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Messages - Florifulgurator

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1
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: September 23, 2020, 11:48:43 PM »
Welcome back blu_ice :).

In my view it is possible to leave without deleting ones account: Just stop posting.
Perhaps deleting is a form of self-help in ones discipline; to not be able to post anymore.

I'm one of those returners. None of my old posts are deleted. The old account just is labelled "guest".

If you want to take rebirth here: It would be nice to give a hint of your previous existence.


--------------
Dunno if I said why I left explicitly. Here goes:

Indeed much of my motivation was self-discipline.

Also it was protest against the polit threads mutiplying Russian propaganda. That is, given the special crowd here, the whole forum being weaponized for today's information war, intentionally or not. I can not support this with serious presence. (But well, that was yesteryear meanwhile, and those threads are quite some documentation treasure trove now...)

Florifulgurator (born Florifundator) was an internets neurosurgeon in the early days, when it was easy to tease ECHELON neurons or enter art history as a footnote. John Baez (of "crackpot index" fame and grandmaster of internets decorum) convinced me to use my real name in his azimuthproject.org, the first "Internet academy" (which materializes a dream I had last century). The ASIF is also a bit of an Internet academy, but I have no trouble being anonymous hoi polloi Flori here.

Flori and Martin can appear as different personalities depending on context (text or flesh, academic or ranting, sober normalo or excited artist, ...).

2
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 21, 2020, 12:51:04 AM »
[...]

A more relevant statistic is that deaths in the first half of this year were 10 % over the average of the five previous years.

Is there a zero missing? And likely the "1" is also wrong.

(Yes I'm very bad in simple math, but I can abstractly diagonalize unbounded operators on infinite dimensional Hilbert space :) )
I'm currently on slow connection, so I won't check euromomo.eu for excess mortality...
Here is a paradigmatic screen shot of all European countries in the euromomo.eu system, week 25 (incl. those without significant excess mortality) which includes the super flu mortality year 2018.


Quote
Note that any files attached will not be displayed until approved by a moderator.

3
The rest / Re: Unsorted
« on: August 20, 2020, 11:11:33 PM »
I know the power of meditation. It's insanely powerful. Just ask Luong Pordaeng... The mummified monk...
Beware, Florifulgurator is getting loose and googling Buddhist mummies. Once he had a huge virtual collection... There is e.g. the Japanese art of self-mummification (Sokushinbutsu), there is a Russo-Mongolian master in a salt box, or there is my favorite, Sangha Tenzin from the Indian-Tibetan border, sitting since 500 years, whom I sometimes like to visualize at the beginning of rare sittings.

The article https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sokushinbutsu stupidly has a photo of Luang Pho Daeng, but no Japanese mummies. They don't look that fresh and cool, but often have gold foil on them. Sokushinbutsu is a prolonged elaborate technique which Luang Pho Daeng likely hasn't practised. But he has prepared himself:

Quote
His skill at meditation was such that he could reportedly meditate for upwards of 15 days at a time, during which period he’d neither move nor consume food or drink. Although the man himself claimed that he needed no nourishment during his marathon meditation sessions, he was frequently warned by physicians that he was causing severe harm to his body through his regular extended bouts of no fluid or food intake.

As you might imagine, during these sessions, he lost a great deal of weight through muscle, fat, and fluid loss and was often so weakened by his meditation that he needed to nursed back to health via fluid resuscitation and the like, before ultimately he would once again resume meditating.
http://www.todayifoundout.com/index.php/2019/12/the-curious-case-of-the-ray-ban-wearing-monk-of-koh-samui/

-------------------


4
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: August 20, 2020, 09:40:08 PM »
Here is a magnificent German/French docu on the science of wildfire. Made before the Australian Black Summer. Also no mention of the Greenland peat fires ( https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-40877099 ).
Still magnificent. Should be produced also in english.

[...]

Video gone. But today YouTube got me this 2-part english version from Deutsche Welle.






5
The politics / Re: Russia, Russia, Russia
« on: August 19, 2020, 07:24:28 PM »
The 5th and final tome of the bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee investigation is out.
https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/files/documents/report_volume5.pdf
and of course a lot is redacted. 966 pages :)

Nothing seriously new for those who paid attention and didn't fall for Bill Barr's spin of the Mueller Report.

Yes, Russia and Assange did meddle in the election. Yes, there was collusion (blatantly, Manafort & Kilimnik). But the Trumpists couldn't amp it up to explicit criminal conspiracy - they were too stupid for that, and the Russians fear stupidity.

And, lordy there possibly are Russian tapes.


Choice quote after short sampling looking for "Assange":
Quote
WikiLeaks and Russian government talking points have closely mirrored each other.
in April 2016, Assange and WikiLeaks criticized the release of information in the
Panama Papers as a "Putin attack [that] was produced by OCCRP which targets Russia &
former USSR and was funded by USAID & Soros," 1313 a frequent refrain in Russian
state-sponsored influence operations. 1314 Putin echoed this two days later, stating:
"WikiLeaks has showed us that official people and official organs of the US are behind
this."1315
[...]
[...] consistent with indications that WikiLeaks knowingly aided the
Russian 2016 election influence campaign.
(Methinks Russian propaganda stuff has crept deeper into daily discourse and discontent than many can imagine.)

Lots of commentary on MSM.

Sally Yates:


"Collusion" semantics:


------------------------
P.S.: I have yet to find the thing about them Trumpists being too stupid for serious criminal conspiracy with Putin. But I've meanwhile revisited my very first post on this thread - and I'm impressed...

[...]
Remember Trump presenting Russian bullshit at a rally, before Sputnik news deleted it? That is either clinical stupidity or collusion if not treason. But who cared? This is not a story manufactured by the evil "deep state". Nope, it happened in full public view, like other highly suspicious things. No one can say "the Russians did it". Nope, it was the stupidified U.S. voter and media, after decades of Republican mental inbreeding. I thought GWB was the epitome of Reaganist stupidification. I was wrong...
[...]

6
The forum / Re: Forum Decorum
« on: August 19, 2020, 03:50:49 PM »
These days when I have made a post, I am experiencing anxiety because kassy might cut (parts of) my post without consultation or explanation (or apology). To ameliorate that, I am now saving the texts in a separate file just in case.
I have seen Flori's post this morning which has been partially cut and I am curious about what he wrote since he often writes interesting stuff imo.
[...]
The carbon cycle thread?

I forgot what I wrote :) Likely it was about the carbon cycle being relevant even to folk beyond 50. And that's a tad depressing. Maybe kassy was right deleting it.
(I don't have the words right now, so I tell about my grandpa who died shortly after 9/11 2001: It was the last kick for him.) 


--------------------
Now I'm seriously curious what happened with Blumi. A German radical :) like me, but different...


7
Science / Re: Carbon Cycle
« on: August 17, 2020, 03:15:29 PM »
<Took out the part not about the carbon cycle. kassy>

What do you mean by “soon”, NotaDenier? In climatology soon could be in a couple centuries.
Current climatology is about decades meanwhile.

8
The politics / Re: Joe Biden
« on: August 15, 2020, 05:38:48 PM »
from her wiki page: "Harris oversaw more than 1900 convictions for marijuana possession, a higher rate than under her predecessor"
"Oversaw". I heard that before and it smelled fishy. Needs closer scrutiny.

Looks indeed like a nothingburger. More a case for Harris.

Quote
San Francisco Deputy Public Defender Niki Solis says Harris was the state’s most progressive DA and advocated for “so many policies and so many alternatives to incarceration.”
Debated by Law professor Lara Bazelon, who nevertheless admits Kamala Harris has had a "good hard shove to the left" since. Both talk it out with Amy Goodman:


9
The forum / Re: Arctic Sea Ice Forum Humor
« on: August 13, 2020, 05:02:22 AM »
Whatever happened to Covid jokes?
...
Here is a Japanese mask joke from 2010:


10
The politics / Re: Joe Biden
« on: August 13, 2020, 04:02:35 AM »
Joe Biden consciously pronounces the plural of κρίση. What f#ing mental decline?

Hoax? W#nkerz. (Florifugurator)

Silence is complicity (Biden et al)

Don't f# up the possiblities (1st principle of biogeophysical permaculture)

...


11
The politics / Re: Joe Biden
« on: August 12, 2020, 04:10:05 AM »
from her wiki page: "Harris oversaw more than 1900 convictions for marijuana possession, a higher rate than under her predecessor"
"Oversaw". I heard that before and it smelled fishy. Needs closer scrutiny.

12
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: August 11, 2020, 05:52:11 PM »
Do you really think the planet will be saved with a Biden presidency?
Not necessarily. But a Trump presidency will certainly accelerate destruction and very likely push the planet (and human society) into the abyss. No climbing out of it later, against the avalanche of falling rubble of a crumbling civilization.


Quote
Four more years of Trump is the only way to destroy the American system of greedy capitalism. We have to go through the valley first before we can get out of the hole.
It is a maso-populist death wish. The time for that has run out. Ask Greta...

A pseudointellectual named Jimmy Dore had the same stupid theory. He conveniently forgot about the Supreme Court (which has decades of repercussions). Trump will not destroy the "system". He will make it worse and harden it against any democratic checks and balances (however imperfect they are in practise). Swamp the drain... Trumputin is the f#ing fossil system.

If e.g. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is your polit hero: She would have zero chance of becoming (vice) president after a 2nd Trump term. If you like her, first vote Biden, then make it impossible for Biden to ignore her. That of course needs getting engaged, and not just complain and parrot (geno)suicidal armchair politologist theories.




13
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 11, 2020, 05:16:23 PM »
...In 100 days, SARS-CoV-2 has received more attention than AGW in 20 years. That's not normal or rational. That's mass psychosis, and it's dangerous.
I agree with your sentiment entirely.
Dito. Except for the "mass psychosis" - which reeks of denialist projection. Remember the "alarmist" accusation from AGW debate? Climate alarmist! Covid alarmist! ...

One thing I welcome the Corona "mass psychosis" for: It unmasks the stupid, literally.

-----------------------
As the Covid "debate" is gaining some steam here in Germany, after a demonstration of the stupid in Berlin, I did some numbers.
August 7 2020:
Germany has 9195 Covid deaths. Compared to UK deaths/population it could be 48637 more. Compared to Sweden, 37766 more.

<Snide remark deleted by Martin. ht kassy.>

--------------------------
P.S.:
Michael Mann:
"If there is a silver lining, it is that the failure of the current administration to respond meaningfully to the pandemic lays bare the deadliness of ideologically motivated science denial. This applies to the even greater crisis of human-caused climate change and the need to treat it as the emergency it is."
https://www.newsweek.com/climate-scientists-feel-your-pain-dr-fauci-opinion-1524293

14
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 11, 2020, 04:10:50 PM »
Some months ago I had this debate here in Germany. Numbers rounded.

Covid lukewarmer: But the average Covid death age is 80, which coincides with life expectancy. So, no big deal!
Answer: If you make it to 80, according to statistics you have 10 more years to live on average.

--------------
Old German science TV personality Jean Pütz recently summed it up in one dreaded German wörd: Euthanasie.
(Of course he's wrong: εὖ θάνατος  means "good death". Dying of Covid is no good fun way to die.)
https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=939963043152611

15
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: August 10, 2020, 11:05:01 PM »
The Biden campaign has a solid climate plan (yes, i know not enough blah).

Trump promises to cut down on environmental regulations and prop up coal and FF.

And those are just the facts at hand.

No difference at all for some though.
Exactly. No need to find hidden meanings there.

Exactly. Plain empiricism. Who equates Biden and Trump hasn't yet got the message from the carbon cycle. (Or is a Trumputin asset.)

16
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 10, 2020, 01:34:13 PM »
The secret to Sweden's "sucess" was compliance. Distancing, hand hygiene, very nice outdoor temperature for the last few months allowing people to comply. Unity of purpose. They have mature, informed population who kept their distance.
Yes. It's not just about population density distribution and single households. An important factor is the prevalence of stupidity, a disease far less common in Skandinavia (and parts of Asia).

(Returning to Germany after a few weeks in Finland or Sweden is like a return to the planet of apes. Even in Germany, the Swedish "model" (Covid euthanasia) won't work.)

17
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: August 10, 2020, 01:11:43 PM »
You all forgot about the planet's carbon cycle. That's my political touchstone. F# left vs. right.

The fossil carbon thing is what divides the global oligarchy in two discernible camps. If you refuse to chose on simplistic polito-logical grounds you have lost the ground.

18
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: August 09, 2020, 01:44:44 PM »
I respect your opinion about videos, Steve. Scroll by them any time if you wish.

Videos are a widely-used communication technique these days. Therefore i don't deem video format as inappropriate content....

There's nothing wrong with providing a video link as part of a discussion.  But posting just a link with no context, no introduction, no explanation of why it's relevant -- that's inconsiderate of the time and bandwidth of the readership. 

It's exactly like posting just an article URL and nothing else.  Copyright law is irrelevant to this issue.
So I took some random samplings of the video.

Biden's cognitive decline? Trumpist projection!
Biden is/was a stutterer, which says nothing about cognitive ability. There's a difference between  stumbling over the word "fitness" like Biden in the video - and not being able to pronounce "Yosemite" or confusing origins with "oranges", etc. etc, like Trump.

You don't have to know much about stuttering to see the fundamental difference. A journalist who doesn't is likely a GOP propagandist or simply unqualified.


Quote
Biden’s stutter, which he has said has affected him since childhood, is almost always undetectable for those who aren’t looking for it. But that doesn’t mean that it isn’t constantly making its presence known to the speaker himself, making it difficult to form certain sounds — a predicament only exacerbated further by nerves.

For people with stutters, it's not just difficulty with speaking that can be a major frustration in their lives, it’s the negative cultural perception they must deal with as well.
https://thehill.com/changing-america/respect/accessibility/471707-how-joe-bidens-gaffes-have-affected-his-campaign-and


Quote
My head will shake on a really bad stutter. People have casually asked whether I have Parkinson’s. I curl my toes inside my shoes or tap my foot as a distraction to help me get out of it, a behavior that I’ve repeated so often, it’s become a tic.
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/01/joe-biden-stutter-profile/602401/

19
Science / Re: The Father Of Global Warming?
« on: August 08, 2020, 06:14:09 PM »
Johann Wolfgang von Goethe (1749 – 1832).
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-glaciology/article/early-discoverers-xxii-goethediscoverer-of-the-ice-age/7883A16803630B43E40A1364C62EEBD7

Excellent German video:


<Herr JW von Goethe does not really count for the purpose of this thread. The video is interesting and talks about how they were mostly trying to decode the ice ages. kassy>

20
The politics / Re: US intervention in foreign lands
« on: August 08, 2020, 03:55:23 PM »
Yet another excellent overview by Aaron Maté of the fake gas attack in Douma, The Nation:

Quote
Did Trump Bomb Syria on False Grounds?

The American media is ignoring leaks from the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons that suggest a whitewash.

Why now? That comes a bit late and AFAIK the stuff has been thoroughly discussed early this year.

Which leaks? I guess these from Oct-Dec 2019: https://wikileaks.org/opcw-douma/
The bombing also involved France and Britain. Deaths: 0 Injured: 9 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_missile_strikes_against_Syria

Why can't Maté mention that in such a long writeup?


Quote
Yet unlike many whistle-blowers of the Trump era, they have found no champion, or even an audience, within establishment circles in the United States.
I smell something :)

Quote
- Four experts from a OPCW and NATO-member state conducted a toxicology review at the OPCW team’s request. They concluded that observed symptoms of the civilians in Douma, particularly the rapid onset of excessive frothing, as well as the concentration of victims filmed in the apartment building so close to fresh air, “were inconsistent with exposure to chlorine, and no other obvious candidate chemical causing the symptoms could be identified.”
Rapid onset of excessive frothing is a well-known symptom from the WWI chlorine gas attacks and industry accidents.

Quote
- Chemical tests of the samples collected in Douma showed that chlorine compounds were, in most cases, detected at what amounted to trace quantities in the parts-per-billion range. Yet this finding was not disclosed publicly. Furthermore, it later emerged that the chemicals themselves did not stand out as unique: According to the author of the initial report, the OPCW’s top expert in chemical weapons chemistry, they could have resulted from contact with household products such as bleach or come from chlorinated water or wood preservatives.
There is photographic evidence of highly corroded metal items. I bet they haven's dipped their ceiling chandelier in chlorine bleach.

Quote
There is “a higher probability,” it concluded, “that both cylinders were manually placed…rather than being delivered from aircraft.”
This has been discussed ad nauseam.

Quote
The treatment of the whistle-blowers by Western media is also due for criticism. Despite the story’s explosive nature, it has elicited a collective yawn.
Indeed :) Despite efforts by Russian media.

Quote
Whereas previous WikiLeaks disclosures fueled entire news cycles, no major US media outlets have reported on the organization’s Douma archive.
Except The Nation, belatedly :) Maybe the lesson from 2016?


21
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: August 06, 2020, 04:51:16 AM »
Most of the Last Mohicans here possibly missed another moment of glory in "mainstream media".

So, this very night Rachel Maddow pulled a thread regarding the emoluments clause with yet another of her historic interviews...

Then Sen. Blumenthal interviewed by Ali Velshi...

Let the fun resume :)

22
Science / Re: Carbon Cycle
« on: August 06, 2020, 02:54:53 AM »
What is the absolute minimum CO2 a person can emit into the atmosphere, assuming he lives 100 years and his only emissions are respiratory exhalation?
Its quite large, but also quite misleading.
 [...].
4 tonnes.
4tC x 44/12 ~ 15tCO2

How much of that would have fossil C isotopes (vs. the CO2 emitted elsewhere by Haber-Bosch nitrogen fertilizer production)?


Hmmm... is that really large?

Counterquestion: How much CO2 does one cubic meter of horse manure ((*) vs. vegetable compost) emit in 1 year while composting?

(*) Seriously. This can give a nice qualitative picture of the natural carbon cycle.

23
The forum / Re: Arctic Sea Ice Forum Humor
« on: August 06, 2020, 02:23:19 AM »
Whatever happened to Covid jokes?

Perhaps OT, because it is a serious QM101 video: Quantum decoherence and Donald Trump.



(If you can't stand it, imagine Evelyn Hamann for a few moments or recite the name of a certain place on the island of Anglesey in Wales.)




24
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: August 05, 2020, 05:43:15 PM »
Hilarious. I was viewer #7. Who is Jochen Spalding? :D

25
The rest / Re: Port of Beirut Explosion
« on: August 05, 2020, 05:12:30 PM »
Wrong number...

Quote
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in a phone call with former PM Saad Hariri on Wednesday paid tribute to the victims of massive deadly twin blasts in Beirut, Hariri’s media office reported.
http://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/273949-pompeo-extends-condolences-to-hariri-after-beirut-blast

26
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 04, 2020, 10:12:12 PM »
More than half of Swedish households are single-person, the highest proportion in the EU

https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20190821-why-so-many-young-swedes-live-alone

27
The rest / Re: Masks
« on: August 04, 2020, 06:17:21 PM »

28
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 04, 2020, 04:59:04 PM »
Classical climate denier drivel rebroadcasting.
Funny to see the deniers (incl. lukewarmers) being the most agitated, to a point they need to ridicu-lousily project their fear of fear, accusing the realists of ALARMISM! HYSTERIA! ...

I can say these hysterical reactions by many are totally unfounded

29
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 03, 2020, 01:25:20 AM »
Democratic Socialist countries
"Social Democratic" I insist, at least. (Bernie Sanders got his terminology wrong :) And even European right-wingers get universal healthcare right.)

30
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 03, 2020, 01:05:16 AM »
I'm curious. If I say that I believe that the IFR for SARS-CoV-2 is at the most 0.2%, unless there are factors like pollution and low population health at play, does that make me a 'virus denier'?
It ultimately depends on what you think the IFR of "flu" is.
After the "unless" you show a red flag well-known from e.g. climate deniers: Fishing for (or cherry-picking of) excuses. Of course it takes several red flags for a plausible diagnosis. :)

--------------

Regarding the "flu" (sic scare quotes) mortality comparison (still problematic in this thread), attached is one of the best pieces of evidence (no "testing" or diagnosing involved, just plain simple death), European excess mortality over several years.
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
Note it is not all European countries (e.g.only a fraction of Germany), and some don't have the Corona bump (guess why). The "flu" bumps before Corona were the deadliest in decades in some countries (google German Ärzteblatt on that).
Also note the minimal flu bump right before Corona.



31
The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:53:04 AM »
Baroque trumpetry at it's almost paradigmatical contemporary reproducibility (except for the horn's German Schummel-Löcher) ... 6:33 ff. (N.B.: No apotheosis of the trumpet without the oboe...)
https://youtu.be/uIzgayrp7gE?t=393

32
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:29:32 AM »
"A copy of the lyrics..." -- F Zappa

Methinks one of the presently most uninteresting conundrums of U.S. constitutional law is "Kurt Gödel's Loophole". ;D ... Forget about the potential self-referentiality of Article 5 and Gödelian problems of logic and finite axiomatic systems, w#nkerz... --- The present problem is about the step-by-step ((Early Buddhist) Pali: Khane, khane...) dissolution of civilizational structure by the acid of mental corruption [caught in the feed-back loop with Reality Herself {Heideggerian terminus deleted} --- ], plus: the inertia of fossil-financial compound interest; and ... ???

33
The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:14:06 AM »


one of the most counter-intuitive hornists of all times.

34
The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:09:50 AM »
Can't help it, the video is visually funny. Apotheosis of the trumpet. Keep your eye on the right margin. So amazing. And breath taking, Even if you just try whistling a secundo or tertio along the grand master almost hidden from sight...



35
The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 01:27:37 AM »
... "I didn't write a Rock'n'Roll piece until I was about 21" -- Zappa.
ä

36
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: July 28, 2020, 06:32:22 PM »
Last update from my hospital stay ..
  on Sunday I got talking to a nurse re COVID ..  I discovered that he had been in the covid wards until Thursday . I was shocked . Turns out NHS policy is a constant rotation of all staff .. from consultant to cleaners between COVID wards and the rest of the NHS . b.c.
Looks like a multiplicator type system bug. Homo Sapiens and the statistics of the exponential function - the test is not over.


37
The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: July 27, 2020, 08:02:39 PM »

The US is not democratic, never has been!

Correct.  It is a Republic, whereby the populous elect representatives, who are supposed to repress them.  Instead they represent themselves.

Still.  It is better today that in previous times.
Freudian slip, that, Walrus? "repress" them?
Methinks not. It is something mostly unconscious: Pretty please repress us, so we can complain! Pain makes us feel alive! (More tax cuts for the rich! Universal heathcare is for welfare queens! Etc. etc.) Thus many vote for sadopopulists.




38
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: July 27, 2020, 05:06:49 AM »
Quote
'Trump owes us an apology.’ Chinese scientist at the center of COVID-19 origin theories speaks out
[...]
Science shared Shi’s responses—available here in full (PDF)—with several leading researchers in other countries. “It’s a big contribution,” says [...]. “There are a lot of new facts that I wasn’t aware of. It’s very exciting to hear this directly from her.”
[...]

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/07/trump-owes-us-apology-chinese-scientist-center-covid-19-origin-theories-speaks-out

PDF: https://www.sciencemag.org/sites/default/files/Shi%20Zhengli%20Q%26A.pdf

39
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: July 18, 2020, 11:05:38 PM »
I couldn't buy a mask until late April-May, any mask.
Same here in Germany. Not in any shop. I could have sold my n95 (aka FFP3) masks bought last year for >50€ each on Ebay. Handsome profit.

40
The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: June 15, 2020, 12:50:58 AM »
959 views... This video explains why I'm such a fan of Masha Gessen. She wrote a book about Grigori Perelman and one about Vladimir Putin without talking to either during doing the work (45:38 ff.). She would have been more excited to get a phone call from Perelman over meeting Putin later. One of the greatest journalists and polit psychopathologists of our times.


41
To explain: I had a little Nietzsche attack. Famous German philosopher with lots of acid aphorisms, like in his "Fröhliche Wissenschaft" (The Gay Science).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friedrich_Nietzsche
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Gay_Science
http://www.zeno.org/Philosophie/M/Nietzsche,+Friedrich/Die+fr%C3%B6hliche+Wissenschaft

42
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: June 12, 2020, 05:08:38 AM »
I still haven't taken a closer look at the very Ordinary Differential Equation in 4 variables, which I don't even recall except that R thing. Maybe I haven't looked because there is a rub in a more stochastico-statistical model: Dispersion.

I guess it comes unsurprising to the "practicioners" - who exist since centuries. It's the superspreading events, stupid. Our random variable has dispersion and it looks different to influenza. Covid-19 can spread rapidly, but has to check out many opportunities and needs a larger viral load to hit hard. Influenza spreads easily, but is lazy.

Now I'd like to see stuff about the flattening of Influenza this year.

Here is an excellent German article
https://www.spektrum.de/news/wie-sars-cov-2-in-deutschland-aussterben-kann/1741310
about
https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.13689


43
Coincidentally it is birthday again, I am a theoretical probabilist and despise number theory, plus have an evening of acid analysis. Here is what I arrived at. German with certified google translation (which inserted a missing comma but botched one uppercase).

Quote
Nein ich bin nicht böse - ich analysiere nur. Hirnschmalz kann beim Späten Homo Sapiens zu Verätzungen führen. Selber schuld.

---

No, I'm not angry - I'm just analyzing. Brain fat can cause burns in Late Homo Sapiens. Themselves to blame.

Or is it brain lard?

44
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 12, 2020, 01:41:21 AM »
Kimmel has the lightning strike Trump in a hilarious video [but me YouTube only due to techno-logical concerns and pragmatics].

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The Palmer Report, who has long run out of headlines and later even of superlatives, reports:
Quote
Donald Trump [bla, bla,] worry about things like whether his fans will catch coronavirus [blabla] anyway. But the lawyers and corporate types surrounding him do have to worry about such things, [...].

People who attend the rally will be forced to sign a disclaimer agreeing not to take any legal action against Donald Trump or his campaign, according to [msm]. From a legal standpoint, it makes sense that Trump’s lawyers are doing this. These rallies are opening him up to massive litigation and damages, considering that there is little doubt that some people will catch the virus at Trump’s rallies, and a fraction of them will die.

But on a common sense level, if these rallies are so unsafe that attendees have to sign a document agreeing not to sue if they catch a deadly virus at the rally, it[...]’s an admission of negligence on his part.

[msm]. [...] Tulsa, the site of a massacre against black people, on Juneteenth, the date the last of the slaves were freed. [...] admitting to his own attendees that he’s putting their lives at risk just so he can bloviate in front of them.
https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/rally-is-already-a-complete-disaster-donald-trump/29628/

45
Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: June 08, 2020, 11:11:34 PM »
I don't see why travel between countries with similar infection rates should be restricted.

46
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 06, 2020, 05:39:15 PM »
It's the same simple pattern since day one of his presidency: When there is a scandal, Trump sais some demented bullshit to outrage the media, the media becomes outraged over it, and loses focus on the actual issues.

Every. Single. Time. !!

And since what he does now is so extreme and unique, he turns it up on the 'say outraging shit publicly to distract the media' knob.

Trump composes his little distraction melodies, and ten minutes later you see the journalists lining up singing his song. It's truly the pied piper era.

As seen here:

This Is the Most Singularly Batsh*t Crazy Thing Any President Has Said Out Loud in Public

Link >> https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a32782241/trump-george-floyd-looking-down-great-day/

Yes. But methinks this is a counterexample. (As we Germans know, exceptions can confirm the rule :) )

Some of Trump's PR stunts are unintentional, and with the recent intentional ones he shot himself in the foot. Like, teargassing his way to a church to hold up the bible like an idiot who never held a book in his hands. The sacrilege sure cost him a little of his approval rating.

The “George is looking down right now" stunt I see as unintentional. This is just plain stupid Donald, in a situation that is way over his head - once again... Methinks it is paradigmatic for his complete failure of brains and ethics. A short proof of Trump's total ridicu-lousiness. (Like it's nice to have several proofs of Pythagoras' theorem.) So, this time, worth reporting. Especially when it helps eroding his religious base.

Alas Esquire quotes it a bit out of context, stupid Trump finding an excuse for police violence against protesters.  ;D ROTFL.

https://twitter.com/JimmyKimmelLive/status/1268206337256681474

(Weird: Youtube link not working here. The whole Kimmel video seems only available on FB and Twitter.)

47
Permafrost / Re: Permafrost general science thread
« on: June 05, 2020, 07:09:43 PM »
On the recent catastrophic oil spill:

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/06/05/russia-to-review-structures-on-permafrost-after-arctic-spill-a70498

Quote
Russia's prosecutor general on Friday ordered a review of hazardous structures built on permafrost after concluding that a huge Arctic fuel spill last week was caused by shifting ground.

The office of the prosecutor general said in a statement that a preliminary conclusion of the spill's causes is the "sagging of the ground and the concrete foundation" which caused the reservoir's failure.

48
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 05, 2020, 06:57:49 PM »
Hayes is one of the rare good ones on MSNBC.
Rachel Maddow sure is their best. Perhaps a bit too brilliant (and that's why fake intellectuals with ego issues hate her). Chris Hayes has recently disgraced himself a bit over his handling of Tara Reade's (highly suspicious) accusations against Joe Biden. My MSNBC favorite is Joy Reid, who deserves more air time.

49
The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 05, 2020, 04:09:28 PM »
[...] sometimes it really looks like if the guy would be "Adolf's" envoy [...]

Masha Gessen concurs:



AG Barr is meanwhile assembling a secret police - "Little Green Men". Well, at least they don't yet have the jails and torture chambers of Adolf's GeStaPo.



Sorry for posting MSNBC fake news :)

50
Amazing and heartening to see so many scythists in one spot!

For me, the best thing about the scythe is the sound.
Seconded.

But the peening hurts my ears and wrecks my nerves :)
Anyhow I still got lots of anthills to flatten out which would require peening every day.

Instead I found this knive sharpening tool in an abandoned kitchen drawer (foto attached). I also use it for the axe.

An expert friend just came in who taught me scything and peening. He says peening is essential to harden the blade. He finds my idea stupid. Well, for me it works - but I see my tool will wear away the blade over time.


If somebody has a good tutorial on how to make a handle, I'd be very happy. Mine is good, it's a metallic industrial one,
Metal sounds bad to me. Wood of olden times is much lighter. Alas today they use any stupid hardwood, even the heavy beech. Here in Germany you can forget about any industrial scythes (and stones) you get in general gardening shops. Scythe making was an art. Until recently I used a historic one made 1926 by the village rake and scythe maker, custom made for my grandgrandfather. But it is too short for me and the wood got worms. The best modern (and affordable) scythes with adjustable handles and nonlinear axis you get here: https://www.schroeckenfux.at/home-en/  My old one still is a little better because of the lighter wood, so you have a better feel for the dynamics of the blade. Like with the axe, the handle's purpose is to swing the metal (and not the handle).

Aah... rain is over. Perfect time for some scything...

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