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If reinfection is milder than first infection then it does not matter. Someone quoted excellent research about this upthread. Then, even if covid becomes endemic it won't be more dangerous
But what if there is accumulative damage with each reinfection?
What about the age bias? Covid hits harder the older you are. Reinfections happen on more vulnerable subjects every year.
That is why we need to vaccinate the 60+ cohort fast. Once they are vaccinated there is no reason to keep up the restrictions as 2/3 of hopsitalizations and more than 2/3 of mortality is in that cohort. This will be done by April/May in Europe and America. Also, positive seasonality will kick in. Restrictions will be very quickly lifted at the end of spring. After that the general population will be vaccinated until autumn. This thing is almost gone, there is only 3-4 months left - much less than the 10 months since the start of lockdowns
The findings have prompted Norway to suggest that Covid-19 vaccines may be too risky for the very old and terminally ill, the most cautious statement yet from a European health authority.
The Norwegian Institute of Public Health judges that “for those with the most severe frailty, even relatively mild vaccine side effects can have serious consequences. For those who have a very short remaining life span anyway, the benefit of the vaccine may be marginal or irrelevant.”
Pfizer and BioNTech are working with the Norwegian regulator to investigate the deaths in Norway, Pfizer said in an e-mailed statement. The agency found that “the number of incidents so far is not alarming, and in line with expectations,” Pfizer said.
Extent down from 2nd lowest to 8th lowest in just 8 days.
First of all, it is better to look at years of life lost (YLL) instead of just lives lost. I know nobody is doing that, because the media don't tell them to, but it really is better.
...
Another example of why we need to end the lockdown a.s.a.p.Lockdown is a quite flexible concept. What is sure is that there are many examples of why strong regulations (masks, number of people in the shops...) are extremely important.
On the evening of February 26, Martin was walking back to the fiancée's house from a nearby convenience store. Zimmerman, a member of the community watch, saw Martin and reported him to the Sanford Police as suspicious. Several minutes later, there was an altercation and Zimmerman fatally shot Martin in the chest.
A report was made on the evening of 25 May, when Mr Floyd bought a pack of cigarettes from Cup Foods, a grocery store.https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-52861726
Believing the $20 bill he used to be counterfeit, a store employee reported it to police.
Trump Concedes, Throws Minions under Bushttps://climatecrocks.com/2021/01/07/trump-concedes-throws-minions-under-bus/
Predicamentshttps://newcityofgod.com/2020/09/02/mission-statement/
A fundamental premise of the work at this site, the book and the blog is that we face predicaments, not problems. Problems have solutions, predicaments do not. When faced with a predicament we can respond and adapt, but we cannot make it go away. It is this way of thinking that lies at the basis of the second theological point, Accept and Adapt.
I suggest to discuss findings of the virus in blood samples from Italy and elsewhere taken a month or two before the Wuhan outbreak. Perhaps Covid-19 was identified in Wuhan because the Chinese were better at identifying the problem?I agree, just that I don't think we could find much information.
I appreciate the minds here that share the information available. I also appreciate evidence of origin, but this is not the place for it.I agree, and am sorry I used inappropriate vocabulary. I would move it near the mask thread, it has nothing to do with AGW.
Australia verse Covid
Sydney has had a cluster outbreak that just keeps of sputtering along. The State Premier is resistant to putting in the rules that would stop it entirely and only does it in the last minute.
For example, the New Year fireworks across the harbour bridge was only cancelled a few days before hand because people were complaining.
There is an International cricket match to be held there soon, she isn't cancelling it... 20K people all together.
She has been strict with lockdowns, more like strongly worded suggestions, which led people to leave the cluster regions to visit Melbourne, who is now getting its own Sydney fed cluster as well.
This recent outbreak is producing 15 to 30 cases a day for two weeks now, and with Sydney siders having filled malls to do Christmas shopping, I am wondering how long the luck will last in Sydney.... it is beginning to give me the feeling next week will see numbers increase a fair bit in Sydney.
Wood burners triple the level of harmful pollution particles inside homes and should be sold with a health warning, says scientists, who also advise that they should not be used around elderly people or children.
The tiny particles flood into the room when the burner doors are opened for refuelling, a study found. Furthermore, people who load in wood twice or more in an evening are exposed to pollution spikes two to four times higher than those who refuel once or not at all.
The particles can pass through the lungs and into the body and have been linked to a wide range of health damage, particularly in younger and older people.
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The research was conducted in 19 homes in Sheffield over the course of a month at the start of 2020. The wood burners used were all models certified by the government as “smoke exempt appliances”, meaning they produce less smoke. But this and the new EcoDesign standard, due to become compulsory by 2022, only assess outdoor pollution.
All participants used dried and seasoned logs, but the sizes varied. There was also a diversity of kindling used, taking the form of firelighters, newspapers, balls of paper, twigs, sawdust, packing cardboard, greeting cards, and even empty egg boxes. Echoing the findings of existing studies [20,35,52]. This means that the same wood burner may emit different levels of indoor air pollution depending on the quantity and type of fuel and kindling used.
While the findings point to the opening of the stove door as the origin for indoor PM emissions, further lab-based research is required into how this might relate to duration, timings, and the point in the burn cycle at which the opening occurs.
I like the visual alliteration of the street lights with the moon. I hope the guy with the open door house is snuggled in bed with his Yeti girlfriend.If you like arctic girlfriends stories, I recommend to read Jorn Riel. It looks like the only books translated in English are :
Well, I wonder if the impact of covid-19 is not anecdotal compared to the one of AGW. Maybe this is a one in a lifetime opportunity to look for another economic system.If you add the positive cases, the quarantine cases and the "at risk" cases, you get a few % of the population reducing their consumption, enough to have an economic slow down.
So you can add all the people who lost part of their incomes and you get a bad situation, with or without lockdown. A lockdown might allow a quicker return to normality.
That is the theory at least. The only real question is how much the lockdown hurt the economy. Does bigger pain over a shorter term outweigh smaller pain over a larger term? How many businesses were forced into bankruptcy that may have been able to weather a lesser recession? We will probably never truly know.
Officials in LA county estimated that one in 95 residents were currently infectious, and that two residents were dying of Covid every hour. More than 6,000 Covid patients are in the hospital, and intensive care units (ICU) are filled to capacity.
I've been wondering about the relationship (if any) between the British and the South African (SA) strains of the coronavirus that are highly contagious. For example, were they the same thing. It appears they are not the same thing.
From Fox NewsQuoteUK detects another 'highly concerning' coronavirus variant in cases linked to South Africa travel
Health Secretary Matt Hancock said new [SA] variant is 'highly concerning” because it 'is yet more transmissible'
