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vox_mundi

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1300 on: May 31, 2024, 12:35:23 PM »
India Court Urges National Emergency Declaration for Heat Waves
https://phys.org/news/2024-05-india-court-urges-national-emergency.html

An Indian court has urged the government to declare a national emergency over the country's ongoing heat wave, saying that hundreds of people had died during weeks of extreme weather.

India is enduring a crushing heat wave with temperatures in several cities sizzling well above 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit).

The High Court in the western state of Rajasthan, which has suffered through some of the hottest weather in recent days, said authorities had failed to take appropriate steps to protect the public from the heat.

"Due to extreme weather conditions in the form of (the) heat wave, hundreds of people have lost their lives this month," the court said Thursday.

"We do not have a planet B which we can move onto... If we do not take strict action now, we will lose the chance of seeing our future generations flourish forever."

The court directed the state government to set up compensation funds for relatives of any person who dies as a result of heat ailments.

Ruling on the current heat wave and such events in the future, it also said India should begin declaring them "national calamities".

This would allow the mobilization of emergency relief in a similar manner to floods, cyclones and natural disasters.

As temperatures in the capital New Delhi shot up this week, power usage in the city of an estimated 30 million people surged to a record high on Wednesday.

Researchers say human-induced climate change has driven the devastating heat impact in India and should be taken as a warning.

The world's most populous nation is the third-biggest emitter of greenhouse gases but has committed to achieving a net zero emissions economy by 2070 -- two decades after most of the industrialized West.

For now, it is overwhelmingly reliant on coal for power generation.

The government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is seeking a third term in ongoing elections, says the fossil fuel remains central to meeting India's rising energy needs and lifting millions out of poverty.
There are 3 classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus

El Cid

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1301 on: May 31, 2024, 01:27:30 PM »

Seasonal forecasting is possible and is relatively accurate.
But, just because the forecast is for a hot Euro summer doesn't mean it will happen.... yet the odds of summers getting hotter over time is almost a certainty (barring an AMOC slowdown/stoppage or other low odds event happening)

Wrong. We've discussed it before on other threads and referenced studies (don't want to restart it again). Seasonal forecasting has almost zero skill. Seasonal forecasts SEEM useful because in a warming world if you always forecast warmer than average temperatures (usually meaning the average of the past 30 years) you will be right 7 or 8 times out of 10, but that is no skill, that is a trend that is well known to all. Other than that you have the ENSO cycle, which is useful in some places but in Europe it does not really have much of an effect. Then you have some teleconnections that are only marginally useful. That's it basically. Eg this is for subseasonal (up to 30 days), but already shows how useless it is even after 15 days:


The Walrus

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1302 on: May 31, 2024, 01:43:55 PM »
Of course, we know very well that any forecast beyond 7 days is pretty much trash. Seasonal forecasts have almost zero forecast skill. This could be a very warm or a cool summer in Europe for all we know.

In my country (Hungary, Central Europe) the first five months of the year were the warmest since at least 1900 beating 2007 by 0,2 C and beating the 1900-2000 average by more than 4 C (and even higher than the last 10 years' average by 2 C)! This however does not guarantee a warm summer at all... Maybe we'll see mean reversion. Or maybe not. Nobody knows, that's my only point

Knows? Of course not. Certainty isn't possible.

Forecast skill? "Almost zero" is vague.

Would you bet against CSU's hurricane forecast?

https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html

It depends.  Early season forecasts are about 50:50.  But recent forecasts are a vast improvement over earlier years.

https://www.nola.com/hurricane-forecast-accuracy-colorado-state/image_56786d5c-1c4c-11ee-b348-97ad02439916.html

pileus

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1303 on: May 31, 2024, 02:57:30 PM »
Greetings from Tampa, Florida as we head into hurricane season tomorrow.

https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/1796286492723265933

Florida's marine heatwave is intensifying, with severe conditions (category 3) now present near the Keys, Miami, and Port St Lucie.

Strong marine heatwave conditions (category 2) are occurring most elsewhere, including Naples, Fort Myers, Sarasota, and Tampa.

The extremely warm water is forming a positive feedback loop, with above average sea temperatures causing above average air temperatures and vice versa - a cycle that looks unlikely to be broken in the weeks ahead 🔁

This pattern has already contributed to very high temperatures and humidity for the time of year across the state and is probably causing drought conditions to worsen quicker than they otherwise would


kiwichick16

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1304 on: May 31, 2024, 05:36:30 PM »
@ pileus  ......good luck ....

from afar we always think of  Florida as one of the states people moved to for the warmer weather , particularly to retire to , along with Arizona and Navada ?  .......is that still the case , or are people starting to rethink that ?

pileus

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1305 on: May 31, 2024, 06:16:07 PM »
@ pileus  ......good luck ....

from afar we always think of  Florida as one of the states people moved to for the warmer weather , particularly to retire to , along with Arizona and Navada ?  .......is that still the case , or are people starting to rethink that ?

Thank you kiwichick!

Americans continue to gravitate towards “Sun Belt” states for retirement and relocation, however the paradigm has shifted for Florida.  NBC News has a recent story in this, there is a rethinking and plenty of “buyers remorse” among many new Floridians arriving here especially since 2020/Covid.  The cost of living and especially property insurance premiums have skyrocketed, the political and cultural environments have degraded and become much more negative, thanks mainly to a certain orange hued individual and the state Governor.

The beaches and sunsets are still great, the weather from Jan-April is delightful.  And for those of us living in or near progressive population centers there is a slight buffer from the worst of the non-financial issues mentioned.

pileus

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1306 on: May 31, 2024, 06:24:16 PM »
I’ll add that Tampa tied it’s all time May high temp yesterday at 98f (temp has never exceeded 99f here), and we’ve had our second and first hottest summers in 2022 and 2023.

I’ve needed to evacuate three times in recent years from approaching hurricanes, and anticipate a high likelihood this year based on the collective forecasts.

Viability of this area as a place to live is certainly in doubt for a number of reasons.  And of course the Governor has recently forbid mentions of climate change in state laws and policy.

kiwichick16

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1307 on: May 31, 2024, 07:45:26 PM »
@  pileus  ....i was too young to remember the only hurricane i've lived though ......my parents said it ripped the roof off part of the hotel we were in .....we had just arrived in Fiji .....my parents taught at Nandi Airport school for 4 years

I guess you get used to it ......like kiwis are used to earthquakes perhaps

on orange hued individuals ......hopefully he gets a matching orange jumpsuit to wear for 4 years


sorry mods for going off topic !!

kassy

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1308 on: June 01, 2024, 07:16:13 PM »
India´s record temperature was a sensor error. It was only 49,1C which is bad enough...

https://www.nu.nl/buitenland/6315160/indiase-recordtemperatuur-ontstond-door-storing-niet-529-maar-491-graden.html

Heat kills at least 15 in India as temperatures near 50C

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czddy30ezd5o

The human body has a very narrow range of temperature it finds ideal. It works best when the temperature is between 36C to 37.5C, or 96.8F to 99.5F. Anything over this is dangerous.

Ambient air temperature of 18-24C is good for most people, although people who are healthy and more well adapted to heat can sustain slightly higher temperatures.

...

For most people but especially the vulnerable, prolonged exposure to temperatures above 40C causes heat stress as the body starts to struggle to cool itself down.

...

When the temperature rises above 46C, cells, the tiny building blocks of our body, start getting damaged or destroyed.

The body’s inability to regulate its temperature can also worsen existing chronic conditions like cardiovascular, respiratory and cerebrovascular diseases and ailments related to diabetes, according to the National Institute of Environmental Health Science in the US.

A recent analysis suggested that increasing heat can also worsen certain brain conditions.

Role of humidity

Air temperature alone doesn’t tell the full story. Humidity is an important factor in how we feel the heat, especially when it is as hot as 50C.

High humidity prevents the body from cooling itself by sweating, raising the risk of heatstroke and other potentially fatal conditions.

Humidity in the air is measured as “wet bulb temperature”, so named as it is measured by wrapping a wet cloth around a thermometer and seeing how much cooler it gets.

A wet bulb temperature of 32C is usually the maximum a human body can endure. This is equivalent to a dry temperature of 55C. The theoretical maximum wet bulb temperature is 35C, which means most humans are likely to suffer heatstroke at this level.

When air temperature is 46.1C and relative humidity is 30 per cent, the wet bulb temperature is 30.5C. But when air temperature is 38.9C and relative humidity is 77 per cent, the wet bulb temperature is about 35C.

Heat in India, as in much of South Asia, is extremely humid. The average relative humidity of Delhi is 67 per cent, which makes higher temperatures particularly dangerous.

Studies have shown that when air temperature reaches 35C and is accompanied by high humidity, it becomes risky for our health. Once 40C is reached, the heat can be dangerous even with low humidity levels.

...

Night temperatures

It’s not just daytime heat that is scorching South Asia. Night temperatures have been as high as 36C in some places in northern India, which is particularly dangerous since it means people cannot cool off at night to fall asleep.

...

https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/india-temperature-weather-heat-stroke-human-body-b2554016.html
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kassy

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1309 on: June 02, 2024, 05:28:28 PM »
Two dozen polling staff dead in 50C heatwave as India votes on final day of election

...

In India’s most populous state of Uttar Pradesh, at least 15 died of heat stroke, reported the <em>Press Trust of India</em>.

The dead include seven home guard soldiers, three sanitation workers, one clerk posted at the Chief Medical Officer’s office, one consolidation officer, and one worker in the home guard team, Dr Raj Bahadur Kamal, the principal of Mirzapur’s Maa Vindhyavasini Autonomous State Medical College, told the agency.

He said they were brought to the facility with high fever and high blood pressure.

Two polling officials died in UP’s Sonbhadra district. "A polling party was supposed to leave from the dispatch centre in Robertsganj today. Three polling officials including a police personnel and others fell ill due to heat. Two polling officials have died. The CMO mentioned heatstroke-like symptoms were seen in the polling officials who were brought here," reported ANI quoting Sonbhadra DM Chandra Vijay Singh.

Fourteen people died in Bihar on Thursday, officials said, including 10 people involved in organising the election. Election officials are typically required to stand on duty all day, often outdoors. Five fatalities were reported in the Bhojpur district, said the disaster management department. Three election officials died in Rohtas and one each in Kaimur and Aurangabad districts.

...

https://www.independent.co.uk/asia/india/india-heatwave-general-election-modi-b2554925.html
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kassy

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1310 on: June 03, 2024, 02:50:53 PM »
Heat kills more than 50 people in India in three days

More than 50 people have died in India over the past three days as a brutal heat spell continues to grip parts of the country.
Around 33 people died in the northern state of Uttar Pradesh over the weekend due to the heat.
These included people involved in the general election, including polling officials, security guards and sanitation staff - Saturday was the last phase of voting.
In Odisha (Orissa) state, about 20 people died due to heat stroke, officials said.

...

The federal health ministry says that there have been at least 56 confirmed heat strokes deaths from 1 March to 30 May. About 24,849 heatstroke cases were reported during the period.
However, state-wise figures suggest the actual number could be much higher.
In Odisha, district authorities reported 99 suspected heat stroke deaths in the past 72 hours - of these, 20 cases have been confirmed, the state's Special Relief Commissioner said in a statement.

...

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cprrv9zp8wyo
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vox_mundi

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1311 on: June 04, 2024, 01:33:03 PM »
India Heat Wave Hits Wildlife As Thirsty Monkeys Drown In Well
https://phys.org/news/2024-06-india-wildlife-thirsty-monkeys.html

Dozens of monkeys in heat wave-hit India desperate for water have drowned in a well, a forest official said Tuesday, in a state where lakes have turned to dust.

Swaths of northern India have been gripped by a heat wave since last month, with temperatures soaring over 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit), and hundreds of people have died during weeks of extreme weather.

The heat is also hitting wildlife, with animals searching for water in villages.

Nearly 40 monkeys drowned in the well in Palamu district of eastern Jharkhand state, where lakes have dried out in the heat, villagers said.

Kumar Ashish, the local government forest officer, said the troop had jumped in but could not escape.

Researchers say human-induced climate change has driven the devastating heat impact in India and should be taken as a warning.
There are 3 classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus

kiwichick16

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1312 on: June 04, 2024, 06:44:30 PM »
@  vox   quite disturbing ....especially as they amongst our closest animal relatives

Stephan

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1313 on: June 04, 2024, 07:24:48 PM »
Warmest spring in Germany since measurements started in 1881.
German Met Office evaluated the average temperature being 10.8°C. This is the warmest spring (March, April, May) ever measured, 0.1°C warmer than the previous record (2007) and 2.0°C (!!!) warmer than the reference period 1994-2023, which itself is above preindustrial.
And there was no specific heatwave the whole spring that can be made responsible for that record. There have been just higher temperatures than average throughout most of the period, combined with two century flooding events (see my posts in "floods").
It is too late just to be concerned about Climate Change

be cause

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1314 on: June 04, 2024, 11:11:27 PM »
like UK's warmest May , I would guess it was the warm nights that did it .
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pikaia

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1315 on: June 04, 2024, 11:21:57 PM »
like UK's warmest May , I would guess it was the warm nights that did it .
That was one factor, but apparently Scotland was unusually warm, which would also increase the average.

vox_mundi

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1316 on: June 05, 2024, 05:06:59 PM »
Scorching Heat Wave Set to Smash Records Across U.S. Southwest
https://www.axios.com/2024/06/05/southwest-us-heatwave-california-vegas-arizona



https://www.axios.com/2024/05/30/heat-wave-western-us-records

The big picture: Excessive heat warnings and watches extended from the central valley down through southern California's deserts, southern Nevada and southern and western Arizona, affecting over 27 million people on Wednesday morning. New temperature records have already been set in Texas, per preliminary National Weather Service data.

https://x.com/NWSSanAngelo/status/1798147180374741094

-    This shows Abilene reached a high of 106°F and San Angelo hit 111°F on Tuesday. "For San Angelo, this does tie the 5th hottest temperatures recorded here," the local NWS office noted. "The 4 hotter days all occurred in June of last year."

-    Heat risk during the days-long U.S. heat wave was expected to peak over California's central valley on Wednesday before expanding into the desert Southwest later this week, according to an NWS forecast discussion.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdspd

Why it matters: Extreme heat ranks as the nation's top weather-related killer annually, per the NWS. U.S. Border Patrol El Paso, Texas, sector chief Anthony Good noted in a post to X that the extreme heat had killed four migrants trying to cross the border from Mexico over the weekend.

Threat level: There's a "good chance" the temperature in Las Vegas, Nevada, will top 112°F on Thursday, which the NWS said would be the city's earliest observed 112°F on record.

-    Phoenix, Arizona, reached an above-average June temperature high of 104°F on Tuesday, and the NWS warns it could see records set this week. Local officials announced Tuesday evening that Camelback Mountain and key trails would close Wednesday through Friday as a precaution.

-    Widespread temperature records are expected to be tied or broken elsewhere across much of the region.

-    "Little overnight relief will make for dangerous conditions for those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration," the NWS said.

https://x.com/NWSWPC/status/1798046472665252170



The heat wave is the result of an expanding high pressure area, or heat dome, that's been lingering over Mexico and Central America, where it's repeatedly broken all-time temperature records and exacerbated drought conditions.

https://www.axios.com/2024/05/28/mexico-heat-drought-water-shortages-howler-monkeys

---------------------------------------------------------------

Danger Warnings as Heat Wave Hits Western US
https://phys.org/news/2024-06-danger-western.html

Temperatures in Death Valley were set to hit a deeply uncomfortable 122°F (50°C)on Thursday, while Las Vegas could be baking in 112°F (44°C) heat.

Southern Texas was also experiencing sweltering temperatures, with the border city of Rio Grande expected to see highs of 117°F (47°C) later Tuesday.

... A report, by the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, the World Weather Attribution scientific network and the nonprofit research organization Climate Central, said 6.3 billion people—roughly 80 percent of the global population—experienced at least 31 days of extreme heat last year.

The year 2023 was the hottest on record, according to the European Union's climate monitor, Copernicus.

And 2024 is not shaping up to be any better, with Pakistan, India and China already walloped by extreme temperatures.
« Last Edit: June 05, 2024, 05:40:06 PM by vox_mundi »
There are 3 classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus

vox_mundi

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1317 on: June 07, 2024, 06:16:46 PM »
Millions Remain Under Heat Alerts as Phoenix and Las Vegas Break Temperature Records
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna155987

Much of the western U.S. is experiencing the first major heat wave of the year, which is driving temperatures 20 to 30 degrees Fahrenheit hotter than what is normal for June. In the Southwest, temperatures are lingering well above 100 degrees.

Phoenix reached a sweltering 113°F (45°C) on Thursday — beating the previous daily record for this time of year of 111 degrees set in 2016.

https://x.com/NWSPhoenix/status/1798876713444954319

https://x.com/NWSPhoenix/status/1799086887635984572

The low temperature  was 87°F at Phoenix Sky Harbor Airport which potentially breaks the previous record of 85 degrees set in 1977 for record highest low temperature.  This is also 11 degrees above normal.

https://x.com/NWSPhoenix/status/1799048666919080305

The heat in Phoenix caused at least 11 people to become unwell and require medical attention at a rally for former President Donald Trump in Phoenix on Thursday, the city's fire department said. Some had waited outside in the sweltering heat for the event to start.

In Death Valley, California, thermometers reached 122 degrees, beating the record of 121 set in 1996. The hottest temperature ever recorded in the United States was 134 degrees, at Death Valley in 1913 — although some climate scientists have questioned that statistic.

... This May, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere hit nearly 427 parts per million, which is an increase of about 3 parts per million compared to last year’s peak. That’s one of the largest annual jumps on record, scientists say.

In recent years, growth of CO2 in the atmosphere has accelerated. In the first four months of this year, the CO2 concentration increased more quickly than it has during the first four months of any previous year on record, according to scientists at NOAA and the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of San Diego.
There are 3 classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus

vox_mundi

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1318 on: June 10, 2024, 04:43:09 PM »
More sweltering heat to scorch Arizona and Nevada this week before moving east over the week
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/national-weather-service-forecasts-sweltering-heat-week-phoenix-las-ve-rcna156279

https://x.com/NWSWPC/status/1799860687872925892

-----------------------------------------------------------

Early heat wave breaks records in western US
https://phys.org/news/2024-06-early-western.html

------------------------------------------------------------

India's heat wave longest ever, worse to come
https://phys.org/news/2024-06-india-longest-worse.html

Parts of northern India have been gripped by a heat wave since mid-May, with temperatures soaring over 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit).

"This has been the longest spell because it has been experienced for about 24 days in different parts of the country," the head of India's Meteorological Department (IMD), Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, said in an interview with the Indian Express daily.

India is the world's third-biggest emitter of greenhouse gases but has committed to achieve a net zero emissions economy by 2070 -- two decades after most of the industrialized West.

For now, it is overwhelmingly reliant on coal for power generation.
« Last Edit: June 10, 2024, 05:00:28 PM by vox_mundi »
There are 3 classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus

kassy

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1319 on: June 10, 2024, 05:53:07 PM »
In Mexico’s heat wave monkeys are still dying and lions are getting popsicles

Amid Mexico’s heat wave and drought, suffering birds are getting air-conditioning and monkeys with heatstroke are being rescued by non-governmental groups.

The government, meanwhile, has been more preoccupied with cooling down animals at state-run zoos, giving lions frozen meat popsicles. It's not the only frosty treat: One rescue group is feeding distressed owls with rat carcasses shipped in frozen from Mexico City.

A heat dome, an area of strong high pressure centered over the southern Gulf of Mexico and northern Central America, has blocked clouds from forming and caused extensive sunshine and hot temperatures all across Mexico, as well as in the United States.

...

As of May 31, the Environment Department acknowledged that a total of 204 howler monkeys had died, 157 of them in Tabasco. Pozo said the number in Tabasco alone has since risen to 198, suggesting the nationwide toll is now near 250.

...

Some NGOs are struggling to pay for the care and are calling for donations, like the Selva Teenek, a non-profit wildlife park in the jungled region of La Huasteca, farther north.

On May 9, temperatures in that area soared to around 120 degrees (50 Celsius), and rescuers and staff brought in 15 birds of various species that were found lying on the ground.

“This had never happened before,” said Laura Rodríguez, the park's veterinarian. “One hundred percent of the animals ... they needed rehydration. Some were so dehydrated we couldn't give them water orally.”

...

“The birds started having problems, and some of them literally started dropping dead in flight,” Buenfil said. “Some of the most affected were the newborns ... people sent photos to us of dozens of dead parrots on the ground.”

The birds were suffering from heat stress, dehydration and malnutrition, simultaneously. Rescuers had to get them out of the heat, give them water and feed them.

...

https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/mexico-heatwave-zoos-monleys-lions-b2559681.html
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kassy

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1320 on: June 11, 2024, 06:53:15 PM »
Central and south Greece will hit 40C temperatures. Athens will be about 38C while 28C is the normal temperature.

Turkey is also 8 to 12C warmer then normal for the time of the year.

https://www.nu.nl/buitenland/6316417/komende-dagen-hittegolf-in-griekenland-kans-op-bosbranden-groot.html
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vox_mundi

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Re: Heatwaves
« Reply #1321 on: June 12, 2024, 04:56:39 PM »
Athens Acropolis closes as Greece bakes in heat wave
https://phys.org/news/2024-06-athens-acropolis-greece.html

The Athens Acropolis, Greece's most visited tourist site, was closed to the public during the hottest hours of Wednesday because of the season's earliest-ever heat wave sweeping the country.

The culture ministry had said the UNESCO-listed archaeological site would close from midday to 5:00 pm (0900 to 1400 GMT), with temperatures expected to reach 43 degrees Celsius (109 degrees Fahrenheit) on Wednesday and Thursday.

Temperatures of up to 44 degrees Celsius are expected on Thursday as the phenomenon peaks, with up to 43 degrees forecast in the capital.

Schools will stay closed in several regions of the country on Wednesday and Thursday, including in the capital, while the labor ministry has advised public-sector employees to work from home.

"In the 20th century we never had a heat wave before June 19. We have had several in the 21st century, but none before June 15," he said.

The Acropolis was forced to close in July last year during a two-week heat wave unprecedented in its duration.

https://phys.org/news/2024-06-athens-acropolis-greece.html
« Last Edit: June 12, 2024, 07:16:48 PM by vox_mundi »
There are 3 classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus