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1
Consequences / Re: Decline in insect populations
« Last post by jai mitchell on Today at 08:07:43 AM »
 :-X
2
The rest / Re: Russiagate
« Last post by Rob Dekker on Today at 07:06:25 AM »
It may be that there's a successful disinformation campaign to smear people like Obama and the Clintons, but isn't the reason it's so successful that there is something there?

No Neven, it does not work like that.

Many smear campaigns have been very successful (remember the ClimateGate "Hide the decline" myth, for one ?), but are utterly false.

You ALWAYS have to CHECK THE FACTS or at the very least check the facts as presented by the fact checkers. It does not take much time. If you object to the facts that the fact checkers present then let's discuss that right here, but please don't blindly push out some dude on youtube and claim he has a point without presenting any evidence.
3
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« Last post by Pmt111500 on Today at 07:02:57 AM »
Judging by the comments elsewhere, the voter suppression in former USA is expected to increase.
4
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« Last post by sidd on Today at 06:40:33 AM »
One problem with double blades counterrotating was vortex shedding from windward blades whacking the leeward ones. But maybe they are doing something very clever, but i doubt they have been clever enough. Anyone have an engineering analysis ?

sidd
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The rest / Re: Russiagate
« Last post by Rob Dekker on Today at 05:31:51 AM »
The linked article makes it clear that this Russian uranium deal is much ado about nothing

Indeed.
It's kind of funny to see propaganda artists like Jimmy Dore and this guy Stefan Molyneux (Google him on "climate change") almost foaming around the mouth resurrecting this zombie myth that just does not want to die. There was even a tweet from Trump today trying to revitalize it :

"Uranium deal to Russia, with Clinton help and Obama Administration knowledge, is the biggest story that Fake Media doesn't want to follow!"

The story packs so many myths and false statements and conspiracy theories in one that it is hard to even know where to begin.

Not to mention that it was already debunked two years ago.

Martin Gisser already pointed to this fact checker :
http://www.snopes.com/hillary-clinton-uranium-russia-deal/
who flagged it as FALSE two years ago.
And politifact.com has a series of debunking posts, since this thing keeps popping up, consistently flagging it as MOSTLY FALSE :
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/jun/30/donald-trump/donald-trump-inaccurately-suggests-clinton-got-pai/
http://www.politifact.com/wisconsin/statements/2016/sep/30/donald-trump/nuclear-claim-donald-trump-says-hillary-clinton-ga/
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2017/mar/28/fact-checking-donald-trumps-tweets-about-hillary-c/
and then we have the Washington Post fact-check :
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2016/10/26/the-facts-behind-trumps-repeated-claim-about-hillary-clintons-role-in-the-russian-uranium-deal/?utm_term=.feb52463bfd2
which labels it with a whopping 4 Pinocchios.

This story is a perfect example of Potholers first law :

“Myths are created much faster than they can be debunked.”

And in cases like this these myths keep popping up, no matter how often we debunk them.



The only issue I find disturbing is that various ASIF posters still fall for this kind of Clinton/Obama smearing propaganda.
6
The rest / Re: Ukraine, Nazis and western support
« Last post by Rob Dekker on Today at 04:39:17 AM »
Yeah. I did not do fact checking on Kolomoisky, but by the looks of it he is one of the reasons why Ukraine is considered so corrupt.

Poroshenko even went head-to-head with him in a crack-down on corrupt oligarchs in Ukraine :
http://www.politico.eu/article/star-wars-in-ukraine-poroshenko-vs-kolomoisky/

7
The linked article indicates that there is likely a link between Arctic stratospheric ozone (ASO) and the ENSO cycle.  This could be an important feedback mechanism that should be incorporated into Earth System Models:

Fei Xie, Jiankai Zhang, Wenjun Sang, Yang Li, Yulei Qi, Cheng Sun, Yang Li & Jianchuan Shu (17 October 2017), "Delayed effect of Arctic stratospheric ozone on tropical rainfall", Atmospheric Science Letters, DOI: 10.1002/asl.783

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.783/abstract?utm_content=buffer54291&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

Abstract: "The tropical precipitation has a wide effect on the tropical economics and social life. Many studies made efforts to improve the tropical precipitation forecast using tropical climate factors. This study, based on observations, found that Arctic stratospheric ozone (ASO) could exert a significant effect on the tropical precipitation, i.e. there is more (less) rainfall over the eastern Pacific and less (more) precipitation over the western Pacific when the ASO anomalies are lower (larger) than normal. It is because a decrease (increase) in ASO could affect El Niño (La Niña) events and lead to a weakened (enhanced) Walker circulation. Time-slice experiments confirmed that the ASO anomalies can force El Niño–Southern Oscillation-like anomalies of tropical sea surface temperature and subsequent tropical precipitation anomalies. In addition, the ASO variations could also change the occurrence probability of extreme precipitation in the tropics. During the anomalously low (high) ASO events, there are more occurrences of heavier precipitation over the eastern Pacific (western Pacific) and of lighter precipitation over the western Pacific (eastern Pacific). Furthermore, the ASO variations lead tropical rainfall by approximately 21 months, suggesting that the ASO can serve as a potentially effective predictor of tropical rainfall."
8
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« Last post by numerobis on Today at 03:56:36 AM »
It would literally have wings, given that that’s what the blades are.

Counterrotating turbines aren’t being done, so I’m assuming that the 30% efficiency costs more than 30% cost for whatever reason. I can imagine a few: you need twice the blades, for one. And you’d need almost double the resistance to bending in a stiff breeze, so your tower might be more expensive per kWh.
9
Consequences / Re: 2017 ENSO
« Last post by AbruptSLR on Today at 03:54:08 AM »
The linked article indicates that there is likely a link between Arctic stratospheric ozone (ASO) and the ENSO cycle:

Fei Xie, Jiankai Zhang, Wenjun Sang, Yang Li, Yulei Qi, Cheng Sun, Yang Li & Jianchuan Shu (17 October 2017), "Delayed effect of Arctic stratospheric ozone on tropical rainfall", Atmospheric Science Letters, DOI: 10.1002/asl.783

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.783/abstract?utm_content=buffer54291&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

Abstract: "The tropical precipitation has a wide effect on the tropical economics and social life. Many studies made efforts to improve the tropical precipitation forecast using tropical climate factors. This study, based on observations, found that Arctic stratospheric ozone (ASO) could exert a significant effect on the tropical precipitation, i.e. there is more (less) rainfall over the eastern Pacific and less (more) precipitation over the western Pacific when the ASO anomalies are lower (larger) than normal. It is because a decrease (increase) in ASO could affect El Niño (La Niña) events and lead to a weakened (enhanced) Walker circulation. Time-slice experiments confirmed that the ASO anomalies can force El Niño–Southern Oscillation-like anomalies of tropical sea surface temperature and subsequent tropical precipitation anomalies. In addition, the ASO variations could also change the occurrence probability of extreme precipitation in the tropics. During the anomalously low (high) ASO events, there are more occurrences of heavier precipitation over the eastern Pacific (western Pacific) and of lighter precipitation over the western Pacific (eastern Pacific). Furthermore, the ASO variations lead tropical rainfall by approximately 21 months, suggesting that the ASO can serve as a potentially effective predictor of tropical rainfall."
10
Consequences / Re: Wildfires
« Last post by Sigmetnow on Today at 03:41:00 AM »
Last year, half of the fire acreage burned in all of Europe lay in Portugal—a country with just 3% of Europe’s land
https://twitter.com/EricHolthaus/status/921177904611983360

Europe’s hurricane-fueled wildfires might become a recurring nightmare
With its vast forests and typically warm and dry summers, Portugal is already Europe’s wildfire capital. And in recent decades, its profound and unique socioeconomic vulnerability to fire has only grown. Last year, half of the fire acreage burned in all of Europe lay in Portugal — a trend attributed both to haphazard forestry practices and climate change bringing hotter and drier weather.

This year, the sheer scale of the fires has been staggering. On Sunday alone, wildfires burned at least 300,000 acres — more than is normally burned in an entire year. Smoke from the fires quickly spread as far away as London.
...
“It really is a textbook example of wildfire as a socio-natural hazard,” José Miguel Pereira, a forest ecologist at the University of Lisbon tells Grist via email. Or to put it another way, human activity is making wildfires worse. These infernos are a product of our disregard for the fact that nature is now almost entirely something we’ve created — these disasters aren’t natural. ...
http://grist.org/article/europes-hurricane-fueled-wildfires-might-become-a-recurring-nightmare/
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