Support the Arctic Sea Ice Forum and Blog

Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Messages - Sigmetnow

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 240
Too soon?  ;D
(25 second silent video mash-up re: Musk taking Tesla private.  Caution: language)

In other news, here’s the Tesla 8-K SEC filing, dated August 14.

Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: Today at 02:07:28 AM »
Electric Motor Club of High Point
8/14/18, 5:53 PM
You know, these things just happen. Fortunately, not as often as solar panel explosions or wind spills. ...

   Nine hurt as gas explosion levels Denver building | Reuters

Hey, kids!  Lego’s “Capital City” set includes an electric car and charger! :)

Except for along highways, there shouldn't be any fast charging anywhere.

Not sure Neven.  There is a point here, being made, that fast charging is better for the batteries than slow charging.  That short top ups in the top 50% of the capacity extends battery life.

Have I blinked and missed something? Where has that point been made?

For the moment, I'm with Neven on this one.
I can't find it, but I read of a study of actual behavior, and Tesla cars with only supercharging lost less storage capacity than cars with only 'overnight' charging.  Someone thought it had to do with 'amount of time' spent heated up due to charging, or something like that.

Well, there’s this:
Dutch study shows batteries with best retained capacity used Superchargers a lot:,1150.msg165926.html#msg165926

and this:
Tesloop: heavy Supercharger use longevity:,1150.msg160105.html#msg160105

Note that Tesla is continually tweaking and testing its battery cell chemistry and pack design, so data for other cars/batteries will likely differ significantly.

Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: Today at 01:07:10 AM »
Heavy smoke from wildfires drifts across northwest U.S.

NWS Seattle on Twitter: "Satellite imagery on a clear day (July 14) compared to a smoke-filled day (Aug 13) across the state. #WAwx”
Image below; GIF at the link.

Bonnie Norman on Twitter: "Smoke from Canada & Montana has arrived here at the Gorge. Air quality is so bad that everyone is told to stay inside, windows closed. If you don't think #ClimateChange is real, please unfollow. And get off my feed.”
Image below.  Tesla Model X “Biohazard” air filter control pic at the link.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 14, 2018, 08:03:59 PM »
Tesla’s $35,000 Model 3 is still coming and with a new battery module design
The CEO said that Tesla came up with a new battery module design that will be less expensive:

“We came up with a new design that achieves the same outcome, that’s actually lighter, better, cheaper and we will be introducing that around the end of this year – probably reach volume production on that in Q1 or something. That will make the car lighter, better, and cheaper and achieve a higher range.”

Musk said that the production line is under construction and it should start production “in about 6 months.”

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 14, 2018, 04:08:13 PM »
Why critics who bash Musk's open source Tesla security project are wrong - TechRepublic
...To critique Musk's plans to open source Tesla's security software ("Planning to open-source Tesla vehicle security software for free use by other car makers. Extremely important to a safe self-driving future for all") because it isn't "a selfless gesture," as some do, is to completely misunderstand open source. Every contribution is, at its heart, an act of self-interest, and particularly so when speaking of corporate contributions. It always has been.

Microsoft is the no. 1 contributor to open source, with 3,674 employees active on GitHub, and not because the company has reorganized as a non-profit and wants everyone to hold hands and stage a love-in. No, the reason Microsoft loves open source is that it's a platform company, and open source is a way to make its platform appealing and approachable to third-party developers.

Google, for its part, is the second-largest corporate contributor on GitHub, with roughly 1,850 employees actively contributing. More interestingly, Google has launched industry standards for container orchestration (Kubernetes) and machine learning (TensorFlow). Google benefits from that standardization around code friendly to its cloud, but it benefits even more from companies discovering they can run related workloads more productively on Google Cloud Platform. It's open source genius.
Tesla's open source security project can both help to push the boundaries of innovation while ensuring that it needn't solely support it. For a company that is trying to build the maximum number of cars at the minimum cost, "outsourcing" some of its key software development is brilliant. Self-interested? Yep. But self-interested in a way that benefits itself by helping others. That's the power of open source, and Musk should be lauded for this move.

Policy and solutions / Re: Boring, boring ol' Elon Musk...
« on: August 14, 2018, 02:21:34 PM »
The Boring Company on Twitter: "We are hosting student tours of the Hawthorne tunnel site for schools in LA County! Each tour can accommodate up to 30 students. Interested faculty (or students with a faculty sponsor!) can reach out to"

Eric Holthaus and Chelsea Clinton are planning to hike in Glacier National Park and discuss how they can act on climate change.

EH:  “This is happening. Can confirm. ❤️ “

Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: August 14, 2018, 01:35:30 AM »

It's impossible to separate the success of energy storage and the future of renewable energy.
I would go so far as to predict that if technology doesn't make a economically viable solution in the next 10 years we will resort to geoengineering the climate (sooner than we would have anyway).

Given that, in many areas, building new renewable sources is cheaper than maintaining old fossil fuel sources, I would say renewables already are “economically viable.”  Solar, wind, and storage contracts continue to decrease in per-kW price.  The biggest obstacles now are political, not economic.  :)

Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: August 14, 2018, 01:14:59 AM »
Yeah we need a new name for Glacier national park. Also for the Sierra Nevada. Death valley will probably be fine.

“In 1850, there were 150 glaciers in the area now known as Glacier National Park. Today there are 26. They’ve been there for 7,000 years — but in just a few decades, the glaciers of Glacier National Park will almost surely be gone. By then the park will need a new name. Glacier Memorial Park doesn’t have the same ring to it.”


Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 14, 2018, 12:48:18 AM »
Completely stunned to see a commercial for electric vehicles just now!  (U.S., on the Weather Channel.). Of course, it’s part of VW’s Electrify America campaign — meaning, they are presenting it as part of their Dieselgate settlement.  But still....

Volkswagen kicks off EV awareness campaign

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 14, 2018, 12:32:37 AM »
Except for along highways, there shouldn't be any fast charging anywhere.

Although fast charging for highway travel is indeed vital, larger cities in California already have Supercharger stations scattered about town, as well.  This looks to be the model for conveniently-located EV “filling stations” of the future.  8)

Image: Tesla Supercharger stations in the Los Angeles area, from PlugShare.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 14, 2018, 12:15:04 AM »
Now if I want to provide 1,000 Supercharger 3.0 stations in my mall car park, just how big a power station do I need plugged into it?

How about: NONE! Supercharger 3.0 incorporates solar power and Powerpack batteries, and needs no grid connection in most areas. :P  You want to install 1,000 of them, go for it!

“Yes, grid won't be needed for moderate use Superchargers in non-snowy regions”
- Elon Musk, 1:21 PM - Dec 24, 2016

Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: August 14, 2018, 12:02:19 AM »
Eric Holthaus on Twitter: "This weekend, Glacier National Park recorded the hottest temperature in its history: 100°F [37.8°C]. Now, it's on fire and being partially evacuated. Glacier -- National -- Park”
Photos at the link.

Multiple Structures Lost to Glacier Park Wildfire - Flathead Beacon

Glacier National Park is on fire — and yes, warming is making things worse | Grist

Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: August 13, 2018, 11:15:33 PM »
Stalled weather pattern has caused major flooding in northeast U.S. three times over the past three weeks.  Another two to three inches of rain is forecast in some areas for tonight.

The National Weather Service in State College said there were numerous reports of 6 inches [150mm] of rain or more in Schuylkill and Columbia counties.

Meteorologist Aaron Tyburski said the latest downpours followed weeks of a stalled weather pattern that is drawing moisture from the Atlantic Ocean, hitting some communities repeatedly.

"It's been quite a rough go for them over the past three weeks," Tyburski said.

Weather Underground on Twitter: "TONIGHT on #WUTV we're watching the dangerous flood threat in the Northeast. We're also watching the rain across the Plains - helpful for drought, but will we have flooding instead? ...”

Justin Michaels on Twitter: "WATCH: Inside one of the homes on Spring Street in #Tremont, PA. This is the third flood in three weeks, and people here say this was the worst as they try to figure out what to do next in this working class community. ...”

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2018, 06:29:38 PM »
Tesla's Model 3 production ramp is here, and the US auto market is starting to feel it
Tesla’s Model 3 ramp appears to be well on its way to sustaining the optimum manufacturing level displayed by the company during its “burst production week” at the end of June. Apart from Tesla announcing that it was able to maintain its 5,000/week Model 3 target in “multiple weeks” in July, the company has also registered an astounding 16,000 new Model 3 VINs in a seven-day period this August. That’s a number that took the company roughly eight months to achieve when the vehicle started production in mid-2017.

Ellec (@ellec_uk)
8/13/18, 7:22 AM
Tesla ($TSLA) Model 3 Production Ramps Up Beyond 5,000/Week - Chowdhry… via @Street_Insider

Ellec (@ellec_uk)
8/13/18, 7:26 AM
So we have $TSLA at
- Confirmed sustained 5k+ Model 3s a week
- Saudis about to write a blank check to go private
- China fully behind GigaFactory 3 in Shanghai


Marty (@pilot2b)
8/13/18, 6:52 AM
The drama surrounding $TSLA is nearing max Q, to use a little SpaceX lingo....

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2018, 06:06:55 PM »
Not Cars, but given the things that have been said here about Elon Musk, I think it is fair to post this here:

What's driving Elon Musk?

Elon Musk is a science-fiction character. That’s how one friend puts it.
Those who know Musk talk about the inevitability of his own ascension to the stratosphere.
Over two months of reporting, friends, family members and former colleagues told WIRED about the personality traits that have contributed to the billionaire’s successes and his setbacks, and what they might mean for the future of SpaceX, Tesla and life on Mars.

Elon Musk (@elonmusk)
8/13/18, 9:47 AM
@amitkatwala @WiredUK   Mostly accurate, even though I didn’t do an interview (or pose for cover)

Amit Katwala (@amitkatwala)
8/13/18, 9:50 AM
@elonmusk @WiredUK Thanks for reading! Would you like to do an interview?

Elon Musk (@elonmusk)
8/13/18, 10:47 AM
@amitkatwala @WiredUK Open to it at some point. You did an impressive amount of work on this article.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2018, 04:45:31 PM »
Stats on a five-year-old Tesla S with an 85kWh battery:

“Interesting data set to share. Helping mom sell her 2013 Model S 85 & charged her to 100% for the first time in ages. Degradation so minimal it’s incredible for 75,000 miles! 265 new vs 257 now.
She has NEVER Supercharged & hasn’t charged above 80% since 2013. ...”

“More fascinating data from moms 2013 #ModelS.
At 75k miles, she consumed over 25,000 kWh of energy paying $2000 on electricity over 5 years.
A comparable ICE would cost $15,000 for 75k miles & require 214 gas stops. That’s 25 hrs of waiting at gas stations! Asking $39,900”
Image below; another at the link.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2018, 03:52:38 PM »
The US is losing the high-stakes global battery war - The Verge

Being the first country to unlock the super battery could have a revolutionary impact on that economy.

Huge difference: it’ll change economies. Economies that have thrived off of the petroleum age won’t be thriving anymore. Those that are involved in the supply chain of batteries and the technologies they enable, that’s where the wealth will flow. The distribution of wealth and power could change.

(Cross-posted in Batteries thread.)

Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: August 13, 2018, 03:51:47 PM »
The US is losing the high-stakes global battery war - The Verge

Being the first country to unlock the super battery could have a revolutionary impact on that economy.

Huge difference: it’ll change economies. Economies that have thrived off of the petroleum age won’t be thriving anymore. Those that are involved in the supply chain of batteries and the technologies they enable, that’s where the wealth will flow. The distribution of wealth and power could change.

(Cross-posted in Cars thread.)

Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: August 13, 2018, 02:37:32 PM »
Salting the earth: North Dakota farmers struggle with a toxic byproduct of the oil boom
The state of North Dakota doesn't even know how many acres of cropland have been damaged by saltwater spills, a byproduct of the local oil boom.
Saltwater spills have plagued North Dakota since the latter part of the 20th century, when North Dakota experienced its first oil boom. They are more damaging than oil spills on land because of the contaminants they leave in the soil, and they are harder to clean up.

Though oil companies typically promised landowners in their drilling contracts that they would clean up spills, it wasn't until 1981 that state law began requiring oil companies to restore damaged land to its original condition. An unregulated industry in the 70s and 80s caused numerous saltwater spills, which led to what researchers call "legacy brine."

Legacy brine disperses and migrates throughout the oil-producing regions of the state decades after the original spill, said Miranda Meehan, environmental stewardship specialist in the Animal Sciences Department at North Dakota State University. While the state is trying to clean up legacy brine, it has to also deal with new spills. ...

Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: August 13, 2018, 02:20:22 PM »
CNN (@CNN).  8/12/18, 10:00 PM
These cars were swept off a dealership lot in Little Falls, New Jersey, after rain showers and thunderstorms caused flooding in the area
45-second vid: cars floating down river and jamming up by a bridge

North Jersey flooding is worst since [Hurricane] Floyd, says Little Falls mayor

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2018, 01:52:41 AM »
Auto industry caught in the trade war crosshairs
-Customs agents in Shanghai have refused to release a shipment of American-made Mercedes-Benz SUVs because of what they have described as a "safety risk." (Supposedly concerning brakes, but…?)
-The trade war comes along at a particularly bad time for BMW. The automaker recently authorized a $1 billion expansion for its plant in Spartanburg, South Carolina, its largest manufacturing complex in the world. The move was intended to create about 1,100 new jobs with the addition of the all-new X7 model, BMW's largest and most expensive SUV yet.
- Unless Ford can find alternative markets for exports like the Mustang, the impact of such a move could be the loss of American jobs.

Policy and solutions / Re: If not Capitalism... then What? And, How?
« on: August 13, 2018, 01:39:57 AM »
"Do we not, as parents, often give our children pets or other valuable possessions to teach them basic lessons of life and stewardship?"

That sentence tells you all about the author right there.


Of course, Bloomberg opinions are very likely to espouse conspicuous consumption — it’s why they exist.  But I was heartened by the examples of where we are moving away from accumulating physical things. 

I recall the story of a family preparing to evacuate their home due to wildfire.  The teenager said, “I’m ready.  I have my phone.  Everything I need is in the cloud.”

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2018, 01:31:04 AM »
Faster charging is on the way — Supercharger 3.0 is targeted for rollout later this year.  The Tesla Model 3 was built to handle faster charging, with more robust cables and improved battery cell cooling.

You Think The Tesla Model 3 Supercharges Fast Now? Just Wait ...
We are estimating 626 miles per hour charging speeds on Gen 3 Superchargers for the first half of the charge.

In a previous article, we reported that current Model 3 owners are getting Supercharging speeds of around 460-480 miles per hour on Gen 2 Superchargers. That’s a big improvement over Model S owners that only see low 300s for a Supercharging speed.

Why is the Model 3 so fast? First of all, the Model 3 can pull as much power as the Model S (115-120 kW), and second of all, the Model 3 has a much better MPGe than the Model S, so each kWh downloaded counts for more miles.
… Model 3 has a larger cable than Model S going to the battery from the charge port. …

We need to add some qualifications to these numbers. Holding a constant 430 amps until 50% SOC [State of Charge] probably won’t happen every time you pull into a Supercharger. These numbers are a best-case scenario. Even though the vehicle is capable, there may be other reasons why the Supercharger will cut back on power prior to 50%. Also, our numbers only apply to charging PRIOR to taper. Current Model 3 owners are seeing taper come in at around 50% SOC.

Tesla Model 3 Battery Cooling Much-Improved ... Track Mode?
The new Model 3 battery module is a completely new design. It bears very little resemblance to the Model S. Not only is it cheaper to manufacture, but it also has improved cooling over Model S and X modules. Scott’s Model X 100D has the second-gen Model S/X module design (figure 2) which incorporates two ribbon-shaped cooling tubes, as compared to one in the gen 1 module.

Here are some (but not all) of the reasons the Model 3 has improved battery cooling:
   •   better heat transfer between the cells and the cooling ribbon because the cells are now glued directly to the cooling ribbon and the cooling ribbon spans a greater percentage of the cells’ height.
   •   fewer cells per pass of the cooling tube
The article has lots of nice graphics to help explain the upgrades.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2018, 01:22:06 AM »
Ten or so years ago I was stopped in a parking lot (as the car in front of me was stopped for pedestrians), and a backward-walking woman in a group nearly walked into my Prius. (Her friends 'stopped' her.)  Therefore, I like the idea of a noise maker when it goes slowly, like in my speed limit 10 mph [17 kph] neighborhood.  I read somewhere there would be a choice of 40 sounds, or something like that. I want my 'noise maker' to be something like:  "Excuse me, but I'm here first" or "I'm bigger than you so just step out of the way now" or "Watch out, I'm coming through' or "Baa baa baa" or maybe a rattlesnake rattle.  I've always thought it strange that the backup beeping speaker is only heard by the Prius occupants.

Given the preponderance of pedestrians who walk while looking down at their phone nowdays, a regulation requiring vehicles to make a sound at low speeds just makes sense (sad to say).  I don’t see this changing until the next generation of direct brain-internet communication (Musk’s Neuralink company is working on this) gives us a literal “heads-up display” — and safety warnings!

Vehicles will never be as maneuverable and unpredictable as pedestrians.


Policy and solutions / Re: If not Capitalism... then What? And, How?
« on: August 12, 2018, 05:51:46 PM »
This Bloomberg author is worried.

Americans Own Less Stuff, and That’s Reason to Be Nervous
What happens when a nation built on the concept of individual property ownership starts to give that up?
Some social problems are blatantly obvious in daily life, while others are longer-term, more corrosive and perhaps mostly invisible. Lately I’ve been worrying about a problem of the latter kind: the erosion of personal ownership and what that will mean for our loyalties to traditional American concepts of capitalism and private property.

The main culprits for the change are software and the internet. For instance, Amazon’s Kindle and other methods of online reading have revolutionized how Americans consume text. Fifteen years ago, people typically owned the books and magazines they were reading. Much less so now. If you look at the fine print, it turns out that you do not own the books on your Kindle. Inc. does.

I do not consider this much of a practical problem. Although Amazon could obliterate the books on my Kindle, this has happened only in a very small number of cases, typically involving account abuse. Still, this licensing of e-books, instead of stacking books on a shelf, has altered our psychological sense of how we connect to what we read – it is no longer truly “ours.”

The change in our relationship with physical objects does not stop there. We used to buy DVDs or video cassettes; now viewers stream movies or TV shows with Netflix. Even the company’s disc-mailing service is falling out of favor. Music lovers used to buy compact discs; now Spotify and YouTube are more commonly used to hear our favorite tunes.

The great American teenage dream used to be to own your own car. That is dwindling in favor of urban living, greater reliance on mass transit, cycling, walking and, of course, ride-sharing services such as Uber and Lyft.

Each of these changes is beneficial, yet I worry that Americans are, slowly but surely, losing their connection to the idea of private ownership. The nation was based on the notion that property ownership gives individuals a stake in the system. It set Americans apart from feudal peasants, taught us how property rights and incentives operate, and was a kind of training for future entrepreneurship. Do we not, as parents, often give our children pets or other valuable possessions to teach them basic lessons of life and stewardship?

We’re hardly at a point where American property has been abolished, but I am still nervous that we are finding ownership to be so inconvenient. The notion of “possessive individualism” is sometimes mocked, but in fact it is a significant source of autonomy and initiative. Perhaps we are becoming more communal and caring in positive ways, but it also seems to be more conformist and to generate fewer empire builders and entrepreneurs.

What about your iPhone, that all-essential life device? Surely you own that? Well, sort of. When Apple Inc. decides to change the operating software, sooner or later you have to go along with what they have selected. Gmail is due to change its overall look and functionality, maybe for the better, but again eventually this choice will not be yours either: It’s Google’s. The very economics of software encourage standardization, and changes over time, so de facto you rent much of what you use rather than owning it. I typed the draft of this column using Microsoft Word, and sooner or later my contract to use it will expire and I will have to renew.

Imagine the “internet of things” penetrating our homes more and more, through services like Amazon’s Alexa. We’ll have ovens and thermostats that  you set with your voice, and a toilet and bathroom that periodically give you the equivalent of a medical check-up. Yes, you will still own the title to your physical house, but most of the value in that home you will in essence rent from outside companies or, in the case of municipal utilities, the government.

As for that iPhone, it is already clear that you do not have a full legal right to repair it, and indeed more and more devices are sold to consumers without giving them corresponding rights to fix or alter those goods and services. John Deere tractors are sold to farmers with plenty of software, and farmers have to hack into the tractor if they wish to fix it themselves. There is now a small but burgeoning “right to repair” political movement.

Does that sound like something our largely agrarian Founding Fathers might have been happy about? The libertarian political theorist might tell you that arrangement is simply freedom of contract in action. But the more commonsensical, broad libertarian intuitions of the American public encapsulate a more brutish and direct sense that some things we simply own and hold the rights to.

Those are intuitions which are growing increasingly disconnected from reality, and no one knows what lies on the other side of this social experiment.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 12, 2018, 04:02:35 PM »
Elon Musk tweeted:  Great Q&A @defcon last night. Thanks for helping make Tesla & SpaceX more secure! Planning to open-source Tesla vehicle security software for free use by other car makers. Extremely important to a safe self-driving future for all.

Tesla plans to open-source its vehicle security software for free to other automakers for safer self-driving future
With the upcoming rise of self-driving and more connected vehicles come an increased risk of hacking those vehicles with ill-intent.

Elon Musk thinks that Tesla’s vehicle security software is the best solution and he plans to open-source it for free to other automakers for a safer self-driving future.  Musk has expressed concerns about hackers gaining access to Tesla system in the past.  He said that preventing a ‘fleet-wide hack’ is Tesla’s top security priority.

At the National Governors Association last year, Musk gave some more interesting insights into Tesla’s security effort and especially related to once their vehicles become fully autonomous:  “I think one of the biggest concern for autonomous vehicles is somebody achieving a fleet-wide hack.”

He followed with an interesting example of what someone could do with that kind of access:
“In principles, if someone was able to say hack all the autonomous Teslas, they could say – I mean just as a prank – they could say ‘send them all to Rhode Island’ [laugh] – across the United States… and that would be the end of Tesla and there would be a lot of angry people in Rhode Island.”

The CEO said that Tesla developed “specialized encryption” for “multiple sub-systems” in the vehicle and they are developing something for drivers to always have “override authority” if your autonomous vehicle starts doing something “wacky.”

Following the Defcon hacking conference, Musk now says that Tesla plans to open-source its security software for free to other automakers ...

Edit:  and there’s a bit of back story on “Rhode Island,” too:  at the time Musk made that comment, Tesla was fighting for the right to open stores in the state. ;)

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 12, 2018, 03:55:34 PM »
Only marginally off topic, whilst chuckling at @Elon's "short shorts" joke on Twitter last night I spotted an extremely generous offer he was making, so I thought I might send him some of my humour in return once again:
Dear @Jack,

Last night (BST) I followed a link from @elonmusk's feed to "his" site giving away #BTC & #ETH. This morning I could resist the temptation no longer. I sent "Elon" 0.5 ETH, but I haven't even got those back yet.

Now I'm wondering if it's all a #cryptocurrency #scam?

For those here who are confused, here’s a bit more background:

'Mad Skillz' - Elon Musk Calls Out Ethereum Twitter Scambots -

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 12, 2018, 03:53:39 AM »
vincent (@vincent13031925).  8/11/18, 9:16 PM
Breaking News:Official video from China Shanghai government:

The Shanghai government will fully assist Tesla to build Gigafactory in China Shanghai Lingang and put it into production as soon as possible. $TSLA #TeslaChina #Tesla

The China Shanghai gov also declared that Tesla's 500,000 pure electric vehicles annual production are the largest foreign investment in Shanghai's history. Tesla is also the first 100% sole proprietorship of the foreign-invested company. $TSLA #TeslaChina #Tesla

On the other hand, several China's largest banks are actively negotiating with the Shanghai gov to provide partial financing support for Tesla's factory in Shanghai. At the same time, Tesla began to publish Shanghai factory recruitment information on major recruitment websites.
Image below. Video (Chinese) at the link.

Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 11, 2018, 08:50:13 PM »
Northeast U.S. offshore wind:
The initial [price] is so low that a nation of energy experts did a spit-take.

Offshore Wind is Getting Cheaper. Oh, and Much Sooner Than Expected
Last week [Aug 1, 2018], Massachusetts utilities disclosed in filings the prices they will pay for electricity from the Vineyard Wind project, an offshore wind farm that will be largest in the country.

The initial number is so low that a nation of energy experts did a spit-take.

The price is $74 per megawatt-hour in the first year and then increases 2.5 percent each subsequent year of the 20-year deal.

“I don’t know anyone who was expecting prices to be this low,” said Michael O’Boyle, electricity policy manager for Energy Innovation, a think tank. “I was extremely excited.”
Companies have stepped up their purchases of wind, solar and other clean energy this year, at a pace that far outstrips 2017.

Bloomberg New Energy Finance reported this week that corporate purchases of clean energy so far this year are at 7.2 gigawatts worldwide, up from 5.4 gigawatts in all of last year.

Of that total, 4.2 gigawatts is in the United States. That’s already a record. (The report is not available to the public.)

The Rocky Mountain Institute’s Business Renewables Center came to similar conclusions this week, finding that U.S. corporate purchases of clean energy by non-utility companies are at a record-breaking 3.86 gigawatts for the year.

The two reports use different frameworks for what gets counted, but they agree that the top U.S. purchaser is Facebook, which bought 1.1 gigawatts according to BNEF. AT&T was next with 820 megawatts.

The growth is because of a combination of falling prices for clean energy contracts and the growing popularity of corporate policies that call for 100 percent clean energy. It’s not new to say that large corporations are driving the market in a way that rivals the clean power investment happening because of state and national laws.

What is new is the sheer volume of these deals. We are in uncharted territory, as the world’s biggest consumers of energy take their interest in renewable energy into their own hands.

Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: August 11, 2018, 05:38:59 PM »
8/11/18, 10:33 AM
#NelsonFire [update] near Nelson Rd and Cherry Glen Rd, Vacaville (Solano County) is now 1000 acres and 70% contained. Unified Command: CAL FIRE Sonoma-Lake-Napa Unit, Solano County Fire
40-second video from tanker plane at the link.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 05:33:22 PM »
DEFCON is an amazing conference of hackers. Check out @defcon on Twitter for more.

“Kind of neat listening to @elonmusk talk about the future of automotive / space security at @defcon.  Serious call to action for the whole automotive industry, open source security, planet-wide internet via satellite constellations(!!!)”

“Shorties are analysing the pic to see if there are handcuff marks
 ;D ;D ;D ;D

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 05:00:52 PM »
The Big Short Burn ... Er, Explosion
Musk has said for years that Tesla would probably be better as a private company, and he reportedly tried to convince Japan’s SoftBank last year about helping to make this happen. In other words, the man has been working on this for a while. This is not a joke. The chance that he did indeed get enough of a financial commitment to bring this proposal to the Tesla board of directors and the public is close to 100%, in my humble opinion. If you absolutely think that’s not true, you may as well skip the rest of this article.

Perhaps the shorts with billions and billions on the line don’t want to believe the possibility of a short squeeze. Perhaps they are so obsessed with the idea that Elon Musk is a liar and a fraud that they can’t believe the simple tweets he sent earlier this week represent exactly what they say. If they are wrong, holy hell in a hot air ballon — this is going to be the most epic short squeeze in history.

ValueAnalyst (@ValueAnalyst1). 8/11/18, 8:10 AM
The reason why $TSLA squeeze “will be bigger” is because VW was always going to remain public. #Tesla will likely not. There may not be an “on the way back down” opportunity.

Policy and solutions / Re: Bikes, bikes, bikes and more...bikes
« on: August 11, 2018, 04:38:30 PM »
But electrocution would be so much more fun! But I take your point, although a lot of restaurants etc. may not have room even for a fold-up bike.

It’s also 42 lb (19 kg), so I hope it rolls nicely when folded!

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 04:23:18 PM »
”Very easy to inspect and very clean.”
Tesla Semi prototype spotted at truck inspection – it was ‘cleared’

“We like it.”
Tesla Semi spotted during CHP inspection while transporting Gigafactory cargo

Mercedes-Benz EQC all-electric SUV spied with less camouflage ahead of production unveiling

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 02:21:10 AM »
Do you understand for for Musk to claim that funding is secured and then it turns out that the board didn't know he was making such an announcement and is looking around for private investors is market manipulation, you know fraud?  How do you twist the facts around to make it not be scheme to squeeze shorts? I'll wait here for an answer.

Tesla board mulls plan to go private - BBC News.
Tesla's board has confirmed that it will consider the proposal by chief executive Elon Musk to take it private.
A statement was issued by six members of the electric carmaker's board after Mr Musk tweeted to say he had the funding to de-list the company.
The board had "met several times over the last week" to discuss going private, the statement said.
They said this "included discussion as to how being private could better serve Tesla's long-term interests".

Policy and solutions / Re: Bikes, bikes, bikes and more...bikes
« on: August 11, 2018, 02:08:47 AM »
Tough little folding electric bike.  Speeds up to 18 mph (29 km/h)?

2018 Oyama CX E8D II review: probably the nicest folding electric bicycle I’ve ever ridden

Does it have an "electrocute anyone trying to steal it" function? Here in Waterloo, Ontario (Canada) the bike thieves seem to be breeding like bunny rabbits.

I guess that’s the attraction of a folding bike:  you take it with you wherever you go.  ;)
Easy to fold, OYAMA folding bikes are also easy to set-up, getting you on the road or off in minimal time.
Folds up small, which means it’s easy to bring to the office, classroom, restaurant, shop, apartment, dorm, or even on the bus or train.

Consequences / Re: Climate change, the ocean, agriculture, and FOOD
« on: August 11, 2018, 01:52:46 AM »
The ocean is cooking off the Southern California coast. Here's why.
On Wednesday, the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego recorded its highest ocean temperature ever, of 79.2 degrees Fahrenheit.[26.2°C] Scientists have taken measurements off the marine institute's pier for over a century, since 1916.

This easily broke the previous record of 78.8 Scripps' measured last week. The chilled Pacific Ocean waters do warm up this time of year, but these unusual temperatures are still about 7 or 8 degrees above average.

"It's an extreme event," Clarissa Anderson, a biological oceanographer at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, said in an interview.

Some ocean temperatures, beyond Scripps, even breached 80 degrees. A National Weather Service buoy off the San Diego coast measured temperatures as high as 81.3 degrees, possibly the "highest buoy temperature ever recorded" in the state's waters, according to the weather agency. ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 01:31:50 AM »
Re Tesla shorts:

Video interview:  Kevin O'Leary: If I were short Tesla, I'd be sweating bullets
[Notes:  Loves his Model X, hates the stock.  Doesn’t think the legal concern about The Tweet will cause problems.  Good idea to lessen the burden of compliance for public stocks.]

<< …why is the number of shares available to short has increased today? Simply the broker's hidden inventory becoming available to short?

Ihor Dusaniwsky (@ihors3).  8/8/18, 6:11 PM
Don't get me started on "stock loan availability" ... Completely manipulated number by lenders to hide shares when market is tight/expensive so they can control who to give stock to & they increase shares available to push out stock during periods of easing rates.

Stock loan availability is no different than a car salesman telling you that there are only 2 red Teslas in the northeast, he has one of them & there is a guy coming to buy it this afternoon so you better open up your checkbook now, but there are actually 30 in his back lot

“Step on the gas!  Oh, this is a Tesla.  Sh*t!  Well, step on the prissy-pedal or we’re all gonna die!”
Lol - South Park - Tesla

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 01:28:27 AM »
“Do you think @elonmusk is joking about taking @Tesla private? What do you think!? Here is a clip from @CNN :”
[Notes:  Saudi Arabia is trying to diversify away from oil; there’s lots of sovereign money out there that wants to invest in alternative energy; “I’m gonna say this: climate change is so important that companies like Tesla HAVE to be  successful… ” our “thesis is based on having a product that will have a meaningful impact on the entire world.”]
Vladimir Grinshpun (@VGrinshpun).  8/10/18, 10:38 AM
Q2 filings from $TSLA institutional shareholders continue to trickle in. Another one of the top 10 reported increasing $tsla position in Q2 by 6.7% and 405,822 shares - Blackrock Inc.
Elon Musk Isn’t Wrong About the Public Markets - Bloomberg
He’s just a bad messenger for the right message.
If Elon Musk takes his electric car company and goes home, investors will be poorer for it.
Tesla Inc.’s colorful co-founder and CEO tweeted on Tuesday that he’s considering taking it private after complaining for years about life atop a public company. As Bloomberg News recalled on Tuesday, Musk expressed “his frustrations with having taken Tesla public” in an interview in January 2015 and has carped about the market several times since then.
Hours after the tweet, Musk laid out his beef with public markets in an email to Tesla employees. The gist is that 1) the volatility of Tesla’s stock is a distraction; 2) the scrutiny around quarterly earnings creates pressure to focus on short-term results at the expense of longer-term ones; and 3) short-sellers, or those who bet against the company, have an incentive to attack it.

How Elon Musk's SpaceX May Be Model for Tesla Going Private

Tesla board to formally review Elon Musk's plan to go private, TSLA reacts after hours
“What the board is doing is exactly what boards are supposed to do… They’ll evaluate the proposal from Musk and whoever is this investor and they’ll make their recommendation,” said Ross Gerber, chief executive of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management, which owns positions in Tesla.
“We’re estimating about a $20B cost to buy out the weaker shareholders, and I think they can get that money very easily,” he added. Gerber said he was shocked at the level of skepticism surrounding Musk’s deal and that his firm was confident in Musk’s financial backing.
Report: Tesla’s Board to Meet With Advisors About Take-Private Deal
August 9, 2018
Tesla’s board of directors plans to meet next week with financial advisors to discuss a plan to take the company private, according to a report from CNBC citing people familiar with the matter.
Musk tweeted this week that he would like to take the company private and has secured funding to do so. It’s not immediately clear where that funding will come from. The Securities and Exchange Commission has reportedly reached out to the company for further explanation.
The CNBC report says Musk will recuse himself from proposal reviews and will form his own separate set of advisors. Tesla’s board plans to develop a special committee to consider options, the report said.

Tesla’s Strengthening Case to go Private
   •   After processing Musk’s letter along with a number of other variables that have emerged, we believe there is a greater than 50% chance Tesla becomes a private company.
   •   A privately held Tesla has a greater chance of succeeding than if it remains publically held.
   •   While legal concerns about Musk’s use of “financing secured” could weigh on shares in the near-term. We do not believe he or the company are at legal risk.
   •   Our best guess is it will take $25-$30B to take Tesla private.
   •   We think there is a slight chance (10%) the $420 bid will be raised to satisfy current investors who would be unable to own Tesla privately.

Should Tesla be private?
The answer is yes for 2 reasons ….

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 12:48:37 AM »
Tesla has a convertible bond of US$920 million coming due in March next year, with a conversion price of $359.87. If at that time Tesla stock is worth less than the conversion price, Tesla will have to pay off the US$920 million - a significant amount of money given their current cash levels ($2.2 billion at the of Q2). It has been proposed that Musk is attempting to keep the share price above the conversion price for obvious (cash flow) reasons.

They could issue more stock (dilution) or issue more debt, but the debt would most probably have a significantly higher interest rate (especially if not a convertible) and/or the convertible price much richer for the lenders (i.e. lower) and therefore more dilutive.

Tesla have been increasing their accounts payable (reduces cash going out the door), have cut expected capital spending by $900M and cut 10% of staff - all of which look like a company attempting to conserve cash as much as possible.

Another perspective:

Musk plan to privatize Tesla pushes $2.3 billion of debt above conversion price | Reuters
"This is great news for any bondholder any way you spin it," said Ross Gerber, chief executive of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management who owns both the convertibles and the stock.  "Most of these bonds are convertible notes, so we can choose to convert into stock at a huge profit," he said. "This is a boon for any bondholder at Tesla, because most of the bonds are convertible notes."

Convertibles give bondholders the right to trade their debt for equity after shares rise over a certain set price.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 12:39:11 AM »
The US DOT has finalized rules that will require “quiet cars” (electrified vehicles) to emit “alert sounds” to warn pedestrians of their approach.

On the other hand pedestrians could actually look around and take note of their environment...

Person walking with a red flag anyone??

Blind individuals would love to “actually look around.”  But they cannot.  A red flag won’t help, either.

NHTSA estimates that the odds of a hybrid vehicle being involved in a pedestrian crash are 19 percent higher than those of a legacy vehicle. About 125,000 pedestrians and cyclists are injured each year on US roads.

“This rule strikes the right balance for automakers and for the blind community,” said Gloria Bergquist, a spokeswoman for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 11, 2018, 12:32:36 AM »
Apparently shorts are back in style at Tesla.

Tesla is still America's most shorted stock & shorts are up now as compared to last Monday, prior to Musk's short busting tweets.

BTW, why isn't everyone who believes Elon to be honest not buying his stock at these prices. As I understand it he's promised a buyout at $420. Shouldn't all believers be mortgaging their homes, cashing out their IRA's, and investing the kid's college fund in this can't lose investment?


Saidi Arabia just bought $3Billion of Tesla stock.  Institutional investors increased their Tesla holding substantially in Q2.  And yes, the “little guys” are buying more, too.

Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund had amassed a stake of 3-5 per cent this year, putting it among Tesla’s largest investors.

Consequences / Re: 2018 Droughts
« on: August 11, 2018, 12:12:28 AM »
A Mid-winter Drought in Australia
July 2018 was the driest July in Australia since 2002. The dry month exacerbated an ongoing drought that had already ruined large swaths of grazing land and cropland. New South Wales has been hit the hardest, according to a news reports. About 99 percent of the state was in drought heading into August.

Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: August 09, 2018, 09:48:06 PM »
Destructive Flood Risk in U.S. West Could Triple if Climate Change Left Unchecked
Rocky Mountain and Sierra Nevada communities are at risk from rapidly rising rivers, as ‘rain-on-snow’ flash floods become more frequent under climate change.
The research provides a grim analysis of a particularly destructive kind of extreme weather event called a "rain-on-snow" flood. Common in mountain regions—and increasing as temperatures rise—these events happen when heavy rains fall on top of deep snowpack, melting it and triggering intense floods.

California's Sierra Nevada Mountains, the Rocky Mountains west of Denver and parts of the Canadian Rockies are especially vulnerable, according to the research published Monday in Nature Climate Change.
Every Drop of Water Matters
These floods not only destroy property and crops, they wreak havoc for Western water managers, whose job it is to capture and store enough water for cities, ranchers and farmers to use during the dry summer. If the snowpack melts unexpectedly during a major rain-on-snow event—overwhelming dams and other infrastructure—then water supplies are lost.
Avalanches Are Changing, Too
In addition to projected increase in flooding, rain-on-snow events in the Colorado Rocky Mountains are creating unusual avalanches, according to Brian Lazar, a snow scientist with the Colorado Avalanche Information Center.

"Some of the patterns that we've been seeing and relied on for decades to forecast avalanche danger have been changing," he said. "Even in colder climates, we're seeing more rain on snow, more onset of avalanche in mid-winter and more frequent rain-on-snow events at higher elevations.  "We may see things we haven't observed in the historical record," he said.

In Switzerland, rain-on-snow events are unleashing whole new types of avalanches, made not just of snow, said Perry Barthelt, a researcher with the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research.

"We're starting to see cascading processes, snow avalanches turning into debris flows, ice avalanches turning into rock avalanches," he said. "We're getting flow types that you can't define to one particular category."  Switzerland is currently revising all its avalanche hazard maps with new climate data to reflect the changing risks.

"Snow is a very interesting material because it exists near its melting point. A small change in temperature has a tremendous influence on the mechanical properties of snow," Barthelt said.  "What we suspect is that we're going to see more of these mixed avalanche types. They are very difficult to predict, and to know how far into the valley they will go."

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 09, 2018, 09:39:30 PM »
Why Diesel Cars Are Spoiling Your Summer
Europeans aren’t just sweating through the long, hot summer. City dwellers may be coughing and wheezing more, too.

Diesel vehicles, which still command nearly half the market for new cars, are left with barely any pollution controls when temperatures soar above 35 degrees Celsius (95 Fahrenheit), according to France’s Petroleum and New Energies Research Institute. That means smog-inducing nitrogen oxide emissions that were at the center of the Volkswagen AG scandal spew into the environment unchecked.

“There are higher emissions of nitrogen oxides because the setups don’t work as well when it’s very hot,” said Gaetan Monnier, who heads the unit that led random government probes of cars after the VW scandal. “The atmosphere is also more reactive during a heatwave, making the level of cars’ emissions even more of an issue.” ...

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 09, 2018, 09:37:27 PM »
”We have attained the rated range. But only by crawling along, denied heating, A/C, stereo, HUD, lane-assist, wipers, headlights. Real-driving range is below 200 miles, I reckon.”

Top Gear’s big Jaguar I-Pace test part 5: how far can it actually go?

Looks like I will just have to wait for the Porsche then. Or perhaps own an EV and rent an ICEV for long journeys. Maybe I should start a business in "portable emergency battery chargers", could be massive demand for them as the number of electric cars grow.

All those options seem like good ones. :)

Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 09, 2018, 09:34:59 PM »
Tesla share price currently around $350.

$342 before announcement, so still up though not really significantly. So, seems like traders don't believe it will happen ?

Maybe short sellers are still in denial phase? or it is a very long way off with lots of major hurdles or .... what?

Those who study such things (or at least the ones I’ve seen on Twitter ;) ), seem to agree that the pro-Tesla and anti-Tesla groups are very entrenched in their positions, and rarely change.  To the pro-Tesla mind, shorts should be screaming to get out of their positions, but there has been little such activity yet.  However, the number of anti-Tesla tweets about production and sales has decreased considerably.  Waiting for the definitive shoe to drop, I guess.

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 240