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Messages - Florifulgurator

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The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: August 06, 2020, 04:51:16 AM »
Most of the Last Mohicans here possibly missed another moment of glory in "mainstream media".

So, this very night Rachel Maddow pulled a thread regarding the emoluments clause with yet another of her historic interviews...

Then Sen. Blumenthal interviewed by Ali Velshi...

Let the fun resume :)

Science / Re: Carbon Cycle
« on: August 06, 2020, 02:54:53 AM »
What is the absolute minimum CO2 a person can emit into the atmosphere, assuming he lives 100 years and his only emissions are respiratory exhalation?
Its quite large, but also quite misleading.
4 tonnes.
4tC x 44/12 ~ 15tCO2

How much of that would have fossil C isotopes (vs. the CO2 emitted elsewhere by Haber-Bosch nitrogen fertilizer production)?

Hmmm... is that really large?

Counterquestion: How much CO2 does one cubic meter of horse manure ((*) vs. vegetable compost) emit in 1 year while composting?

(*) Seriously. This can give a nice qualitative picture of the natural carbon cycle.

The forum / Re: Arctic Sea Ice Forum Humor
« on: August 06, 2020, 02:23:19 AM »
Whatever happened to Covid jokes?

Perhaps OT, because it is a serious QM101 video: Quantum decoherence and Donald Trump.

(If you can't stand it, imagine Evelyn Hamann for a few moments or recite the name of a certain place on the island of Anglesey in Wales.)

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: August 05, 2020, 05:43:15 PM »
Hilarious. I was viewer #7. Who is Jochen Spalding? :D

The rest / Re: Port of Beirut Explosion
« on: August 05, 2020, 05:12:30 PM »
Wrong number...

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in a phone call with former PM Saad Hariri on Wednesday paid tribute to the victims of massive deadly twin blasts in Beirut, Hariri’s media office reported.

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 04, 2020, 10:12:12 PM »
More than half of Swedish households are single-person, the highest proportion in the EU

The rest / Re: Masks
« on: August 04, 2020, 06:17:21 PM »

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 04, 2020, 04:59:04 PM »
Classical climate denier drivel rebroadcasting.
Funny to see the deniers (incl. lukewarmers) being the most agitated, to a point they need to ridicu-lousily project their fear of fear, accusing the realists of ALARMISM! HYSTERIA! ...

I can say these hysterical reactions by many are totally unfounded

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 03, 2020, 01:25:20 AM »
Democratic Socialist countries
"Social Democratic" I insist, at least. (Bernie Sanders got his terminology wrong :) And even European right-wingers get universal healthcare right.)

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: August 03, 2020, 01:05:16 AM »
I'm curious. If I say that I believe that the IFR for SARS-CoV-2 is at the most 0.2%, unless there are factors like pollution and low population health at play, does that make me a 'virus denier'?
It ultimately depends on what you think the IFR of "flu" is.
After the "unless" you show a red flag well-known from e.g. climate deniers: Fishing for (or cherry-picking of) excuses. Of course it takes several red flags for a plausible diagnosis. :)


Regarding the "flu" (sic scare quotes) mortality comparison (still problematic in this thread), attached is one of the best pieces of evidence (no "testing" or diagnosing involved, just plain simple death), European excess mortality over several years.
Note it is not all European countries (e.g.only a fraction of Germany), and some don't have the Corona bump (guess why). The "flu" bumps before Corona were the deadliest in decades in some countries (google German Ärzteblatt on that).
Also note the minimal flu bump right before Corona.

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:53:04 AM »
Baroque trumpetry at it's almost paradigmatical contemporary reproducibility (except for the horn's German Schummel-Löcher) ... 6:33 ff. (N.B.: No apotheosis of the trumpet without the oboe...)

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:29:32 AM »
"A copy of the lyrics..." -- F Zappa

Methinks one of the presently most uninteresting conundrums of U.S. constitutional law is "Kurt Gödel's Loophole". ;D ... Forget about the potential self-referentiality of Article 5 and Gödelian problems of logic and finite axiomatic systems, w#nkerz... --- The present problem is about the step-by-step ((Early Buddhist) Pali: Khane, khane...) dissolution of civilizational structure by the acid of mental corruption [caught in the feed-back loop with Reality Herself {Heideggerian terminus deleted} --- ], plus: the inertia of fossil-financial compound interest; and ... ???

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:14:06 AM »

one of the most counter-intuitive hornists of all times.

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 03:09:50 AM »
Can't help it, the video is visually funny. Apotheosis of the trumpet. Keep your eye on the right margin. So amazing. And breath taking, Even if you just try whistling a secundo or tertio along the grand master almost hidden from sight...

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: July 29, 2020, 01:27:37 AM »
... "I didn't write a Rock'n'Roll piece until I was about 21" -- Zappa.

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: July 28, 2020, 06:32:22 PM »
Last update from my hospital stay ..
  on Sunday I got talking to a nurse re COVID ..  I discovered that he had been in the covid wards until Thursday . I was shocked . Turns out NHS policy is a constant rotation of all staff .. from consultant to cleaners between COVID wards and the rest of the NHS . b.c.
Looks like a multiplicator type system bug. Homo Sapiens and the statistics of the exponential function - the test is not over.

The politics / Re: Elections 2020 USA
« on: July 27, 2020, 08:02:39 PM »

The US is not democratic, never has been!

Correct.  It is a Republic, whereby the populous elect representatives, who are supposed to repress them.  Instead they represent themselves.

Still.  It is better today that in previous times.
Freudian slip, that, Walrus? "repress" them?
Methinks not. It is something mostly unconscious: Pretty please repress us, so we can complain! Pain makes us feel alive! (More tax cuts for the rich! Universal heathcare is for welfare queens! Etc. etc.) Thus many vote for sadopopulists.

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: July 27, 2020, 05:06:49 AM »
'Trump owes us an apology.’ Chinese scientist at the center of COVID-19 origin theories speaks out
Science shared Shi’s responses—available here in full (PDF)—with several leading researchers in other countries. “It’s a big contribution,” says [...]. “There are a lot of new facts that I wasn’t aware of. It’s very exciting to hear this directly from her.”


Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: July 18, 2020, 11:05:38 PM »
I couldn't buy a mask until late April-May, any mask.
Same here in Germany. Not in any shop. I could have sold my n95 (aka FFP3) masks bought last year for >50€ each on Ebay. Handsome profit.

The politics / Re: The Media: Examples of Good AND Bad Journalism
« on: June 15, 2020, 12:50:58 AM »
959 views... This video explains why I'm such a fan of Masha Gessen. She wrote a book about Grigori Perelman and one about Vladimir Putin without talking to either during doing the work (45:38 ff.). She would have been more excited to get a phone call from Perelman over meeting Putin later. One of the greatest journalists and polit psychopathologists of our times.

To explain: I had a little Nietzsche attack. Famous German philosopher with lots of acid aphorisms, like in his "Fröhliche Wissenschaft" (The Gay Science).,+Friedrich/Die+fr%C3%B6hliche+Wissenschaft

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: June 12, 2020, 05:08:38 AM »
I still haven't taken a closer look at the very Ordinary Differential Equation in 4 variables, which I don't even recall except that R thing. Maybe I haven't looked because there is a rub in a more stochastico-statistical model: Dispersion.

I guess it comes unsurprising to the "practicioners" - who exist since centuries. It's the superspreading events, stupid. Our random variable has dispersion and it looks different to influenza. Covid-19 can spread rapidly, but has to check out many opportunities and needs a larger viral load to hit hard. Influenza spreads easily, but is lazy.

Now I'd like to see stuff about the flattening of Influenza this year.

Here is an excellent German article

Coincidentally it is birthday again, I am a theoretical probabilist and despise number theory, plus have an evening of acid analysis. Here is what I arrived at. German with certified google translation (which inserted a missing comma but botched one uppercase).

Nein ich bin nicht böse - ich analysiere nur. Hirnschmalz kann beim Späten Homo Sapiens zu Verätzungen führen. Selber schuld.


No, I'm not angry - I'm just analyzing. Brain fat can cause burns in Late Homo Sapiens. Themselves to blame.

Or is it brain lard?

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 12, 2020, 01:41:21 AM »
Kimmel has the lightning strike Trump in a hilarious video [but me YouTube only due to techno-logical concerns and pragmatics].


The Palmer Report, who has long run out of headlines and later even of superlatives, reports:
Donald Trump [bla, bla,] worry about things like whether his fans will catch coronavirus [blabla] anyway. But the lawyers and corporate types surrounding him do have to worry about such things, [...].

People who attend the rally will be forced to sign a disclaimer agreeing not to take any legal action against Donald Trump or his campaign, according to [msm]. From a legal standpoint, it makes sense that Trump’s lawyers are doing this. These rallies are opening him up to massive litigation and damages, considering that there is little doubt that some people will catch the virus at Trump’s rallies, and a fraction of them will die.

But on a common sense level, if these rallies are so unsafe that attendees have to sign a document agreeing not to sue if they catch a deadly virus at the rally, it[...]’s an admission of negligence on his part.

[msm]. [...] Tulsa, the site of a massacre against black people, on Juneteenth, the date the last of the slaves were freed. [...] admitting to his own attendees that he’s putting their lives at risk just so he can bloviate in front of them.

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: June 08, 2020, 11:11:34 PM »
I don't see why travel between countries with similar infection rates should be restricted.

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 06, 2020, 05:39:15 PM »
It's the same simple pattern since day one of his presidency: When there is a scandal, Trump sais some demented bullshit to outrage the media, the media becomes outraged over it, and loses focus on the actual issues.

Every. Single. Time. !!

And since what he does now is so extreme and unique, he turns it up on the 'say outraging shit publicly to distract the media' knob.

Trump composes his little distraction melodies, and ten minutes later you see the journalists lining up singing his song. It's truly the pied piper era.

As seen here:

This Is the Most Singularly Batsh*t Crazy Thing Any President Has Said Out Loud in Public

Link >>

Yes. But methinks this is a counterexample. (As we Germans know, exceptions can confirm the rule :) )

Some of Trump's PR stunts are unintentional, and with the recent intentional ones he shot himself in the foot. Like, teargassing his way to a church to hold up the bible like an idiot who never held a book in his hands. The sacrilege sure cost him a little of his approval rating.

The “George is looking down right now" stunt I see as unintentional. This is just plain stupid Donald, in a situation that is way over his head - once again... Methinks it is paradigmatic for his complete failure of brains and ethics. A short proof of Trump's total ridicu-lousiness. (Like it's nice to have several proofs of Pythagoras' theorem.) So, this time, worth reporting. Especially when it helps eroding his religious base.

Alas Esquire quotes it a bit out of context, stupid Trump finding an excuse for police violence against protesters.  ;D ROTFL.

(Weird: Youtube link not working here. The whole Kimmel video seems only available on FB and Twitter.)

Permafrost / Re: Permafrost general science thread
« on: June 05, 2020, 07:09:43 PM »
On the recent catastrophic oil spill:

Russia's prosecutor general on Friday ordered a review of hazardous structures built on permafrost after concluding that a huge Arctic fuel spill last week was caused by shifting ground.

The office of the prosecutor general said in a statement that a preliminary conclusion of the spill's causes is the "sagging of the ground and the concrete foundation" which caused the reservoir's failure.

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 05, 2020, 06:57:49 PM »
Hayes is one of the rare good ones on MSNBC.
Rachel Maddow sure is their best. Perhaps a bit too brilliant (and that's why fake intellectuals with ego issues hate her). Chris Hayes has recently disgraced himself a bit over his handling of Tara Reade's (highly suspicious) accusations against Joe Biden. My MSNBC favorite is Joy Reid, who deserves more air time.

The politics / Re: The Trump Presidency
« on: June 05, 2020, 04:09:28 PM »
[...] sometimes it really looks like if the guy would be "Adolf's" envoy [...]

Masha Gessen concurs:

AG Barr is meanwhile assembling a secret police - "Little Green Men". Well, at least they don't yet have the jails and torture chambers of Adolf's GeStaPo.

Sorry for posting MSNBC fake news :)

Amazing and heartening to see so many scythists in one spot!

For me, the best thing about the scythe is the sound.

But the peening hurts my ears and wrecks my nerves :)
Anyhow I still got lots of anthills to flatten out which would require peening every day.

Instead I found this knive sharpening tool in an abandoned kitchen drawer (foto attached). I also use it for the axe.

An expert friend just came in who taught me scything and peening. He says peening is essential to harden the blade. He finds my idea stupid. Well, for me it works - but I see my tool will wear away the blade over time.

If somebody has a good tutorial on how to make a handle, I'd be very happy. Mine is good, it's a metallic industrial one,
Metal sounds bad to me. Wood of olden times is much lighter. Alas today they use any stupid hardwood, even the heavy beech. Here in Germany you can forget about any industrial scythes (and stones) you get in general gardening shops. Scythe making was an art. Until recently I used a historic one made 1926 by the village rake and scythe maker, custom made for my grandgrandfather. But it is too short for me and the wood got worms. The best modern (and affordable) scythes with adjustable handles and nonlinear axis you get here:  My old one still is a little better because of the lighter wood, so you have a better feel for the dynamics of the blade. Like with the axe, the handle's purpose is to swing the metal (and not the handle).

Aah... rain is over. Perfect time for some scything...

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: May 23, 2020, 01:59:19 AM »
Or the excess mortality stories. Average mortality is X, and it was Y during the period in which people fell ill with COVID-19, hence the difference can only be explained by COVID-19, and not for instance due to panic, causing old people to have premature strokes and heart attacks, or Romanian careworkers to flee to their home country, or huge logistical mistakes to be made (because of decades of underfunding and cost-cutting) etc. What kind of childish, unscientific thinking is that?
It is Occam's Razor! And thinking in magnitudes (relating to other magnitudes) plus/minus irrelvant errors (as opposed to the business pencil sharpener's numbers incl. cents and pennies).

Attached is the cumulated excess mortality graph from

The message is utterly clear. No need to be such a scientist sceptic. Do you seriously want to excuse the ca. (circa!) 150000 dead shown in the graph (not all EU reporting here) with panic heart attacks and missing Romanian careworkers? "It's the sun!"

P.S.: Apropos comparing magnitudes: Note the high excess mortality 2017/18. In some EU countries it was the most lethal flu wave in 30y.

Policy and solutions / Re: Cannabis can help save this planet
« on: May 21, 2020, 08:07:41 PM »
No hangovers from weed...  :-[
Hmmm. While it doesn't feel as bad as an alc hangover, I found my brain wasn't working well next morning. Teaching maths at 8am? Neurons glued. Worse than after an alc party. So, for the sake of Stokes' theorem I threw my pretty plants on the compost. Excellent compost it made. :)

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: May 19, 2020, 07:22:07 PM »

Nobody seems to have mentioned this peculiarly English news yet, so:

Most disturbing is the comparative story for the 15-64 age group, where England’s relative record in excess mortality in the Covid-19 era is strikingly higher than in the European countries. The 15-64 age group includes the mass of the working age population. At its peak in week 15, it is 2.8 times worse than the weekly peak in next worst country, Spain, around 4 times worse than France and Belgium, and more than 5 times worse than in Italy. Within the UK, excess deaths for this age group are also strikingly worse for England than for the other nations.
Maybe it is the pubs. Seriously, my theory: Small crowded spaces, lots of beer, thick virus aerosol mist.

Another cause might be more brown people in this age group. Dark skin in northern lands gives more vitamin D deficiency.

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: May 15, 2020, 01:57:47 AM »
Nicholas Papadimitriou: The COVID-19 Fugue
A complex, 4-plus-voice fugue, based on the subject of ...the virus itself!
With some touches of artistic freedom, I interpreted "COVID-19" as an acronym for the musical terms "C° V-I D 1-9" (as explained at the beginning of the video) which when combined, shape a rather spicy fugue subject.
It was no surprise that the subject's 'unorthodox' nature made it quite challenging to integrate it in a tonal context;...a fact, however, that posed no obstacle to two-weeks worth of quarantine-induced free time, together with some Regerian/Mendessohnian inspiration.
[...] I created a 'viral' (pun intended, hopefully) fugue, which will take you on a journey across 7 tonalities, 12 subject entries and lots of juicy modulations.

I love this kind of music video. Here is one more. Hallucinogenic drugs seriously disadvised! :)

Here is a more harmless thing. (The only complete piece I can play myself...)

The rest / Re: Poetry
« on: May 07, 2020, 06:55:07 AM »

The rest / Re: Poetry
« on: May 07, 2020, 06:53:29 AM »

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: May 07, 2020, 03:00:29 AM »
subscriptions to vitamin D.
The new toilet paper? (Prediction of Florifulgurator, the market analyst :) )

Vitamin D is actually quite a serious thing in contemporary medical research.

Apropos: Is there any data about Africans dwelling in the north? Like, Oulu, Finland?

The "capricious" coronavirus:

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: May 07, 2020, 02:33:06 AM »
...which brings us to an unexpected postludium to the later fuga fugarum on drums

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: May 07, 2020, 02:24:25 AM »


The rest / Re: Good music
« on: May 07, 2020, 02:22:30 AM »
Preparing for my next to-be-moderated nonchronological anachronism: One of my favorite Brazilian pieces

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: May 07, 2020, 12:57:12 AM »
Angenommen, jemand kann nachvollziehen, wie mich Covid-19 zu diesem von mir erstge-liked-en Juiwel in YouTube brachte:

Dug out and translated by Ugo Bardi.

I am Death and wear a crown [Italian: corona],
I am for all of you lady and mistress
and I am so cruel, so strong and harsh
that your walls won’t stop me.

I am Death and wear a crown,
I am for all of you lady and mistress
and in front of my scythe you’ll have to bow your head
and walk to the gloomy Death’s pace.

You are the guest of honor at the dance we are playing for you,
put your scythe down and dance round and round
a round of dancing and then one more,
and you’ll be no longer the lady of time.

Consequences / Re: Temperature signals from Covid-19
« on: May 02, 2020, 01:25:28 AM »
CO2 emissions down, but CO2 levels at Mauna Loa increasing.
Because it's the seasonal upswing. But I see some flattening of the upswing curve... Need to wait another month to see if this is significant.

Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: May 01, 2020, 03:53:35 AM »
For the first time (month), the share of solar PV in the NL electricity mix exceeded 10%. The percentages shown are for April.

Shows how quickly things have changed compared to Aprils 2014 & 2015.

Jeff Gibbs, are you out there ?!
He might find 10% lame. Until he finds out that Amsterdam is north of Vancouver. :)

The rest / Re: Good music
« on: April 29, 2020, 07:22:39 PM »

Dug out and translated by Ugo Bardi.

I am Death and wear a crown [Italian: corona],
I am for all of you lady and mistress
and I am so cruel, so strong and harsh
that your walls won’t stop me.

I am Death and wear a crown,
I am for all of you lady and mistress
and in front of my scythe you’ll have to bow your head
and walk to the gloomy Death’s pace.

You are the guest of honor at the dance we are playing for you,
put your scythe down and dance round and round
a round of dancing and then one more,
and you’ll be no longer the lady of time.

The rest / Re: Climate, Agriculture and Other Pertinent Documentaries
« on: April 29, 2020, 02:33:13 AM »
ClimateCrocks quoting Ketan Joshi:

Planet of the Stupid

Exhautive, devastating and much-deserved point by point takedown of Michael Moore’s sadly bogus energy doc. This is the the one I’ll be linking people to, for now. [...]


It should have faded off into the pit of Youtube’s unwatched terabytes, but it didn’t, because mediocrity is celebrated, boosted and broadcast if it comes from someone who looks and sounds the right way. That is a serious vulnerability. The hard work of climate and energy advocates, as they grapple with challenges like [...] can be shattered by the monotone arrogance of a single person inflicted with the Dunning Kruger effect.

Somber music.

Consequences / Re: COVID-19
« on: April 28, 2020, 11:15:06 PM »

N.Y.C. Deaths Reach 6 Times the Normal Level, Far More Than Coronavirus Count Suggests

More than 27,000 New Yorkers have died since the start of the novel coronavirus outbreak in March — 20,900 more than would be expected over this period and thousands more than have been captured by official coronavirus death statistics.


As of Sunday, the city had attributed 16,673 deaths to coronavirus, [...]

But there remains a large gap between this number and the total deaths above typical levels in the last six and a half weeks: more than 4,200 people whose deaths are not captured by the official coronavirus toll.


Hospitals around the country have reported reductions in admission for heart attacks, one sign that some people may be dying at home from ailments they would survive during more normal times.


The rest / Re: Climate, Agriculture and Other Pertinent Documentaries
« on: April 28, 2020, 03:23:47 PM »
Planet of the Humans directed by Jeff Gibbs with executive producer Michael Moore.
I have not watched this yet. Feel free to leave your thoughts if you already have.
Don't waste your time and neurons. Better read the reviews.
A Note from Films For Action (Last Updated 4/27 with Film Resources at the bottom):

When Planet of the Humans first came out, we added it to the site before watching it because we trusted Michael Moore's track record of releasing quality films that are factually accurate. After we watched it, we had issues with the film but assumed it was at least factually accurate, since Michael knows his films will be rigorously fact-checked.

We are disheartened and dismayed to report that the film is full of misinformation (1, 2, 3, 4) - so much so that for half a day we removed the film from the site.

Ultimately, we decided to put it back up because we believe media literacy, critique and debate is the best solution to misinformation.

*The film never once mentions permaculture? As the editor of this site, I'm aware of hundreds of positive ideas, solutions and experiments in new ways of living all around the world, which are essentially answers to the filmmakers' despairing question, "where do we go from here?" It's painful to think about how all this positive knowledge is still not getting the attention it deserves while this ill-informed FUD (Fear, Uncertainty & Doubt) is getting the global spotlight.

Here are 20 films that tell me "it's not all hopeless."

To be clear, if saving civilization as it exists was the goal, then it's true, the future is looking bleak.

Our task is to imagine and design an ecological civilization that can thrive at vastly lower energy and consumption levels - a civilization based not on the old paradigm of "sustainable development" but on ecological regeneration - where the human presence on the Earth generates higher and higher levels of biodiversity and ecological health.

These films point us in the direction we need to go.
(Some good links, esp. this great essay by Daniel Christian Wahl:

I have attached Michael Mann's reaction here:,256.msg261853.html#msg261853

The rest / Re: Masks
« on: April 28, 2020, 03:10:33 PM »
Why, may I ask, are masks in a different thread and talk about them is banned from this thread?

Quite frankly, because you cluttered the main thread with mask-extremism at a time when most experts were (for several good reasons) precarious about them.

misinformation campaign was carried out to make people not wear them.

There was a lot of evidence that they might be counterproductive. There wasn't misinformation, but the promotion of experts' recommendations.

Now members bring relevant talk about masks and they are shutdown. Why?

Because there is this dedicated thread now. Here it's on topic.
There was also anti-mask extremism.
But yes, in the beginning even the WHO advised against relying on masks.

Meanwhile the picture has changed radically. Masks are an essential mitigation tool. No serious corona thread without masks.

Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: April 27, 2020, 10:46:49 PM »
... replacing street lights with glowing trees ...

Wow, that's a future to look forward to!

Flowerpower FTW!

Florifulgurator protests vehemently. No Frankentrees!

Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: April 27, 2020, 10:28:02 PM »
Let's be clear. Michael Moore didn't make this movie. He made a mistake by associating himself with it as he did a favor for Jeff Gibbs, a guy who has worked for him for several decades.
Nope. He said "we" made this movie and advocated it on the Colbert show. Michael Moore has jumped the shark. Sad.

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