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Messages - Freegrass

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1
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: Today at 01:56:13 PM »
Last 24h + Five day Forecast

Wind @ Surface
September 15 - 21


2
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 15, 2019, 04:30:24 PM »
Latest 24h + Five day Forecast

Wind + Temp @ Surface
Wind @ Surface + Total Cloud Water
Combined!

14 - 20 september

YouTube really does do a lousy job converting them...


3
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 15, 2019, 03:51:01 PM »
The Freezing Season For Dummies

The 2019 melting season hasn't finished yet!
I wrote this

If this high pressure system doesn't compact the ice in the coming days, I think the melting season will be over.
I got no reaction to that...

4
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 15, 2019, 03:20:06 PM »
There are over 2000 topics on this site and anyone can create one.
OK! Thank you!

The freezing season is about to start again and we need to give space to the professionals that don't like us amateurs messing up their thread. That's why I created this "thread for dummies" (aka people without a scientific background) that are concerned about the climate and want to discuss it without being bitched by the "professionals".

The Freezing Season For Dummies
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2915.0.html


5
Arctic sea ice / The Freezing Season For Dummies
« on: September 15, 2019, 03:18:08 PM »
The freezing season is about to start again and we need to give space to the professionals that don't like us amateurs messing up their thread. That's why I created this "thread for dummies" (aka people without a scientific background) that are concerned about the climate and want to discuss it without being bitched by the "professionals".

6
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 15, 2019, 02:39:16 PM »
Last 24h + Five day Forecast

Wind + Temp @ Surface
Wind @ Surface + Total Cloud Water

14 - 20 september


7
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 15, 2019, 09:27:42 AM »
Neven, may I suggest making 2 threads about the upcoming freezing season, and the following melting season?

The freezing/melting season for dummies
and
The freezing season/melting season for scientists/by numbers

That way non scientific people that are concerned about the environment, and just want a place to chat about it, will have a home.

The scientific people can have their own place as well then, where they can complain and chase away the "dummies".

8
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 15, 2019, 09:03:55 AM »
Last 24h + Five day Forecast

Wind @ Surface
14 - 20 september 3 am UTC

9
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 14, 2019, 10:19:29 PM »
This is probably better for large file sizes. And I can tweet these...  ;D

Absolutely! See for example:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCu_W8Y3lef2EEjzU-ouiQJg

Any and all likes/subscriptions welcome!
Your only contributions to this thread have been complaints and promotions for your own website.
Please refrain from doing so! If you have some Nullschool animation to contribute or comments on the work that is posted here, feel free to do so! If you only come here to complain and tell people what to do, please go away!

10
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 14, 2019, 10:15:40 PM »
Be careful with answering Jim Hunt, you seem a candid poster and he's the worst troll if he wants to.
He sure is. He's never ever once replied to one of my messages, other than to complain. If you write over 4000 messages, and people like less than 200 of them, maybe it's a sign...

11
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 14, 2019, 09:54:32 PM »
I deliberately make them more than 700 pixcels height and / or width. That stops the autoload.
That's what people on this thread thought me, make them larger so they don't autoload. So I don't understand why people keep bitching about autoload... What more can I do to prevent autoload other than to make the files larger than 700 pixels?

12
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 14, 2019, 09:28:28 PM »
Aleph_Null, what I found out these last 3 months as a Newbie on this forum is that some people here don't like it when new members take away the spotlight from the oldtimers. Al they do is moan and bitch over file sizes, but they fail to reply to any other message I post. So what we have here my dear friend is a textbook example of bigotry. We are excluded from the group... They rather have we left, so they get all the attention again... But who cares? Leave those idiots be. Do what you know to be right, and work together for the benefit of all mankind! ;)

13
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 14, 2019, 02:11:18 AM »
This is probably better for large file sizes. And I can tweet these...  ;D

14
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 14, 2019, 01:54:55 AM »
My first attempt combining Temp + Total Cloud Water + Wind @ Surface
(I'll try to figure out how to reduce the file size next time)

15
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 13, 2019, 09:24:11 PM »
If this high pressure system doesn't compact the ice in the coming days, I think the melting season will be over.

Last 24h + Five day Forecast

Wind @ Surface
12 - 18 september 3 pm UTC

Use pause function and slider to go frame by frame.

16
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 08:20:24 PM »
Last 24h + Five day Forecast

Wind @ Surface
12 - 18 september 3 pm UTC

Use pause function and slider to go frame by frame.

17
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 01:33:58 PM »
Wind @ Surface + Total Precipitable Water
13 - 18 september 9 am UTC

18
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 01:04:14 PM »
This one is awesome Aleph_Null! I've been wanting to do this also, but I still have to figure out how.

Thank you for the feedback Blumenkraft! I was thinking that this one would be interesting. Clouds block the heat from escaping, right? And snow insulates the ice from freezing?

A combination of Nullschool graphics is also something that I've been wanting to do. I'll figure it out eventually! ;)

Keep the feedback coming!

19
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 08:01:58 AM »
Wind @ Surface + Total Cloud Water
13 - 18 september

20
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 07:22:11 AM »
Temp @ Surface
13 - 18 september

21
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 13, 2019, 07:08:27 AM »
Latest Five Day Forecast.
I also included the last 24 hours this time. Use the pause function and the slider to go frame by frame.

Wind @ Surface
12 - 18 september

22
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 12, 2019, 10:38:14 PM »
I  think it will require more import of oceanic heat - from the Atlantic side in particular - to push the system out of the state I think it may have settled into.
Where would this heat come from? As the Gulf Stream slows down, less heat will get transported into the arctic, no?

Quote
"We see a cooling southeast of Greenland, although everywhere else on the globe you see a warming," said Levke Caesar, a scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and co-author of a study that found the current to be 15% weaker. "When the circulation slows down, we have less heat transport to that region."
https://phys.org/news/2019-08-gulf-stream-seas-hotter-florida.html

23
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 12, 2019, 07:21:38 PM »
Latest update, Wind @ Surface + Total Precipitable Water
September 12 - 17

24
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 12, 2019, 01:38:47 PM »
Latest update, Wind @ Surface, September 12 - 17

Last week a depression dominated the CAB for a few days and the ice dispersed. Will this high pressure system compact the ice again and weld it together in a deep freeze?

25
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 12, 2019, 01:36:57 PM »
Latest update, Wind + Temp @ Surface, September 12 - 17

26
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 12, 2019, 12:26:23 PM »
How many people will be trying to get the screenshot of exactly 1 million reads today? I got this beautiful number already...

Topic: The 2019 melting season  (Read 996666 times)

27
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 12, 2019, 01:41:22 AM »
Latest update, Wind @ Surface, September 11 - 16

Last week a depression dominated the CAB for a few days and the ice dispersed. Will this high pressure system compact the ice again and weld it together in a deep freeze?

28
Arctic sea ice / Re: meaningless freezingseason/melting season chatter.
« on: September 12, 2019, 01:16:09 AM »
Droopy, ruler of the universe... That makes sense! Now I know why the world is going down the drain...  ;D

Did you also see the girl?

29
Arctic sea ice / Re: meaningless freezingseason/melting season chatter.
« on: September 12, 2019, 12:03:52 AM »
Brandy?
The girl, or the booze?  ::)

You really don't see the "girl" and the "dog" in the planet turned on its side? I think the girl is mother nature with her guardian of the planet... ;)

And yes, it's good weed!  8) :o ;D

30
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 11:14:56 PM »
Thanks Sailor. I'll watch it later. Probably better we move this discussion to another thread now. My bad to go OT!

31
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 10:51:36 PM »
If that's a serious assumption/conclusion it has probably taken a lot of free grass LOL

Hoping for your sense of humor?
No, I'm serious. I did watch that documentary, so I know it can be done. The question is; Has it ever been done? And there have been a few hurricanes now that completely veered off the predicted path. So I'm serious. I know it can be done. I'm just wondering if it ever was done.

32
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 10:41:23 PM »
"What, where, when, and how did the forecast miss, in this hand of the guessing game?"
I don't think the models missed. I think someone altered the weather...

15 or 20 years ago I think it was I watched a documentary - on National Geographic I think it was - about "steering" hurricanes. They did it by altering the pressure through cloud seeding of systems around it. They said then it was possible to do this. So by this time, we have all these marvelous models that can predict the weather. So I don't think it's unreasonable to think that by now they have completely figured it out how to steer hurricanes. Just ask the model...

I remember from the documentary that they said that the more time they have, the easier it is to "steer" the hurricane. So when a hurricane threatens to destroy Mar-a-Lago, and someone tells Trump that they have the technology to avoid disaster, do you really think Trump would say no? He wanted to "nuke" the hurricanes...

So I don't think the predictions were wrong. I think that someone turned this hurricane into a weapon to destroy a "shithole country"...

33
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 09:16:47 PM »
Latest Five Day Forecast
Wind @ Surface + Total Cloud Water

34
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 06:02:04 PM »
Thanks for all the help! I just found this software. Is anyone familiar with it? I'm gonna play around with it a little to see what I can do with this. I've never done video editing though. This is all new for me, but it's always good to learn new things!

OpenShot is an award-winning free and open-source video editor for Linux, Mac, and Windows.
https://www.openshot.org/

35
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 11, 2019, 02:20:31 PM »
Latest Five Day Forecast

Wind @ Surface
2019-09-11 09:00 UTC
2019-09-16 06:00 UTC

The latest temperature animation and more can be found here.
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2905.0.html

36
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 02:09:41 PM »
Wind + Temp @ Surface

2019-09-11 09:00 UTC
2019-09-16 06:00 UTC

I'm making the GIFs now completely with GIMP, and I think they already look a little bit better, no? They are certainly smaller in size. I just need to figure out now how to make the transitions smoother between the frames. I still use EZGif to convert the GIF to an MP4.

37
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 10:42:57 AM »
Thanks for the support guys! Like I said before, I think this is an elegant solution. Maybe a smaller crowd indeed, but that can always change. I love doing this. I learn a lot from it. And it's one of my little contributions to the climate change fight.

I'll do my best to make the graphics better! Feel free to add your own, and I'm always open to suggestions.

38
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 01:54:38 AM »
Wind + Temp @ 1000hPa

2019-09-10 21:00 UTC
2019-09-15 18:00 UTC

39
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 11, 2019, 01:26:21 AM »
Wind @ Surface + Total Precipitable Water

2019-09-10 21:00 UTC
2019-09-15 18:00 UTC

40
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 03:44:42 PM »
I really need to learn more about GIMP, and how to create great animations with it.

You may wish to peruse the "Creating Animated GIFs" thread?
Thanks Jim! That's a lot of information. The A-team really went for it...

41
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 10, 2019, 01:42:58 PM »
Wind @ Surface Forecast

2019-09-10 09:00 UTC
2019-09-15 06:00 UTC

I'll be posting a maximum of one animation a day on this thread. I hope that's not too much for some? If it is, let me know! More Nullschool animations can be found here.
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2905.0.html

42
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 01:40:21 PM »
Wind @ Surface Forecast

2019-09-10 09:00 UTC
2019-09-15 06:00 UTC

43
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 12:49:57 PM »
The daily pulse of smoke and flame in both of those time-lapse offerings is something I haven't seen before. It looks like respiration. I never imagined massive wildfires could seem so organic, like something happening in a petri dish. Deeply shocking.
That's actually day and night that you are seeing. The trees must be the ones doing the breathing.

Quote
Now I'm wondering what Nullschool thinks of those fires.
That animation was posted by Cameron Beccario on his twitter feed, the man who created Nullschool. https://twitter.com/cambecc

I have to figure out now how to make such smooth animations. They're so well made.
I'm combining GIMP with EZgif now. I really need to learn more about GIMP, and how to create great animations with it.

44
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 11:41:20 AM »
Time-lapse animation of 2019 Amazon rainforest fires visualized with carbon monoxide.

This animation is a one month time-lapse of carbon monoxide surface concentration, as modeled by GEOS-5. Fires begin to intensify on Aug 5th, 2019.


45
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 11:37:19 AM »
Animation of intense 2019 Siberian wildfires, visualized as carbon monoxide concentrations.

This two month time-lapse animation shows carbon monoxide surface concentration over Siberia, as modeled by GEOS-5, between June 1st and Aug 23rd, 2019.


46
Arctic sea ice / Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 10:48:34 AM »
I must say I am continually blown away that technology at the level of Nullschool is freely available. The more I learn about atmospheric science, the more amazed I am.
Thanks for the kind words and your contributions Aleph_Null! Keep them coming! I've been using Nullschool for many years now, and I love it. I prefer these visuals over raw data any day. That's probably because I'm not a real scientist, and I'm pretty sure there are many more people like me on this forum; People without a masters degree that just want to know more about the climate.

Did you know Nullschool is an open source Github project?
https://github.com/cambecc/earth

I just changed the topic title to "Nullschool Animations", that way it includes forecasts, hindcasts, and specials. Or do you have another suggestion?

Again, thank you for adding to this thread! There are so many possibilities with Nullschool that I'm sure we can turn this into a valuable place.

47
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 08:58:21 AM »
Wind + Temp @ Surface

2019-09-10 03:00 UTC
2019-09-15 00:00 UTC

48
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 10, 2019, 08:10:15 AM »
Wind @ Surface Forecast

2019-09-10 03:00 UTC
2019-09-15 00:00 UTC

49
Arctic sea ice / Re: Nullschool Animations
« on: September 09, 2019, 09:48:33 PM »
Wind @ 250hPa Forecast

50
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« on: September 09, 2019, 08:03:44 PM »
That's a lot of ice that moved towards the exit...
https://go.nasa.gov/2LDc9ZD

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