attach panel a) from fig 3 showing ocean heat uptake. The dashed vertical lines in Fig 3a are the same as in Fig 2 althoug the timescale is from 22 kyr to 7.5 kyr BP (before present, where "present" is taken to mean 1950)

doi: 10.1038/nature25152


The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: January 03, 2018, 07:27:46 AM »
How the sausage factory works: Grassley got Trump to lean on Pruitt to keep ethanol requirement up in the renewable fuel standards, and in return keeps beating hilary and the fbi like rented mules.


Antarctica / Re: Glaciology Basics and Risks - Uncertainties
« on: January 03, 2018, 07:06:47 AM »
Decades ? Wordie is already gone. The Mercer canary i watch now  is the midsummer 0C isotherm.

And  got a pet canary of my own. Rain. She looks unwell recently, with the rain on the Ross.


The rest / Re: Economic Inequality
« on: January 02, 2018, 10:07:44 PM »
Inequality drives murder: "Inequality predicts homicide rates “better than any other variable”, says Martin Daly, professor emeritus of psychology and neuroscience at McMaster University in Ontario ... "


The rest / Re: Economic Inequality
« on: January 02, 2018, 10:06:50 PM »
Rentier share of national income exceeds wages+benefits in the USA:


Antarctica / Re: Glaciology Basics and Risks - Uncertainties
« on: January 02, 2018, 09:57:08 PM »
The Wordie ice shelf was one of Mercer's canaries.

The rest / Re: Economic Inequality
« on: December 31, 2017, 11:47:54 PM »
This paper is discussed in another thread, but has bearing here, so i repost. It is a report on the two way connection between economic inequality and climate change.


The rest / Re: The problem of Corporate Democrats and how to kick them out
« on: December 30, 2017, 12:51:59 AM »
Justice Democrats running Alison Hartson against Feinstein:

She wants an article 5 convention to overturn Citizen's United. That's a dangerous game since republicans are only a few state legislatures away from calling one of their own.


The rest / Re: How to secure internet ?
« on: December 29, 2017, 08:54:40 PM »
Many excellent talks at the chaos conference this year:


The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: December 29, 2017, 05:46:46 AM »
"Jim Pettit has a point"

That point is that the lawsuit was dismissed for lack of standing. How does that lead to the conclusion that I am a Trump supporter ?

"Why did you leave out the reason that the lawsuit was dismissed ?"

Perhaps because i trust that the readers of my comments can read the article by themselves and do not need me to reproduce the whole thing ? And that I do not need to make arguments i don't see as germane ?  My points were that the emolument lawsuit was dismissed by a federal judge, that it might be successful in a different venue, but that if it had been upheld it would be appealed all the way, and that Mr. Dean agrees with me that emolument lawsuits are a thin hope for Trump attack.  If I am to b accused on the basis that I did not address a point that some might wish to see discussed , I suggest they raise it themselves, without inferences as to my motivations. For example, a discussion on which of the remaining emolument lawsuits might be successful in their respective venues is one in which I might even participate.

" Dean argument (unreferenced) "

That statement was in the original article from newsweek posted by AbruptSLR as I stated in my post. So apparently, I was mistaken, some here do not in fact read the articles, and my trust seems misplaced. Nevertheless, I shall continue to trust in the literacy of most of my readers.

"you are spreading misleading or at least biased information on this fine forum."

I will leave it to Neven to make that judgement. For others incensed by my failures to toe the party line, i suggest that they killfile me.


The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: December 28, 2017, 09:27:58 PM »
" ...  Trump's supporters here wouldn't mention it."

is that supposed to be an insinuation that I am a "Trump supporter ?"

In that case, i will state, for the record, that I am not now and have never been one such.


Consequences / Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« on: December 28, 2017, 06:43:07 AM »
I have a friend in erie right now with wife (erie native), child and st. bernard. The last one is having a blast. They tell me that the lake don't freeze much anymore, so more snow.


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