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Messages - Sigmetnow

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1
Consequences / Re: California weather extremes and climate
« on: Today at 12:56:23 AM »
Latest snowpack numbers from 104 automated stations throughout California. Percentages are based off today's long term average of snow-water content. #CAwx
https://twitter.com/RobElvington/status/1073406053981642752

2
Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: Today at 12:52:58 AM »
U.S.:  South Carolina

Rain floods parts of Charleston area, more expected for afternoon commute
Quote
The downpours moved in before daylight. By late morning, areas from Johns Island to northern Mount Pleasant had collected between 2 and 3 inches of rain, easily shattering a daily record at the Charleston International Airport.
...
For the fourth time this year, Summerville shelter Dorchester Paws closed its doors to deal with 5 to 9 inches of standing water that flooded the facility’s parking lot and yards. The kennel scrambled to find temporary fosters. ...
https://www.postandcourier.com/news/rain-floods-parts-of-charleston-area-more-expected-for-afternoon/article_9f07b11a-ff99-11e8-88ef-cf93e3d05b70.html

3
The good news:
Hyundai Kona US price is $36,450 minus incentives, for 258-Mile CUV
https://electrek.co/2018/12/14/hyundai-kona-us-price-is-36450-minus-incentives-for-258-mile-cuv/
The bad news: Only available in CA and ZEV states. 
Article includes an Edmunds video comparing the Kona and the Bolt.

4
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: Today at 12:10:37 AM »
Why Can’t OEMs Dial It Up And Overtake Tesla In The EV Race?
Quote
WHY BIG AUTO JUST CAN’T SQUASH TESLA
In what must be one of the longest headlines in history, Bill MacDonald asks, “Why don’t bigger car companies such as Ford start producing electric cars, eliminating Tesla’s presence in the emerging market, thus claiming said market share for themselves?”

The answer, as MacDonald reveals in a recent article published in Quora, is simple: Because they can’t.
Many have mocked Tesla for “bleeding cash,” although Tesla would probably rather describe what’s been going on as “investing in new products.” As the legacy automakers expand their EV offerings, they will soon be bleeding cash as well, as one after another Big Auto exec has admitted.

Shifting production from ICE vehicles to EVs can’t be done by simply flipping a switch on the assembly line. “New battery and powertrain tech has to be engineered,” MacDonald writes. “Manufacturing for those parts has to be established. Supply chains for new types of raw materials have to be established. Platforms that accommodate efficient EV operation have to be engineered. Branding and marketing strategies have to be figured out. Shipping, sales, and service logistics and training have to be established. And in the end, the product can’t just be any EV. It has to be competitive with a Tesla.”

 
The old-school OEMs can choose to bed down on a rock – build new factories and logistics networks for EVs – or on a hard place – dismantle existing facilities and retool them to produce EVs. Either option is going to require massive new investment. How much? MacDonald figures it will cost “roughly the time and money that Tesla spent, minus some savings for being more efficient about it than Tesla has been. Even if you can do it 30% more efficiently than Tesla has done it, you are still talking about 11 figures [tens of billions].”

If and when the automotive giants do start producing EVs in volume, their woes will be just beginning. The greenie and techie early-adopter buyers have already gone electric, so once the volume market gets rolling, every buyer of an EV will be one less buyer for a dinosaur-burner. That means the automakers will be cannibalizing the ICE business that they are still paying big money to operate. Right now, they’re enjoying huge margins on gas cars, especially trucks and SUVs, but they aren’t able to earn anything like those margins on EVs – indeed they’re lucky to make any profit at all.

MacDonald sees that situation reversing over time. “The minute your EVs become competitive, you will slowly start making less and less money on ICEVs, as the volume drops and economies of scale reverse. The margins on ICE will dry up much faster than the margins on EV will grow. There will be a gap. During this gap, you will still be pouring cash into EV factories and logistics, while your profits have suddenly dried up.”

 
The worst parts of the story for the majors have to do with battery supplies and sales and support logistics. Today, only Tesla and BYD have control over their own battery cell supply chains (although Daimler has taken a step in the right direction with its acquisition of German battery-maker ACCUmotive). In order to secure enough batteries at a competitive price, the legacy brands will have to make massive investments of time as well as money, long before they start seeing much profit from EV sales.

Furthermore, the majors’ business model is based on franchise dealerships, which MacDonald calls “a way of subsidizing the sales and support logistics of making cars, via the heavy cost burden of routine service and non-warranty repair.” But service revenues for EVs are sure to be much lower. As Tesla has shown, they may turn out to be virtually non-existent. How are the automakers going to respond when their dealers lose their most reliable income stream? “If they have a higher cost of routine maintenance than Tesla, their cars will be seen as inferior and people will buy Teslas instead. If they match Tesla’s lack of maintenance [requirements], their sales operations will go out of business and they will have to spend even more money to build a non-franchise sales and service operation just like Tesla had to do.”

In the end, the old guard will end up in the same situation they’ve been knocking Tesla for: “burning cash and being unable to generate profits, staring at a massive chasm of time and money that stands between them and re-established profitability.”

Tesla just barely managed to cross this Valley of Death three times, and the giant automakers, which have access to plenty of capital, should be able to do so as well. But some current trends are ominous. Auto sales are slowly contracting as more people opt not to own vehicles. Trade wars and high tariffs are also hurting, as are the costs of trying to keep up with rising emissions standards in some key auto markets. Some of the smaller and/or less well capitalized brands may disappear.

As MacDonald sums up, the legacy automakers are facing a hard choice: “Keep making ICEs and slowly watch your profits get eaten by Tesla, BYD, Nio, etc, or risk a dangerously expensive crossing through a transition period of cash burn and negative margins.”
https://insideevs.com/oems-cant-overtake-tesla-ev-race/amp/

5
Policy and solutions / Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« on: December 13, 2018, 09:52:31 PM »
"High Ambition Coalition" #COP24 countries pledging to step up climate targets in 2020: EU, Canada, Costa Rica, Argentina, New Zealand, Mexico, Norway, island nations including Fiji and the Marshall Islands

Climate change talks lead to heightened pledge to cut emissions
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/12/un-chief-antonio-guterres-attempts-to-revive-flagging-climate-change-talks

Except Australia:
Australia turns back on allies as it refuses to cut emissions above Paris pledge
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/13/australia-turns-back-on-allies-as-it-refuses-to-cut-emissions-above-paris-pledge

6
Policy and solutions / Re: Bikes, bikes, bikes and more...bikes
« on: December 13, 2018, 09:30:30 PM »
Monowheel Z-One is a hilariously awesome looking electric monowheel
https://electrek.co/2018/12/13/vespa-inspired-electric-monowheel/

7
More Americans view climate change as 'imminent' threat: Reuters/Ipsos Poll
Quote
A growing percentage of Americans see climate change as an “imminent” threat driven mainly by human activity, and more than two-thirds want Washington to work with other nations to combat it, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Thursday.

The public concern over global warming in the United States clashes with President Donald Trump’s policies aimed at maximizing fossil fuels production and dismantling climate protections he views as too onerous and costly for industry. ...
https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN1OC1FX

8
Policy and solutions / Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« on: December 13, 2018, 09:04:30 PM »
Former U.S. Secretary of State Kerry, in Poland for COP24:
Quote
“Instead of tacitly accepting that inaction is preordained for the remaining two years of the Trump presidency, Congress should send Mr. Trump legislation addressing this crisis,” he wrote. “It will force him to make choices the American people will long remember: Will he say no to deploying solar technology that would turn the American West into the Saudi Arabia of solar? No to turning the Midwest into the Middle East of wind power? No to a manufacturing revolution that could put West Virginia back to work in ways that his beloved coal never will? Make him choose — and let’s find out.”
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/kerry-wont-blame-trump-alone-for-climate-punt-gore-expects-action-without-white-house-2018-12-13

9
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 13, 2018, 04:45:19 PM »
Will be interesting to compare the large energy storage containers shown in the photo to whatever is needed for the Tesla megachargers.

Porsche electric car prototype achieves new record 400 kW charge rate - Electrek
https://electrek.co/2018/12/13/porsche-electric-car-prototype-record-400-kw-charge-rate/

But will it work in the cold? ;)

Slow charging issues in cold weather: Kona, e-Niro, and i-Pace
youtu.be/9hzt0COEmL0

10
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 13, 2018, 02:47:40 PM »
Raise your hand if you saw this headline coming from a major financial publication:

Forbes!
How General Motors Can Survive And Compete With Tesla
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenkam/2018/12/11/how-general-motors-can-compete-with-tesla/


Elon Musk Is Getting the Last Laugh on Wall Street After a Wild 2018
Tesla told holders of $920 million of convertible debt due in March that it would settle the conversion with a 50-50 split between cash and stock, a sign that the company could be on the path to consistent profitability and positive cash flow generation going forward.
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2018-12-12/elon-musk-is-getting-last-laugh-on-wall-street-after-wild-2018?__twitter_impression=true


UBS Declares That “Tesla Has Won The Race And Leads The Championship” With EVs
https://cleantechnica.com/2018/12/12/ubs-declares-that-tesla-has-won-the-race-and-leads-the-championship-with-evs/


Quote
Since 2016, $TSLA shorts are down $6.73 billion in mark-to-market losses, which includes $841 million of stock borrow financing expenses.
https://twitter.com/ihors3/status/1072914937809391619

Shorts are down $450 mm in mark-to-market losses in Dec, down $2.3 bn YTD
https://twitter.com/ihors3/status/1072856742743236608


Zacks investment strategy session top pick is TSLA
https://twitter.com/konrad_bilinski/status/1072797320113201153
Image below.

11
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 13, 2018, 02:42:07 PM »
Porsche’s promised 20,000 EVs a year is not a threat to Tesla, which will sell five times that many this year of Model S and X alone. Plus about 140,000 Model 3....

20,000 Taycans is about 5% of the number of EVs Tesla will sell in 2019. 

There’s plenty of room for other companies who are starting to dip their toes into the market... which Tesla will dominate well into the next decade, and likely beyond.

12
Consequences / Re: 2018 Droughts
« on: December 12, 2018, 04:31:32 PM »
Communities are losing power or switching to diesel as water flow to hydroelectric plants runs low.

A Weird Severe Drought Is Affecting Alaska in One of the Wettest U.S. Locations
Quote
Severe drought has gripped one of the nation's wettest climates for months even though it has received more than 95 inches of precipitation this year.

Ketchikan, Alaska, has recorded 96.62 inches of precipitation (rain/melted snow) in 2018 through Dec. 10. In many parts of the United States that would be an extreme amount, but in Ketchikan that's 35.94 inches below average.
https://weather.com/news/climate/news/2018-12-11-weird-drought-alaska-ketchikan-wet-climate

13
U.S. Congressional Republicans’ long string of losses could now lead to some surprising wins for the climate.

“Currently, a Green New Deal and revenue-neutral carbon tax are the two leading U.S. climate policy legislative contenders. Both are popular – a recent poll found 68 percent of voters support a revenue-neutral carbon tax, and 76 percent support a carbon tax if the revenue were invested in renewable energy, as under a Green New Deal.”

Congress to confront climate/health care nexus
https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2018/12/congress-to-confront-climate-change-health-care-nexus/

14
Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: December 12, 2018, 04:13:59 PM »
Flooding from Hurricane Harvey in Houston, Texas last year.

Houston_First won’t recover from the economic hit until well into the next decade.

Houston First Tightens Belt To Pay Off Harvey Damage
https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/articles/news/2018/12/11/315061/houston-first-tightens-belt-to-pay-off-harvey-damage/

Cross-posted from Hurricane 2018 thread

15
Consequences / Re: Hurricane season 2018
« on: December 12, 2018, 04:10:56 PM »
U.S.

Houston_First won’t recover from the economic hit of Hurricane Harvey until well into the next decade.

Houston First Tightens Belt To Pay Off Harvey Damage
https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/articles/news/2018/12/11/315061/houston-first-tightens-belt-to-pay-off-harvey-damage/

16
Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: December 12, 2018, 03:47:45 PM »
CAL FIRE Chief says 1) some areas should be off-limits to housing, 2) citizens should be prepared to shelter in place, 3) the agency is having a "sea change" about prescribed fire, 4) firefighters are "living climate change"

Cal Fire chief: State must mull home ban in fire-prone areas
Quote
Cal Fire Director Ken Pimlott will leave his job Friday after 30 years with the agency. In an interview with The Associated Press, he said government and citizens must act differently to protect lives and property from fires that now routinely threaten large populations.

That may mean rethinking subdivisions in thickly forested mountainous areas or homes along Southern California canyons lined with tinder-dry chaparral. Los Angeles County supervisors on Tuesday were considering whether to allow a 19,000-home development in fire-prone mountains amid heavy criticism of the location's high fire danger.

California residents should also train themselves to respond more quickly to warnings and make preparations to shelter in place if they can't outrun the flames, Pimlott said.

Communities in fire zones need to harden key buildings with fireproof construction similar to the way cities prepare for earthquakes, hurricanes or tornadoes, and should prepare commercial or public buildings to withstand fires with the expectation hundreds may shelter there as they did in makeshift fashion when flames last month largely destroyed the Sierra Nevada foothills city of Paradise in Northern California. ...
https://www.kcra.com/article/cal-fire-chief-state-must-adapt-to-new-wildfire-norm/25475297

Cross-posted from Wildfires thread

17
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: December 12, 2018, 03:46:47 PM »
CAL FIRE Chief says 1) some areas should be off-limits to housing, 2) citizens should be prepared to shelter in place, 3) the agency is having a "sea change" about prescribed fire, 4) firefighters are "living climate change"

Cal Fire chief: State must mull home ban in fire-prone areas
Quote
Cal Fire Director Ken Pimlott will leave his job Friday after 30 years with the agency. In an interview with The Associated Press, he said government and citizens must act differently to protect lives and property from fires that now routinely threaten large populations.

That may mean rethinking subdivisions in thickly forested mountainous areas or homes along Southern California canyons lined with tinder-dry chaparral. Los Angeles County supervisors on Tuesday were considering whether to allow a 19,000-home development in fire-prone mountains amid heavy criticism of the location's high fire danger.

California residents should also train themselves to respond more quickly to warnings and make preparations to shelter in place if they can't outrun the flames, Pimlott said.

Communities in fire zones need to harden key buildings with fireproof construction similar to the way cities prepare for earthquakes, hurricanes or tornadoes, and should prepare commercial or public buildings to withstand fires with the expectation hundreds may shelter there as they did in makeshift fashion when flames last month largely destroyed the Sierra Nevada foothills city of Paradise in Northern California. ...
https://www.kcra.com/article/cal-fire-chief-state-must-adapt-to-new-wildfire-norm/25475297

Cross-posted in Places thread

18
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 12, 2018, 02:34:40 PM »
Tesla noted in its Q3 2018 Update Letter that the mid-sized premium sedan market in Europe is “more than twice as big as the same segment in the US.”

Tesla will be shipping 3k Model 3 to Europe every week by Feb 2019: report
Quote
Reports have now emerged from local media that Tesla would be shipping 3,000 vehicles per week to Europe starting February 2019. Belgian news agency Focus-WTV, for one, stated that the electric cars would be arriving every week in the port of Zeebrugge, which is located on the coast of Belgium (special thanks to Tesla owner-enthusiast Hans Noordsij, who tipped Teslarati off about the Focus-WTV report). The local news outlet noted that the electric cars are shipped through the services of transportation firm International Car Operators (ICO), which operates a site on the Zeebrugge docks.

ICO’s operations are particularly notable as the company uses RoRo (roll-on, roll-off) ships, which are capable of loading and unloading cargo in a quick manner. The transportation of Tesla’s vehicles from the United States to Zeebrugge will reportedly take about 15 days, with the route going through the Panama Canal. Upon arriving at the coastal port, the electric cars would be distributed across Tesla’s delivery centers in Europe. ICO is reportedly investing 2.5 million euros ($2.83 million) to accommodate the influx of Tesla’s vehicles as well. …
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-3-europe-3k-per-week-february-2019-report/

A Tesla employee at a prep facility in Norway says the cars received at his location alone is expected to reach 5 digits in Q1....
https://twitter.com/mikeonink/status/1068286854062051328

Edit: for context, Tesla number 30,000 was recently registered in Norway
Source: https://twitter.com/nasalahe/status/1072861867285065729

19
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 11, 2018, 07:39:02 PM »
This Detroit automotive critic and active race car driver doesn't believe in climate change. He even bleeds oil. So, why did he buy a Tesla Model 3?
https://insideevs.com/hardcore-gearhead-buys-a-tesla-model-3-video/amp/
Article with (lengthy) video — this segment ‘officially’ starts around 7 minutes in, goes to ~45:00

Edit: adding new article:
FUTURIST AND BEST-SELLING AUTHOR RECONSIDERS THE AUTO INDUSTRY AFTER DRIVING A TESLA
Quote
Daniel Burrus … recounts that he’d also taken test drives with the newest SUVs from BMW, Mercedes, Porsche, and Cadillac. “However, it was when I drove the Tesla Model X that I felt like I was driving in the future. After that test drive, my view of the other brands was changed. All the others instantly felt like the past”….
https://insideevs.com/tesla-model-x-test-drive-unusual-phenomenon/amp/

Tesla is launching a new retail offensive with a focus on malls
The automaker now appears to be doubling down on locations inside malls as it now expands to smaller and less ‘high-end’ malls.
https://electrek.co/2018/12/10/tesla-stores-focus-malls/

Tesla received HIGHEST RATING in Guangzhou (China) new energy consumption survey report.
https://teslatopinfo.com/2018/12/10/tesla-received-highest-rating-in-guangzhou-china-new-energy-consumption-survey-report/

Daimler to buy $23 billion of battery cells for electric car drive
https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN1OA0OG
    “20 billion euros worth of battery cells by 2030” sounds impressive — but it’s only enough for 3 or 4 million EVs.
Quote
… Point is that the number of EVs @Daimler is planning to produce *in total through 2030* is about the same as what @Tesla will be producing *per year* by 2021/22. In other words, #Tesla is a full decade ahead of its competitors.
https://twitter.com/valueanalyst1/status/1072501443582717953

Forget Tesla Buying A GM Factory, Tesla Could Buy GM
https://cleantechnica.com/2018/12/11/forget-tesla-buying-a-gm-factory-tesla-could-buy-gm/

20
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 11, 2018, 07:30:37 PM »
Almost 5,000 Plug-In Electric Cars Were Sold In UK In November
Market share was maintained at 3%
https://insideevs.com/plug-in-cars-sold-uk-november/amp/


Further illustrating the shift from hybrids to pure BEVs:
Chevy Volt Was A Huge Success In Certain Areas Of U.S.
Volt was Chevrolet’s ace in some ZIP codes, which are now dominated by Tesla.
Quote
And arguably, the first mass-market, long-range EV. Technically, it was a plug-in hybrid (with a range-extending gas engine that added another 300 miles) but for many owners it provided enough battery-only range (up to 40-45 miles) that it was a pure EV most of the time.”

“GM would not have penetrated those upscale, foreign-brand-dominated neighborhoods with any other car, save possibly the Cadillac.”

Now, the situation changes as customers are switching to the Tesla Model 3 on a mass scale in the Los Angeles area. “Those same neighborhoods are now home to a decent number of Volts, a smattering of Bolts, and lots of Tesla Model 3s. The latter is quickly overtaking the Volt — and displacing older hybrids like the Toyota Prius.”

The answer for the future of GM in California must then be a new high-profile electric car that would be able to compete with the Tesla Model 3.
https://insideevs.com/chevy-volt-huge-success-certain-areas-of-u-s/amp/


97% of Auto Mechanics Can’t Work on Electric Cars, New Report Concludes
Quote
Recently published studies from the UK’s Institute of the Motor Industry (IMI) revealed that as many as 97% of active auto mechanics aren’t qualified to work on electric cars. Worse, of that 3% of auto mechanics who are qualified, the vast majority of them are employed at manufacturer dealerships, presenting prospective EV buyers with very limited service options.

In addition to limiting the options for electric car buyers, the lack of qualified techs is also posing a problem for regulators. Simply put: if you don’t have anyone to work on EVs, how will you keep them running once they’re all that’s allowed?
https://cleantechnica.com/2018/12/10/97-of-auto-mechanics-cant-work-on-electric-cars-new-report-concludes/

21
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: December 11, 2018, 07:21:55 PM »
By the Reno [Nevada] Gazette.

It's big, loud and secretive: We got a tour of Tesla's Gigafactory and here's how it works
https://www.rgj.com/story/news/2018/12/10/reno-sparks-nevada-tesla-gigafactory-factory-model-3-sedan-jobs/2211115002/
With photos and video.

22
Policy and solutions / Re: Solar Roadways
« on: December 11, 2018, 06:45:06 PM »
A technical update on Solar Roadways panels version 4 has been posted.
SR4 increases wattage to 50W with 22.5-percent efficient solar cells.
Extract:
Quote
Civil Engineering Tests Completed

As part of our third contract with the US Department of Transportation, our panels have been undergoing testing at the civil engineering department at Marquette University in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. They performed the following tests:

Shear testing
Freeze/Thaw cycling
Moisture conditioning
Accelerated load testing (simulates 15-years of truck abuse in 3-months)

They were so impressed by the results of the testing that they want to co-author a journal paper with us about the overall test program. We’ll be releasing the findings in a scientific engineering journal.
http://www.solarroadways.com/Blog/Show?b=Scott2

From the Brusaw’s Facebook page:
“Thank you to all of you, our supporters, who are always there with a word of encouragement and support as we work to get to full production. We are working hand in hand with our first Manufacturing Partners in Ohio, collaborating on production decisions as we get closer to full production. The first panels will likely be available during the first half of 2019.”

23
Quote
Eric Holthaus: "Our time demands a world-changing vision of a courageous future that works for everyone. This 3-min clip from @Ocasio2018 is the best I've seen at articulating what we need right now, and groups like @sunrisemvmt and @ExtinctionR are making it happen. We are in this together.”
Quote
‘The only way we are going to get out of this situation is by choosing to be courageous.’ — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1070706429978263552
https://twitter.com/EricHolthaus/status/1071852521898082304

24
Policy and solutions / Re: Coal
« on: December 11, 2018, 06:17:41 PM »
U.S.

A Coal Ash Spill Made These Workers Sick. Now, They're Fighting for Compensation.
After a big jury verdict, the Kingston workers now have to tie each illness to toxics in the coal ash. It has parallels to the 9/11 recovery crew cases.
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/04122018/toxic-coal-ash-spill-illness-verdict-kingston-tennessee-cleanup-workers-compensation

25
Policy and solutions / Re: Energy Efficiency: The “First Fuel”
« on: December 11, 2018, 06:10:11 PM »
From the grid’s point of view, choosing to NOT use energy from the grid at a particular point in time... is the same as feeding energy into the grid and simultaneously consuming it.

How the Humble Home Water Heater Could Play a Big Role in Energy Storage
Quote
One concept that often trips people up when thinking about using water heaters as batteries is that water heaters are not, in fact, batteries. An electric vehicle has a battery, so it’s easy to see how an EV could be used to take, and give back, energy to the grid. Scale that up to millions of vehicles, and now you have a very large battery to charge up, or discharge, at opportune times.

But how does this work with a humble appliance, like a water heater? Moreover, in the PGE-BPA study, the majority of the 600 test events consisted of a signal sent to customer water heaters to simply not start heating. “Don’t heat now!”—says the signal (by the way, we’’ll heat you up a bit later). To most, this may sound minor. After all, the water heater is not, in fact, putting energy back into the grid. But, it might as well be.

“You see, this has the exact same effect as an actual battery,” Eustis said. “I mean, what do you do with a battery? You choose when you put energy in, and you choose when you take it out. So simply choosing not to use as much energy is equivalent to taking energy out of a battery. The heater goes cold. Later, when we have that cold water at hand, we can choose to put excess energy back in from the grid, from solar for instance, to heat it up. From the viewpoint of the grid, it’s identical to a battery.” In other words, a fleet of water heaters can be used as a virtual battery. ...
https://www.routefifty.com/smart-cities/2018/12/water-heaters-power-grid-storage/153391/

26
Satirical report from the Onion:

Study Finds 79% Of Statistics Now Sobering
https://www.theonion.com/study-finds-79-of-statistics-now-sobering-1819576831

27
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: December 11, 2018, 05:44:57 PM »
Net-Zero Energy Homes Pay Off Faster Than You Think—Even in Chilly Midwest U.S.
Quote
Net-zero-energy homes—homes that are so efficient a few rooftop solar panels can produce all the electricity the home needs—can be built almost anywhere, even in places with brutal winters.

His case is bolstered by a recent report from the Rocky Mountain Institute showing net-zero energy houses can make financial sense in much of the Midwest as costs for some of the key components fall. The initial extra costs of making a new home a net-zero energy home pay for themselves through energy savings in less than a decade in both Detroit and Columbus, Ohio, and in less than 14 years in most of the 50 largest U.S. cities, the report says. ...
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/10122018/net-zero-energy-efficiency-home-infographic-solar-pay-off-years-midwest-detroit-chicago-columbus

28
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 10, 2018, 12:51:36 AM »
GM fights to retain key U.S. tax credit amid plant closing plans | Chicago Sun-Times
Quote
... Under federal law, the $7,500 credit for buyers begins to phase out after a manufacturer has sold 200,000 qualifying electric vehicles. GM has estimated it will hit that threshold by the end of December, just as the Bolt will be facing new and potentially stiff competition.

Sam Abuelsamid, a senior analyst at Navigant Research, said Hyundai and Kia each will be selling compact SUVs in the U.S. beginning early next year that can travel 240 miles on a single battery charge, about the same as the Bolt. Ford will be launching a number of new plug-in hybrid models in 2019, including the Lincoln Aviator, Explorer and Escape.

“With the intensifying market shift away from cars to utility vehicles all of these are expected to be more popular than the Bolt,” Abuelsamid said. To remain competitive against the new entries, “GM will likely have to cut the (retail price) of the Bolt as well as any additional EVs they launch next year by the corresponding reduction in the tax credits,” he said. ...
https://chicago.suntimes.com/business/gm-general-motors-tax-credit-plant-closing/

29
Australia

NSW MP says NO MORE coal mines.  Brief video.
Quote
Jeremy Buckingham  (@greensjeremy)
12/6/18, 6:20 AM
The devastating destruction of the Maules Creek coal mine near Boggabri. This was the last new coal mine approved and built in NSW. It should be the last new coal mine ever! #nswpol #coal #auspol
https://twitter.com/greensjeremy/status/1070639083687309312

30
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 09, 2018, 06:44:53 PM »
Ford and VW considering an expansive alliance likely to echo across the global auto industry
Quote
Barring a last-minute hitch, two of the world's largest automakers plan to announce a far-reaching alliance shortly after the new year, one that will cover a wide swath of territory and a broad range of technologies, new and old.
The deal will serve as something of a jointly played jigsaw puzzle, allowing Ford Motor and Volkswagen to leverage their strengths and offset weaknesses at a time when the global automotive industry is facing not only traditional competitive challenges but the risks posed by massive technological transformation. Among the key elements expected to be part of the deal will be a cooperative effort to bring to market electrified and autonomous vehicles, something each of the companies already has spent billions of dollars developing.

VW is"considering building a second car plant" that would supplement the automaker's existing facility in Chattanooga, Tennessee that has already doubled in size since opening in 2011.
But there appear to be other options Volkswagen is considering as it moves forward with talks with Ford. That includes the possibility of taking over one of the American company's existing, underutilized assembly plants. It is also possible, several sources close to the talks have hinted, that VW could wind up sharing more than one plant with Ford.

About the only thing off the table, said an executive with frequent C-suite access, is any sort of cross-equity swap.
Along with the possible collaborations on vans and other commercial vehicles, the talks now have expanded to include:
   •   The sharing of assembly plants in the U.S. and other markets;
   •   The possibility of combining marketing and distribution operations that would leverage each company's strengths. Ford could play lead in the U.S., for one thing, while VW would be dominant in Europe and China, both markets where the American carmaker is struggling;
   •   They may work jointly on products in other segments. While VW has been struggling to expand its presence in the booming light truck market, that's one of Ford's real strengths;
   •   Perhaps the most far-reaching collaboration would see Ford and Volkswagen partner up on the development of autonomous and electrified vehicles.

In the wake of its embarrassing diesel emissions scandal — which cost VW about $30 billion in the U.S. alone — the carmaker has become such a believer in electrification that it has indicated a new family of internal combustion engines will be the last developed specifically to run on gasoline or diesel, with the German manufacturer planning to go all-electric by 2030.

The cost is staggering, Diess recently announcing its commitment will cost at least $50 billion over the next decade. Pairing development efforts and parsing up costs could be one of the biggest payoffs from the planned alliance between Ford and VW, experts like David Cole, director-emeritus of the Center for Automotive Research, believe.
The same is the case with autonomous technology. Ford, for its part, has committed $4 billion to autonomous driving, including the $1 billion acquisition of Pittsburgh-based autonomous vehicle development company Argo AI. The U.S. automaker also plans to invest $740 million to transform the long-abandoned Michigan Central Depot — a symbol of Motor City blight — and other buildings nearby into the headquarters of its new subsidiary, Ford Autonomous Vehicles.
"A lot of these things are very long-term, 10, 15, 20 years away," said Cole. "And the challenge is figuring out how to afford that in the near-term."

Ford and VW are by no means the only ones looking for synergies that could overcome traditional rivalries. Two months ago, Honda signed on as a partner with General Motors' autonomous vehicle program, investing $750 million in its Cruise Automation subsidiary and committing to spend nearly $2 billion more over the next decade. The Japanese and American makers previously formed a joint venture aimed at the development and production of fuel-cell technology.
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/12/08/an-expansive-ford-vw-alliance-could-echo-across-global-auto-industry.html

31
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 09, 2018, 03:03:34 PM »
The Tesla Gigafactory 1 is producing battery cells, Powerwalls, Powerpacks, battery packs for the Model 3, and drive units for the Model 3.

Tesla opens the doors of Gigafactory 1, shows battery cell, pack, and drivetrain production
Quote
Tesla is offering a rare glimpse inside Gigafactory 1 by opening the doors to the local media following a report on the impact of the plant’s rapid expansion on the local community. We get to see Panasonic’s battery cell production and Tesla’s battery pack and drivetrain production.

According to a new report from the Governor’s Office of Economic Development (GOED), Tesla has exceeded expectations based on all metrics in regards to their deal with the state to establish the factory in the state.

In the report, they state that Tesla “permanently changed the economic landscape of the area”....
https://electrek.co/2018/12/08/tesla-gigafactory-1-battery-cell-pack-drivetrain-production/


90-second video:
Here's our tour inside Tesla's Gigafactory, from battery cells to drive trains
Chris Lister, vice president of operations of the Tesla Gigafactory, provides insight during a tour on Dec. 3, 2018.
https://www.rgj.com/videos/news/2018/12/06/tesla-gigafactory-videotour/2222339002/

32
Policy and solutions / Re: The Boring Company
« on: December 08, 2018, 10:15:46 PM »
Elon Musk’s Boring Company extracts TBM segments as tunnel debut nears
https://www.teslarati.com/elon-musk-boring-company-boring-machine-segment-removal-complete-tunnel-debut/

Elon Musk’s Boring Company to unveil ‘fully road legal autonomous transport cars’
https://electrek.co/2018/12/06/elon-musk-boring-company-fully-road-legal-autonomous-transport-cars/

The Boring Company starts building Elon Musk’s ‘Monty Python’-style watchtower
Quote
Last month, Elon Musk announced that The Boring Company is building a watchtower in Los Angeles, and that the tunneling startup would need someone who can “yell insults at people in a French accent” to work on the site. As strange and unusual as the job listing was, a position for “Watchtower Guard” did appear on the Boring Company’s official website.

The watchtower that the knight would be placed at is expected to be built with Boring Bricks, which are durable, low-cost blocks made from tunneling rock and dirt from TBC’s digging operations. As Elon Musk and The Boring Company shared images and clips of the guards’ hiring process, the tunneling startup appears to have started the construction of its watchtower as well. Recent photos taken by Teslarati photographer Pauline Acalin reveal that as of Tuesday, the framework of a tall structure near the Boring Company’s tunnels is already in the process of being built.
https://www.teslarati.com/elon-musk-the-boring-company-monty-python-watchtower-pictures/
Article explains the pop culture references and a relevant ‘Month Python’ video clip. ;)

33
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 08, 2018, 10:03:45 PM »
Exclusive: Tesla, smarting from trade war, seeks bids for China Gigafactory construction
Quote
SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Tesla Inc has opened a tender process to build its Shanghai Gigafactory and at least one contractor has started buying materials, according to sources and documents reviewed by Reuters, the clearest indication that construction is imminent.

The details, previously unreported, reveal that state-owned Shanghai Construction Group Co Ltd is taking part in the bidding while a unit of China Minmetals Corp Ltd is preparing materials for the plant's foundations.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-tesla-china-exclusive-idUSKBN1O50IY

 
Tesla to start production at Gigafactory 3 within a year, says Shanghai Mayor after Tesla visit
Quote
The Shanghai government issued an official statement today following a meeting with Tesla executives and they said that the automaker should start production, at least partially, at Gigafactory 3 during the second half of 2019.
https://electrek.co/2018/12/06/tesla-start-production-gigafactory-3/

 
Tesla Model 3 production in Gigafactory 3 to begin in second half of 2019: report
Quote
Local media outlet Caijing.com noted that the factory is about to begin construction, particularly since the 864,885-square meter plot of land in the Lingang Industrial Zone has been leveled. In a post on its official WeChat account, the Shanghai government further indicated that Mayor Ying Yong and Vice Mayor Wu Qing have met with Tesla’s leaders in China while checking the company’s new vehicles like the Model 3. During their visit, the Shanghai officials reportedly encouraged parties involved in the project to expedite the construction of Gigafactory 3 even more. ...
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-3-production-gigafactory-3-second-half-2019-local-reports/



EVs, and Teslas in particular, are becoming popular as police vehicles, given their lower cost of fuel and maintenance, and their quietness and quickness. Examples are listed in the first article below.

Tesla Model S becomes sneaky undercover police car
https://electrek.co/2018/12/05/tesla-model-s-undercover-police-car/

Watch a Tesla Model X electric SUV becoming a police vehicle
https://electrek.co/2018/12/02/tesla-model-x-police-vehicle/

34
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 08, 2018, 09:45:57 PM »
Volkswagen to cut another $3.4 billion in costs to boost margins
Quote
WOLFSBURG, Germany (Reuters) - Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) announced another 3 billion euros ($3.4 billion) of cost cuts on Thursday in an effort to speed up an improvement in profit margins at its core VW brand.

Still battling to recover from a 2015 scandal over emissions test cheating, the German automaker has been cutting costs to fund an ambitious shift to electric cars and automated driving.

A key goal is to improve margins at its mass-market VW brand, its largest division by sales, but which has long lagged the profitability of rivals such as Japan's Toyota due in part to high labor costs at its German plants.

"By 2020 we will achieve three billion euros in cost savings, and now aim for a further three billion euros by 2023," Arno Antlitz, the board member responsible for finance at the VW brand, told a press conference in Wolfsburg, Germany.

That should help the brand reach a profit margin of at least six percent by 2022, three years earlier than previously planned, the company added. ...
https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN1O50TU

Would these changes be fast enough to save VW?  Some think not.

35
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: December 08, 2018, 09:28:38 PM »
California clears final hurdle for state's landmark solar panel mandate for new homes
Quote
A requirement for new homes built in California starting in 2020 to include solar electric systems is now formally part of the state's building code.
• It follows approval Tuesday by the California Building Standards Commission of a plan endorsed in May by a state energy panel.
• California is the first state in the nation to mandate solar-energy installations on most single-family homes as well as multi-family residential buildings.
...
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/06/california-clears-final-hurdle-for-state-solar-mandate-for-new-homes.html

36
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 08, 2018, 09:10:28 PM »
“60 Minutes” program segment with Musk interview is set to air this Sunday evening.
Tesla would consider buying shuttered GM factories [again], says Elon Musk
https://electrek.co/2018/12/07/tesla-consider-buying-shuttered-gm-factories-elon-musk/


https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1070379185921757186.html
Thread by @tsrandall: "A few quick thoughts on Tesla's 2018 production. Bloomberg's Tesla Model 3 tracker shows growth slowing but stabilizing in Q4. It looks like Tesla is on track to beat Q3 by ~10-15%—somewhere in the range of 60k cars


Quote
Leif Johansson (@Nossnahojfiel1) 12/5/18, 11:37 AM
Tesla opened their orderbocks in Sweden today. I ordered one in less than 2 minutes. My friends are now calling, I tell them I was first. Haven't seen the car but I'm so happy with my old Tesla due to superior quality! Not a dime in service costs, on 170.000km.
https://twitter.com/nossnahojfiel1/status/1070356498277130240
Quote
ValueAnalyst (@ValueAnalyst1) 12/5/18, 11:47 AM
More than a hundred thousand Europeans will pay #Tesla $2,500 when they order the #Model3 this weekend. You do the math.
Dec31 cash balance will surprise.
https://twitter.com/valueanalyst1/status/1070359117968084993
Quote
Juan Manuel Micó (@_juanmax_) 12/5/18, 12:00 PM
Tesla.com unresponsive. Either doing SW changes or too many europeans trying to access it.
https://twitter.com/_juanmax_/status/1070362409439846401


Omar Carmenates (@OmarCarmenates) 12/6/18, 8:26 AM
Ugh, the #teslastretch strikes again! ;D 31-days ago (pre-trial period) you couldn’t have convinced me that I needed Autopilot. After helping my wife through a bad fog and easing anxiety in traffic, I realize now that EAP is an investment in safety more than just a fun novelty.
https://twitter.com/omarcarmenates/status/1070670875261853697
Image at the link:  Activating Autopilot via OTA update:  “Will take less than 1 minute.  Leave car in ‘Park’.”



Correction: Tesla Nailed Original Model 3 Production Plan
Thousands or tens of thousands of Tesla Model 3 buyers got their cars sooner than originally expected. Tesla did achieve its original Model 3 production plan.
https://cleantechnica.com/2018/12/06/correction-tesla-nailed-original-model-3-production-plan/

37
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 08, 2018, 08:50:47 PM »
VW's Electrify America opens California's first 350kW ultra-fast charger, before cars can actually use it
Quote
Yesterday, Electrify America opened California’s first 350kW quick charge location. The bank of chargers includes nine CCS plugs and one CCS-CHAdeMO plug, and while most of them have an already-quick 150kW rate, two CCS plugs are capable of ultra-fast 350kW charging.  ...
https://electrek.co/2018/12/06/electrify-america-first-350kw-charger-california/

Meaning, there are no EVs that can use the 350kW charger — but plenty can use the others. :)

Time will tell whether the duplicate plugs on each stanchion (only one plug can be used at a time) really help to fit different models of EVs... or whether they are more useful to address plug failure and lax station maintenance, which are common complaints today regarding charging infrastructure.

38
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: December 08, 2018, 08:30:40 PM »
Canadian Natural (CNQ) Slashes Capex Amid Pipeline Pinch - Nasdaq.com
Quote
Notably, Canadian Natural is the first major company in Canada to slash its 2019 capex. In fact, considering the current state of affairs in the Canadian oil industry, it would not come much as a surprise if most of its peers like Imperial Oil Limited IMO , Suncor Energy Inc SU , Cenovus Energy Inc CVE , among others, make similar capex-cut announcements.

Although the company has stated its plans to ramp up spending levels, in case the crude prices in Canada witness a rebound or energy infrastructure improves, it will still take some time. In fact, the uncertain state of Canada's oil industry recently prompted the Alberta government to order production cuts across the province, in a bid to deal with the supply glut. 

As we know, pipeline construction in Canada has failed to keep pace with rising domestic oil, forcing producers to sell their products at a discounted rate. While oil production is surging in Canada, the country's exploration and production companies remain out of favor, primarily due to the scarcity of pipelines. The infrastructural bottlenecks have resulted in a supply glut situation. This has forced producers to give away their products in the United States - Canada's major market - at a discounted rate. The price gap between Alberta's Western Canada Select and the New York-traded West Texas Intermediate is currently around $20 a barrel. However, with quite a few pipelines coming online next year along with the government's plans to curb output, things may gradually work better for the Canadian oil industry. ...
https://www.nasdaq.com/article/canadian-natural-cnq-slashes-capex-amid-pipeline-pinch-cm1066131

39
Policy and solutions / Re: Ships and boats
« on: December 08, 2018, 08:23:36 PM »
World’s largest container shipping group Maersk pledges to cut all carbon emissions...by 2050
Quote
According to an FT report, Maersk’s COO heralded the news:
“We will have to abandon fossil fuels. We will have to find a different type of fuel or a different way to power our assets. This is not just another cost-cutting exercise. It’s far from that. It’s an existential exercise, where we as a company need to set ourselves apart. We’ve been able to absorb the last 10 years’ growth without adding to CO2 emissions. It’s a good starting point but it’s not enough . . . Not just governments and countries, but also companies and industries need to make a change. The maritime industry and Maersk need to take their responsibility,” he added.

Maersk spun off its Oil division earlier this year to Total. That in of itself rid the company of the footprint of about 600,000 barrels of oil a day. ...
https://electrek.co/2018/12/06/maersk-carbon-emissions/

“While 2050 is more than a generation away, the 20-25 year life cycle of these ships means that Maersk must start building these zero carbon ships exclusively in 2025-2030 which is just 7-12 years off.”

40
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 08, 2018, 08:16:45 PM »
Jaguar I-PACE achieves 5-star safety rating, watch the horrific crash test videos
https://electrek.co/2018/12/07/jaguar-i-pace-safety-rating-crash-test/
Video includes Automatic Emergency Braking test; pedestrian and cyclist avoidance, and lane-keeping.

41
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 08, 2018, 08:05:58 PM »
Infrastructure.

How Alaska fixed its earthquake-shattered roads in just days
Quote
“Our asphalt plants were all shut down for the winter,” McCarthy says. Thick and tarry, asphalt needs to be heated up from a solid form before it can be spread out in a thick layer to make a road. But Alaska in late fall is bitterly cold, and frozen asphalt can take a week or longer to melt into a sticky, pliable material. Soon after the earthquake struck, owners of asphalt plants switched on their heaters. “We were fortunate that they did that.” McCarthy says. “By the time we’d finished the earthworks, the asphalt plants were ready to go.”
https://www.theverge.com/2018/12/8/18128983/alaska-earthquake-roads-fixed-anchorage-damage

42
U.S.:

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and House freshmen are protesting congressional orientation
• The future lawmakers have staged rallies and are tweeting their protests of the bipartisan events, which are cosponsored by the American Enterprise Institute and the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
• "Lobbyists are here. Goldman Sachs is here.   Where's labor? Activists? Frontline community leaders?" Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez tweeted Thursday.
https://www.businessinsider.com/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-and-house-freshmen-are-protesting-orientation-harvard-2018-12

Ocasio-Cortez's Green New Deal Is a Winning Climate Strategy
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/12/ocasio-cortez-green-new-deal-winning-climate-strategy/576514/



Megan Herbert #TantrumBook: "Frogs and fish is a perfect way in! I spoke with a group of [6-year-olds] yesterday and we focussed a lot on ecosystems and how when they warm, plant/animal life is disrupted. They totally got it."
https://twitter.com/megan_herbert/status/1071312443798900736

43
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 05, 2018, 10:21:53 PM »
SK Innovation announces new electric vehicle battery gigafactory in the US
Quote
Battery manufacturing companies are adding capacity to try to keep up with automakers going electric and the increasing demand for electric vehicle. With this trend, SK Innovation announced today a new $1.67 billion investment to build an electric vehicle (EV) battery gigafactory in the US.

Aside from Tesla’s Gigafactory 1 in Nevada, most of the new battery cell manufacturing capacity is going to Asia and Europe, where automakers are more aggressively electrifying their lineups. But SK Innovation says that some of its customers, namely Mercedes-Benz and Hyundai-Kia Motors, are going to need battery cells in the US and therefore, it is investing in local battery cell production.

The new battery factory is going to be in Jackson County, Georgia.
...
https://electrek.co/2018/12/04/sk-innovation-electric-vehicle-ev-battery-gigafactory-us/

44
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 05, 2018, 10:11:09 PM »
Tesla’s Biggest Bull Says Its Factory ‘Mess’ Is a Sign of Good Things to Come
Quote
Pierre Ferragu, of New Street Research, wrote Tuesday that a conveyor belt meant to bring parts to the assembly line had been scrapped and replaced with manual delivery, contributing to production lines “30% less productive than initially anticipated.”

“All this feeds a lot of bear argument on the company,” said Ferragu, whose $530 price target on Tesla (ticker: TSLA) shares is the highest on Wall Street—more than 60% above the average—according to FactSet. “We see it the exact opposite way. Failure is where one learns the most.”
...
“By shooting way too high, Tesla failed on its original plan, but achieved a world class result,” Ferragu wrote. “The next production sites will be much more efficient, and will ramp very rapidly.” ...
https://www.barrons.com/articles/teslas-biggest-bull-says-its-factory-mess-is-a-sign-of-good-things-to-come-1544024601


Tesla Passes Daimler In Market Cap — Volkswagen Next?
https://cleantechnica.com/2018/12/04/breaking-tesla-passes-daimler-in-market-cap-volkswagen-next/
Bar chart below.


——- See line graphs below.
Model 3 U.S. sales update - November…
Part 1 — "No one wants sedans"
BMW 3/4 series down 21% YTD.
https://twitter.com/groggytbear/status/1070074555719434241

Part 2 — "The backlog is GONE"
Model 3 outsells every vehicle combined from each of Acura, Cadillac, Chrysler, Infiniti, Lincoln, Mitsubishi, Volvo, etc. (Jaguar and others too small to include)

——
Tesla Model 3 configurator opens across Europe with Feb delivery, 544km range
Quote
As Tesla moves its Model 3 output to Western Europe, it has alerted its first customers there to configure their Model 3s. We’ve got reports from France, Sweden, Norway, Germany, Netherlands. Spain and a few others. Only the performance long-range AWD and the long-range AWD models can be ordered at the moment for delivery in February. ...
https://electrek.co/2018/12/05/tesla-model-3-europe-configure/

——
TeslaOptimist (@TeslaOptimist) 12/4/18, 1:08 PM
Tesla Model 3 Owner’s Manual now states Model 3 detects speed limit signs
https://twitter.com/teslaoptimist/status/1070017003082080256
Image of display re “Speed Assist” at the link

45
Policy and solutions / Re: Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
« on: December 04, 2018, 10:14:45 PM »

In other words, if a block breaks on the patio, the house will not fall down. Applications like reinforced concrete or mix poured from trucks are more complicated with more complex regulation and, thus, for down the road.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/02/climate/betting-on-a-new-way-to-make-concrete-that-doesnt-pollute.html#click=https://t.co/xuFTnPiBFn

Has anyone ever heard of a house falling down because "a block breaks on the patio"?


This sounds increasingly like another Green Tech scheme to suck up more dollars from well meaning dolts.


In days gone by the pitchmen stayed close to the Big Top as the Circus wended it's way through rural America, relying on the Circus's mobility to protect them from mounting scrutiny. Increasingly they dangle their green tinged baubles in front of the credulous, believing that their evident good intentions will protect them from litigation.


I don't wish them well on their journey
Terry

Terry,
The reasoning is that the new concrete can be used in non-support functions like pavers, to prove that the new process works, while not risking lives as part of a building or bridge!

If the pavers hold up well, more investment will be put into trying different mixtures and tweaking the process, and further testing that eventually allows the process to be used on much larger, load-bearing structures.  If the process works as CO2 storage and is structurally sound, the entire industry could change, thus significantly lowering its carbon emissions.

Pavers, then bricks, is the perfect way to test out what may become an industry technology upheaval.  If the new concrete starts to crumble after a few years, no harm done except to the pocketbooks of a few early adopters.

46
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« on: December 04, 2018, 09:57:11 PM »
Insurance company goes under after California's Camp Fire
Quote
California's Camp Fire didn't just kill dozens of people and destroy thousands of homes. It also left an insurance company in financial ruins, unable to pay millions of dollars to policyholders.

A state judge ruled that Merced Property & Casualty Co. can't meet its obligations after last month's Camp Fire, the deadliest and most destructive wildfire in California history.

Merced's assets are about $23 million, but it faced about $64 million in outstanding liabilities just in the city of Paradise, court filings show. ...
https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/04/us/camp-fire-insurance-company-liquidation/index.html

Also posted in the AGW > Policy & Solutions > Insurance thread.

47
Policy and solutions / Re: Insurance Industry Policies and Climate Change
« on: December 04, 2018, 09:54:51 PM »
Insurance company goes under after California's Camp Fire
Quote
California's Camp Fire didn't just kill dozens of people and destroy thousands of homes. It also left an insurance company in financial ruins, unable to pay millions of dollars to policyholders.

A state judge ruled that Merced Property & Casualty Co. can't meet its obligations after last month's Camp Fire, the deadliest and most destructive wildfire in California history.

Merced's assets are about $23 million, but it faced about $64 million in outstanding liabilities just in the city of Paradise, court filings show. ...
https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/04/us/camp-fire-insurance-company-liquidation/index.html

48
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 04, 2018, 09:12:23 PM »
Tesla Model 3 Sales Charge Way Past Milestone Of 100,000 In U.S.
Quote
Year-Over-Year
If we look at year-over-year for the Model 3, the gains are ridiculous. In November 2017, Tesla sold 337 Model 3. Compare that to last month’s 18,650 and you’ll notice there’s more than just a wee bit of growth there.

The YTD tally so far for the Model 3 stands at 114,472. Cumulative sales now stand at 116,296, which is higher than all plug-in vehicles sold in the U.S. in 2015.

The highest previous volume of sales ever for an electric car in a single year was back in 2014 when LEAF sales hit 30,200, so the Model 3 obliterated that record and there’s still one big Model 3 month left for the year.

Moving on to the Tesla Model S and Model X
For November, we estimate the following for U.S. sales of these two Teslas:

Tesla Model S – 2,750
Tesla Model X – 3,200

Tesla holds a commanding lead in plug-in electric car sales for the year and will not be challenged by any other automaker for the YTD win. Our tally puts the automaker at a combined total of 159,0277 sold (Model 3, S & X) in the U.S. through the first 11 months of 2018.
https://insideevs.com/tesla-model-3-sales-november-u-s-2018/

49
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: December 04, 2018, 09:07:55 PM »
InsideEVs has begun to post November US EV sales data.  Image below.
https://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/



Toyota, Honda U.S. sales fall in November
(Reuters) - Sales of new Toyota and Honda cars in the United States both fell in November, the Japanese carmakers said on Monday, pointing to an overall dip in U.S. industry numbers last month in the face of rising car prices and interest rates.
https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN1O21EN

And perhaps due to sales of cars from a certain California car company?

50
Policy and solutions / Re: Tesla glory/failure
« on: December 04, 2018, 09:00:06 PM »
Tesla stock upgraded to buy at CFRA
Quote
There will be "limited impact" from competition on Tesla Inc. electric-vehicle sales as the car maker's brand strength and the gradual availability of cheaper Model 3 sedans undercut rivals, analyst Garrett Nelson at CFRA said in a note Tuesday. CFRA raised its rating on Tesla stock to buy from hold and increased its price target on the stock to $420 [from?] $375. "We expect unit costs to continue to fall, reflecting improved operating efficiencies and fixed cost absorption," Nelson said. "We also view the U.S.-China 'tariff truce' as having positive gross margin implications." Shares of Tesla were flat in midday trading and have gained 15% this year, compared with advances of 1.6% and 1.7% for the S&P 500 index SPX, -2.36% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. DJIA, -2.45%
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-stock-upgraded-to-buy-at-cfra-2018-12-04

CFRA is “one of the world's largest independent investment research firms.”



Not that you can believe a thing he says, but simply to keep you current with the news:

Tesla's stock jumps as China reportedly agrees to lower tariffs on US cars, says Trump
https://electrek.co/2018/12/03/tesla-tsla-stock-china-tariffs-trump/

Trump administration says it will end electric car tax credit in the strangest way
https://electrek.co/2018/12/03/trump-end-electric-car-tax-credit/

Edit: Never mind!
TRUMP ADMITS HIS “INCREDIBLE” DEAL WITH CHINA IS BULLSH*T
The president has pulled a complete 180 after even the White House wouldn’t defend his propaganda.
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/12/trump-admits-his-incredible-deal-with-china-is-bullshit


Just for fun:
Do tariffs help?  Article explains, and has a tariff game you can play.
How To Win A Trade War
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-to-win-a-trade-war/

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