151
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2015 melting season
« on: July 23, 2015, 03:36:19 AM »One can only guess for the rest of the season, based on the past behaviour I suspect the AD will return. I don't think we will see a stall through the whole of August.
A prolonged arctic dipole is unlikely due to current AMO (American Multidecadal Oscillation) values being colder then previous melting seasons. It has been proposed that the AMO plays a significant role in forcing summer circulation anomalies. For example: Sutton and Dong, 2012
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/amon.us.data (monthly AMO values)