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The rest / Re: Do you think Hvaldimir is really a Russian spy?
« Last post by Neven on Today at 10:59:16 AM »
Whatever it is, if the word 'Russian' is in it, it's true. So, yes.
2
The rest / Re: Arctic Café
« Last post by ivica on Today at 10:58:29 AM »
Then, turn inside, In is the Only Way Out. Recycling words do not really helps ;)
<off>
3
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« Last post by Lord M Vader on Today at 10:39:23 AM »
Nuts is a good word Friv. The only area that won't be affected is the CAA. All other areas are going to be severly burned. This is also showing up in the EC 00z ENSEMBLE! Prepare for Onslaught to come!
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Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« Last post by Frivolousz21 on Today at 10:34:25 AM »
HOLY SMOKES THE 00Z EURO IS NUTS AFTER DAY 4
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The rest / Re: Do you think Hvaldimir is really a Russian spy?
« Last post by be cause on Today at 10:33:36 AM »
 .. probably the one that towed the big ice floe away from the mouth of Nares .. b.c.
6
The rest / Re: Arctic Café
« Last post by nanning on Today at 10:28:12 AM »
I can't find the emergency exit ivica. I'm trapped.

  Peter Tosh - Stop That Train (1983)
  Elvis Presley - Mystery Train (1955)
7
The rest / Re: Unsorted
« Last post by nanning on Today at 10:09:33 AM »
Civilisations: Supremacy over own body; distant, alien, unnatural.

mind-over-body is supremacy and therefore insanity.

I am complete = I don't have mind-over-body, I just have body.
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Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2019 melting season
« Last post by jdallen on Today at 10:05:46 AM »
Quick contribution...

Sea ice area is my gauge for health right now.

The Kara is in the middle of the pack, but with the general heat on the Siberian side, has good melt momentum and ice that is relatively thin. It doesn't really affect the rest of the basin, and almost certainly will empty this year.

CAB is above average, as is the Barentz. Having the CAB high is good, Barentz, probably not, as the heat from the Atlantic over the last few years has slaughtered any ice showing up there.  I don't see this year as any different, and the high numbers are a direct result of export from the CAB.

To that point... higher numbers in the CAB are probably a result of ice being dumped into it from the Beaufort and Laptev.  It may not be something we should be consoling ourselves with.

Also regarding the Beaufort... in spite of not being hit as hard as many other regions, it *still* is at or near the lowest area its been in our records for this date, *as* *is* the Chukchi.

The ESS is being hammered and is flirting with dropping to its lowest levels ever. The Laptev *is* at it's lowest point for the date, ever, and both are well covered in meltponds and being torched by both sunshine and high air temps which are supporting the further spread of melt ponds.

To sum up, despite earlier observations about the CAB and CAA possibly buttressing the pack, even without the appearance of serious preconditioning in those areas, the sheer weight of momentum around the basin is intimidating.  I'm not sure the lack of conditioning in the Beaufort can make a difference.  I'm pretty sure the CAB isn't resistant enough to prevent ice being shoved into much warmer areas where it will melt out late in the season.

I'm with Michael Hauber; In the scale of things, I'd keep my estimate of a new low slightly more pessimistic (read: probable) than Neven's, at "Possible" rather than "Unlikely".  The weather is really dangerous right now on the Siberian and Pacific sides and shows little sign of backing off until after the Solstice, if then. 

With nominal weather, I'd say beating 2016 for second is a near certainty. The question is, how much harder will the massive pulse of heat roaring in from Siberia wreck the ice harder?  After that, will we get a reprieve in July?  More and more, I think we're going to need it to avoid passing 2012.
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Quote
A nationwide Fox News poll released Sunday shows President Donald Trump trailing Senator Bernie Sanders, 49% to 40% among all registered voters nationwide.

The Fox poll also showed Biden leading Trump by 49% to 39%. Also beating Trump in the poll were Senators Elizabeth Warren (43%-41%) and Kamala Harris (42%-41%), and Mayor Pete Buttigieg (41%-40%) of South Bend, Indiana.

Yep, that turns out just as i expected. Bernie is your best bet!

(so since 2016, nothing changed on this front)
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The rest / Do you think Hvaldimir is really a Russian spy?
« Last post by martalunde68 on Today at 09:45:27 AM »
As you know, Hvaldimir is the beluga whale (its name is a combination of the Russian president’s name, “Vladimir Putin”, and the Norwegian word for whale “hval”), which was encountered by the Norwegian fishermen in the waters of a small fishing village Inga, situated in the Kola Peninsula, well known for its military bases. After removing a harness, which was attached to the body of the mammal, the Norwegian fishermen noticed a label that states, “Equipment of St Petersburg” with a mount for a camera or a weapon.

The Norwegian marine authorities examined the harness and speculated that the beluga whale was a «runaway spy», especially given the unusual friendly behavior and the location where it was first encountered.

According to Audun Rikardsen, the Norwegian arctic and marine biology scientist at the University of Tromsø, the Russian navy is known to possess and train whales for undercover work.

And what do you think?
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